Toddorts NFL 2012-2013 Season Picks

toddorts · 10-14-12, 07:35 AM

Today's picks. On the Ravens game, I sold a point to get to plus money, as I think the Ravens win this one by at least a touchdown, possibly more. Here are the picks:

LIONS @ Eagles +3.5 -108
Rams @ DOLPHINS -4.5 -108
PACKERS @ Texans +3.5 -105
Packers @ Texans OVER 47.5 -105
GIANTS @ 49ers +6.5 -103
Giants @ 49ers OVER 46 -105
Bills @ Cardinals UNDER 44 -103
PATRIOTS @ Seahawks -3.5 +101
Patriots @ Seahawks OVER 44 -103
Cowboys @ RAVENS -3.5 +105
Cowboys @ Ravens UNDER 44.5 -104
Chiefs @ Bucs UNDER 40.5 -108
Colts @ Jets OVER 44 -107

toddorts · 10-14-12, 11:35 PM

Basically a do-nothing day. Record was 6-6-1, -0.26 units.

Season Record:

58-45-5
56.31%
+9.49 units

toddorts · 10-15-12, 04:44 PM

Two picks for tonight's game:

Broncos @ Chargers UNDER 47.5 -105
Broncos @ CHARGERS +1 -111

toddorts · 10-15-12, 11:22 PM

Bad night. Record was 0-2, -2.00 units. Hopefully next week is better.

Season Record:

58-47-5
55.24%
+7.49 units

toddorts · 10-18-12, 06:45 PM

Only a play on the total tonight. Side is too close to call at this spread. Here's the pick:

Seahawks @ 49ers OVER 37.5 -104

toddorts · 10-19-12, 10:07 AM

Well, another bad night. Record was 0-1, -1.00 units.

Season Record:

58-48-5
54.72%
+6.49 units

toddorts · 10-21-12, 09:35 AM

Well, let's see if my bad run of the past few nights can get corrected today. On the Bills game, most books are offering -4, which is fine, but I found a -3.5 at Sportsbook.com, so if you want that extra half point, that's where you can find it. It takes an eternity to get payouts processed by Sportsbook.com, though, so keep that in mind. Not as many picks today as I usually have, but still a good number. Here they are:

Titans @ BILLS -3.5 -110
Cardinals @ Vikings UNDER 40.5 -105
CARDINALS @ Vikings +7 -110
Browns @ COLTS -1.5 -105
PACKERS @ Rams -5 -102
Cowboys @ Panthers OVER 45.5 -102
Cowboys @ PANTHERS +2.5 +105
Redskins @ Giants UNDER 51.5 -106
Saints @ Bucs OVER 49 -110
Jets @ Patriots OVER 47.5 -102
JETS @ Patriots +10.5 -108
Steelers @ BENGALS +1 -109

toddorts · 10-21-12, 11:20 PM

Now that's more like it! Record for the day was 7-4-1, +2.64 units.

Season Record:

65-52-6
55.56%
+9.13 units

toddorts · 10-22-12, 07:20 PM

One pick for tonight's game. I didn't have enough time to look around for better lines, so you may be able to find a better one than I did, but this one should still be pretty solid:

Lions @ Bears OVER 45 -110

toddorts · 10-25-12, 11:43 AM

Forgot to update the record after Monday's game. Record was 0-1, -1.00 units.

Season Record:

65-53-6
55.08%
+8.13 units

toddorts · 10-25-12, 01:55 PM

Two picks on tonight's game:

Bucs @ Vikings OVER 43 -108
Bucs @ VIKINGS -5 -107

toddorts · 10-26-12, 12:48 AM

Mixed bag tonight at 1-1, -0.07 units.

Season Record:

66-54-6
55.00%
+8.06 units

toddorts · 10-27-12, 09:52 PM

Going to be out on a sailboat tomorrow, so have to get my Sunday bets in tonight. Here are the picks:

Patriots @ Rams OVER 47 -103
PATRIOTS @ Rams -7 +100
Colts @ Titans UNDER 47 -110
Jaguars @ Packers UNDER 45.5 -103
Jaguars @ PACKERS -14.5 -102
CHARGERS @ Browns -3 +105
Falcons @ Eagles OVER 42 -110
Seahawks @ Lions OVER 42.5 -107
Seahawks @ LIONS -2.5 -110
Dolphins @ Jets UNDER 38 -102
Dolphins @ JETS -2 -105
Panthers @ Bears OVER 42 -110
Redskins @ Steelers OVER 44.5 -105
Redskins @ STEELERS -4 -105
RAIDERS @ Chiefs +1 -105
Giants @ Cowboys OVER 48 -105
Saints @ Broncos OVER 55 -105

toddorts · 10-28-12, 10:41 PM

Great day! And even better because I write this from my cabin on a sailboat anchored just south of Miami.

