president futures are paying big

[DwightShrute]

Many Books are definitely not sharp when it comes to Politics. If you should happen to see a specific example of what you are talking about in the future, it would be great if you posted it in here!

Paddy Power in record payout after gambling on Clinton
The Week
https://theweek.com › Politics
Nov 10, 2016 — Irish bookmaker paid out on Democrat winning in October – and now have to stump up another £4m.
In October, the Irish bookmaker paid out £800,000 to punters who had backed Hillary Clinton to be next commander-in-chief.

"If it's cost them [£800,000], it's been cheap because they would have got that back many times over in publicity," said Warwick Bartlett, the chief executive officer of Isle of Man-based Global Betting and Gaming Consultants.

[astrobloke]

It's fun to watch Zuckerberg beg like a dog. Trump has him on a short leash and goes to jail if his misbehave. So I bet on Trump today. Double odds and blockchain software on polling booths Dems can cheat lol. Good luck.

[JohnGalt2341]

Here are a couple of new Lines at BetOnline that I like.



If Trump tells less than 19.5 Non-Facts it will be a personal record for him. I don't expect this to happen. This should be in the mid 20's MINIMUM, or -200(or more).



I fully expect Trump to lose this debate. And if/when this happens, the excuses will run RAMPANT from both him and his supporters. Even if Trump should happen to win the debate, I think there is a decent chance he will tweet more than 7 times the next day. This number should be somewhere in the low to mid teens IMO.

Unfortunately, BO is not lettting me wager a lot on these 2(to win $50 and $25). It's very likely that it could be different for you. Maybe they will let me wager more within the next few days or so. We shall see.

If I should happen to lose either one or both of these wagers, feel free to call me out on it. Just don't make excuses for why I won. If you believe that already, then you should just tail these wagers. As always... I could be wrong... good luck to you!

[DwightShrute]

Here are a couple of new Lines at BetOnline that I like.



If Trump tells less than 19.5 Non-Facts it will be a personal record for him. I don't expect this to happen. This should be in the mid 20's MINIMUM, or -200(or more).



I fully expect Trump to lose this debate. And if/when this happens, the excuses will run RAMPANT from both him and his supporters. Even if Trump should happen to win the debate, I think there is a decent chance he will tweet more than 7 times the next day. This number should be somewhere in the low to mid teens IMO.

Unfortunately, BO is not lettting me wager a lot on these 2. It's very likely that it could be different for you. Maybe they will let me wager more within the next few days or so. We shall see.

If I should happen to lose either one or both of these wagers, feel free to call me out on it. Just don't make excuses for why I won. If you believe that already, then you should just tail these wagers. Good luck to you!

O chance Trump loses the debate. Despite ABC giving Kamala the list of questions beforehand (of course they will deny it just like when Donna Brazile denied giving Crooked Hillary the debate questions the night before the debate until someone leaked her email proving she lied. She now works for ABC!! LOL), she will get crushed by Trump. Kamala is an empty suite. Dumb as hell. She will never be president. I refuse to believe enough Americas are that stupid to vote for her.


<blockquote class="twitter-tweet"><p lang="en" dir="ltr">Remember when Donna Brazille cheated?<br>Megyn Kelly Remembers Pressing Donna Brazile on How She Cheated During D... <a href="https://t.co/KN0FBDLMkL">https://t.co/KN0FBDLMkL</a> via <a href="https://twitter.com/YouTube?ref_src=twsrc%5Etfw">@YouTube</a> <a href="https://t.co/fos5eoPEd9">pic.twitter.com/fos5eoPEd9</a></p>&mdash; Kathy (@Kathy202424) <a href="https://twitter.com/Kathy202424/status/1831550458063942128?ref_src=twsrc%5Etfw" >September 5, 2024</a></blockquote><script async src="https://platform.twitter.com/widgets.js" charset="utf-8"></script>
I do like the over 7.5

[JohnGalt2341]

O chance Trump loses the debate.

You can get Trump wins the debate at +170. That's one hell of a bargain for a 100% chance. How much $ do you have on it? I would max it out for sure!!! You'd be a fool not to!!!

[blankoblanco]

Trump will certainly tell many non-facts, but I'd be hesitant on the over 19.5 bet simply because of the muted microphone rule. It seems like a really difficult number to call this time.

O chance Trump loses the debate. Despite ABC giving Kamala the list of questions beforehand (of course they will deny it just like when Donna Brazile denied giving Crooked Hillary the debate questions the night before the debate until someone leaked her email proving she lied. She now works for ABC!! LOL), she will get crushed by Trump.

