Is handicapping bullshit?

[TPowell]

sure, see if you end up plus money

[MonkeyF0cker]

Flip a fair coin, give me +105 on tails for 0.25% of TPowell's bankroll for 1,000,000 flips. Who goes broke?

[The Seer]

forum cred? Look at my season thread, EVERY pick made before gametime, no bullshitting with record, etc. Donny, get a clue pal

I quit taking this guy serious after this thread at the beginning of the season where he clearly has no clue.

http://forum.sbrforum.com/players-talk/224214-predict-osu-usc-line.html

[TPowell]

I might stop taking myself seriously... I'll laugh all the way to the bank

[donjuan]

sure, see if you end up plus money

So are we on for the bet I proposed with 5 Dimes in place of Pinny?

[GELATINOUS CUBE]

Yeah. Its a bunch of bullshit man. Its best to just look and see which team got that swag. and wich team got that Crunk. Then just like go with one side or take the other.

Like, I look at it. Ya know, and I think Man, this team has some crunk. But this team be stoppin fools. Then I just roll with who I'm gonna roll with. Usually I try to put one or two teams on wit it.

I keep losin all my damn money though. So sumthings funked up. Damn.

[HAPPY BOY]

if handicapping is B.S. then how does Vegas set its opening numbers? isn't the oddsmakers in a way handicaping?

[fearless]

if handicapping is B.S. then how does Vegas set its opening numbers? isn't the oddsmakers in a way handicaping?

http://sports.espn.go.com/espn/columns/story?columnist=wojciechowski_gene&id=2795259&sportCat=ncb

Every sports bettor should read that article, imho.

[jjgold]

you know my answer, so i won't even say.. capping is so stupid. i laugh at people that say, i love the dodgers today, or i love Eagles today.. 18-1 vs division, 12-0 on grass.. lol.. that all means squat.. that's why there's a spread there...you cannot predict this shit.. no one can.. i dont care what your name is.. just look at today.. i am sure all the cappers knew today that BUF would win outright in NYJ as double digit dogs and also knew that Oak would beat Phi outright as a 14 pt dog.. i bet all the good cappers knew this.


people should realize that gambling has zero to do with predicting who is going to win a game.. it's all about #'s, #'s and #'s.. that's it.. it's all about getting the best line, having every edge line wise you can get and then letting the percentages allow you to bring home the money, which you will if you follow these rules in sports gambling..

keep trying to predict who is going to win and then enjoy that soup dinner at the soup kitchen cause you'll be eventually there, I PROMISE..

That sums this thread up, everyone loses handicapping games

[JBC77]

An individual can do all the handicapping in the world and in the end your just making an educated guess.

Sports betting=handicapping=guessing

[Sprtbuff]

What you need to do is go opposite me and you will be a winner.. Follow my losers, we went 0-2 and I know I can keep it up!

[onthewhat]

donjuan I exposed TPowell last year as not betting his games

You are wasting your time

[pavyracer]

The only one losing so far from me handicapping the games is the book and I ain't complaining.

[Karayilan9]

I think like everything it depends on the sport and the market, in US major sports there is one big major league for example in American Football the NFL, there is no league in Hong Kong, Zambia or Outer Mongolia, this means unless you know the right people and can get information from the right places before it becomes mainstream its hard to have an edge handicapping over the books. The books odds compilers and lines makers are capping games like everybody else but have the prime info, they have access to reporters, they are the first in on the news. Basically all the info you have, they already know plus more. Your trying to out cap great cappers, which is tough but you can keep being on the right side if you know the right people.

However, capping is very important in sports like soccer, who knows whats going to happen in the Hungarian league cup this week? who has info on the Bulgarian league this week? who knows whats going on in the Brazil second league?

Lets say I know Mr X in Bulgaria and he's in with all the teams, knows the teams inside out, has contacts high up in the teams, knows who is injured, the line ups and any major news. Mr X knows this info before books in the US or UK or anywere else outside Bulgaria and the Balkans. Infact alot of books don't even bother adjusting lines, they make most their money in the major leagues, they don't spend hours capping the Minyor Pernik vs Lokomotiv Sofia game but good soccer cappers do, in these markets we have the edge.

For example, yesterday, based on stats, in Brazil the Atletico PR vs Coritiba match was a stone cold Under2.5, many would have taken this at the -142 or worse, very few would have been on the Over2.5 at +120 and above. However, the cappers with good connects in Brazil knew that Atletico PR was going into the game completely changing their usual seasons style, they were scrapping the defensive approach and going to play very offensive. This info never made it into the English language and the books wern't going to spend hours trying to get hold of the Atletico PR manager finding out how he's going to approach the game because there was so much NFL and big league games with the big money on.

The game went Over2.5 easily, the line was great, the capping was an important factor in getting the win.

Capping is a major weapon soccer capping, by capping I don't mean looking at basic stats, proper capping is not taking a quick glance at head to heads over the past 10 years.

PavyRacer
It wasn't luck. It was good handicapping. I hit Arkansas, Virginia, Iowa St, Cincinnati, Tulsa, Chiefs, Saints, Falcons. Why can't someone win with pure handicapping superiority?

I'm no expert in the major US leagues however, you know as well as I do for example if you reasearch the Greek League, Greek second league or Cyprus league and speak to people there you can have an edge on the books via capping. Most of the info won't even make it into English

[investor]

would love to hear it then investor, almost impossible to really know where the "smart" money is

it's not impossible.... Theres actually a lot of sites that you can pay for and see where all the action is going across all the betting sites. It's pretty easy when your looking at that to see where the money is going based on %'s. From there you can see where the big heavy money is going by how the lines are moving with the %'s.

I'm not going to explain to you the way i do things... What would i get out of it? LoL....

you can say it's luck... but if you have a winning record by the end of the season... how can you say it's not? You'd be one lucky person to have a positive number @ the end of the season if you were just guessing or had no clue what you are doing.

[eyeball]

Great Post!

I think fade a capper, cause most of them loose because they analyze the stats too much.