This is going to sound crazy, but...

**b_rad_1983** · 12-19-14, 09:32 PM

I was playing around with my tracking spreadsheet by using your picks and odds. But converting them to decimal odds, then using betting x to win 1u on favs and betting 1u to win x on dogs. From there I was going to compare your record vs mine to make sure I was tracking / betting properly but the numbers I get isn't near the $12.9. I will need to review my formulas and such tomorrow.

**a4u2fear** · 12-20-14, 07:37 AM

Teams
39-22, +11.88u

Totals
42-41-8, -0.90u

**a4u2fear** · 12-20-14, 07:41 AM

Bounce back...

NYR -145
TOR -160
CHI -155
NAS +115

LA u5 +105
CAR o5 -120
BUF u5.5 -135
TOR o6 +105
CBUS o5.5 +120
MON u5 +125
MIN o5 -107
VAN u5.5 -120

**PaperTrail07** · 12-20-14, 10:43 AM

GL today sir

**a4u2fear** · 12-20-14, 06:27 PM

Originally posted by PaperTrail07

GL today sir

Going to sabres game, don't know if I want them to lose or win, really want McDavid

**ToyotaLC** · 12-20-14, 08:25 PM

Get ready for a stinger. Shaping up to be a rough night.

**a4u2fear** · 12-20-14, 09:59 PM

Originally posted by ToyotaLC

Get ready for a stinger. Shaping up to be a rough night.

I know some will lose interest, but it's a season long thread, a bad night or two won't phase me. Results will be there, keep the faith

**Slanina** · 12-20-14, 10:11 PM

Gonna need Nashville to pull this out and Vancouver under to salvage the night.

**ToyotaLC** · 12-20-14, 10:13 PM

Totally keeping the faith, just a tough night. I'll be waiting for your picks tomorrow. Hopefully Nashville can save us a bit.

**ToyotaLC** · 12-20-14, 10:17 PM

a42ufear, how was the game tonight? I guess it was a tough atmosphere given the standings.

**pacocn** · 12-21-14, 01:43 AM

nice call on nash

**Danxx777** · 12-21-14, 03:10 AM

Did a small parlay on the nash bets and Vancouver, thank you sir.

**a4u2fear** · 12-21-14, 07:35 AM

Originally posted by ToyotaLC

a42ufear, how was the game tonight? I guess it was a tough atmosphere given the standings.

Game was weak. Colorado's skill was quite obvious on a few goals. Stupid Sabres pulled goalie with 4 mins left down 4-1 and of course the Avs get one with a few secs left to kill under. Oh well.

**a4u2fear** · 12-21-14, 07:35 AM

Originally posted by pacocn

nice call on nash

**a4u2fear** · 12-21-14, 07:36 AM

Originally posted by Danxx777

Did a small parlay on the nash bets and Vancouver, thank you sir.

Glad you found a way to cash $

**a4u2fear** · 12-21-14, 07:37 AM

Teams
41-24, +10.88u

Totals
45-44-8, -1.25u

A very small losing night considering we bet 12 games. With parity quite high in the NHL and many games decided in a SO, not unexpected.

**a4u2fear** · 12-21-14, 07:39 AM

I'm a Bills fan and it's been 10 years since we've had any hope this late in season. Like the Defense to give Carr a lot of trouble and the Bills to struggle vs Oakland's D. I see a 17-10 final for Buffalo

**a4u2fear** · 12-21-14, 07:43 AM

DAL -145
CHI -195
DET not posted

EDM u5.5 -115
NYR u5 +115
CHI u5.5 +100
BOS u5 -110
WPG u5 +108

Interesting that we played NYR at CAR and now laying the two teams at home the next game

May be a good idea for anyone not willing to bet all the totals to take the grand salami under.

**bihon** · 12-21-14, 08:21 AM

Originally posted by a4u2fear

Can't remember who said it, but when totals were -6u some one said it was the time to pile on, might have been Bihon. Hopefully he did

Correct. However after 100 O/U picks, the result is much off your testing results. Sure, the sample is small, but still... Maybe you could find some time to rigorously retest your data/results from previous years.

