EP36's Equalizers

[EaglesPhan36]

Play #114 Result: [W]
Play #115 Result: [L]
Play #116 Result: [W] 68-41-7 (+19.59)

[EaglesPhan36]

Play #117: [Denmark Super Liga] Aarhus +104
Aarhus is 5-1-2 on the season in league play with a 2-0-2 record at home. Their opponent, Midtjylland, have just one win in 8 matches. That came against bottom feeding Randers. On the road, Midtjylland is 0-4. The main issue being that they have failed to score in all but one of those away matches. At home, Aarhus averages 1.75 goals per match, while conceding 1.25. Facing one of the worst offenses in the league should help the home standing Aarhus here and if they hit anywhere near their

[RoagBettor]

EP, on paper it seems like an easy victory for Aarhus, but the line doesn't reflect that to me.

[EaglesPhan36]

Play #118: [Turkey Super League] Galatasaray -1.5 (-131)
Galatasaray look to keep their record unbeaten as they take to the road against winless Kasimpasa. The OVER might have been my play here, but at 3 - the likelihood of a push will keep me away. Galatasaray can put up all 3 themselves to get you there, but Kasimpasa has just two goals this season in 5 matches, so a 3-0 or 2-0 line wouldn't yield you a win there. With the handicap, Galatasaray seems a good shot here as 4 of their 5 wins have come by 2 goals or more. The lone one goal win was a 3-2 decision on the road. With Galatasaray coming off a 3-1 whooping of Greek side, Panathinaikos, on the road in the UEFA Europa League, they can now turn their attention back to attacking front running Fenerbache for top of the table in the Turkish top league. Getting a team with trouble scoring, Galatasaray will know that 2-3 goals should ease them to another 3 points. Kasimpasa has lost 3 of their 5 league matches by at least two goals and it seems likely that Galatasaray could hand them another heavy defeat.

[EaglesPhan36]

EP, on paper it seems like an easy victory for Aarhus, but the line doesn't reflect that to me.

I think because Aarhus isn't dominant, the line might be where it is at. Still, I think because their opponent really struggles to score on the road, 1 goal could get a win. Only results I can see are an Aarhus win or a draw.

[EaglesPhan36]

Also think a ML parlay of AIK (Swedish Allvenskan) & Galatasaray is solid. Pays 0.76:1.

[RoagBettor]

Need Aarhus to make a comeback. That line had me concerned, and here they are down 2-1 at the half.

We'll see, lots of soccer left to play.

[EaglesPhan36]

Surprised they gave up two goals. Their D at home isn't great by the numbers, but Mid hardly scores on the road. Thems the breaks sometimes.

[EaglesPhan36]

Looks like a banner day coming up.

[lamhung_503]

2 late goals for the win woooo good job EP

[MexicanStallion]

Unreal winner on Gala.

[TurkzZ]

haha happy to hear you were on gala too, Nonda

[Karayilan9]

Glad we all cashed this game
It had a Hollywood ending

[EaglesPhan36]

Play #117 Result: [L]
Play #118 Result: [W] 69-42-7 (+19.59)

Legen ..... DARY. That parlay also hit.

[EaglesPhan36]

Play #119: [Austria Bundesliga] LASK Linz vs. Austria Karnten OVER 3 (-117) [2 units]
Linz has been a solid OVER play early in the Austria Bundesliga season. Through 7 matches, they are averaging 3.14 goals per match and conceding 2.43. At home, they average 4 goals by themselves in 4 matches and yield 1.75 per match. Karnten is 0-4 on the road, yielding 3.75 goals per match. All 7 of Linz' matches have hit 4 goals or much more. 6 of Karnten's 7 matches have hit at least 3, with all four road matches soaring past 3. Linz has scored 4 goals in each home match & Karnten has conceded at least 3 in all their road matches. 3 goals seems like a done deal here with 4 or more very likely.

THIS IS A WEDNESDAY MATCH, BUT I WANTED THE LINE BEFORE IT INFLATES!

[EaglesPhan36]

Play #120: [Carling Cup] Arsenal vs. West Bromwich Albion OVER 2.5/3 (-135)
Arsenal will be fielding a team of youngsters who should be hungry to prove their mettle. West Brom is a relegated side from the Premier League last season & they have been scoring a ton in Championship play so far, scoring 20 goals in 8 matches. Think 3 goals is an excellent shot for the half stakes win with a good shot to potentially see 4 goals.

