2012 NFL year long thread/ go 80% this season

[shooms79]

Brainsurgeon - here's a few questions to determine whether you truly were a physician. I'm certainly not nearly as knowledgeable as a brain surgeon, as I work in primary care. Here's a simple case:

Let's say you have a 60 year old patient, no significant medical history, comes in complaining of new onset headaches.

Do you treat for migraine and send them on their way?
If not, what's your workup and differential diagnosis?


Or how about this neurosurgery situation: 40 yo patient fell off a ladder, appears somewhat anxious. She has lacerations on her skull. CT Head shows skull fractures. You probe the skull laceration with your finger, and you are able to feel the skull fracture. Do you simply suture her skull lacerations up? Or does she require more extensive treatment?


Best of luck with your picks! I'll start tailing if I continue to see success.

PLEASE! You cant be serious. I can answer these with my eyes close, any 2 year medical student worth his grain of salt in pathology can answer these. You said you work in Primary Care, curious what you do.

Can I answer....im chomping at the bit here....


The first question...here is a hint, ask follow up question about her vision...

On a side note, so if he cant answer you wont tail him? lol i think not.

I have no dog in this fight...just question up my alley....

[Glowww]

No one even cares if this guy is or was a doctor lol He is 9-3 right now so let him just make his picks and stop harassing the guy.

[DrStale]

What's up with all the negativity? Chill out dude seriously

Not negative, trying to save the newbies money. How's Carolina doin?

Seriously, don't tail someone based on a 10 game sample size.

[ToPHeR]

Not negative, trying to save the newbies money. How's Carolina doin?

Seriously, don't tail someone based on a 10 game sample size.

Typical troll. Wait for 1 pick to go south and write off the entire thread. It's called gambling for a reason. Where were you on Monday or even last week?

[DrStale]

Typical troll. Wait for 1 pick to go south and write off the entire thread. It's called gambling for a reason. Where were you on Monday or even last week?

Are you slow? I wrote off this thread after he went 9-3. I'm not knocking the guy, he's not cocky, he's just wrong and he vastly overestimates himself. Just trying to make sure he's the only one who believes his own hype. This same thread has happened a hundred times, it has never ended well. GL.

[arpeggiomeister]

Are you slow? I wrote off this thread after he went 9-3. I'm not knocking the guy, he's not cocky, he's just wrong and he vastly overestimates himself. Just trying to make sure he's the only one who believes his own hype. This same thread has happened a hundred times, it has never ended well. GL.

I understand what you are trying to do. I have my own doubts but I would rather give the guy a chance and see what happens. I experiment with chasing even though it is theoretically doesn't work. Through my experiments I learn things that I would not have otherwise. Chasing may not work, but efforts to try and make it work has taught me valuable lessons.

If this guy is destined to go down in a ball of flames then time will take care of it. He doesn't need any ridicule from outside sources for he has set himself up for a big fall.

So far he has done well. I say give the guy a chance. Conventional wisdom says that nobody can cap at 80%, but conventional wisdom also once claimed that nobody could run a 4 minute mile.

Personally, I would like to see him succeed.

[bulichm]

Not negative, trying to save the newbies money. How's Carolina doin?

Seriously, don't tail someone based on a 10 game sample size.

Heard this crap before. Go save yourself and your own BR.

[bulichm]

Heard this crap before. Go save yourself and your own BR.

Not trying to be negative, but I've seen guys run off by the blog police before while they were in good standing with their claims.

[greenhippo]

I'm guessing he took Carolina and is now 9-4? On phone and don't feel like reading through pages or posts

[ToPHeR]

Thread record: 9-4

[Ghenghis Kahn]

first of all, i don't trust a guy that doesn't include all games in his record. whether preseason or not, the books took that wager and it was a loss, hence it should count as a loss.

second of all, the reason why i call this fraud a fraud is because he claims to cap 80% winners. anyone that knows anything about sports betting, that is impossible in the long run.

last but not least, if he quietly posted his plays and they happen to win above 52.5%, his winning picks would speak for themselves. but he chose the "look at me, i'm an attention whore" route so he deserves to be scrutinized imo...

[Trackrec]

in my line of work... you gotta have pride in your skill. In fact, you gotta be your biggest fan because I'm sure not gonna look at your guys for support. so the guy says he can do it 80% proper. should the cat downplay himself and say I pick losers and I barely scrape on by?

If he was to suck at capping... you all would flame him. If he was good at capping you would look for a way to discredit the cat. so there's really no reason why this cat needs to prove anything to you all at this very minute. his record is decent and I hope he can get close....
but to have a bunch of Captain Save-a-ho... who want to save us from losing our money... spare me the goodwill and just be condescending person.

by the way, I lol'd when I read that he was a brain surgeon but makes more at the books. such confident arrogance... I love it! he leaves me no choice but to appreciate his presence.

trackrecord

[brainsurgeon702]

Sorry about Thursday night guys. I shoulda went with my gut and stayed away from it. The only reason I took it is cause I knew the line was gonna move big. I'm not making excuses. Its completely my fault. It wont happen again. This Sunday will be huge. I promise

Tampa+8
Sf-7
Ten+4
Nyj/Miami over 41
Hou/den over 44.5
bal-2
pit-4

[arpeggiomeister]

Sorry about Thursday night guys. I shoulda went with my gut and stayed away from it. The only reason I took it is cause I knew the line was gonna move big. I'm not making excuses. Its completely my fault. It wont happen again. This Sunday will be huge. I promise

Tampa+8
Sf-7
Ten+4
Nyj/Miami over 41
Hou/den over 44.5
bal-2
pit-4

Keep going. I am on two of those plays myself. Baltimore is a scary play but I am on it in my chase experiment. I am on SF because they are on fire.

