I've got no plays on tonight's game, unfortunately. My numbers give the Falcons about a 2.5 point advantage. With the spreads everywhere at 3.5 or 4, that's too close to call. On the total, the line is very sharp. My numbers are giving me a total of 54.5, and the posted line at all of the books is 55. Way too close to call. Sometimes the best play is no play at all. I'll be back on Sunday.
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Comment -
Lots of picks today:
Seahawks @ Bears UNDER 37.5 -107
SEAHAWKS @ Bears +3 -105
Vikings @ PACKERS -7.5 +105
Cardinals @ Jets UNDER 36.5 -105
CARDINALS @ Jets +6 -108
Panthers @ Chiefs UNDER 41.5 -110
Panthers @ CHIEFS +6 -110
Colts @ LIONS -7 -105
Jaguars @ Bills OVER 42.5 -102
Patriots @ Dolphins OVER 51 -108
Texans @ Titans OVER 47 -107
Texans @ TITANS +6.5 -103
Steelers @ Ravens OVER 36.5 -107
Browns @ Raiders UNDER 39.5 -107
Browns @ RAIDERS +2.5 -107
Bengals @ Chargers UNDER 46.5 -108
Bengals @ CHARGERS +1.5 -108
Eagles @ Cowboys OVER 44 -103
EAGLES @ Cowboys +10.5 -109Comment -
Ended the day pretty well at 11-8, +2.45 units.
Season Record:
127-99-10
56.19%
+20.68 unitsComment -
Too close to call on tonight's game on sides, but I have a play on the total:
Giants @ Redskins OVER 49.5 -108Comment -
Just my own formulas based on stats. No judgement calls or "gut feelings." Honestly, I think most people here could consistently hit 53-55% if they would just work on numbers instead of over thinking the subjective factors. People talk themselves out of good picks far too often.Comment -
Tonight didn't pay off, unfortunately. Ended the night at 0-1, -1.00 unit.
Season Record:
127-100-10
55.95%
+19.68 unitsComment -
Only one play for tonight's game:
Broncos @ Raider OVER 48.5 -108Comment -
Looked good early in the game, but couldn't get the over in the end. Finished the night at 0-1, -1.00 unit.
Season Record:
127-101-10
55.70%
+18.68 unitsComment -
Lots of picks for today:
Ravens @ Redskins OVER 47 -108
Chiefs @ Browns UNDER 38 -105
Chargers @ Steelers OVER 38.5 -110
CHARGERS @ Steelers +8.5 -109
Titans @ Colts UNDER 47 -107
Jets @ Jaguars OVER 38 -108
JETS @ Jaguars -3 +103
Bears @ Vikings OVER 39.5 -107
BEARS @ Vikings -3 +107
Falcons @ Panthers OVER 47 -108
Eagles @ Bucs UNDER 48 -108
EAGLES @ Bucs +7 -102
Rams @ BILLS -3.5 -103
Cowboys @ BENGALS -3.5 +101
Dolphins @ 49ers OVER 38.5 -110
DOLPHINS @ 49ers +10.5 -110
Saints @ Giants OVER 51 -110
SAINTS @ Giants +5 -110
Cardinals @ Seahawks OVER 35.5 -110
CARDINALS @ Seahawks +10 -110
Lions @ Packers OVER 49 -107Comment -
Barely profitable day at 11-10, +0.29 units.
Season Record:
138-111-10
55.42%
+18.97 unitsComment -
Only one play on tonight's game. Spread is way too close to call, but there appears to be good value on the total. Expecting total points in the high 50s, thanks to a Patriots defense that still hasn't improved as much as it needs to. The Texans will make it more difficult for Brady with their defense, but he'll still have no problem eeking out somewhere around 30 points.
Texans @ Patriots OVER 51 -103Comment -
Almost lost this one, but a lucky interception allowed the Texans to put some more points on the board at the end. Ended up 1-0, +0.97 units.
Season Record:
139-111-10
55.60%
+19.94 unitsComment -
Only a play on the total tonight:
Bengals @ Eagles OVER 44.5 -105Comment -
any liens on the sides?Comment -
If I absolutely had to make a pick on sides, it would be Philly. But I'm not confident enough to place a wager. Just a bit too close to call.Comment -
One play for the night, and one win. Record was 1-0, +0.95 units.