You either don't understand how debates are graded, don't understand how math works, or a combination of both.

This thread is for discussing and analyzing betting odds. None of your inane, baseless, biased ranting is useful here. There's clearly not a 0% chance he loses, so get out of here.

[DwightShrute]

Trump will certainly tell many non-facts, but I'd be hesitant on the over 19.5 bet simply because of the muted microphone rule. It seems like a really difficult number to call this time.


You either don't understand how debates are graded, don't understand how math works, or a combination of both.

This thread is for discussing and analyzing betting odds. None of your inane, baseless, biased ranting is useful here. There's clearly not a 0% chance he loses, so get out of here.

speaking of insane baseless and biased. You managed all 3 as per usual.

Yes, there is a 0% chance he loses. The reason is simple, I have heard her speak. So have you. I have heard lies in debates but both sides every single debate. You only remember Trump's which are mostly exaggerations and yet you still believe the lies that he's told 30,000 while in office. LOL. In the last debate for example, Biden repeated the same lie that he ran for president because Trump called Neo Nazis in Charlottesville "very fine people", which is a lie. Such a big lie that even if you took all the lies and/or exaggerations Trump told, they wouldn't come close to that disgusting lie from Biden.

Ya I know what this thread is about and I am adding my 2 cents. I won't bother making these kind of bets on what is a purely arbitrary wager. Yours and my definition of 'analyzing odds' differ when it comes to these political props are different and that's ok. I bet I know more about how they are graded and understand the math more than you actually. The difference is I don't need to measure dick size. Also, you have stated several times that you believe Trump has told 30,000 lies while president. Hard to take you seriously when you post that over and over. How many lies has Biden told? Ahh, you don't give a fukk is how many.

I have been in the gaming industry for over 20 year now. To me, it would be like betting on whether a comedian was funny or not. Or how many jokes were funny. Or how many people thought the joke were funny. I can also bet on the coin toss or how among the anthem will last or what color the gator-aide will be. And yes I admit, I have. I also bet put down $200 on Trump @+4000 in 2015.

So go ahead and bet and win your 50 or whatever it is. If you do, hit it, go on ya. I said my take on it. Now go get your shine box.

[blankoblanco]

I stopped reading after the second line since it was the same clueless bs I called you out on to begin with. No reason for me to continue from there. I'm sure you worked hard on the rest of the post, but I couldn't be bothered. Good effort... I assume??

Write your misunderstandings of logic somewhere else, but it doesn't belong in this thread. We are actually looking for angles to make money on the election. You're saying there's a 0% chance Trump loses the debate, when expert oddsmakers say he's probably going to lose the debate. Do you see the problem? Just go post in the other thread, you're polluting this one with nonsense.

[JohnGalt2341]

speaking of insane baseless and biased. You managed all 3 as per usual.

Yes, there is a 0% chance he loses. The reason is simple, I have heard her speak. So have you. I have heard lies in debates but both sides every single debate. You only remember Trump's which are mostly exaggerations and yet you still believe the lies that he's told 30,000 while in office. LOL. In the last debate for example, Biden repeated the same lie that he ran for president because Trump called Neo Nazis in Charlottesville "very fine people", which is a lie. Such a big lie that even if you took all the lies and/or exaggerations Trump told, they wouldn't come close to that disgusting lie from Biden.

Ya I know what this thread is about and I am adding my 2 cents. I won't bother making these kind of bets on what is a purely arbitrary wager. Yours and my definition of 'analyzing odds' differ when it comes to these political props are different and that's ok. I bet I know more about how they are graded and understand the math more than you actually. The difference is I don't need to measure dick size. Also, you have stated several times that you believe Trump has told 30,000 lies while president. Hard to take you seriously when you post that over and over. How many lies has Biden told? Ahh, you don't give a fukk is how many.

I have been in the gaming industry for over 20 year now. To me, it would be like betting on whether a comedian was funny or not. Or how many jokes were funny. Or how many people thought the joke were funny. I can also bet on the coin toss or how among the anthem will last or what color the gator-aide will be. And yes I admit, I have. I also bet put down $200 on Trump @+4000 in 2015.

So go ahead and bet and win your 50 or whatever it is. If you do, hit it, go on ya. I said my take on it. Now go get your shine box.

I understand if you delete this post Opti... but this is what a cult member looks like. It's completely obvious to everyone outside of the cult. But for those that are inside the cult... it looks perfectly normal.

[Optional]

C'mon lads. Back to normal programming.

Try to keep it civil and just about betting in this thread please.

If someone goes off topic, no need to answer them. Mods will catch it most of the time.

