A -500 tennis bet for Friday morning...

SBR Lou · 06-18-09, 05:51 PM

Originally posted by j0hnnyv

The dog it is!!!!

Well, only one of us will emerge victorious, but I hate to see my buds lose so GL to you anyway.

MonkeyF0cker · 06-18-09, 06:28 PM

Simply amazing how Lou's "model" only finds heavy chalk. As far as the "Think Tank gang" goes, I'd be willing to bet that if there's any value in that line it's with the dog here.

yisman · 06-18-09, 07:19 PM

-555 != -500

Matt Rain · 06-18-09, 07:21 PM

-480 now.

RogueScholar · 06-18-09, 08:53 PM

Leave it to Lou to pick a big name chalk bet over a fantastic valued dog. Lou, have you forgotten that these two ladies met in the final of this tourney last year and Tanasugarn won in straight sets? Since winning this tourney last year Tanasugarn is 15-3 on grass, she's one of the few women on tour that is acknowledged as a grass specialist! That's 83% of matches, and one of those losses was to Venus Williams. Safina's looking ahead to Wimbledon where she hopes to win the slam that she should've acquired at Roland Garros. Tanasugarn is, just like last year, looking to win a tournament that has been very friendly to her, knowing that Wimbledon is out of her reach. Need I go on? Anybody reading this thread should get a little money down on Tanasugarn, these are the kinds of matches and odds that make a tennis punter's year.

Matt Rain · 06-18-09, 09:15 PM

[insert CrazyLou's nonsensical, confused retort here]

durito · 06-18-09, 09:20 PM

Nice edge of -4.2004% there

j0hnnyv · 06-18-09, 09:52 PM

lol this thread is great. even if safina wins this is NOT a good play...obviously.

tacomax · 06-18-09, 10:47 PM

Originally posted by RogueScholar

Lou, have you forgotten that these two ladies met in the final of this tourney last year and Tanasugarn won in straight sets? Since winning this tourney last year Tanasugarn is 15-3 on grass, she's one of the few women on tour that is acknowledged as a grass specialist! That's 83% of matches, and one of those losses was to Venus Williams.

Did you enter career earnings into your model? Fukkin' n00b.

tacomax · 06-19-09, 04:06 AM

Originally posted by Matt Rain

-480 now.

Now -464.

wtf · 06-19-09, 04:56 AM

nailed that puppy for few grand, thanks lou! keep posting those awesome overlays

pavyracer · 06-19-09, 08:04 AM

Now -450.

Matt Rain · 06-19-09, 10:06 AM

Tanasugarn takes the first set 7-5.

pavyracer · 06-19-09, 10:10 AM

Here we go again.

Bread · 06-19-09, 10:11 AM

Ohno.

yisman · 06-19-09, 10:13 AM

Safina now -133 at Betfair.

muffin_pirate · 06-19-09, 10:14 AM

this crazylou guy has some crazy picks. My picks for today are a lot more rational

Spanks · 06-19-09, 10:16 AM

man ...I missed out on +$400...

yisman · 06-19-09, 10:18 AM

Safina at -108.7

SBR Lou · 06-19-09, 10:18 AM

Safina with the break right back, really exhibited her power that last return game.

You guys have to understand a lot of WTA matches go 3 sets, it's not a cause to sound the alarm.

muffin_pirate · 06-19-09, 10:21 AM

Originally posted by Spanks

man ...I missed out on +$400...

Should have followed my picks i posted them last night.

yisman · 06-19-09, 10:26 AM

Originally posted by CrazyLou

You guys have to understand a lot of WTA matches go 3 sets, it's not a cause to sound the alarm.

It is when your -555 pick loses the first set.

SBR Lou · 06-19-09, 10:27 AM

Originally posted by yisman

It is when your -555 pick loses the first set.

I didn't play Safina 1st set, or are you simply fudging my plays?

Safina with another break and up 4-2, let's hear the smack talk now.

yisman · 06-19-09, 10:31 AM

Originally posted by CrazyLou

I didn't play Safina 1st set, or are you simply fudging my plays?

Where did I say you played Safina first set?

dwaechte · 06-19-09, 10:31 AM

Originally posted by CrazyLou

I didn't play Safina 1st set, or are you simply fudging my plays?

Safina with another break and up 4-2, let's hear the smack talk now.

So people aren't allowed to smack talk when your -555 favourite closes at -450 and proceeds to lose the first set because she's up 4-2 in the 2nd?

yisman · 06-19-09, 10:34 AM

I guess Lou is surprised that his -555 might actually survive and force a third set. Impressive.

4-3 in the second.

muffin_pirate · 06-19-09, 10:38 AM

My plays for today were

WTA
Shiavone +160
Razzano +140
Tanasugarn +400

ATP
Dancevic +135

Matt Rain · 06-19-09, 10:55 AM

Tanasugarn serving for the match. No cause to sound the alarm though Lou - you won't look any more clueless than you did before the match.

yisman · 06-19-09, 11:02 AM

Originally posted by Matt Rain

Tanasugarn serving for the match. No cause to sound the alarm though Lou - you won't look any more clueless than you did before the match.

Tanasugarn wins in straight sets.

smitch124 · 06-19-09, 11:02 AM

Definitely time to sound the alarm

Straight set loss...

Matt Rain · 06-19-09, 11:03 AM

onthewhat · 06-19-09, 11:03 AM

How does Lou do it? Honestly.

Good god.

EaglesPhan36 · 06-19-09, 11:05 AM

Originally posted by CrazyLou

It might as well be Safina's best surface because she is far more skilled on it than Tansaugarn, and I think that's an important tennis handicapping fact to weigh.

I usually don't beat you up after picks Lou, but this was one of your worst assessments on picks.

dwaechte · 06-19-09, 11:06 AM

Ye gods indeed. This is nothing short of miraculous. How somebody can pick so many -500 losers is beyond me.

It's official, Lou is on the greatest run of losers in SBR history.

Bread · 06-19-09, 11:07 AM

You gotta be shittin me. Do I need to start getting in on this action????

I'm not hatin on Lou cuz my picks suck too...but I mean this is free gold right here and I'm letting it pass me by!