The Karayilan thread

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  • socrates01
    SBR Sharp
    • 05-17-09
    • 301

    #421
    Originally posted by Karayilan9
    My initial lean was Over2.5 goals and I thought Brazil could score 3 themselves. However, I saw value in the -1.5 lines odds which are better than they should be due to the books playing on the upset yesterday.

    The Over2.5 goals should be around -120/-110, the Over is likely to hit in this match. I can't tell you to take it or not thats your decision but if you asked me which I would play it would be the Over.



    -1.5, -2 asian handicap means, If Brazil win by 2 you get half your money back, if they win by 2 you push if they win by 3 you win.

    This wager should be played if you think Brazil will win by 3, I don't like this type of handicap, if I capped them to win by 3 I'd play -2.5 straight.
    Hey Karayilan, how strong do you feel about Brazil winning straight up? thanks..
    Comment
    • gyftosgreek
      SBR High Roller
      • 12-16-08
      • 240

      #422
      i got brazil -365.my local guy only has moneyline.lets go brazil
      Comment
      • linglingfool
        SBR Sharp
        • 06-10-09
        • 326

        #423
        Thoughts on hedging the under in the second half?
        Comment
        • socrates01
          SBR Sharp
          • 05-17-09
          • 301

          #424
          if there's a tie, do they do penalty kicks?
          Comment
          • Panekkkk
            SBR MVP
            • 03-12-09
            • 2430

            #425
            moneyline is regulation only right?
            Comment
            • linglingfool
              SBR Sharp
              • 06-10-09
              • 326

              #426
              All bets are 90 minutes + penalty time only.
              Comment
              • DuffMan
                SBR Rookie
                • 01-31-09
                • 31

                #427
                Good luck Karayilan!!
                Comment
                • linglingfool
                  SBR Sharp
                  • 06-10-09
                  • 326

                  #428
                  Brazil scores in 87', 1-0.
                  Comment
                  • Panekkkk
                    SBR MVP
                    • 03-12-09
                    • 2430

                    #429
                    And they miss a wide open breakaway to blow the 2-0...
                    Comment
                    • Karayilan9
                      Restricted User
                      • 01-10-09
                      • 3742

                      #430
                      Disgraceful game, Brazil had a howler and now they playing like its the world cup final keeping the ball in the corner
                      Comment
                      • rpbrownie
                        SBR Hustler
                        • 04-14-09
                        • 64

                        #431
                        How do you screw up a shot from 7ft.......thinking....just kick the ball
                        Comment
                        • HarleyDavids
                          SBR High Roller
                          • 06-24-09
                          • 113

                          #432
                          Uninspiring play by Brazil in this match , It would be a dream if USA could kick their ass in the final. Btw , Did Danni Alves show a tattoo with his own name on his chest ?
                          Comment
                          • GGPLAYER
                            SBR MVP
                            • 03-26-09
                            • 2981

                            #433
                            Tough one. I just watched it on my co-workers computer....I almost threw it out the window when that guy choked from 7 feet. My first bet ever on soccer .....wish I did not see that last shot.
                            Comment
                            • HarleyDavids
                              SBR High Roller
                              • 06-24-09
                              • 113

                              #434
                              Originally posted by GGPLAYER
                              Tough one. I just watched it on my co-workers computer....I almost threw it out the window when that guy choked from 7 feet. My first bet ever on soccer .....wish I did not see that last shot.
                              I feel your pain , hope you didnt lose to much on your first soccer bet ?
                              Comment
                              • kmarinouofm
                                SBR Hall of Famer
                                • 01-26-09
                                • 8437

                                #435
                                yeah that final run in extra time.. bounced right off the goalie.. i thought we would have our second goal there.. You know USA is going to get +1.5 goals on sunday and i think that has to be the play.. no way brazil blanks them again
                                Comment
                                • Karayilan9
                                  Restricted User
                                  • 01-10-09
                                  • 3742

                                  #436
                                  The early lean for the final is Over2.5 goals, USA has grown in confidence and has the momentum, they will approach this game like last and go for the win and put pressure on the midfield. Brazil are going to get such a slating for their performance today, so many Brazilians already want Dunga out, they will need to respond to that awful display and return to their attacking selves.
                                  Comment
                                  • Vreston
                                    SBR MVP
                                    • 03-12-09
                                    • 1428

                                    #437
                                    Originally posted by GGPLAYER
                                    Tough one. I just watched it on my co-workers computer....I almost threw it out the window when that guy choked from 7 feet. My first bet ever on soccer .....wish I did not see that last shot.
                                    Hope you didn't lose much on your first soccer bet.