I like the NYJ/MIA play. This is a divisional game and NYJ wants to rebound from the PIT game. HOU/DEN I feel could turn into a shootout. Manning is looking to rebound, and the Texans have been hot. I am not on these two but I like the plays. GL

[Glowww]

Sorry about Thursday night guys. I shoulda went with my gut and stayed away from it. The only reason I took it is cause I knew the line was gonna move big. I'm not making excuses. Its completely my fault. It wont happen again. This Sunday will be huge. I promise

Tampa+8
Sf-7
Ten+4
Nyj/Miami over 41
Hou/den over 44.5
bal-2
pit-4

Brainsurgeon702. Whats your reasoning behind the Tennessee (+4)? Or is it just a gut feeling? - Glowww

[ToPHeR]

[arpeggiomeister]

2-1-1 (I am on NE tonight moneyline so I hope your wrong) Let's see what happens tonight. HOU is carving DEN up right now. Over looks good. PIT looks like a solid pick. GL

[ToPHeR]

2-1-1 (I am on NE tonight moneyline so I hope your wrong) Let's see what happens tonight. HOU is carving DEN up right now. Over looks good. PIT looks like a solid pick. GL

He's 3-1 right now

[2TrivBicc]

brainsurgeon702
Tampa+8
Sf-7
Ten+4
Nyj/Miami over 41
Hou/den over 44.5
bal-2
pit-4



Not bad...How many units you got on the Ravens tonight?

[arpeggiomeister]

He's 3-1 right now

My apologies, dislexic moment. 3-1... agreed. I will not even try to explain what I thought I saw... my bad

PIT goes down. That was shocking.

4-2 now. 66.66666% so far. Impressive by my book.

[msetai]

wow ravens are you serious??

[ThePancreas]

Wow. 80%?

And he went 4-3 yesterday? I'm all 4 the profit, but 4-3 isn't 80%.

What's the record on the year?

[ToPHeR]

Wow. 80%?

And he went 4-3 yesterday? I'm all 4 the profit, but 4-3 isn't 80%.

What's the record on the year?

Thread Record: 13-7

[doublecreek]

good for you brain surgeon--13-7 is a good start by any estimation. Are you doing anything on tonight's game?

[shift_knob]

65% is pretty solid

[blankoblanco]

The problem with starting a thread based on a laughable claim like picking 74%+ ats in NFL for 8 straight seasons is it means 1 of 2 things: either you're intentionally lying, or you're the worst/dumbest record-keeper in the world. Those are the only options, and neither one makes you a reliable capper. I'm 74% sure that it's the first option though

If you'd just been honest, came in and picked winners, more ppl would be saying hey, good job, gl, keep it up. 13-7 is a good start but even then doesn't mean much. We have all had 13-7 streaks and 7-13 streaks. If I flipped a coin 20 times and got 13 heads to 7 tails would you think I was an elite heads-flipper? I don't know if you're a good capper or bad capper yet, but since you came in with such a ridiculous lie, I already know you're a liar. That doesn't bode well, since a truly great capper wouldn't need to lie about their record, and a truly great capper would be smart enough to know how obvious a lie it was.

[face]

guy is winning so far. good job

[adrenalinerush]

Okay, I'm sure he gets the point. Yes, he came in petty brash with his 80% claim, but I think it is pretty obvious his tone has changed the past couple weeks. The guy is just trying to pick winners and share the winnings with us. Let it go. Let's just enjoy the 65% rate and give him some due credit. Thanks BrainSurgeon.

[brainsurgeon702]

Don't worry guys. Ill get the % up to 80. The beginning part of the year is the hardest to cap. About week 4 or 5 is when I start picking up. 2 plays tonite. Easy money

Green bay -3.5
Green bay/sea over 46

[PhillyFlyers]

Don't worry guys. Ill get the % up to 80. The beginning part of the year is the hardest to cap. About week 4 or 5 is when I start picking up. 2 plays tonite. Easy money

Green bay -3.5
Green bay/sea over 46

Brain

Relax.

Don't worry about trying to hit 80%.

Be happy with 55%. Hell, 60% would be great enough.

[bruceBRUCEbruce]

Don't worry guys. Ill get the % up to 80.

We've seen this movie before and know how it ends.
He'll be hovering around 50% by Thanksgiving and this thread will be abandoned well before X-Mas.

Good luck though, nice start.

[Deol]

If your thread title had 60% and not 80% it would have a lot less haters in hit. Hitting 60% in the NFL would be a huge success. HUGE. I don't think you'll hit it 60%, but BOL regardless.

[brainsurgeon702]

Sorry guys. I'm not gonna explain on how to perform surgeries. I'm on this forum for one reason only. To provide winners for the people that are tailing. That's it

[eidolon]

I'm going to start a thread next football season that says I win 143% of the time for the last 30 years. and then when I'm around 53% i will say "hey, stop hating I'm picking winners"

[UntilTheNDofTimE]

If your thread title had 60% and not 80% it would have a lot less haters in hit. Hitting 60% in the NFL would be a huge success. HUGE. I don't think you'll hit it 60%, but BOL regardless.

this forum likes to always hate on people regardless. If you said you pick 54% people would still hate because they cant do it. I wish this forum could ever in its time become what 2+2 forum is. A forum where people share insight and give advice. Not ridicule people as if they were 7 year old's. Telling on posters to moderators etc...