This is going to sound crazy, but...

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  • a4u2fear
    SBR Hall of Famer
    • 01-29-10
    • 8147

    #316
    Ok....good news (error found in totals) but bad news (wasn't found earlier)

    The LOGIC that went into totals: was correct and IS VERY PROFITABLE, double checked verified/all good

    The calculation that went into a sheet that told me what to pick for totals each day - was missing a portion of the equation. What I mean here is I have equations on a sheet with all the games from all years till 2007 - shows a great profit. When I import "today's games", the calculations go into a separate sheet in Excel that has only today's games, and not all 15,000. When I placed the calculations on this page, one part of the equation was not factored in
    Comment
    • a4u2fear
      SBR Hall of Famer
      • 01-29-10
      • 8147

      #317
      I will have fixes ready for tomorrow, and what totals numbers should have been for this year so far
      Comment
      • a4u2fear
        SBR Hall of Famer
        • 01-29-10
        • 8147

        #318
        Have very good news, with the fixed calculations, totals would be:

        overs, 12-5 for +8.42u
        unders, 26-16-5 for +8.27u
        or total 38-21-5 for +16.69u

        I'm pissed I didn't find this sooner, but, let's kill it going forward!
        Comment
        • UncleChael
          SBR MVP
          • 10-30-13
          • 3979

          #319
          We're rich!
          Comment
          • a4u2fear
            SBR Hall of Famer
            • 01-29-10
            • 8147

            #320
            tomorrow's plays
            NYI -200
            PHI +165

            WPG o5 -135
            LA u5 +100
            Comment
            • tipsadontlikehim
              SBR MVP
              • 11-14-13
              • 2569

              #321
              Hello a4u

              do you always bet the same amount, no matter the odds? 1u on each?
              Comment
              • b_rad_1983
                SBR High Roller
                • 01-07-13
                • 127

                #322
                A4 only people who know what you do understand how a formula can get mixed up after running so many games.
                It happens to the best of us.
                Comment
                • a4u2fear
                  SBR Hall of Famer
                  • 01-29-10
                  • 8147

                  #323
                  Originally posted by tipsadontlikehim
                  Hello a4u

                  do you always bet the same amount, no matter the odds? 1u on each?
                  Everything is wager 1 unit, if you don't know what that means look on pages 2-3
                  Comment
                  • a4u2fear
                    SBR Hall of Famer
                    • 01-29-10
                    • 8147

                    #324
                    Originally posted by b_rad_1983
                    A4 only people who know what you do understand how a formula can get mixed up after running so many games.
                    It happens to the best of us.
                    We got this b_rad, I wish I could post the code that illustrates how much goes into this, some really don't know
                    Comment
                    • Slanina
                      SBR MVP
                      • 01-21-09
                      • 3827

                      #325
                      Originally posted by tipsadontlikehim
                      Hello a4u

                      do you always bet the same amount, no matter the odds? 1u on each?
                      This has been discussed a few times already. Anyways...

                      Risk 1 unit on underdogs.

                      To win 1 unit on favorites.
                      Comment
                      • Slanina
                        SBR MVP
                        • 01-21-09
                        • 3827

                        #326
                        Originally posted by a4u2fear
                        tomorrow's plays
                        NYI -200
                        PHI +165

                        WPG o5 -135
                        LA u5 +100
                        Seems like a small card given how many games. But good luck to us.
                        Comment
                        • tipsadontlikehim
                          SBR MVP
                          • 11-14-13
                          • 2569

                          #327
                          ok thanks guys so 1u on the dog and to win 1 on the favourite
                          good luck. We'll kill the bookies in 2015
                          Comment
                          • Danxx777
                            SBR Rookie
                            • 08-21-13
                            • 9

                            #328
                            personally not knowing much about nhl but taking your advice and letting it influence some small picks day to day, I have enjoyed getting into a new sport and thank you for being candid about your theories/system. Best of luck.
                            Comment
                            • buddha
                              SBR Sharp
                              • 09-03-10
                              • 480

                              #329
                              Originally posted by a4u2fear
                              We got this b_rad, I wish I could post the code that illustrates how much goes into this, some really don't know
                              Stay On Your Grind.

                              It'll lead to triumph greater than what you hope for, glory way past what you're able to imagine and the happiness you, and she, deserve.



                              Merry belated Christmas and Happy New Year!!!!

                              <iframe src="http://giphy.com/embed/PEf5lEBpviP72?html5=true" webkitallowfullscreen="" mozallowfullscreen="" allowfullscreen="" frameborder="0" height="96" width="480"></iframe>
                              Comment
                              • a4u2fear
                                SBR Hall of Famer
                                • 01-29-10
                                • 8147

                                #330
                                Originally posted by Danxx777
                                personally not knowing much about nhl but taking your advice and letting it influence some small picks day to day, I have enjoyed getting into a new sport and thank you for being candid about your theories/system. Best of luck.
                                you're welcome, i hope it bodes well for you.
                                Comment
                                • a4u2fear
                                  SBR Hall of Famer
                                  • 01-29-10
                                  • 8147

                                  #331
                                  Thanks Buddha. I think we are finally on the right path here. Happy Holidays to you as well.
                                  Comment
                                  • Slanina
                                    SBR MVP
                                    • 01-21-09
                                    • 3827

