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  • cincinnatikid513
    SBR Aristocracy
    • 11-23-17
    • 45360

    #36
    can get perth right now at +155 against roar sunday seems like an unreal line with the form of these 2 clubs surely that line will go down by sunday
    Comment
    • Optional
      Administrator
      • 06-10-10
      • 61721

      #37
      Originally posted by cincinnatikid513
      can get perth right now at +155 against roar sunday seems like an unreal line with the form of these 2 clubs surely that line will go down by sunday
      It's weird how often "lock" are dogs in A-League

      It's +160 here.

      Wish it wasn't 5 days away or I'd go allin now.
      .
      Comment
      • cincinnatikid513
        SBR Aristocracy
        • 11-23-17
        • 45360

        #38
        Originally posted by Optional
        It's weird how often "lock" are dogs in A-League

        It's +160 here.

        Wish it wasn't 5 days away or I'd go allin now.
        curious where the line ends up by sunday maybe perth +110 only thing worries me would be the draw quite a distance from perth to brisbane traveling
        Comment
        • Optional
          Administrator
          • 06-10-10
          • 61721

          #39
          I think part of the reason is the public over values home advantage in A-League.

          6 of the 10 teams are within 1 hour of each other. Adelaide and wellington is 2.5 hours max from everyone but Perth.

          It's like an North East American league with a couple of Atalantas and an LA thrown in.

          The other reason home field advantage is less in Australia is that traditionally soccer has been divided by ethnically supported teams, not geographically.

          Italians, Croatians, Slavs, Greeks etc support their ethnic team, not local team.

          Whilst Soccer Australia has done all it can to squash that in the last 10 years, it still exists enough to mean in Sydney and Melbourne you dont get the crowd divided by region as much as bettors expect.

          Draws and Home field advantage are less in A-League than most other places.
          .
          Comment
          • Optional
            Administrator
            • 06-10-10
            • 61721

            #40
            Originally posted by cincinnatikid513
            curious where the line ends up by sunday maybe perth +110 only thing worries me would be the draw quite a distance from perth to brisbane traveling
            I'll guess -120 Perth by game time.

            And Perth players more used to travel as they have to do it 14 times per season.

            Everyone else only has to do that big trip twice maximum.
            .
            Comment
            • jjgold
              SBR Aristocracy
              • 07-20-05
              • 388179

              #41


              Optional are you good this league?
              Comment
              • cincinnatikid513
                SBR Aristocracy
                • 11-23-17
                • 45360

                #42
                Originally posted by Optional
                I'll guess -120 Perth by game time.

                And Perth players more used to travel as they have to do it 14 times per season.

                Everyone else only has to do that big trip twice maximum.
                if the line is going to move that much would feel silly not to play some at +155 going to put in a wager today perth for sundays match they get 2 extra days rest brisbane play wed then a quick turn around have to play the in form team who plays great on the road at those odds
                Comment
                • cincinnatikid513
                  SBR Aristocracy
                  • 11-23-17
                  • 45360

                  #43
                  optional see what kind of pull you have around here to get australia a league lines in the SBR Sportsbook
                  Comment
                  • Optional
                    Administrator
                    • 06-10-10
                    • 61721

                    #44
                    Originally posted by cincinnatikid513

                    if the line is going to move that much would feel silly not to play some at +155 going to put in a wager today perth for sundays match they get 2 extra days rest brisbane play wed then a quick turn around have to play the in form team who plays great on the road at those odds
                    -120 might be a bit ambitious really. You will probably be closer with the +110 guess.

                    Originally posted by cincinnatikid513
                    optional see what kind of pull you have around here to get australia a league lines in the SBR Sportsbook
                    Already asked



                    Easy winner for Melb City today.

                    Also like them +105 to beat Jets next game on Saturday a lot.
                    .
                    Comment
                    • Optional
                      Administrator
                      • 06-10-10
                      • 61721

                      #45
                      Wed 3:50am Newcastle -110 ML v Brisbane


                      Week 11 games

                      Fri 3:50am Sydney FC (-1.75) +105 v Central Coast

                      Sat 1:35am Adelaide -115 v Wellington

                      Sat 3:50am Melb Victory +110 @ West Sydney Wanderers

                      Sun 1:00am Melb City +105 v Newcastle

                      Sun 3:00am Perth +160 @ Brisbane



                      Some danger of a draw in both Saturday matches.
                      .
                      Comment
                      • Optional
                        Administrator
                        • 06-10-10
                        • 61721

                        #46
                        Originally posted by Optional
                        Ugh. It does look like an easy one on paper I guess.

                        I thought Jets looked lame at home v Glory 3 weeks back, struggled to put Mariners away in local derby and then lose to Adelaide at home this week. When Adelaide didnt really play too well.