                                    Don't worry though. Betting baseball is much worse!
                                    Comment
                                    • Vreston
                                      SBR MVP
                                      • 03-12-09
                                      • 1428

                                      #438
                                      Originally posted by Karayilan9
                                      Disgraceful game, Brazil had a howler and now they playing like its the world cup final keeping the ball in the corner
                                      I know. This game was a disappointment for me too. Brazil had some good inspirations but they didn't work out. I didn't even want to watch the game with that annoying buzzing sound!

                                      Even though Brazil has to be my all time favorite team to watch in international play because of the great appearances they usually put on and the fantasy and creativity of their offense, I see that right now my books are giving the USA +700 (8.00 decimal odds) to win and Brazil -285 (1.35). Maybe a small bet on the USA to win just for the fun of it at these odds would be worth it. They do have positive momentum with them and they are already considered successful in the Confederations Cup. If they win, then that's great for them but if they lose nobody will say anything against them. All logic says Brazil will win though.
                                      Of course all logic said that Spain would win yesterday and most of us thought that Brazil would score more than one tonight. I saw the USA players to be very strong. They didn't let up and really disabled Spain's midfield. Then they barracaded themselves back in their area frustrating Spain. Of course when you pull your whole team back like that and with so many shots being taken you're bound to get scored on. That didn't happen with Spain. Brazil of course has so many creative offensive players.
                                      I haven't decided what and if I will bet on the final. I'll think about it some more.

                                      Of course there's also the South Africa - Spain game on Sunday also.
                                      Right now I can see the odds at:
                                      S. Africa 5.30 (+430)
                                      Draw 3.75 (+275)
                                      Spain 1.55 (-181)
                                      Comment
                                      • GGPLAYER
                                        SBR MVP
                                        • 03-26-09
                                        • 2981

                                        #439
                                        Originally posted by Vreston
                                        Hope you didn't lose much on your first soccer bet.

                                        Don't worry though. Betting baseball is much worse!
                                        Nope nothing major...more for fun and the fact that I QUIT betting baseball and just follow CK's and Sexymit's WNBA picks now until football kicks in. I'll probably do a few soccer bets here and there to keep me going too. Baseball near ruined me last month and it's an evil sport to bet on.
                                        Comment
                                        • kmarinouofm
                                          SBR Hall of Famer
                                          • 01-26-09
                                          • 8437

                                          #440
                                          Originally posted by Karayilan9
                                          The early lean for the final is Over2.5 goals, USA has grown in confidence and has the momentum, they will approach this game like last and go for the win and put pressure on the midfield. Brazil are going to get such a slating for their performance today, so many Brazilians already want Dunga out, they will need to respond to that awful display and return to their attacking selves.
                                          thats how i see it Karayilan.. USA is going to get a Goal no matter what in my humble opinion ...I think the play is take the over 2.5 big bet and a half bet on USA moneyline... Game can't end in a draw so i think this just makes sense...
                                          Comment
                                          • Panekkkk
                                            SBR MVP
                                            • 03-12-09
                                            • 2430

                                            #441
                                            US shut down Spain with some intense defense though ... Any chance this ends 1-0?
                                            Comment
                                            • Karayilan9
                                              Restricted User
                                              • 01-10-09
                                              • 3742

                                              #442
                                              Panekk
                                              US shut down Spain with some intense defense though ... Any chance this ends 1-0?
                                              US went all out attack throughout the first half, even after they scored they didn't sit back. Infact they didn't go ultra-defensive at any point in the game, even when Spain was throwing the kitchen sink at their defense America still had scoring on the mind, countless times they countered Spain and if they kept a little more composure up-front they could have made scored a few more.

                                              USA haven't played a defensive game this tournament, I haven't seen them approach a game defensively in the World Cup Qualifiers either. This is an interesting match-up because Brazil like an open game aswell, US have the spirit and momentum going into this game but Brazil want a cup because Dunga is getting ripped in Brazil for the team not being exciting enough.

                                              The last Brazil performance was them on a bad day, that doesn't happen often, it would be wrong to fade the team because of that game but its hard to fade US when there playing with such courage and desire.