                                    #332
                                    3-0 Islanders. I go out to eat and get home to check score and now it's 3-3. You gotta be kidding me.
                                    Comment
                                    • a4u2fear
                                      SBR Hall of Famer
                                      • 01-29-10
                                      • 8147

                                      #333
                                      You gotta be shitting me! I was at game, won $50 trivia contest haha, then my sister was sick so we had to leave at 3-1, what a boner
                                      Comment
                                      • a4u2fear
                                        SBR Hall of Famer
                                        • 01-29-10
                                        • 8147

                                        #334
                                        Teams
                                        45-32, +4.82u

                                        Totals
                                        2-0, +2.0u

                                        Personal Plays
                                        1-0, +1.00u

                                        Islanders blew a 3-0 lead and a decent night. Just incredible, were also undefeated in SO and OT, not anymore - UGH. Don't worry about team performance, there are likely 300-400 more plays for the rest of the season. Just a rough patch.

                                        Anyone following should be following ALL plays since each has now been verified. If you did, you didn't have a terrible night.

                                        Starting totals back to 0 plays and 0 units since the old system was incorrect and we were only down 2 units anyway.
                                        Comment
                                        • a4u2fear
                                          SBR Hall of Famer
                                          • 01-29-10
                                          • 8147

                                          #335
                                          TOR u5.5 -110
                                          ANH u5.5 -115
                                          Comment
                                          • Slanina
                                            SBR MVP
                                            • 01-21-09
                                            • 3827

                                            #336
                                            6 goals in 12 minutes. Good lord.
                                            Comment
                                            • keel44
                                              SBR MVP
                                              • 08-01-09
                                              • 3363

                                              #337
                                              You should include the revised totals record as well going forward.
                                              Comment
                                              • a4u2fear
                                                SBR Hall of Famer
                                                • 01-29-10
                                                • 8147

                                                #338
                                                Teams
                                                45-32, +4.82u

                                                Totals
                                                3-1, +1.9u

                                                Personal Plays
                                                1-0, +1.00u
                                                Comment
                                                • a4u2fear
                                                  SBR Hall of Famer
                                                  • 01-29-10
                                                  • 8147

                                                  #339
                                                  Originally posted by Slanina
                                                  6 goals in 12 minutes. Good lord.
                                                  yea, that game escalated quickly.
                                                  Comment
                                                  • a4u2fear
                                                    SBR Hall of Famer
                                                    • 01-29-10
                                                    • 8147

                                                    #340
                                                    Originally posted by keel44
                                                    You should include the revised totals record as well going forward.
                                                    not sure what you are referring to? the old system that was wrong?
                                                    Comment
                                                    • a4u2fear
                                                      SBR Hall of Famer
                                                      • 01-29-10
                                                      • 8147

                                                      #341
                                                      ok teams, let's have a nice night please!
                                                      TB -200
                                                      STL -174
                                                      NAS +145
                                                      NYR -108
                                                      PHI -107

                                                      MON u5 -105
                                                      NAS o5 -130
                                                      DAL o5.5 +105
                                                      Comment
                                                      • a4u2fear
                                                        SBR Hall of Famer
                                                        • 01-29-10
                                                        • 8147

                                                        #342
                                                        Good start in TB 15-4 SOG down 2-0, lets go pick it up!
                                                        Comment
                                                        • ToyotaLC
                                                          SBR High Roller
                                                          • 12-18-14
                                                          • 141

                                                          #343
                                                          Let's hope for another epic Leaf's collapse.
                                                          Comment
                                                          • a4u2fear
                                                            SBR Hall of Famer
                                                            • 01-29-10
                                                            • 8147

                                                            #344
                                                            We got one, pick it up!
                                                            Comment
                                                            • a4u2fear
                                                              SBR Hall of Famer
                                                              • 01-29-10
                                                              • 8147

                                                              #345
                                                              Shots 23-4, is that a mistake?
                                                              Comment
                                                              • a4u2fear
                                                                SBR Hall of Famer
                                                                • 01-29-10
                                                                • 8147

                                                                #346
                                                                2-2, ok
                                                                Comment
                                                                • ToyotaLC
                                                                  SBR High Roller
                                                                  • 12-18-14
                                                                  • 141

                                                                  #347
                                                                  Has a chance to be a good night....
                                                                  Comment
                                                                  • Slanina
                                                                    SBR MVP
                                                                    • 01-21-09
                                                                    • 3827

                                                                    #348
                                                                    Nice start on the night. 2-0 with Winnipeg no worse than a push.
                                                                    Comment
                                                                    • ToyotaLC
                                                                      SBR High Roller
                                                                      • 12-18-14
                                                                      • 141

                                                                      #349
                                                                      Hey Slanina, did you take Over for Winnipeg? A4 didn't suggest the pick. Is he feeding you extra good picks on the side
                                                                      Comment
                                                                      • Slanina
                                                                        SBR MVP
                                                                        • 01-21-09
                                                                        • 3827

                                                                        #350
                                                                        Originally posted by ToyotaLC
                                                                        Hey Slanina, did you take Over for Winnipeg? A4 didn't suggest the pick. Is he feeding you extra good picks on the side
                                                                        Haha oops. That was my personal play. Have my plays in a spreadsheet and thought that was one of his when I checked the scores tonight.
                                                                        Comment
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