Greed is not good for your bankroll man. Take that as a warning.
I'm on SF +4.
Comment
SamsNCharge99
SBR Aristocracy
10-22-08
41242
#37
maybe it is bad MM, but watch my bets next few days. If I win or lose, my bets will go back to normal. Only reason why I bet this much is b/c I was up so much and had amazing weekend.
I guaranteed myself profit, so why not gamble. If I lose this bet, I'm still up $1400 this week which for me is a lot, so either way I am happy.
This is not my biggest bet ever.
IMO, it's not terrible MM, I bet $200 and $300 on 10 gms last night. Went 9-1. If I bet $500 tonight, would it make a difference.
This has been my favorite game all week, so I hammered it b/c I was up.
If it wins, it wins, if it losses, it losses. I am still up money either way and I will be happy.
Good Luck to everyone
Comment
G's pks
Restricted User
01-01-09
22251
#38
Originally posted by FishFace5
Sam this is a bad idea. You just had the best day of your entire career. You are up more money than you've prob ever had in your entire life. Why are you going to put up almost half your profits on 1 game??? Not smart
No one ever said he was smart...
Also just read where he attacked Nicky for no reasom so editing... Sam does not understand that some have been in this game much, much longer than him and have been better cappers... Nice try Nicky he had a good day or two let him enjoy it...
Comment
Jazzy
SBR Rookie
12-13-09
1
#39
Sam...go big or go home! I hereby lift the curse Nicky put on you! I declare it a WIN!
Comment
DrStale
SBR Hall of Famer
12-07-08
9692
#40
Originally posted by G's pks
No one ever said he was smart...Also just read where he attacked Nicky for no reasom so editing... Sam does not understand that some have been in this game much, much longer than him and have been better cappers... Nice try Nicky he had a good day or two let him enjoy it...
Come on G, Sam knows what he's doing. Everyone knows you need to increase your bet size dramatically after a good week because it means you finally figured out the secret to sports gambling and you're going to be rich! Lucky dog!
Originally posted by Dark Horse
If with religion you mean belief system, your belief system is your religion. Again, it matters not what it is. You believe in it, you are loyal to it, would defend it, and yet have no proof of it, other than that, at one point or another, you chose to believe in it. Self-hypnosis. What if there were a snapping of fingers that broke the hypnosis?
Comment
Joepbj
SBR Wise Guy
11-11-09
507
#41
You're going to lose. Look at the last 10 meetings, in this series the same team wins both meetings EVERY YEAR. San Fran won the 1st and will win the 2nd tonight. You heard it hear. I would bet 1200 on Niners and keep your bankroll.
Comment
G's pks
Restricted User
01-01-09
22251
#42
Originally posted by DrStale
Come on G, Sam knows what he's doing. Everyone knows you need to increase your bet size dramatically after a good week because it means you finally figured out the secret to sports gambling and you're going to be rich! Lucky dog!
Guess you are right...he is a genius.... cannot hit 50%...just bet giant unit amounts when way down...rely on the colts to keep cleaning up his mess...
You are right he is sharp!
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G's pks
Restricted User
01-01-09
22251
#43
I have no clue who is going to win...and in this tight a game who knows...Cards have been hot... but SF is capable... I actually hope he wins...unless I end up betting the other way...why not?
Comment
DrStale
SBR Hall of Famer
12-07-08
9692
#44
Originally posted by G's pks
I have no clue who is going to win...and in this tight a game who knows...Cards have been hot... but SF is capable... I actually hope he wins...unless I end up betting the other way...why not?
He doesn't learn anything if he wins. Granted I doubt he learns anything anyway, but he definitely doesnt learn anything if he wins. I'm on 49ers ML myself and I do feel better about it after seeing this thread.
Originally posted by Dark Horse
If with religion you mean belief system, your belief system is your religion. Again, it matters not what it is. You believe in it, you are loyal to it, would defend it, and yet have no proof of it, other than that, at one point or another, you chose to believe in it. Self-hypnosis. What if there were a snapping of fingers that broke the hypnosis?
Comment
G's pks
Restricted User
01-01-09
22251
#45
Originally posted by DrStale
He doesn't learn anything if he wins. Granted I doubt he learns anything anyway, but he definitely doesnt learn anything if he wins. I'm on 49ers ML myself and I do feel better about it after seeing this thread.
He needs to go back and review every bet he made this year...at one time he was down almost 100 units and made 2-3 bets on the colts in a few weeks to cover it up...and luckily for him he won... Hey if his luck continues for now it continues... But as you said he is learning nothing at this point...
