Statistical plays for tonight.

[jjgold]

I did not even know this guy went to an Ivy League school. He must have an edge then,

GL Colt and nice to have you here

[CarpeDime]

colt is awesome one of the best ghosts to come around in a while

he can only be the ghost of a guy whose original name was also top-notch

we will figure this one out boys

great to have you here colt

[PsychicSports]

I actually really like the braves in this game. I've been kind of tempted all day to play them on the RL so don't be too surprised if they win. I don't really know baseball. I base my picks off of intuition so don't count on me being right I just personally feel the Braves in this one. What is a hedge fund anyway?

[jetsjets1028]

it would be bout time braves would win if they do..

[Colt]

First pitch is in an hour and a half!

[sharpcat]

Pinny has ATL -110 so fair market is saying ATL has a 52.5% chance of winning.

Sharp money appears to be coming in on the mets.

[jjgold]

Is anyone actually following this guy tonight??

[sharpcat]

Pinny dropped them again ATL -108 now

[big joe 1212]

The King never stops!

[durito]

Pinny has ATL -110 so fair market is saying ATL has a 52.5% chance of winning.

Sharp money appears to be coming in on the mets.

That's not the no vig (implied win %) line.

Pinny dropped them again ATL -108 now

51.2% for colt at -115 for a -4.3% edge. Sharp play.

[Colt]

Are the Braves resting some starters tonight? I'm convinced I have the right side here if everyone was playing.

[sharpcat]

Are the Braves resting some starters tonight? I'm convinced I have the right side here if everyone was playing.

You are talking about betting $100,000 of others money and you do not know what the lineup is???????

[benjy]

Chipper's out.

[obamaismyuncle]

Are the Braves resting some starters tonight? I'm convinced I have the right side here if everyone was playing.

Try not to make it so obvious. I already gave you the winner for tonight, and it isn't ATL.

[Colt]

You are talking about betting $100,000 of others money and you do not know what the lineup is???????

Looks to me like the nuts and bolts of the Braves lineup is playing. Like I said this is the first MLB game I will watch this year.

[Colt]

Chipper's out.

Yahoo shows Chipper in the lineup though.

Chipper's out.

Chipper's in the lineup.

[benjy]

I hope yahoo is right. I'm on the Braves as well. BOL

[benjy]

I'm very happy that SBRlines and I am wrong if that's the case!

[pavyracer]

Surpise surprise! Colt bets team over totals (which are square plays) like the King.

[Colt]

Surpise surprise! Colt bets team over totals (which are square plays) like the King.

Have you checked the Mets pitchers' splits against the Braves?

I haven't done anything yet to be called the King.

[pavyracer]

Have you checked the Mets pitchers' splits against the Braves?

I haven't done anything yet to be called the King.

The play is square. The game total is 7. You need to have Braves score 4 runs to cash. Do the math since you graduated from Ivy League.

[FishFace5]

Colt if your looking to bet in large amounts like this you might wanna take an initial 20% bonus I believe you get when making your 1st deposit. The rollover won't be an issue is my point.

reduced juice is a much more valuable option.
I would ask for the reduction rather than the bonus

[benjy]

I haven't done anything yet to be called the King.

I'm not sure what, if anything, you did but you're certainly catching some heat

[PRC]

51.2% for colt at -115 for a -4.3% edge. Sharp play.

I know it isnt at -108 anymore but say it was, how did you get -4.3% edge? -108 and even would be a no vig of 103.85 right which = 50.94%. Then implied wp on -115 is 53.49%. Shouldnt it be 53.49-50.94 which equals -2.55% edge, not -4.3%?

[obamaismyuncle]

Pelfrey is a much better starter than most realize. The Mets are 10-2 in Pelfreys last 12 home starts.

[No coincidences]

Pelfrey is a much better starter than most realize. The Mets are 10-2 in Pelfreys last 12 home starts.

Pelfrey's career numbers against the Braves stink, and he's pitching for the third time in 10 days.

[ezmoney]

2 good pitchers, going UNDER 7.

EZ

[durito]

I know it isnt at -108 anymore but say it was, how did you get -4.3% edge? -108 and even would be a no vig of 103.85 right which = 50.94%. Then implied wp on -115 is 53.49%. Shouldnt it be 53.49-50.94 which equals -2.55% edge, not -4.3%?

Pinny deals 6 cent lines now.

-108/102

108/208 = .519
1-(102/202) = .495

.519+.495=1.014

.519/1.014 = 51.2%

[durito]

Edge at 51.2% at -115 = -4.3%

[cyclonebell]

This guy sure is catching crap, he wasn't even talking smack lol. BOL man.

[PRC]

Edge at 51.2% at -115 = -4.3%

Ah there it is. Thanks pal!

[BeatTheJerk]

reduced juice is a much more valuable option.
I would ask for the reduction rather than the bonus

Isn't the reduced juiced capped at 500 max ?

[fletch49]

If he is for real or not, he has produced a huge thread! Too bad he couldn't get some odds on that happening.

[BeatTheJerk]

Boring ass game so far.