                                              I'm still leaning goals but am still looking into it.
                                              Comment
                                              • dengesiz
                                                SBR Rookie
                                                • 05-22-09
                                                • 28

                                                #443
                                                Karayilan do you have any games for today's schedule ?
                                                Comment
                                                • Karayilan9
                                                  Restricted User
                                                  • 01-10-09
                                                  • 3742

                                                  #444
                                                  I have a few MLS plays I'm working on Dengesiz, by the way what does your name mean?
                                                  Comment
                                                  • dengesiz
                                                    SBR Rookie
                                                    • 05-22-09
                                                    • 28

                                                    #445
                                                    it's a Turkish word like yours
                                                    Comment
                                                    • Karayilan9
                                                      Restricted User
                                                      • 01-10-09
                                                      • 3742

                                                      #446
                                                      Hosgeldin Dengesiz kardesim
                                                      Comment
                                                      • dengesiz
                                                        SBR Rookie
                                                        • 05-22-09
                                                        • 28

                                                        #447
                                                        merhaba
                                                        Comment
                                                        • Karayilan9
                                                          Restricted User
                                                          • 01-10-09
                                                          • 3742

                                                          #448
                                                          Merhaba, nasilsin?

                                                          MLS - Columbus Crew vs New York Red Bulls: Columbus Crew -.5 & -1 -140 (1.7) WIN

                                                          New York havn't won on the road since anybody can remember, seriously their road record is unbelievably bad and I've been fading them for 8 road games straight and will carry on until they prove themselves worthy of not being faded. In addition to not winning away, they have only scored 1 goal while letting in 16. Further bad news is that Angel their top striker and a player of some quality may not play today.

                                                          Columbus Crew haven't lost at home, they lost their last road game to Dallas which ended a 9 game unbeaten streak. Teams that go on long streaks can sometimes get complacent and need a punch in the jaw like the one they received last game to get their act sorted out. Columbus have a defender and captain Hejduk returning today, so they'll have a more solid defensive feel and a captain to lead and motivate the team. They won their last 3 home games, including their last game which was against one of the leagues strongest teams Chivas.

                                                          Columbus Crew will want to get back to winning ways and have an opportunity here against a team in awful form.
                                                          Comment
                                                          • oda11
                                                            SBR MVP
                                                            • 06-05-09
                                                            • 3250

                                                            #449
                                                            lol, ah, my book has Columbus Crew at PK for -600 and ML for -220...wth

                                                            You think it's still worth it Karayilan9?

                                                            Thanks!
                                                            Comment
                                                            • aznjeff07
                                                              SBR MVP
                                                              • 05-22-09
                                                              • 1295

                                                              #450
                                                              does that mean your putting 1.7 units on the game karayilan9? If your write up is correct it seems like a game i want to go big on. thanks
                                                              Comment
                                                              • Cannaloop
                                                                SBR Rookie
                                                                • 05-28-09
                                                                • 31

                                                                #451
                                                                Originally posted by aznjeff07
                                                                does that mean your putting 1.7 units on the game karayilan9? If your write up is correct it seems like a game i want to go big on. thanks
                                                                I think 1.7 is just the decimal value, not units.

                                                                Betway offers 2.40 (+140) for -1 on Columbus Crew.
                                                                Comment
                                                                • MexicanStallion
                                                                  SBR Posting Legend
                                                                  • 09-08-08
                                                                  • 20429

                                                                  #452
                                                                  How would you bet this game with a unit of $100? Would you go with to win $100 on both? or split it up differently? Sorry I just needed to see a money example.
                                                                  Comment
                                                                  • Karayilan9
                                                                    Restricted User
                                                                    • 01-10-09
                                                                    • 3742

                                                                    #453
                                                                    Sorry for the confusion, 1.7 is the decimal odds, I put up both so people who use decimal or American odds can follow easier.

                                                                    Oda
                                                                    lol, ah, my book has Columbus Crew at PK for -600 and ML for -220...wth

                                                                    You think it's still worth it Karayilan9?
                                                                    Those odds are painful to look at, do you use more than one book? or are they all offering the same odds? Pinnacle is offering -197 ML, its still not as good as what Betfair is offering though.

                                                                    Columbus are strong favorites today but those odds stink, do they offer the asian handicap option I'm playing?


                                                                    Cannaloop
                                                                    Betway offers 2.40 (+140) for -1 on Columbus Crew.


                                                                    That is great value!! I may have to jump on that, Bet365 has it for 1.8, Betfair is 1.9, 2.4 odds are very good for -1.
                                                                    Comment
                                                                    • Phillth
                                                                      SBR MVP
                                                                      • 04-09-09
                                                                      • 1785

                                                                      #454
                                                                      Americans books always have shite odds for MLS. You guys are just late to the boat. You couldve hopped on at -170 last night. -225 is crap but then again so is ny redbull
                                                                      Comment
                                                                      • whatisit
                                                                        SBR Sharp
                                                                        • 01-25-09
                                                                        • 319

                                                                        #455
                                                                        Just had a question about soccer betting....what's the difference between playing pk and the ML? For this game for example, I get -.5 at -193, ML at -183, and pk at -557 for the Crew.
                                                                        Comment
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