Record today was 11-6, +4.37 units.

Season Record:

77-60-6
56.20%
+12.43 units

toddorts · 11-04-12, 11:55 AM

Time for today's picks:

Broncos @ Bengals OVER 47 -110
Broncos @ BENGALS +5 -105
Cardinals @ Packers OVER 43 -105
Cardinals @ PACKERS -10 -107
Dolphins @ Colts UNDER 44 -107
Ravens @ Browns UNDER 43.5 -107
Panthers @ Redskins UNDER 48.5 -110
Lions @ Jaguars OVER 44 -105
Bears @ Titans OVER 43.5 -110
Bears @ TITANS +5 -110
Vikings @ Seahawks OVER 38.5 -107
Bucs @ Raiders UNDER 47.5 -110
Bucs @ RAIDERS -1.5 -107
Steelers @ Giants OVER 47.5 -107
Cowboys @ FALCONS -3.5 +100

toddorts · 11-05-12, 12:25 AM

Great day again! Record was 10-5, +4.37 units.

Season Record:

87-65-6
57.24%
+16.8 units

toddorts · 11-05-12, 10:27 AM

Only a pick on the side tonight. Total is too close to call. On the side, books are offering either -3 or -2.5 for the Saints. My numbers show that the Saints should win this game by at least a touchdown, so going for -3 and getting the plus money is the smarter play, in my opinion.

Eagles @ SAINTS -3 +105

toddorts · 11-06-12, 12:47 AM

Good night! Went 1-0, +1.05 units.

Season Record:

88-65-6
57.52%
+17.85 units

toddorts · 11-08-12, 01:13 PM

Tonight's picks:

Colts @ Jaguars UNDER 43 -107
Colts @ JAGUARS +3.5 -110

toddorts · 11-09-12, 01:23 AM

Mixed bag tonight at 1-1, -0.07 units.

Season Record:

89-66-6
57.42%
+17.78 units

toddorts · 11-11-12, 10:47 AM

On the Broncos/Panthers game, the only place to find the +4.5 spread is at Sportsbook.ag. Everyone else has it at only +3.5, but that's still a good line that I would take. Same goes for the Saints game, where everyone else has +1.5. Still a good line that I would take. Anyway, here are today's picks:

Bills @ PATRIOTS -13.5 -107
Giants @ Bengals OVER 48.5 -102
Giants @ BENGALS +4.5 -108
CHARGERS @ Bucs +3 +100
Broncos @ PANTHERS +4.5 -110
Titans @ Dolphins OVER 44 -108
Raiders @ Ravens UNDER 48 -110
Falcons @ Saints OVER 53.5 -109
Falcons @ SAINTS +2 -110
Lions @ Vikings OVER 45.5 -105
Jets @ Seahawks UNDER 39 -107
JETS @ Seahawks +5.5 -105
Cowboys @ Eagles UNDER 44.5 -110
Cowboys @ EAGLES +2.5 -110
Texans @ Bears OVER 39.5 -110
TEXANS @ Bears +1.5 -108

toddorts · 11-12-12, 12:15 AM

Bad day today in football. It's been a good season so far, so it was bound to happen eventually. Results were 6-10, -4.43 units.

Season Record:

95-76-6
55.56%
+13.35 units

toddorts · 11-12-12, 10:17 AM

No picks on tonight's game. The total is sharp as hell, and the spread isn't much better. The closest thing to a good spread is over at Heritage Sports where they're offering Steelers -11.5, but that's still too close for comfort. Sometimes the best play is no play at all.

toddorts · 11-15-12, 10:39 AM

My only pick on tonight's game is on the total. The side is way too close to call.

Dolphins @ Bills UNDER 45 -106

toddorts · 11-16-12, 11:10 AM

Surprised the Bills did so well, but the total still turned out as expected. Last night was 1-0, +0.94 units.