Maybe we get have another video this week of that kid without a license handing him an envelope that his three year old sister wrote SAM on ...
Comment
thefullrack
SBR Rookie
12-13-09
2
#46
The 'Cards have kicked it into high gear. Love them tonight!
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AKATDOG
SBR Sharp
10-31-09
314
#47
Originally posted by SamsNCharge99
I am betting 1100 b/c the Cards are gonna dominate tonight
whos cares what people think... its profit why not go for it, scared gambler never wins
Comment
RobbReport
SBR MVP
09-22-09
2042
#48
on it
Comment
AKATDOG
SBR Sharp
10-31-09
314
#49
Originally posted by Joepbj
You're going to lose. Look at the last 10 meetings, in this series the same team wins both meetings EVERY YEAR. San Fran won the 1st and will win the 2nd tonight. You heard it hear. I would bet 1200 on Niners and keep your bankroll.
san fran plays a TOTALLY NEW ball game now than at the start of the year, anything can happen, the way i see it without gores running there done
Comment
G's pks
Restricted User
01-01-09
22251
#50
Originally posted by AKATDOG
san fran plays a TOTALLY NEW ball game now than at the start of the year, anything can happen, the way i see it without gores running there done
you obviously are not doing your homework...SF has thrown close to 75% of the time in last four games...
Comment
Al Masters
SBR Hall of Famer
04-29-06
6940
#51
Originally posted by SamsNCharge99
Boys as you know if you have been following my Bookie Bets Thread, I went 9-1 yesterday.
Won over $2,000 and up $2530 for the week.
Tonight, I love the Cards and since I'm guaranteed to win over $1400 with this bet, why not do it.
Worst case, still up $1400, plus my cash out for $650 from Wagerchief. Best case, win another $1,000
$1100 to win $1000 on Cards -3.5
DO WORK
Win or lose, you have no money management skills, if you wanna do real work, work on this area of your game.
Comment
cav1x
SBR Sharp
10-27-06
252
#52
On Cards also...GL
Comment
Razz_Donkey
SBR MVP
12-27-08
1756
#53
Sammy,
I'll say two things real quick. Number one, I was leaning Niners and i've been cold as can be lately so that looks good for you and the cards. Number two, a lot of people here have cautioned your bet sizing, and it seems like you recognize and admit that it's a poor style of money management but plan to do it anyway. As much as I may discourage others from doing the same thing I can understand it. We all take shots from time to time, and the best time to do it is when you are young, and don't have much too lose. Good luck tonight Sammy.
Comment
AKATDOG
SBR Sharp
10-31-09
314
#54
Originally posted by G's pks
you obviously are not doing your homework...SF has thrown close to 75% of the time in last four games...
point is there a different team now than at the start of the season, gore also had 2TD there first meeting this year, if they dont use him they dont win
Comment
cappinthepigs
SBR MVP
10-07-09
1864
#55
Comment
buztah
SBR Hall of Famer
03-23-07
7470
#56
Originally posted by Nicky Santoro
you see, this is how the kids end up losing all their money. it's called GREED.. you go 18-2 this week, or whatever you had.. then you bet half of that on 1 game, if you lose this, you are now 18-3 and are up a bit when you should be up a bundle.. then after you lose this one, you will bet another 1100 to try to get this one back and when you lose that one.. you will now be 18-4 or so, and be down money.. when you should be up thousands.
greed always catches up to you at the end. stick with small bets.. and if you win this one, i assure you it won't stop there, you will just keep betting big until you lose it..
your money mgmt sucks, big time.. you're the exact example of why gamblers all lose at the end. it's called GREED..
Nicky, this kid is the classic "Owning Mahoney" problem gambler waiting to happen.
GL, Sam.
Comment
G's pks
Restricted User
01-01-09
22251
#57
Originally posted by AKATDOG
point is there a different team now than at the start of the season, gore also had 2TD there first meeting this year, if they dont use him they dont win
I would like to bet this game too...but my heart tells me Cards...but I see everyone on them and that says 49ers...
Comment
G's pks
Restricted User
01-01-09
22251
#58
Originally posted by buztah
Nicky, this kid is the classing "Owning Mahoney" problem gambler waiting to happen.
Buzzy are you making your neighbor another pumpkin pie with whipped cream for x-mas?
