Super Bowl XLIV: Prop Betting Q&A with Peter Loshak and Justin7 (video)

[SBRPicks]

On Monday afternoon, SBR.tv's Peter Loshak and professional prop bettor and SBR mod Justin7 had a Q&A interview about betting Super Bowl props. In 2 parts.


Part 1: Christmas in February for the Pros


In Part 1 of their Super Bowl prop betting interview, Loshak and Justin7 discuss the value that exists with Super Bowl props, and the first things that Justin does to prepare to bet prop lines when they come out. Then they get into betting strategies, and Justin explains a bit how he and his associates can bet huge amounts on Super Bowl props without a risk of going bust.





Part 2: Value for non-Pros


In Part 2, Loshak and Justin get into how prop lines move and why, and where and when the optimal times to look for value are. Then Justin gives a few pieces of advice on smart Super Bowl prop betting for non-professionals and bettors with more modest bankrolls.

[BEANTOWNJIM]

HEY LOSHAK I GOT TO TELL YOU WOW YOU LOOK GREAT WHAT THE F-CK YOU LOOK LIKE JIM NANCE WHAT A DIFFERENCE MAYBE THE F-CKING DEADBEAT HAS A T.V. CAREER AFTERALL

IMAGINE IF THIS F-CKING GUY EVER LANDED A BIG JOB ABC NEWS OR SOMETHING

SO PETER WHERE DID YOU GET YOUR START (I USED TO MAKE VIDEOS AT SBR T.V. ITS A FORUM FOR DEGENERATE GAMBLERS)

HEY PETER YOU LOOK MUCH BETTER MAYBE NOW YOU CAN GET LAID AND IF YOU CANT JUST BEND OVER FISHHEAD

[JohnAnthony]

I love those videos by Justin7 explaining betting principles and patterns, too bad I don't always understand what he is trying to explain.

[SamsNCharge99]

no one cares LOSHAK, we want fukking Katy

She is sexy as hell

[Vesuvius]

Nice videos, looking forward to the upcoming ones.

[mmike032]

interesting,
now tell which props are off when they come out

[DeluxeLiner]

I want some more info on props! Give us a really technical video justin!

[spongerat]

thanks justin, good info

[Domestic]

Very interesting video, I don't have the bank roll or assets to really benefit from this but I still found it very interesting. I'll be interested to see what kind of props the Australian Books release as they often offer ones that the offshore books don't.

[KingJIM]

Thanks for the videos. With information on props becoming more proliferated will there be less of an opportunity to make money on them? Bring the Stache back Loshak!

[tonyhomo]

great video
thx

[BEANTOWNJIM]

JUSTIN YOU HAVE TO START LIFTING WEIGHTS YOU DONT HAVE ANY SHOULDERS WHAT THE F-CK YOUR A YOUNG GUY SITTING ON YOUR ARSE ALLDAY LONG GET THE F-CK UP YOU FAT SLOB.ITS NOT GOOD WHEN YOUR ARSE IS WIDER THAN YOUR SHOULDERS

JUSTIN GET YOUR ARSE HERE TO SOUTH BOSTON JOHNNY KNOCKDOWN THE GOLDEN GLOVES CHAMPION 1984 CAN WHIP YOU INTO SHAPE IN ABOUT A MONTH.YOUR TO YOUNG TO BE SITTING ON YOUR ARSE STARING AT A COMPUTER

[durito]

Hope you didn't catch the No ot on the nfc champ game at -750 at bookmaker like i did.

[durito]

The No TD props (and other no props) are getting sharper every time they come out these days.

[Busterflywheel]

Another great video! Thanks Peter & Justin!

[Justin7]

Hope you didn't catch the No ot on the nfc champ game at -750 at bookmaker like i did.

I missed that, but the "no" was the right side.

[Justin7]

Thanks for the videos. With information on props becoming more proliferated will there be less of an opportunity to make money on them? Bring the Stache back Loshak!

The big-hitting pros don't bother with props. It's a grind to bet props - if your bank is over a million, you'll find other things to do.

There will always be value in props. You'll have to pay more attention to when books come out, but it's out there.

[illmatick]

no one cares LOSHAK, we want fukking Katy

She is sexy as hell

this!!!!!!!!!

enough with this christmas in febuary bullshit..

[Boner_18]

Good shit guys. Love the videos.

For DeluxeLiner -- Props

[DeluxeLiner]

Good shit guys. Love the videos.

For DeluxeLiner -- Props

Thank you sir, much appreciated

[saintjames]

gfhfdjfug

[Pbateman54]

yeah

good tv, i love a good tv show....

[20Four7]

I'm disappointed with the new look..... Loshak grow everything back.

[iwutitan]

Thank you for the video

[ucbearcats1027]

Points are fun

[ucbearcats1027]

I love the video

[filter15]

I like video and other informative media

[brock]

How the hell is the SBR store going to sell those
Peter Loshak mustaches now.

[brock]

P.S looks good Peter. Different throw.

[Pensinger1]

nice video.

[statnerds]

damn, guess i should rethink my prop approach. usually stick to +100 or better than i believe have at least a 50/50 shot of cashing.

really relate to the being a fan part. watching the Steelers go to the SB LY, i noticed in the playoffs no team could cover Holmes. He was +500 or so for MVP everywhere i looked, but then on game day, Bookmaker listed him at +1800. I only put $20 on it, and also took $20 on Rothleisberger at whatever shit odds QBs usually get.

maybe i was just a lucky square last year, but i placed about 25 prop bets, went something like 11-14 and made some money. still have my sheet, will try to find even though no one really cares.

to make a long post longer, Justin have you looked into a Punt for a Touchback. i usually ignore props where i have to lay high odds, but i played that one several times this post-season and hit everyone of them. i look at the O/U for punts for the game, what surface game is played on and make a decision from there.

and i normally play first turnover a fumble every game. usually about +130 or so, except that NFC Championship game it was -200 or something, weird, so i laid off it.

finally, i think this SB will be difficult just because of the teams involved. the Colts have 2 1,000 yard WRs, but also 5 players with at least 47 rec or more this year. Colston was the only Saint over 1,000 yards, but that was only on 70 rec. and the team has 7 players, 7 fukking players, with at least 35 or more. it's crazy. maybe some value then in the lesser known players.

GL

[Justin7]

[IMG]file:///C:/Users/Administrator/Desktop/sb.png[/IMG]

Fair price is about -420. The fair market value of this ticket should be closer to 8200, not 4800. Of course, the value is only as good as my estimate, but there aren't likely to be many punts in this game.... And not many in the touchback range.

[BigDaddy]

great video

[statnerds]

Justin or anyone else

searched high and low and cannot find a prop for either total punts or sacks. i imagine by the time i can bet under on sacks any crumb of value will be long gone.

does that ticket say mcaffe no TB for -240?

low punt total i imagine, game on grass and the constant potential for rain that is miami to soften the track even more.

[whatsgood5]

Nice vid, thanks!