[JohnGalt2341]

Here are a couple of new Lines at BetOnline that I like.



If Trump tells less than 19.5 Non-Facts it will be a personal record for him. I don't expect this to happen. This should be in the mid 20's MINIMUM, or -200(or more).



I fully expect Trump to lose this debate. And if/when this happens, the excuses will run RAMPANT from both him and his supporters. Even if Trump should happen to win the debate, I think there is a decent chance he will tweet more than 7 times the next day. This number should be somewhere in the low to mid teens IMO.

Okay... back to normal programming.

This Line has moved already. It's STILL a great bargain, even at -140. This is FREE money folks. If I end up being wrong, feel free to call me out on it, I don't mind. I expect this Line to be -200 or so around debate time.



Here's KH's Line:



This alone should tell you A LOT about the difference between these 2 candidates. And I don't even like KH. But I'd gladly eat anchovies over cat shit if those were my only 2 options.

[JohnGalt2341]

Here's a Line that should disturb you.



That's a No-Vig of approximately 87% for NO. I suspect if he is asked this question... he will say something like "If it is done fairly... etc etc..." In other words... Heads I win, Tails it's rigged(I stole this from someone on here, I can't remember who).

What's even more frightening is... if Trump should happen to lose the election... I think the chances of him ACTUALLY accepting the results are less than 1%. Imagine if everyone that ran for President in this country was like this. How long do you think it would be before there was a civil war?

Don't forget folks... when Trump lost the 2016 Iowa caucuses to Ted Cruz, he said that was rigged as well. Anyone detect a pattern here?

[JohnGalt2341]

Here are a couple of new Lines at BetOnline that I like.



If Trump tells less than 19.5 Non-Facts it will be a personal record for him. I don't expect this to happen. This should be in the mid 20's MINIMUM, or -200(or more).

This Line continues to move, and I suspect that it will continue to move. I STILL like the Over.

[Itsamazing777]

Here's a Line that should disturb you.



That's a No-Vig of approximately 87% for NO. I suspect if he is asked this question... he will say something like "If it is done fairly... etc etc..." In other words... Heads I win, Tails it's rigged(I stole this from someone on here, I can't remember who).

What's even more frightening is... if Trump should happen to lose the election... I think the chances of him ACTUALLY accepting the results are less than 1%. Imagine if everyone that ran for President in this country was like this. How long do you think it would be before there was a civil war?

Don't forget folks... when Trump lost the 2016 Iowa caucuses to Ted Cruz, he said that was rigged as well. Anyone detect a pattern here?

If no is -1500. Then why is he only even money to win the election, in which case he would not deny it.

These are dumb lines for entertainment

[DwightShrute]

If no is -1500. Then why is he only even money to win the election, in which case he would not deny it.

These are dumb lines for entertainment

why would Trump admit in accepting election results until we see how the election happens? Its kinda like asking someone to accept the Tour de France results before the race knowing that Lance Armstrong is racing.

[Optional]

If no is -1500. Then why is he only even money to win the election, in which case he would not deny it.

These are dumb lines for entertainment

The prop is will he commit to accepting the result. Before the election obviously.


Neither of you appear to have even read the bet being discussed.

If you do think Trump will commit to accepting the election result this time, that's all you need to say in this thread.

I suggest both of you just leave this betting thread alone as you do not seem capable of sticking to the topic of betting only.

[TheGoldenGoose]

Countdown days to November 5, 2024

58

ODDSCHECKER

TRUMP -110

HARRIS +120

[DanteNemonic]

I got "fracking" said over 1.5 times by either candidate early at -130 Bookmaker for their max $260 to win $200. Maxed again at -195 $390 to win $200. This may be my easiest play of all time. Offshore is still weak at Politics and they know it, hence the 200 max wins on exotics.

Only way this loses is if Trump walks off stage and quits. There is absolutely no way "fracking" is not said twice especially being debate is in Pennsylvania.

Some scraps for you MAGA's... Line still up. -290

[DwightShrute]

I got "fracking" said over 1.5 times by either candidate early at -130 Bookmaker for their max $260 to win $200. Maxed again at -195 $390 to win $200. This may be my easiest play of all time. Offshore is still weak at Politics and they know it, hence the 200 max wins on exotics.

Only way this loses is if Trump walks off stage and quits. There is absolutely no way "fracking" is not said twice especially being debate is in Pennsylvania.

Some scraps for you MAGA's... Line still up. -290

that's because so much of it is subjective. Fracking is one of the exceptions unlike total number of lies for example. Their is no run line or total yards gain which anyone can measure. Fact checkers are biased.

