Statistical plays for tonight.

BeatTheJerk · 04-25-10, 04:01 PM

GL tonight beginners luck has a chance to come through .................... Tomorrow I might decide to fade you. (bet against your plays)

BeatTheJerk · 04-25-10, 04:04 PM

Colt if your looking to bet in large amounts like this you might wanna take an initial 20% bonus I believe you get when making your 1st deposit. The rollover won't be an issue is my point.

Colt · 04-25-10, 04:05 PM

Originally posted by BeatTheJerk

Colt if your looking to bet in large amounts like this you might wanna take an initial 20% bonus I believe you get when making your 1st deposit. The rollover won't be an issue is my point.

I am just getting my feet wet here.

BeatTheJerk · 04-25-10, 04:07 PM

Ok but 500 dollars is 500 dollars. They won't offer it on your next deposit don't refute this. Contact Cust Serv immediately.

sharpcat · 04-25-10, 04:08 PM

Operating a hedge fund with 1 sportsbook account

Your gonna be rich!!!!!!!!!!!!

Colt · 04-25-10, 04:09 PM

Originally posted by BeatTheJerk

Ok but 500 dollars is 500 dollars. They won't offer it on your next deposit don't refute this. Contact Cust Serv immediately.

I'll look into it.

BeatTheJerk · 04-25-10, 04:10 PM

Originally posted by sharpcat

Operating a hedge fund with 1 sportsbook account

Your gonna be rich!!!!!!!!!!!!

Sharp he's getting his feet wet. Lets see how his plays do for a week or so.

Colt · 04-25-10, 04:10 PM

Originally posted by sharpcat

Operating a hedge fund with 1 sportsbook account

Your gonna be rich!!!!!!!!!!!!

These are not hedge fund picks. This is my own personal thing. Still using a statistical approach to the picks.

whatsgood5 · 04-25-10, 04:11 PM

Solid bankroll management

Colt · 04-25-10, 04:12 PM

Originally posted by whatsgood5

Solid bankroll management

$2400 is not my bankroll. It's all I could get to them today to bet.

obamaismyuncle · 04-25-10, 04:13 PM

Originally posted by Colt

I just got home from the local Western Union, I clicked the 5Dimes.com banner at the top of the page here and sent them $2400.

$2000 Atl Braves -115 odds Listed
to win $1739.13

$400 Atl Braves over 3.5 runs -110 odds
to win $363.63

After both win I will have turned my $2400 deposit into $4502

This is a statistical play. It will be the first baseball game I watch this year.

Well Goodluck, but the Mets will win tonight.

BeatTheJerk · 04-25-10, 04:13 PM

Originally posted by whatsgood5

Solid bankroll management

Well he says he's got 100K to invest with. 2.4 % is not along the lines of bad money management.

2daBank · 04-25-10, 04:14 PM

Originally posted by whatsgood5

Solid bankroll management

he has 100's of thousands of dollars available to him whatsgood, havnt you been listening

Colt · 04-25-10, 04:14 PM

Originally posted by obamaismyuncle

Well Goodluck, but the Mets will win tonight.

Good luck!

durito · 04-25-10, 04:14 PM

Unless you have a very good model, betting a widely available baseball line this late in the day is a good way to light money on fire.

sharpcat · 04-25-10, 04:15 PM

Are you going to risk your full $100,000 hedge fund on 2 bets every day????????

BeatTheJerk · 04-25-10, 04:15 PM

Originally posted by durito

Unless you have a very good model, betting a widely available baseball line this late in the day is a good way to light money on fire.

And of course it's the National Televised ESPN game to boot.

sharpcat · 04-25-10, 04:16 PM

What is your projected probability of ATL winning this game???

durito · 04-25-10, 04:16 PM

who put this in the think thank?

stop moving threads reload

DrStale · 04-25-10, 04:16 PM

Man, I really want to believe this is real because it would be hilarious.

Colt · 04-25-10, 04:17 PM

These are not hedge fund plays guys!!!

I am still investigating the hedge fund. For now seeing all of the picks on here got me itching to make a deposit so I did. These are personal funds!!

Colt · 04-25-10, 04:18 PM

Originally posted by sharpcat

What is your projected probability of ATL winning this game???

I have the Braves winning this one 55% of the time with the listed pitchers.

Remember, I bet listed.

sharpcat · 04-25-10, 04:20 PM

Do you find it odd that this line has dropped from -122 to -115 with 52% action on ATL????

Do you understand what a reverse line movement is????

Colt · 04-25-10, 04:20 PM

Originally posted by sharpcat

Do you find it odd that this line has dropped from -122 to -115 with 52% action on ATL????

Do you understand what a reverse line movement is????

Still learning.

Is there a glossary of terms here that I can look at?

BobbyBaseballs · 04-25-10, 04:21 PM

Originally posted by BeatTheJerk

GL tonight beginners luck has a chance to come through .................... Tomorrow I might decide to fade you. (bet against your plays)

Don't wait until tomorrow to fade him......Start now.....Mets win tonight Braves will be lucky to get 1 run.

No coincidences · 04-25-10, 04:23 PM

Originally posted by BobbyBaseballs

Don't wait until tomorrow to fade him......Start now.....Mets win tonight Braves will be lucky to get 1 run.

sharpcat · 04-25-10, 04:24 PM

Originally posted by Colt

I have the Braves winning this one 55% of the time with the listed pitchers.

Remember, I bet listed.

You do realize that -115 requires a 53.5% win expectancy in order to break even correct?

don't you think you should allow a little more of a cushion in case your projected win % is slightly off????

2daBank · 04-25-10, 04:25 PM

Originally posted by Colt

Still learning.

Is there a glossary of terms here that I can look at?

this guy can not be fukkin serious...can you at least do us the honor of letting us see a fake screen shot of your wager

BeatTheJerk · 04-25-10, 04:28 PM

Originally posted by BobbyBaseballs

Don't wait until tomorrow to fade him......Start now.....Mets win tonight Braves will be lucky to get 1 run.

I'm up $800 on the day and I am happy with that. No need to fade this blindly on his 1st pick in my opinion.

GL though ...............

jjgold · 04-25-10, 04:29 PM

I would think the hedge funds plays are going to be very heavy scalps and middles

2daBank · 04-25-10, 04:30 PM

Originally posted by jjgold

I would think the hedge funds plays are going to be very heavy scalps and middles

you will have to teach him what those are first

IrishTim · 04-25-10, 04:32 PM

Originally posted by sharpcat

You do realize that -115 requires a 53.5% win expectancy in order to break even correct?

don't you think you should allow a little more of a cushion in case your projected win % is slightly off????

I guess this is the part of the thread that made one of the mods decide to move it to the Think Tank

CarpeDime · 04-25-10, 04:32 PM

Originally posted by durito

who put this in the think thank?

stop moving threads reload

um durito i think theres something you might want to be aware of.....

this guy used to MANAGE A HEDGE FUND and has an IVY LEAGUE EDUCATION

so fice it a say, everything he posts probably belongs in the think tank bro

Colt · 04-25-10, 04:33 PM

Originally posted by sharpcat

You do realize that -115 requires a 53.5% win expectancy in order to break even correct?

don't you think you should allow a little more of a cushion in case your projected win % is slightly off????

Yes sir.

I think I have a good bet here at -115 odds when my pricing has it to be around -123.

Lets see how it plays out, good luck sharpcat.