                        Nothing much changed about them in those 3 games that I noticed, and i watched all of them.
                        Originally posted by Optional
                        Wed 3:50am Newcastle -110 ML v Brisbane
                        Newcastle 2 - Brisbane 2


                        That feeling you have when you know it's a trap line but still bet it anyway
                        .
                        Comment
                        • cincinnatikid513
                          SBR Aristocracy
                          • 11-23-17
                          • 45360

                          #47
                          nice one on sydney match have a feeling bookies lost some dough as most had to play sydney with the over melb city odds still holding strong at +105 perth have come down a bit from opening line seeing +137 right now
                          Comment
                          • Optional
                            Administrator
                            • 06-10-10
                            • 61721

                            #48
                            Originally posted by cincinnatikid513
                            nice one on sydney match have a feeling bookies lost some dough as most had to play sydney with the over melb city odds still holding strong at +105 perth have come down a bit from opening line seeing +137 right now
                            Yeah much better way to start the round proper.

                            Not sure about line movement either but still like City at home to soundly beat the Jets. Don't think I care too much about it as far as affecting picks anyway. Just to get best odds.

                            Gut is telling me that Adelaide bet might not be good. Was thinking about an Over might be good addon but not really sure how these two will matchup. Both seem to be favoring a defensive and counter attack style in games i have seen.

                            Liking Victory to beat Wanderers still though. Honda still not in for Victory but they get Neidermeier back and Wanderers have Risdon out of the D playing for Australia in Asia Cup.

                            What are you on for tomorrows games?
                            .
                            Comment
                            • cincinnatikid513
                              SBR Aristocracy
                              • 11-23-17
                              • 45360

                              #49
                              Originally posted by Optional
                              Yeah much better way to start the round proper.

                              Not sure about line movement either but still like City at home to soundly beat the Jets. Don't think I care too much about it as far as affecting picks anyway. Just to get best odds.

                              Gut is telling me that Adelaide bet might not be good. Was thinking about an Over might be good addon but not really sure how these two will matchup. Both seem to be favoring a defensive and counter attack style in games i have seen.

                              Liking Victory to beat Wanderers still though. Honda still not in for Victory but they get Neidermeier back and Wanderers have Risdon out of the D playing for Australia in Asia Cup.

                              What are you on for tomorrows games?
                              adelaide game looks tough wellingon unbeaten last 5 maybe a slight lean to the over but that looks like the worst game left out of the 4 to bet agree with you on mel victory looks like solid play also over in that game, then on sunday like mel city and perth
                              Comment
                              • funnyb25
                                BARRELED IN @ SBR!
                                • 07-09-09
                                • 39663

                                #50
                                Comment
                                • cincinnatikid513
                                  SBR Aristocracy
                                  • 11-23-17
                                  • 45360

                                  #51
                                  does anybody score in australia, looking for a goal been waiting 2 hours plus now
                                  Comment
                                  • cincinnatikid513
                                    SBR Aristocracy
                                    • 11-23-17
                                    • 45360

                                    #52
                                    thank u mel victory
                                    Comment
                                    • Optional
                                      Administrator
                                      • 06-10-10
                                      • 61721

                                      #53
                                      Originally posted by cincinnatikid513
                                      does anybody score in australia, looking for a goal been waiting 2 hours plus now
                                      Usually!

                                      Glad I layed off that one tonight.

                                      That's their 4th draw in last 7 head to heads actually. In a league that averages just 12% draws overall.


                                      Originally posted by cincinnatikid513
                                      thank u mel victory


                                      We should be betting Toivenon to score every week. Especially whilst Honda still out.



                                      Tomorrow the big day!!!! Looking forward to those games all week
                                      .
                                      Comment
                                      • cincinnatikid513
                                        SBR Aristocracy
                                        • 11-23-17
                                        • 45360

                                        #54
                                        Originally posted by Optional
                                        Usually!

                                        Glad I layed off that one tonight.

                                        That's their 4th draw in last 7 head to heads actually. In a league that averages just 12% draws overall.






                                        We should be betting Toivenon to score every week. Especially whilst Honda still out.



