Anyone else thinking of playing exclusively at Rebatewager in 2010?

Nicky Santoro · 12-31-09, 12:58 AM

Originally posted by MonkeyF0cker

Things change tomorrow now that Nicky no longer has money on me.

i only had 100$ on it anyways. i could care less. i enjoy grading this more.. whether you win or not, it will make no diff to me regarding that c note...i don't like betting on you, you have no idea what you are doing.. most of your bets have been -ev up till now.. i thought you were a pro, but i was wrong. actually, i knew you wern't a pro, but you talk like you're one.. now i realized after seeing your bets that you are far from it, no offnce man..

but good luck in the contest and try not to cheat.. I think it would be the honorable thing to do to just bet RW's lines, not matchy's -130 lines and SIA's 1 pt off lines..

MonkeyF0cker · 12-31-09, 01:24 AM

I'm only going to bet RW lines. I'd love to see you try to get any positive expectation out of lines that have already been shaped. You have no fukkin clue what you're talking about as usual. The market has already exhausted the value in 99% of the games. I'm forced to play very small edges and STILL most of my sides here have beaten the closer, moron.

Nicky Santoro · 12-31-09, 01:28 AM

one day i'll teach you how.. you're still an unexperienced gambler.. you have a lot to learn. it's so easy. i bet i can beat RW's closing line 95 out of 100 times.. there's a way to do it.. don't forget, you are laying even money on each game. it should be simple to be +ev on almost every game. no excuse by you. and you were not +ev on most games.. alot of games were even where pinny closes at -5 -105 each way and you'd have -5.. no adv there..

One day i will teach you how to do it.. it will cost you only 100$/hr.. min 4 hrs..

MonkeyF0cker · 12-31-09, 01:32 AM

I bet the -4 the night before. You can have your -4.5, Nicky. You're the one chasing my steam, Mr. Experience.

Lost Angel · 12-31-09, 03:42 AM

Originally posted by Richkas

This is going to be a brutal and bloody thread before its over. I love it.

This isn't already Brutal and Bloody?!!?

pokernut9999 · 12-31-09, 05:51 AM

Originally posted by MonkeyF0cker

The day isn't over, genius.

Ughh. Why do I bother?

The 5-5 was day one genuis

Was not talking about day 3

pokernut9999 · 12-31-09, 05:58 AM

You had Duke -24.5 and it closed at 27 , how did that help you ?

pokernut9999 · 12-31-09, 05:59 AM

Originally posted by MonkeyF0cker

I'm only going to bet RW lines. I'd love to see you try to get any positive expectation out of lines that have already been shaped. You have no fukkin clue what you're talking about as usual. The market has already exhausted the value in 99% of the games. I'm forced to play very small edges and STILL most of my sides here have beaten the closer, moron.

Please let us know which games.

Bread · 12-31-09, 08:48 AM

Very happy that we were able to sneak in Thread of the Year right before the New Year!

My sincerest gratitude to RebateWager, MonkeyF0cker, Nicky, Jello, Pokernut, Herman and all other contributors.

durito · 12-31-09, 08:56 AM

Originally posted by Nicky Santoro

one day i'll teach you how.. you're still an unexperienced gambler.. you have a lot to learn. it's so easy. i bet i can beat RW's closing line 95 out of 100 times.. there's a way to do it.. don't forget, you are laying even money on each game. it should be simple to be +ev on almost every game. no excuse by you. and you were not +ev on most games.. alot of games were even where pinny closes at -5 -105 each way and you'd have -5.. no adv there..

One day i will teach you how to do it.. it will cost you only 100$/hr.. min 4 hrs..

xbet at matchbook. you get 200 rebate wager plays on us pro sports. if your # is + ev on 190 of the plays based on close you win 189 or less i win. I'll give you +150 for as much money as you want

mcbaseball10 · 12-31-09, 09:13 AM

Originally posted by MonkeyF0cker

Dec 30 719 LA CLIPPERS +7-110
10:11PM 720 POR TRAIL BLAZERS

Originally posted by mcbaseball10

I will tail you on this one.