Season Record:
140-111-10
55.78%
+20.89 unitsComment -
Hardly any plays on totals today, which is pretty unusual for me. And a play on almost every spread, which is also unusual. Sometimes weird days come along. Anyway, here are the plays:
PACKERS @ Bears -2.5 -105
Giants @ FALCONS -1 +102
Bucs @ SAINTS -3.5 -105
VIKINGS @ Rams +2.5 +106
REDSKINS @ Browns +4 -108
Broncos @ Ravens OVER 48 -105
Panthers @ CHARGERS -3.5 +101 (alternate line)
Seahawks @ BILLS +5 -110
LIONS @ Cardinals -6 -107
STEELERS @ Cowboys +1.5 -108
Chiefs @ RAIDERS -4.5 -102
49ers @ Patriots OVER 47 -105
49ers @ PATRIOTS -4 -108Comment -
Pretty good day. Record was 8-5, +2.80 units.
Season Record:
148-116-10
56.06%
+23.69 unitsComment -
A pick on both the side and total for tonight's game:
Jets @ Titans OVER 41.5 -110
JETS @ Titans +2.5 -109Comment -
Well, didn't quite work out. Record last night was 0-2, -2.00 units.
Season Record:
148-118-10
55.64%
+21.69 unitsComment -
Only one pick for tonight:
Falcons @ LIONS +3.5 -107Comment -
Didn't work out. Record was 0-1, -1.00 unit.
Season Record:
148-119-10
55.43%
+20.69 unitsComment -
Today's picks:
Titans @ Packers OVER 45 -108
RAIDERS @ Panthers +9.5 -105
Patriots @ Jaguars OVER 51 -103
Saints @ Cowboys OVER 53 -102
SAINTS @ Cowboys +2.5 +100
Redskins @ EAGLES +5.5 -110
Rams @ BUCS -3 -105
Giants @ Ravens OVER 47 -106
Vikings @ Texans OVER 43.5 -107
Vikings @ TEXANS -7.5 -107
Bears @ Cardinals UNDER 36.5 -102
49ers @ Seahawks OVER 40 -105
49ERS @ Seahawks +2 -105
CHARGERS @ Jets +2.5 +100Comment -
A rare losing Sunday for me! Record was 5-8-1, -3.14 units.
Season Record:
153-127-11
54.63%
+17.55 unitsComment -
Today's picks:
JETS @ Bills +3 +110
Dolphins @ Patriots OVER 47 -105
Dolphins @ PATRIOTS -9.5 -108
RAVENS @ Bengals +3 +110
BROWNS @ Steelers +9.5 -105
Texans @ COLTS +6 -102
Eagles @ Giants OVER 44 -110
Eagles @ GIANTS -6.5 -108
COWBOYS @ Redskins +3 +105
PACKERS @ Vikings -3 -105
Bucs @ Falcons OVER 45.5 -110
Bucs @ FALCONS -3 +EV
CARDINALS @ 49ers +16.5 -105Comment -
My second losing NFL sunday in a row. Very rare, but oh well. We still have the post season! Results were 5-8, -3.31 units.
Season Record:
158-135-11
53.92%
+14.24 unitsComment -
Time for the postseason! Here are the first playoffs picks:
Bengals @ TEXANS -4 -106
Vikings @ Packers OVER 45 -110
Vikings @ PACKERS -7.5 -108Comment -
Good first day of the postseason. Record was 2-1, +0.87 units.
Season Record:
160-136-11
54.05%
+15.11 unitsComment -
Getting my picks in for tomorrow a little earlier than usual:
Colts @ Ravens OVER 46.5 -110
Colts @ RAVENS -7 -103
Seahawks @ REDSKINS +2.5 +101 (alternate line)Comment -
Forgot to update last Sunday's record. It was 1-2, -1.03 units.
Season Record:
161-138-11
53.85%
+14.08 unitsComment -
And now for today's only play:
Packers @ 49ers OVER 45 -102Comment -
Good night at 1-0, +0.98 units.
Season Record:
162-138-11
54.00%
+15.06 unitsComment -
Picks on both games today, but both are on totals:
Seahawks @ Falcons OVER 45.5 -107
Texans @ Patriots OVER 48.5 -106Comment