Air force plus + 3

[rm18]

I told you guys Adonis Thomas is sick right now, it is kind of weird he is a senior but has got like 5X better than he used to be.

[TheAntFather]

Dam, TD Toledo.

[TheAntFather]

I see live total at 74 now.

[TheAntFather]

Idiots on Air Force.

[teaserpleaser]

Under looked good for a quick second there but its clear this is going over both these secondarys and pass rush look awful

[teaserpleaser]

Jefferson Td...

[Blood Drake]

Wow, what an ugly game. Air Force looks like they just want to go back to their bunks.

[Kadinni]

Still early guys, its two scores. I can see Air Force making a run, esp 2nd half.

[Blood Drake]

Haha...guess they heard me and rattled off a big run.

[FourLengthsClear]

Just a typical game involving Toledo.

Does that defense actually receive any coaching? Coverage is terrible and the tacking is even worse.

[Blood Drake]

I put 2 dimes on Air Force at + 3.5. I was contemplating the under and I am glad I didn't.

[BernardMadoff]

Might take Air Force first quarter or first half.

Looks like the 1st half will cash, never know, still 1:00 left, chuckle.

[rockhardfister]

Glad I took the points.

[ZetaPsi808]

nice call mr big. sharp as usual

[bobbyfk]

Thanks Zeta for your kind words. With over 1800 views of a threat I started, I hope most SBR posters were on Air Force and the ones who liked Toledo laid off the game or bet the money line. Had Air Force at plus 3 and plus 3½ in what I thought was an entertaining evenly matched and played game.Getting the points made me a BIG winner. Mr Big

[HighFive]

solid

[Ace_of_Spades]

[chopperocker]

Well the thing is I'm not saying there has never been a 3 point dog with a 70% chance to win but you say they have a 72% chance to cover, if there cover % is 72 win is way less than 70% and if win is 70% then cover is way more than 72%.

But in this particular game this is a bad matchup for Air Force 95% of teams would struggle to stop Toledo's offense and they get extra time to prepare for the option, some people afraid to bet Toledo because of the Russian mafia but don't think any fix in for this game.

thats why the # was so short. why is this so difficult to understand. result - they covered the line by 71.4% or 66.6% depending on which line you purchased and with a 2 point conversion they would have won SU. they had a good line on this one but still the undervalued side was air force.