That does seem like a good bet over 1.5. Is that total times its said or does either Trump or Kumala have to say it 2 times?

[Optional]

I got "fracking" said over 1.5 times by either candidate early at -130 Bookmaker for their max $260 to win $200. Maxed again at -195 $390 to win $200. This may be my easiest play of all time. Offshore is still weak at Politics and they know it, hence the 200 max wins on exotics.

Only way this loses is if Trump walks off stage and quits. There is absolutely no way "fracking" is not said twice especially being debate is in Pennsylvania.

Some scraps for you MAGA's... Line still up. -290

Might mean by one of them alone.

But still seems pretty sure thing. They would have to cover this in a proper policy debate.

[k13]

Losing debate is just an opinion and opinion will be done by the media so Trump automatically losses unless they want the candidate out out to pasture.

[DanteNemonic]

that's because so much of it is subjective. Fracking is one of the exceptions unlike total number of lies for example. Their is no run line or total yards gain which anyone can measure. Fact checkers are biased.

That does seem like a good bet over 1.5. Is that total times its said or does either Trump or Kumala have to say it 2 times?

Amount of times either candidate says "fracking." Over 1.5.

Just needs to be said twice so once each is good.

An example is their other offerings are "inflation" over / under 10.5 by either +150 (no play from me). Just example.

Nevertheless, Trump will say "fracking" twice in the same sentence so no worries there. The better # would have been 6.

[JohnGalt2341]

that's because so much of it is subjective. Fracking is one of the exceptions unlike total number of lies for example. Their is no run line or total yards gain which anyone can measure. Fact checkers are biased.

That does seem like a good bet over 1.5. Is that total times its said or does either Trump or Kumala have to say it 2 times?

Certainly. When Trump says he weighs 215, would you count this as a LIE or a TRUTH?

[DanteNemonic]

Hopefully we get back to Trump years.
So much better. Foreigner's think twice about messing with us.

[navyblue81]

I like to do state betting with the EC come November. I put a few bucks on Trump to sweep the Rust Belt. He was losing by like 6 points in polls in Wisconsin and Michigan in 2020 and nearly won it. In 2016, I think he won both. Now polls have him tied there? That’s almost like free money it seems.

[DwightShrute]

Certainly. When Trump says he weighs 215, would you count this as a LIE or a TRUTH?

OMG he lied about his weight. Who doesn't?

[JohnGalt2341]

OMG he lied about his weight. Who doesn't?

So you agree that that was a lie. I'm just trying to figure out exactly how delusional you are.

My entire point is... if you think that the Fact Checkers are biased... then you should have tailed my Over 19.5 Non-Facts. It's a FREE $50(quite possibly higher limits for you).

You probably don't believe me... but I'm trying to make you guys money in this thread. How's my track record so far? If I should EVER get even one pick wrong, feel free to call me out on it. I don't mind. How often do you see this in regular Sportsbetting threads? This should be no different, except most of you guys are EVEN MORE emotional when it comes to politcs. This is amusing to me.

[DanteNemonic]

Obviously the everything was better under Trump post was sarcasm. Actually I picked up a BIDET for the wet tushy ($44 Amazon) we ain't going back.

[JohnGalt2341]

Here are a couple of new Lines at BetOnline that I like.



If Trump tells less than 19.5 Non-Facts it will be a personal record for him. I don't expect this to happen. This should be in the mid 20's MINIMUM, or -200(or more).

Okay... back to normal programming.

This Line has moved already. It's STILL a great bargain, even at -140. This is FREE money folks. If I end up being wrong, feel free to call me out on it, I don't mind. I expect this Line to be -200 or so around debate time.

This Line continues to move, just as I suspected it would. Even at this price, I would STILL bet the Over.

[Itsamazing777]

[actiondan]

bidets are great. love mine

[JohnGalt2341]

Thanks for the post. You know what this tell me? It tells me it's a perfect time to bet on KH. You can get her at +100 or so at most sites.

[Itsamazing777]

Thanks for the post. You know what this tell me? It tells me it's a perfect time to bet on KH. You can get her at +100 or so at most sites.

You're welcome.

[JohnGalt2341]

This Line continues to move, just as I suspected it would. Even at this price, I would STILL bet the Over.

Check post #694 for previous Line movement. This Line is STILL moving folks. Anyone surprised? You shouldn't be.



It's getting closer to being sharp now. Maybe someday some of you will trust me as much as you trust Trump. Just kidding... that'll never happen.

[Itsamazing777]

NBC already saying Harris is ahead of Trump, when the betting market is showing otherwise. Completely trustworthy!