Comment
roasthawg
SBR MVP
11-09-07
2990
#59
Wow, RISKY move. I'm on the Niners plus the points... it's my best bet of the day. Also on the over... gl!
Comment
buztah
SBR Hall of Famer
03-23-07
7470
#60
Originally posted by G's pks
Buzzy are you making your neighbor another pumpkin pie with whipped cream for x-mas?
Good luck Sammy. As most here have said here this shows poor money management skills. Of course you will be up and you have the argument why not gamble. The other side would be why not hold onto the extra 700-800? Regardless I hope you win. I will probably be on the Cards if I have a play.
Comment
BigdaddyQH
SBR Posting Legend
07-13-09
19530
#63
Originally posted by SamsNCharge99
not my best day in career..had a 13-0 day one time
not the most money I've ever had
not even my biggest bet of my life
So how much have you won or lost in your career? How many 0-13 days have you had? You are impressing no one. What these guys are telling you is correct. If you lose this game, (and giving more than 3 to a home team that has alaready defeated Arizona is always dangerous), you will have thrown away a good part of your profits. Take it form someone that wagers more in a week than you wager in a month or more. This is not the type of sport that you win it all at one time. I have seen hundreds of people who think they are hot, only to lose a big wager, tey tochase it, and then lose everything. I certainly suggest caution.
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BadNina
SBR Posting Legend
11-27-07
10491
#64
And the silly kid doesn't realize that Nicky's curse isn't an overnight thing. It is a long term bite in the ass. Shoot...after a couple of weeks, VD was up a little and laughing at the curse. And then the bottom fell out.
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lyon804
SBR Hall of Famer
11-02-09
6526
#65
Why is everone being critical of the kid?? Hell, it's his fukkin money. If he wants to bet $1100 which represents too much of his BR on what most likely is a coin flip, than so be it. To each his own. I am not in approval of it myself, but what the hell. Go for it. I imagine most people here reading this and commenting are not professional gamblers anyways. If you were you wouldn't have the time to comment on such stuff. People blow there money on stupid shit everyday... At least he has a chance of doubling it.
On another note.. I personally like the Cards here, but have backed off in lite of this thread and other troubling signs. It's as simple is this... If the Cards play the way they are capable this is a double digit win for them. If San Fran comes out with some intensity andpurpose tonite and win's the T/O battle this very well could become a game that the Cards don't cover or perhaps loses S/U.
Some advice for the big bet.... Never, ever, ever, ever make what represents a large wager for you on a MNF game. In your madness you must take a shot at the book be a bit more selective and low key. Choosing something that is a little more off the radar.
I am a BR manager, but still take my shot's time to time, but I don't do it betting on big public nationally televised games usually or anything that presents a bad opportunity or possible trap situation. I take shot's when things fall into my lap. I am not looking for them, but they find me. I hit a very high percentage of those.
Comment
MexicanStallion
SBR Posting Legend
09-08-08
20429
#66
Originally posted by BadNina
And the silly kid doesn't realize that Nicky's curse isn't an overnight thing. It is a long term bite in the ass. Shoot...after a couple of weeks, VD was up a little and laughing at the curse. And then the bottom fell out.
Indeed. If Az covers and wins Sammy will think he broke the curse and it is a joke. You can win during this curse, but it is a long term deal. Not just one night.
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Dexter
BARRELED IN @ SBR!
12-24-08
25829
#67
this is exactly the correct approach to take - play with house money while you're hot, and still leave yourself with a profit for the week. i like it and practice the same.
at the end of the day this is still gambling - show some balls if you want to make a big hit.
Comment
BadNina
SBR Posting Legend
11-27-07
10491
#68
Lyon, it isn't being critical. It started as guys who have been doing this longer than Sammy has been alive offering him advice for long term gambling. And him being a snot nosed brat who knows better.
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DrStale
SBR Hall of Famer
12-07-08
9692
#69
Bottom line: Sammy claims to be trying to get better at money management, and nobody in their right mind would consider this good money management. So he's either A) Stupid or B) Lying. That's why he's getting crap for it.
Originally posted by Dark Horse
If with religion you mean belief system, your belief system is your religion. Again, it matters not what it is. You believe in it, you are loyal to it, would defend it, and yet have no proof of it, other than that, at one point or another, you chose to believe in it. Self-hypnosis. What if there were a snapping of fingers that broke the hypnosis?
Comment
BadNina
SBR Posting Legend
11-27-07
10491
#70
And Nicky gives good advice. He is always patient when I ask him stuff and he explains it very well.