Thanks for the winner

MrMonkey · 12-31-09, 09:43 AM

Originally posted by Nicky Santoro

6-5-1 on the night..

up to date.... 14-16-1

So the guy has this record. From just reading the posts without looking at the games, you would have thought he was buried? Glad MonkeyF is only using RW lines, don't need Nicky whining any more than usual!

mcbaseball10 · 12-31-09, 09:54 AM

Originally posted by MrMonkey

So the guy has this record. From just reading the posts without looking at the games, you would have thought he was buried? Glad MonkeyF is only using RW lines, don't need Nicky whining any more than usual!

Which isn't bad considering this setting is new to him right now. I assume that as he gets more used to the parameters he will hit at a much higher clip. I don't care how good you are at gambling, anytime you change your normal routine there is an adjustment period.

Nicky Santoro · 12-31-09, 10:20 AM

Originally posted by durito

xbet at matchbook. you get 200 rebate wager plays on us pro sports. if your # is + ev on 190 of the plays based on close you win 189 or less i win. I'll give you +150 for as much money as you want

are you nuts or are you just crazy?? 190 out of 200 to beat the #?? not even Billy Walters can pull that off consistently. lol.. durito, do you think i was born yesterday to take that bet.. and the funniest thing was not that, it was giving me only +150.lol..

BLACKIE · 12-31-09, 11:05 AM

Originally posted by MonkeyF0cker

I'm only going to bet RW lines. I'd love to see you try to get any positive expectation out of lines that have already been shaped. You have no fukkin clue what you're talking about as usual. The market has already exhausted the value in 99% of the games. I'm forced to play very small edges and STILL most of my sides here have beaten the closer, moron.

I'm glad you guys are all having fun here. Maybe when it's over we will laugh about it over a couple of beers.

I have one question for you. Are you playing of the lines posted on SBR odds or playing of the lines on our site?

pokernut9999 · 12-31-09, 11:27 AM

Originally posted by mcbaseball10

Which isn't bad considering this setting is new to him right now. I assume that as he gets more used to the parameters he will hit at a much higher clip. I don't care how good you are at gambling, anytime you change your normal routine there is an adjustment period.

What parameters ?

The guy has to hit 101 games out of 200

What kind of adjustment is needed ?

If you are a true pro you would think this out , not pick 31 games in 3 days.

durito · 12-31-09, 12:03 PM

Originally posted by pokernut9999

What parameters ?

The guy has to hit 101 games out of 200

What kind of adjustment is needed ?

If you are a true pro you would think this out , not pick 31 games in 3 days.

ah, no

mcbaseball10 · 12-31-09, 12:08 PM

Originally posted by pokernut9999

What parameters ? The guy has to hit 101 games out of 200

What kind of adjustment is needed ? If you are a true pro you would think this out , not pick 31 games in 3 days.

He is limited to where he would make his money. Most pros (I'm obv. not a pro) do not make their money EXCLUSIVELY on picking winners. Where he finds the advantages has to be adjusted for this contest. I don't know MF at all, but I am speaking in broad terms. Plus, I see value in following (not to be confused with blindly tailing) his plays for my own personal benefit

.

Matt Rain · 12-31-09, 12:08 PM

pokernut, stfu. You sound like a bad bookie.

pokernut9999 · 12-31-09, 12:21 PM

The guy stated earlier that his plays were not profitable , yet you guys still want to follow.

If a pro can not hit 50% if there were paremters he is not that sharp.

pokernut9999 · 12-31-09, 12:24 PM

Originally posted by durito

ah, no

I doubt Durito has ever made 200 straight true bets on a side or total in a year.

pokernut9999 · 12-31-09, 12:25 PM

Blackie has been booking bets longer than you kids have been alive

I am sure you kids know more than he does

durito · 12-31-09, 12:26 PM

Originally posted by pokernut9999

I doubt Durito has ever made 200 straight true bets on a side or total in a year.

