I created a model for MLB that is threatening to end the industry.

[EnTaroTuna]

Are you using ChatGPT to grade the results for you? The results generally line up but it misclassified 5 bets in that table:
6/5 Giants ML Loss - Giants won
6/5 Pirates/Astros Under 7.5 - 10 runs
6/7 Astros/Guardians Under 7.5 - 8 runs, went over in extra innings
6/13 Royals ML Win, lost to Athletics
6/21 Angels/Astros F5 Under 4 - 8 runs first 5 innings

[HoleWrecker]

7-10-25

Mariners F5 ML -160

[HoleWrecker]

Optional can we move this thread?

[HoleWrecker]

7-7-2025





Rangers/Angels F5 under 4.5 -188

[HoleWrecker]

whatever you think is best Optional. I will defer to your good judgement. I guess Players Talk is fine.

[Optional]

This thread does not fit the Handicapper Think Tank. It's for discussion of methods not for posting picks.

Would you prefer it to be moved to the Baseball forum or Players Talk?

[jamesrav]

Dude what kind of math ananlysis is this? Whats the total for the WHOLE THREAD

Since 6-26???? why 6-26 i been posting for weeks

pretty simple english: since (ie 'after') your table you've had 26 (not 28) picks and went +4.25.
The table was +7.7 units. So a total + of 11.95 (not 11.25). Doing good, no bad days. But probability says
they will eventually happen, good model or otherwise. Black came up 26 times in a row at Monte Carlo, nothing wrong with the wheel.

[HoleWrecker]

That colorado game today had no business staying under 11. Im fucking fuming right now.

4 scoreless innings at Coors field and they collectively left 10 on base, GTFO

[HoleWrecker]

overall 7.7 + 4.25

wtf is 7.7

[HoleWrecker]

Dude what kind of math ananlysis is this? Whats the total for the WHOLE THREAD

Since 6-26???? why 6-26 i been posting for weeks

[jamesrav]

28 picks since 6/26: 18 wins (+18) 8 losses (-13.75) = +4.25
overall 7.7 + 4.25 = +11.25 on 66 picks = 17%

is this old fashioned data analysis or machine learning? how many games do you base the model on?

[HoleWrecker]

Cant stand punks like this. Go away

[HoleWrecker]

1-1 -0.10 units and this loser comes out of the bushes to point it out. Are you just trying to get under my skin, are you just naturally a POS, or what is wrong with you?

[Foosball Champ]

losing day

[HoleWrecker]

7-6-2025

Marlins/Brewrs F5 under 4.5 -130

Lets make it 8 straight winning days.

Just another easy winner.

[HoleWrecker]

7-6-2025





Rockies/White Sox over 11 -110

Marlins/Brewrs F5 under 4.5 -130

[HoleWrecker]

7-6-2025

Marlins/Brewrs F5 under 4.5 -130

Lets make it 8 straight winning days.

[HoleWrecker]

2-1 +0.75 units today

Thats 7 straight winning days and counting

[HoleWrecker]

7-5-2025



Giants F5 -200

Athletics team total under 4.5 -190

Astros/Dodgers F5 under 4.5 -125

[jamesrav]

All plays are to win 1 unit. If a play at -140 loses its -1.40 units. Want to go through the whole table and see what you get for all posts combined?

up to 6/25 that betting strategy would put you up +7.7 instead of +6.47. I'll update the others later

[HoleWrecker]

7-5-2025







Athletics team total under 4.5 -190



Astros/Dodgers F5 under 4.5 -125

[HoleWrecker]

All plays are to win 1 unit. If a play at -140 loses its -1.40 units. Want to go through the whole table and see what you get for all posts combined?

[jamesrav]

2-0 today +another 2 units

Thats 6 straight winning days

-180 and -140 would be +1.26 profit for a 1 unit bet. Definitely doing well, your range is pretty safe from serious downturns, so going 0-5 for a stretch is very unlikely.

[HoleWrecker]

7-5-2025





Athletics team total under 4.5 -190

[HoleWrecker]

2-0 today +another 2 units

Thats 6 straight winning days

[jamesrav]

i had you at 6/25 being up 6.47 units (38 bets). From 6/26 to 7/3 I show 21 bets with 13 wins totalling 21.87
total of 59 bets, +7.34 12.44% up,. quite impressive. $100 bets being up $730

[HoleWrecker]

7-4-2025







Braves/Orioles F5 under 5.5 -180



Cubs team total over 4.5 -140

[HoleWrecker]

7-4-2025

Braves/Orioles F5 under 5.5 -180

[HoleWrecker]

Thats 5 winning days in a row and well over 12 units on all 1 unit plays

[HoleWrecker]

Just another winner

[HoleWrecker]

7-3-2025

Giants -114

[HoleWrecker]

2-1 +0.25

4 straight winning days and counting. Up well over 10 units now, (all plays 1 unit)

[HoleWrecker]

7-2-2025

Angels First 5 Innings -110
Brewers First 5 Innings -175
Rangers -135

[HoleWrecker]

Killin it. Thats 3 winning days in a row and 6-2 last 8. LFG This model is the shit Im telling you folks

[HoleWrecker]

7-1-2025







Phillies/Padres under 9 -158 (postponed)

Cardinals F5 team total under 1.5 -166

Orioles team total under 3.5 -145