Sitting on a $1.2M payout if Zverev/Keys win the AO with no cashout safety net

johnnyvegas13 · 01-25-25, 09:47 AM

So alls u need is Zverev +230 tonight and u win ???

Doug tushyterror · 01-25-25, 09:50 AM

Originally posted by johnnyvegas13

So alls u need is Zverev +230 tonight and u win ???

Final piece to the puzzle

johnnyvegas13 · 01-25-25, 09:52 AM

Wowza I’ll b rooting for it sucks its 330 eastern prop won’t watch tho

trobin31 · 01-25-25, 09:54 AM

Dam teach me how to douggie

Doug tushyterror · 01-25-25, 10:02 AM

Originally posted by johnnyvegas13

Wowza I’ll b rooting for it sucks its 330 eastern prop won’t watch tho

That makes 2 of us. I just wait on the result 4 to 5 hrs later clicking the fav. tab

Steelers05 · 01-25-25, 10:02 AM

Keys!! This is awesome, good luck in the men's final!!

gauchojake · 01-25-25, 10:08 AM

Dayummm! Gl Doug. Really hope you hit this

johnnyvegas13 · 01-25-25, 10:13 AM

Originally posted by Doug tushyterror

That makes 2 of us. I just wait on the result 4 to 5 hrs later clicking the fav. tab

lol gonna b the biggest reveal of ur life when u look

pavyracer · 01-25-25, 10:27 AM

Nice win on Keys. Zverev has this. Hope the book pays quickly.

unlearn · 01-25-25, 10:31 AM

I have never been so happy to wake up to a losing bet. I'm firing on the man bun having wife beater with you. I can't believe it dude. You are a legend either way.

k13 · 01-25-25, 10:40 AM

Sinner will win.
You can thank me for Madison win.

ByeShea · 01-25-25, 10:47 AM

Best of luck, Dougie

Open question: Is a hedging strategy worth it here, as in getting off a huge bet on the favorite Sinner to win? Related question - how much could you bet - would FanDuel accept a $300k win bet?

swordsandtequila · 01-25-25, 11:19 AM

Doug tushyterror · 01-25-25, 11:51 AM

Originally posted by ByeShea

Best of luck, Dougie

Open question: Is a hedging strategy worth it here, as in getting off a huge bet on the favorite Sinner to win? Related question - how much could you bet - would FanDuel accept a $300k win bet?

Thanks Shea but I already hedged Keys with Sinner. I'd have 153.7k if Sinner wins so betting my remaining balance on him would only get back another $6650. I have 104k in a HYSA but the most I could transfer out immediately is 50k & that wire wouldn't hit FanDuel until at least Monday. At this point, I'll just leave it alone.

Doug tushyterror · 01-25-25, 11:55 AM

Originally posted by k13

Sinner will win.
You can thank me for Madison win.

Why's that k13? Cuz you're a fukking mush who went big on Saba?

kaliboyz · 01-25-25, 12:02 PM

Originally posted by Doug tushyterror

Thanks Shea but I already hedged Keys with Sinner. I'd have 153.7k if Sinner wins so betting my remaining balance on him would only get back another $6650. I have 104k in a HYSA but the most I could transfer out immediately is 50k & that wire wouldn't hit FanDuel until at least Monday. At this point, I'll just leave it alone.

Dough,
Why don't you go straight to Vegas with that cash and make your hedge wager? This is a massive ticket ! I wish you a lot of luck and hope you'll win. Rooting for you!

Doug tushyterror · 01-25-25, 12:08 PM

Originally posted by unlearn

I have never been so happy to wake up to a losing bet. I'm firing on the man bun having wife beater with you. I can't believe it dude. You are a legend either way.

Shit's crazy bro. Trying to stay level headed considering how fukking close this is yet still so far. This feels like when I used to have actual dreams as a kid of winning the lottery that felt so real that when I woke up it took a while to realize it wasn't. I'm not getting my hopes up though. Even though the Nuggets weren't nearly as close to making the Finals as Z is to winning the AO, that was 1 leg away from a 2.65M payout just 8 months ago. Just have a sinking feeling this is gonna end the same way.

Doug tushyterror · 01-25-25, 12:10 PM

Originally posted by kaliboyz

Dough,
Why don't you go straight to Vegas with that cash and make your hedge wager? This is a massive ticket ! I wish you a lot of luck and hope you'll win. Rooting for you!

Thanks kali, but again the hedging has been done with Keys. If Shelton was in the Finals instead, it would make a lot more sense with a +300 than a -300.

2Sweeet · 01-25-25, 12:58 PM

Someone is stealing your thunder on reddit kid. Posting your tix unless it's u?