                                        Tomorrow the big day!!!! Looking forward to those games all week
                                        yup a little city perth double would be a nice way end the week
                                        Comment
                                        • Optional
                                          Administrator
                                          • 06-10-10
                                          • 61721

                                          #55
                                          Originally posted by cincinnatikid513

                                          yup a little city perth double would be a nice way end the week


                                          If they both win I'll end up about +30u for the round.
                                          .
                                          Comment
                                          • cincinnatikid513
                                            SBR Aristocracy
                                            • 11-23-17
                                            • 45360

                                            #56
                                            Originally posted by Optional


                                            If they both win I'll end up about +30u for the round.
                                            like it, keep posting ur australia a league picks
                                            Comment
                                            • Deenoz
                                              SBR Wise Guy
                                              • 10-25-18
                                              • 697

                                              #57
                                              i was surprised by Glorys odds aswell. just got them @2.34.
                                              almost full strength just missing Chris Ikonomidis.
                                              should still beat Brisbane.
                                              Comment
                                              • franz555
                                                SBR Posting Legend
                                                • 11-13-14
                                                • 10823

                                                #58
                                                Melb City and Perth look like $ ( Took the over 2.5 in the later game )

                                                BOL Optional

                                                Go AUSSIES Go
                                                Comment
                                                • cincinnatikid513
                                                  SBR Aristocracy
                                                  • 11-23-17
                                                  • 45360

                                                  #59
                                                  1 down 1 to go let's go perth
                                                  Comment
                                                  • funnyb25
                                                    BARRELED IN @ SBR!
                                                    • 07-09-09
                                                    • 39663

                                                    #60
                                                    Comment
                                                    • cincinnatikid513
                                                      SBR Aristocracy
                                                      • 11-23-17
                                                      • 45360

                                                      #61
                                                      this was not expected 2-0 roar
                                                      Comment
                                                      • cincinnatikid513
                                                        SBR Aristocracy
                                                        • 11-23-17
                                                        • 45360

                                                        #62
                                                        2-2 with 10 mins to go
                                                        Comment
                                                        • cincinnatikid513
                                                          SBR Aristocracy
                                                          • 11-23-17
                                                          • 45360

                                                          #63
                                                          WOW
                                                          Comment
                                                          • cincinnatikid513
                                                            SBR Aristocracy
                                                            • 11-23-17
                                                            • 45360

                                                            #64
                                                            that was turn of events 2-0 brisbane to 2-4 perth


                                                            nice week opti u crushed it


                                                            Comment
                                                            • Optional
                                                              Administrator
                                                              • 06-10-10
                                                              • 61721

                                                              #65
                                                              wow, just walked in later than epcted afetr family event here today.

                                                              Looking at box scores I would have been sweating these all night so maybe a good thing


                                                              WOO HOO. Picked up biggest winning weekend in about 6 months.

                                                              Roll on A-League I love you
                                                              .
                                                              Comment
                                                              • Optional
                                                                Administrator
                                                                • 06-10-10
                                                                • 61721

                                                                #66
                                                                Originally posted by cincinnatikid513
                                                                2-2 with 10 mins to go
                                                                That's where i walked in and nearly shat!
                                                                .
                                                                Comment
                                                                • Optional
                                                                  Administrator
                                                                  • 06-10-10
                                                                  • 61721

                                                                  #67
                                                                  Round 9: 2- 3
                                                                  Round 10: 4-1
                                                                  Round 11: 4-1
                                                                  Round 12: 0-1

                                                                  Overall I am 28 normal 1u bets in profit from it in the last 3 weeks.

                                                                  And will pick up another 3.5 units if Australia beats Jordon in Asia cup tonight, as I parlayed them with Syd/MelC/Glory.

                                                                  Think this learn the A-League plan is working out ok so far
                                                                  .
                                                                  Comment
                                                                  • cincinnatikid513
                                                                    SBR Aristocracy
                                                                    • 11-23-17
                                                                    • 45360

                                                                    #68
                                                                    Originally posted by Optional
                                                                    Round 9: 2- 3
                                                                    Round 10: 4-1
                                                                    Round 11: 4-1
                                                                    Round 12: 0-1

                                                                    Overall I am 28 normal 1u bets in profit from it in the last 3 weeks.

                                                                    And will pick up another 3.5 units if Australia beats Jordon in Asia cup tonight, as I parlayed them with Syd/MelC/Glory.

                                                                    Think this learn the A-League plan is working out ok so far
                                                                    nice, keep it up, i'm starting to really like a league only 10 teams so easier to keep track of , some good games next week perth sydney re match
                                                                    Comment
                                                                    • 5mike5
                                                                      SBR Aristocracy
                                                                      • 09-21-11
                                                                      • 52036

                                                                      #69
                                                                      Comment
                                                                      • MorganSouss
                                                                        SBR Rookie
                                                                        • 01-05-19
                                                                        • 6

                                                                        #70
                                                                        Thank you for the winners. I remember when I started betting I really enjoyed. Australia's lower leagues (regional I believe), always a bunch goals.

                                                                        Happy to see they are still playing positive football there, even at top level

                                                                        Good luck going forward.
                                                                        Comment
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