**a4u2fear** · 12-21-14, 08:52 AM

Originally posted by bihon

Correct. However after 100 O/U picks, the result is much off your testing results. Sure, the sample is small, but still... Maybe you could find some time to rigorously retest your data/results from previous years.

I agree and was thinking same. With holidays coming up and some time off work, can do.

**a4u2fear** · 12-21-14, 11:12 AM

Det -195

**ToyotaLC** · 12-21-14, 11:51 AM

Originally posted by a4u2fear

I'm a Bills fan and it's been 10 years since we've had any hope this late in season. Like the Defense to give Carr a lot of trouble and the Bills to struggle vs Oakland's D. I see a 17-10 final for Buffalo

O/U 41.0. Hmmm.

**Slanina** · 12-21-14, 01:51 PM

How are the Rangers -145 on road and the very next game they're -210 versus same team at home. No way road/home game affects line that much. I must have missed something.

**Russian Rocket** · 12-21-14, 02:04 PM

Originally posted by Slanina

How are the Rangers -145 on road and the very next game they're -210 versus same team at home. No way road/home game affects line that much. I must have missed something.

home ice advantage is crucial, but you've also missed a goalie matchups

**TenCount** · 12-21-14, 02:16 PM

Originally posted by a4u2fear

I agree and was thinking same. With holidays coming up and some time off work, can do.

You saying that makes it sound like your not very confident in your back testing. I hope you ALREADY rigorously tested this before coming on to a major public forum giving system picks. With you not giving people the ability to do their own back test and check you work and also making statements like that I can imagine its hard for people to trust your picks. But hey, results don't lie and I hope your results are as good as your testing! GL

**bihon** · 12-21-14, 02:35 PM

Originally posted by TenCount

I hope you ALREADY rigorously tested this before coming on to a major public forum giving system picks.

I think he explained it somewhere in the first two pages of the thread.
The moneyline was well tested and totals were possible winners too, but not 100% sure.

**Russian Rocket** · 12-21-14, 02:42 PM

Originally posted by bihon

I think he explained it somewhere in the first two pages of the thread.
The moneyline was well tested and totals were possible winners too, but not 100% sure.

**a4u2fear** · 12-21-14, 04:24 PM

Originally posted by TenCount

You saying that makes it sound like your not very confident in your back testing. I hope you ALREADY rigorously tested this before coming on to a major public forum giving system picks. With you not giving people the ability to do their own back test and check you work and also making statements like that I can imagine its hard for people to trust your picks. But hey, results don't lie and I hope your results are as good as your testing! GL

See Bihons response, but in all honesty, you can do a lot worse following most on here than mine, as well as 95% of picks out there

**b_rad_1983** · 12-21-14, 04:51 PM

A4 just remember, everyone is capable of doing what you are doing. They just choose not to invest the time like you. A lot of people appreciate it what you do as well as what you thought us. Keep it up bro!

**a4u2fear** · 12-21-14, 08:24 PM

Originally posted by b_rad_1983

A4 just remember, everyone is capable of doing what you are doing. They just choose not to invest the time like you. A lot of people appreciate it what you do as well as what you thought us. Keep it up bro!

Hows that excel thread going?

**a4u2fear** · 12-21-14, 08:24 PM

Crazy Edmonton game 5-2 now 5-5

**b_rad_1983** · 12-21-14, 08:36 PM

It's been pretty quiet .
This season ive been betting on something I made but it's picking heavy favs.
Last night I bet 15$ / game. Finished the night 3-1 +10$.
Not top impressed

**b_rad_1983** · 12-21-14, 08:36 PM

I put a live bet on dallas while they were down. Hoping that comes through

**a4u2fear** · 12-21-14, 08:55 PM

Detroit blows late lead and loses in a SO, they've been killing us lately here, just looked, they've lost 6 in a row and 4 in shootouts, I believe we were on them at least three of those

**Slanina** · 12-21-14, 09:07 PM

I'm tailing but I'm growing increasingly curious how it's picking plays. Detroit has been playing pretty bad last two weeks and 5 goals in 5 games going into tonight. Wallco's system had a C bet on Detroit as well. Ouch.