I made 137 different wagers yesterday.

And, yes most of them were not full game sides or totals on major US sports, but quite a few were.

durito · 12-31-09, 12:27 PM

Originally posted by pokernut9999

Blackie has been booking bets longer than you kids have been alive

I am sure you kids know more than he does

Given the incredible stupidity of most bookmakers that's hardly a ringing endorsement.

mcbaseball10 · 12-31-09, 12:27 PM

Originally posted by pokernut9999

The guy stated earlier that his plays were not profitable , yet you guys still want to follow.

If a pro can not hit 50% if there were paremters he is not that sharp.

Perhaps you misinterpreted this statement.
I see value in following (not to be confused with blindly tailing) his plays for my own personal benefit
I know it must have been very confusing.

pokernut9999 · 12-31-09, 12:32 PM

Originally posted by durito

These types of things are easily realized by people's knowledge of certain areas.

Has to be one of your worst posts ever Durito

Just because someone shows knowledge does not make them a pro.

And it sure does not gurantee them to be a winner.

pokernut9999 · 12-31-09, 12:35 PM

Originally posted by mcbaseball10

Perhaps you misinterpreted this statement.
I see value in following (not to be confused with blindly tailing) his plays for my own personal benefit
I know it must have been very confusing.

There is no confusion at all , he stated his plays were not profitable.

I guess you are going to tell us you bet the 14 winners and passed on the 16 losers.

Call it what you want, if you bet the same plays you get the same results .

pokernut9999 · 12-31-09, 12:36 PM

Originally posted by durito

I made 137 different wagers yesterday.

And, yes most of them were not full game sides or totals on major US sports, but quite a few were.

Wow , for a stupid guy I can figure out how you wager

pokernut9999 · 12-31-09, 12:39 PM

Originally posted by durito

Given the incredible stupidity of most bookmakers that's hardly a ringing endorsement.

Another post to lower your credibility.

I believe over the course of history it has been proven that the bookie is smarter than the bettor.

jellobiafra · 12-31-09, 12:39 PM

Originally posted by durito

I made 137 different wagers yesterday.

pokernut9999 · 12-31-09, 12:41 PM

Originally posted by jellobiafra

Most were some sort of hedge bets were he probably only had 15% of bets at risk.

lakerboy · 12-31-09, 12:41 PM

durito · 12-31-09, 12:54 PM

Originally posted by pokernut9999

Most were some sort of hedge bets were he probably only had 15% of bets at risk.

That does not include any hedges. It includes props, straights, live bets/live quarters, on ncaab, ncaaf, nlh, nba, mexican basketball, european hockey, various soccer leagues, and surely others. It's not even a lot for one day.

If you include hedges that number goes up, but not much. When lines move, it on occasion is necessary to place additional wagers to manage your risk.

Why don't you ask Blackie if he can explain this concept to you.

Nicky Santoro · 12-31-09, 01:01 PM

Originally posted by pokernut9999

Please let us know which games.

poker,

don't believe him buddy, he's full of shit.. most of his bets have not been beaten the closers.. i am following this to a tee. he's counting betting -5 -110 as beating the closer because he has it at -5 even..LOL. that's not beating the closer at all, but he seems to want to think so...

what a moron..

pokernut9999 · 12-31-09, 01:08 PM

Originally posted by Nicky Santoro

poker,

don't believe him buddy, he's full of shit.. most of his bets have not been beaten the closers.. i am following this to a tee. he's counting betting -5 -110 as beating the closer because he has it at -5 even..LOL. that's not beating the closer at all, but he seems to want to think so...

what a moron..

Nicky I will you give you credit , you are the only guy on this site that proved he can hit at a high percentage

Nicky , I played with so called poker pros for 3 years in Biloxi and they all had the same thing in common.

They all lost in the long run and one of the guys even had books published on how to win at poker. No lie the guy never had ONE winning session in the 3 years I played with him.