VegasInsider's Season-Long Golf Thread

WeinketoWarrick · 02-20-11, 06:36 PM

Good work again.

I'm gonna get buried on this tournament. DJ and Kuchar just killed me.

And remind me to never fade an Aussie in this event ever again. Appleby over Holmes hurts...

VegasInsider · 02-20-11, 06:42 PM

Yeah, Aussie's play well here for some reason.

I still can't believe that Holmes made double on 16...dumped it into that deep front bunker. Made a nice up and down from 110 yards on 17 for birdie and 50 foot two-putt on 18 for the push.

shaggy3000 · 02-22-11, 09:39 PM

tell me you like westwood and stricker tomorrow?

i dont care about vig. just wins

VegasInsider · 02-22-11, 10:01 PM

Originally posted by shaggy3000

tell me you like westwood and stricker tomorrow?

i dont care about vig. just wins

Hard not to like Westwood and Stricker tomorrow. I like Stricker much more at -175. I won't be playing either, I will make a couple plays for sure. Posted in a little while.

VegasInsider · 02-22-11, 10:16 PM

WGC-Accenture Match Play Championship

Day One

1* Johnson (-145) Mark Wilson
1* Els (-125) over Overton

1/2* Scott (-105) over Crane
1/2* Moore (EV) over F. Molinari
1/2* Ishikawa (+155) over Schwartzel

VegasInsider · 02-23-11, 01:46 AM

First group goes off about 12pm ET (9am local time) and there is 6 hours of coverage starting at 12ET/9PT on Golf Channel

icecapper · 02-23-11, 02:11 AM

I'll be watching. I'm on Kaymer +1544 McDowell +2381 and Donald +2472 to win it.

VegasInsider · 02-23-11, 02:15 AM

I think Kaymer and McDowell have a great chance to win it. I might make a tournament play in the morning, something to potentially hedge with going forward.

xkgb · 02-23-11, 02:15 AM

man i know nothing about golf...wats a smart play here vegas? i trust your picks

VegasInsider · 02-23-11, 02:35 AM

Originally posted by xkgb

man i know nothing about golf...wats a smart play here vegas? i trust your picks

Tail tomorrow and we'll see what happens. If you don't bet golf, this isn't the tournament to try and pick winners. This is the only tournament of the year that's not a traditional 72-hole, best score wins. This is a field of 64 golfers, NCAA bracket style that play each other in match-play format and winner advances.

xkgb · 02-23-11, 02:44 AM

Originally posted by VegasInsider

Tail tomorrow and we'll see what happens. If you don't bet golf, this isn't the tournament to try and pick winners. This is the only tournament of the year that's not a traditional 72-hole, best score wins. This is a field of 64 golfers, NCAA bracket style that play each other in match-play format and winner advances.

99Boxster · 02-23-11, 07:17 AM

VI can u post ur updated record? Thanks

WeinketoWarrick · 02-23-11, 08:21 AM

McIlroy +1600 for me...

tzMoney · 02-23-11, 09:03 AM

I'm really happy to see someone else on SBR who likes to bet golf.

Grind-It-Out · 02-23-11, 10:39 AM

Thanks for the picks! I locked them all in last night, because golf is my favorite sport to watch (when there is money on it).

I just woke up and rechecked the lines, and it looks like they are all getting worse - good news for us. Maybe a lot of people are following you!

BIGDAY · 02-23-11, 11:22 AM

Thanks VI!!

Els is hurting a bit from the start. Hope he pulls it together!

VegasInsider · 02-23-11, 12:02 PM

Originally posted by 99Boxster

VI can u post ur updated record? Thanks

Golf Record is as follows:

Head to Head Matchups: 6-1-2 (+8.3 units)

Haven't hit a TO WIN or Top 5 wager yet, those losses total -6 units. Pretty much staying away from those, there's just too much parody on the PGA Tour, anyone can win at any time. I love tournament matchups, which probably explains the good record.

VegasInsider · 02-23-11, 12:28 PM

Thanks fellas!

Els has made a comeback on the front nine. Was 3 down after 3 and has a chance to get it back to All Square

Glitch · 02-23-11, 12:33 PM

yea ernie was down 3 through 3 but he is making a bit of a comeback, down 1 now. not on either of those 2 guys today. goodluck.

VegasInsider · 02-23-11, 12:51 PM

Overton leaking some serious oil...Els just went 1 up thru 10 after winning his 4th hole in a row. Overton just made double-bogey from 100 yards, middle of the fairway.

Bcatswin · 02-23-11, 01:26 PM

I need DJ, and Moore as well...

Bcatswin · 02-23-11, 01:26 PM

Thought about going with Choi...

BIGDAY · 02-23-11, 01:34 PM

ELS UP 3!

VegasInsider · 02-23-11, 06:27 PM

Damnit all! Iskikawa and Johnson lose in extra holes!

Fukking brutal...2 up with 3 to play and lose on the 19th hole!

2-3 down almost 1.5 units. Just brutal.

Hopefully we'll get them tomorrow. I'm glad some underdogs won today, they'll be some decent value out there.

99Boxster · 02-24-11, 12:09 AM

Bring on the winners

VegasInsider · 02-24-11, 12:32 AM

Round 2 Matchups

2* Westwood (-105) over Watney

1* McDowell (-135) over Fisher

1/2* Els (+105) over Holmes

Let me start by saying that 2* is the highest golf play I have. It's the 5* of my normal plays. Next, I cannot believe what I'm seeing here. Westwood didn't play very well yesterday but advanced and Watney has a good match play record and solid showings in this event...which is leading to the #1 player in the world being a slight underdog. Call me a sucker, but this isn't right. Lee Westwood has been great at fine tuning his swing on the fly his entire career, especially the past 18 months. Westwood is never very far out of a tournament and that can be attributed to this ability to turn things around quickly. I'll be all over Westwood tomorrow and bite on the books short number.

The next play doesn't have a lot of value at -135, but McDowell could very well win this thing and he's playing very well right now. Fisher can get it around, but I dont think he has enough firepower to hang with defending US Open champion.

Lastly, I'll have to ride with Ernie for one more day. Holmes has been playing well all year, but Ernie showed signs of brilliance at times on Wednesday. Good value at +105 and this match is going one of two ways: Ernie gets killed or he eeks one out. I'll go with that latter.

Goodluck tomorrow everyone!

EasyCover · 02-24-11, 02:29 AM

Thanks VI for your insight.

DiggityDaggityDo · 02-24-11, 03:15 AM

Good stuff, VegasInsider!

southpaw74 · 02-24-11, 08:22 AM

Good luck today. I think mahan is clicking right now as well.

GoCougs! · 02-24-11, 10:32 AM

This is great stuff. Wish I had found this thread earlier.
Keep up the good work!

pokerwhiz90 · 02-24-11, 10:33 AM

Good picks, I agree with all of them but be careful of Ross

BIGDAY · 02-24-11, 10:43 AM

Let's hit 'em today!!!

30K Millionaire · 02-24-11, 10:44 AM

I locked down GMac. Might jump on Westwood too.

Giroux · 02-24-11, 11:24 AM

Be wary of Holmes...undefeated in Ryder Cup and Walker Cup. The guy loves match play.

Dad · 02-24-11, 12:05 PM

I do not understand the scoring in this match play. Can somebody explain what these mean for example:

2&1
6&5
22 holes
1 up