2Sweeet · 01-25-25, 12:59 PM

I hope u win Tom. If u win u have to go throw the baseball off the wall one time.

kostasblues · 01-25-25, 01:13 PM

let's GO

Doug tushyterror · 01-25-25, 01:34 PM

Originally posted by 2Sweeet

Someone is stealing your thunder on reddit kid. Posting your tix unless it's u?

No that's me. Someone actually did do that last yr with the Sinner/Saba slip once the cashout hit 60k before the Men's Final. Hilarious reading how everyone was imploring whoever posted it to cashout the 60k.

Doug tushyterror · 01-25-25, 01:37 PM

Originally posted by 2Sweeet

I hope u win Tom. If u win u have to go throw the baseball off the wall one time.

Haven't picked up a baseball since that summer in 2021. I'd give it another shot but they tore down that structure & rebuilt something else there. Not entirely sure what, but it's closed off.

ByeShea · 01-25-25, 01:43 PM

Originally posted by Doug tushyterror

Thanks Shea but I already hedged Keys with Sinner. I'd have 153.7k if Sinner wins so betting my remaining balance on him would only get back another $6650. I have 104k in a HYSA but the most I could transfer out immediately is 50k & that wire wouldn't hit FanDuel until at least Monday. At this point, I'll just leave it alone.

Well done!

I hope Zverev wins.

SomeDayinBuffalo · 01-25-25, 01:47 PM

Man! Hope you bring it home.

Doug tushyterror · 01-25-25, 02:06 PM

Originally posted by SomeDayinBuffalo

Man! Hope you bring it home.

Thanks bro..much appreciated!

pavyracer · 01-25-25, 02:21 PM

Not sure at this point who is sweating these bets more. Doug or the book manager.

biggie12 · 01-25-25, 02:26 PM

Dougy if I knew you better I could have potentially helped you out for a % but it's too big a stake for you to disappear on the loss.

Anyways Good luck. If you hit it will be like 4.5x any bet I've ever won on sports.

are you not close enough to goto a live casino and place the wager in cash. You might get early access to the funds if you wire direct to casino sucks this is on the weekend though. I'm guessing getting to extend credit is out of the question ?

biggie12 · 01-25-25, 02:28 PM

Originally posted by pavyracer

Not sure at this point who is sweating these bets more. Doug or the book manager.

Definitely Doug

unlearn · 01-25-25, 02:33 PM

Dougy can u map out the next 18 or so hours until the bet is settled? Are you planning on watching this one since now it is a no risk 1.2 mm freeroll?

pablo222 · 01-25-25, 02:40 PM

Originally posted by unlearn

Dougy can u map out the next 18 or so hours until the bet is settled? Are you planning on watching this one since now it is a no risk 1.2 mm freeroll?

You know that Douglas doesn't watch his bets.

Good luck Doug. Rooting for you.

mjsuax13 · 01-25-25, 04:26 PM

I’ll be up watching. I don’t really follow or watch tennis but really enjoyed the match last night. Let’s go Douglas!

batt33 · 01-25-25, 04:58 PM

Originally posted by mjsuax13

I’ll be up watching. I don’t really follow or watch tennis but really enjoyed the match last night. Let’s go Douglas!

Same here! Good Luck DT!

Doug tushyterror · 01-25-25, 05:01 PM

Originally posted by biggie12

Dougy if I knew you better I could have potentially helped you out for a % but it's too big a stake for you to disappear on the loss.

Anyways Good luck. If you hit it will be like 4.5x any bet I've ever won on sports.

are you not close enough to goto a live casino and place the wager in cash. You might get early access to the funds if you wire direct to casino sucks this is on the weekend though. I'm guessing getting to extend credit is out of the question ?

I get that biggie but even if you or anyone else was willing to stake me, I'd decline the offer regardless of the %. If it was Shelton at +300 instead of Sinner at -300 there would be a great middle. I did get buried last wk losing over 100k but even if Sinner unfortunately wins I'd have 157.3k after hedging with Keys to WD that 100k & put it back in Wealthfront. So that's where it stands. That amount at FD if Sinner unfortunately wins or 1,216,643 if he loses. Even if I could wire this 104k +19.6k available balance at FD to bet on Sinner at -295 to get an additional 42k I don't see much value in it based on this hedge. Considering instead taking Zverev to win a set, but not entirely sure yet.

Doug tushyterror · 01-25-25, 05:11 PM

Originally posted by unlearn

Dougy can u map out the next 18 or so hours until the bet is settled? Are you planning on watching this one since now it is a no risk 1.2 mm freeroll?

After Keys won, it definitely feels like a weight has been lifted off my chest since I couldn't even sleep last night. Binged 4 eps of Person of Interest on Prime waiting on that result. I still don't consider this risk-free considering how much is at stake but I definitely won't be watching. I'll DVR it like the Keys match & only watch the last set if Zverev wins.