[EaglesPhan36]

Play #120 Result: [L] 69-43-7 (+18.25)

Play #121: [Italy Serie A] Palermo vs. A.S. Roma OVER 2.5 (-137)
Another one of the plays that have made sense early in the season, Roma & OVERs. In four matches, Roma is averaging 2 goals and conceding 2 per match. All four Serie A matches for Roma have gone to 3 or more goals. They have yet to keep a clean sheet which could help Palermo. Palermo has been blanked twice on the road and scored three goals in two home matches in Serie A. Roma has scored at least two goals in 3 of 4 matches and if they can get to 2, Palermo may be able to penetrate the shaky Roma D for the 3rd goal. Roma of course is capable to do all 3 themselves. This is another one where I think the total/price will continue to inflate.

[TurkzZ]

I like it, this one smells of goals

[kmarinouofm]

hope you get it eagles.. i am gonna follow..

I am also playing houston and the over tonight.. They really want this win.. and I think they get it.. also tomorrow DC united .. the team they are playing is missing one of their top goal scorers in that game..

[DJ RM]

Agreed that Houston need the win badly, but I just found out it is supposed to wet and rainy in houston. Does that affect your thinking? In general, does anyone know if games tend to go over or under when the pitch is slippery? it is much harder to finish shots in the rain but also harder to defend.

[TurkzZ]

rain can make a game faster, but if the pitch is in bad condition, bumps etc, then its Under Conditions

[RoagBettor]

The weather sucks here in Houston. It rained all day but it's died down this evening. The field is probably sloppy though, we got a LOT of rain today.

[kmarinouofm]

hope you get it eagles.. i am gonna follow..

I am also playing houston and the over tonight.. They really want this win.. and I think they get it.. also tomorrow DC united .. the team they are playing is missing one of their top goal scorers in that game..

HOUSTON CRUSH UP 4-1 !!!!!

hook it up with some coins people.. i want a free pizza!!!

[kmarinouofm]

HOUSTON CRUSH UP 4-1 !!!!!

hook it up with some coins people.. i want a free pizza!!!

Houston Crush 5-1 !!!!!!!

[cro]

I backed houston 1st half for $1.98
thought it was better value

[EaglesPhan36]

Play #119: [Austria Bundesliga] LASK Linz vs. Austria Karnten OVER 3 (-117) [2 units]

Don't forget this one. IMO, perhaps the best soccer bet on the board and you can still get it around -130. If it's not either split 3/3.5 or straight 3.5 - I will be a bit surprised.

[cro]

Don't forget this one. IMO, perhaps the best soccer bet on the board and you can still get it around -130. If it's not either split 3/3.5 or straight 3.5 - I will be a bit surprised.

if this goes under its a miracle

[RoagBettor]

The odds have actually dropped on Bookmaker to over 3/-125 (from -130). That concerns me.

[smitch124]

The odds have actually dropped on Bookmaker to over 3/-125 (from -130). That concerns me.

I think thats the 1st time I didn't see you call it book****er.

[TurkzZ]

great call on Houston, i was so close to playing the Houston + Pachuca double but backed out last min

[RoagBettor]

I think thats the 1st time I didn't see you call it book****er.

LOL that's because I hit that parlay yesterday and they don't count Extra Time. So they're off my sh*t list for now.

Actually, their lines have gotten better lately, not sure why.

[TWEETS]

I had noticed too that the lines have been better, not right where every other book is at but within 10-20 cents instead of 50-60. Maybe my daily barrage to chat about why their soccer lines suck is getting somewhere.

[RoagBettor]

I had noticed too that the lines have been better, not right where every other book is at but within 10-20 cents instead of 50-60. Maybe my daily barrage to chat about why their soccer lines suck is getting somewhere.

Good work TWEETS! The Palmeiras PK line is +135 which is better than some other books.

[RoagBettor]

By the way, great job EP on the Houston call last night. I almost pulled the trigger but with the weather so crappy here I laid off. Nice hit.

[ji03]

Tailing you on the Roma over. Good luck.