Season Record:

96-76-6
55.81%
+14.29 units

toddorts · 11-18-12, 11:50 AM

Today's picks:

Packers @ Lions OVER 52 -110
Cardinals @ Falcons UNDER 44.5 -108
Bucs @ Panthers UNDER 48 -107
Browns @ Cowboys UNDER 43.5 -105
Jets @ Rams OVER 38.5 -110
Colts @ PATRIOTS -9.5 -108
Jaguars @ Texans UNDER 40.5 -103
BENGALS @ Chiefs -3 +100
Saints @ Raiders OVER 55 -108
CHARGERS @ Broncos +8 -108
Ravens @ Steelers OVER 40 -110
Ravens @ STEELERS +3 -105

toddorts · 11-19-12, 12:01 AM

Well, a bad day in the NBA was made up for by a good day in the NFL. Very unusually high number of pushes, though! Record today was 6-3-3, +2.64 units.

Season Record:

102-79-9
56.35%
+16.93 units

toddorts · 11-19-12, 11:17 AM

Looking forward to tonight's game, and I've got picks on both the side and total. On the total, the numbers don't indicate a score this low, even with these great defenses. A score of something like 24-14 is a very real possibility here. I think the public is overemphasizing the defense, and the books are keeping the total low for that reason. An easy opportunity for an over, in my opinion. Not a sure thing by any means, but definitely profitable long term. FYI, go to Bookmaker or BetDSI for the 34.5 line. Everyone else has the line at 35, which turns into a push with a score of 21-14, which is another real possibility. The half point makes a difference here. On the side, I think the Bears are getting too much credit. The fact that they've been playing mostly teams with mediocre defenses all season has driven up their averages scores. When you look at games against teams with better defense, they've struggled to put up double digits. I think they'll break into double digits tonight, but not by much. The 49ers, on the other hand, shouldn't have any problems getting up into the 20s. A 3.5 point spread makes it an easy call.

Bears @ 49ers OVER 34.5 -110
Bears @ 49ERS -3.5 -103

toddorts · 11-20-12, 01:20 AM

Great night! Record was 2-0, +1.88 units.

Season Record:

104-79-9
56.83%
+18.81 units

toddorts · 11-22-12, 10:42 AM

Happy Thanksgiving! And with Thanksgiving comes good football, so here are today's picks:

Texans @ Lions OVER 49 -105
Redskins @ Cowboys UNDER 48 -110
Patriots @ Jets OVER 48.5 -107
Patriots @ JETS +7 +EV

toddorts · 11-23-12, 12:56 AM

Some pretty good football, but basically a nothing day at 2-2, -0.11 units.

Season Record:

106-81-9
56.68%
+18.70 units

toddorts · 11-25-12, 10:54 AM

Today's picks:

Raiders @ Bengals UNDER 50.5 -103
Steelers @ Browns OVER 34 -105
Steelers @ BROWNS +2.5 -107
Bills @ Colts UNDER 50.5 -102
BILLS @ Colts +2.5 +105
Titans @ Jaguars UNDER 44.5 -105
Titans @ JAGUARS +3.5 -110
Vikings @ Bears OVER 38.5 -103
Vikings @ BEARS -6 -105
Falcons @ Bucs OVER 51.5 -110
Falcons @ BUCS +1.5 -103
Seahawks @ DOLPHINS +3 -108
Ravens @ CHARGERS PK -108
49ers @ Saints OVER 50 -103
49ers @ SAINTS +2 -108
Rams @ Cardinals UNDER 36.5 -105
Rams @ CARDINALS -1.5 -105
Packers @ Giants OVER 51 -110
PACKERS @ Giants +2.5 +105

toddorts · 11-26-12, 01:36 AM

Well, the day started off great, but ended up with a slight loss. Record was 9-9-1, -0.43 units.

Season Record:

115-90-10
56.10%
+18.27 units

toddorts · 11-26-12, 11:18 AM

A pick on both the side and total for tonight's game:

Panthers @ Eagles OVER 41 -104
Panthers @ EAGLES +3 -103

toddorts · 11-27-12, 02:02 AM

Almost, but not quite for the Eagles. At least the total panned out. Record was 1-1, -0.04 units.

Season Record:

116-91-10
56.04%
+18.23 units