Calmeat NFL Picks 2012

imarkp · 10-22-12, 09:42 AM

thank the teaser god, great wk, added 60% to my bankroll, mainly with added pts: min,tb,cin,stl,car,cle,gb/stl under. cal, looks like you did pretty good with your teasers too . looking forward to next wk, keep up good work

calmeat · 10-22-12, 10:06 AM

thanks imarkp, with that last tease with NEP i ended up losing a unit on posted plays. However i did forget to post one tease (mainly because it was for fun)

8tm 7pt Tease (+1000)
SF-3/MIN-.5/CLE+8/CAR+9.5/WSH+14/TBB+9.5/CIN+8/CHIpk
Only a CHI win left on it so really hoping that hits

calmeat · 10-23-12, 08:41 AM

Results Week 7
=========================
Overall
System
ML = 44-28 61.11%
ATS = 31-38 44.93%
O/U = 36-36 50%

Consensus Picks
ML = 13-12 52%
ATS = 13-11 54.17%
O/U = 13-12 52%

System Plays
23-25 47.92% +3.37u

My Plays
14-12 53.85% +7.05u

Week 7
ML = 8-5
ATS = 3-9
O/U = 5-8

Consensus Picks
Week 7
ML = 3-4
ATS = 2-5
O/U = 2-5

imarkp · 10-23-12, 11:31 AM

real nice hit on last teaser. great start for new wk. glad i didn't bet a parlay on last nights game. turned it off after int. with under 3 min to go. didn't see det. td. once again, teaser pts paid off. I had 3 live ones and added another. was gonna post yest. after I saw your post but I'm very superstitious. lot of times won't even watch end of close games. afraid i'll jinx my team lol. anyway, heres what I had:

2u cle+7.5/stl+10.5/chi-.5 +180 W +3.6u
1u cle+7.5/tb+7/cin+7/dal-car u52.5/chi-.5 +180 W +1.8u. 2 pushes knocked it down from +450
1u cle+7.5/car+8.5/jax+12/chi-.5 +300 W +3u
3u chi-.5-u52.5 -110 W +3u
too bad lost stl/sfr series -110 L-5.5u, 3u u6.5 gm7 L -3.2u, 2u no run 1st inn L-3.3u (silly bet on a whim lol)
net -.6u to start new wk. wasted all those teasers, oh well, 6 more days, plenty of plays, i say, hey hey, gonna lay, a big pay day. lets have some fun. winning never gets old.
last wk +31.6u
season +48.1u

calmeat · 10-25-12, 01:03 PM

Calmeat's System Picks

YTD
ML44-28 61.11%, ATS 31-38 44.93%, O/U 36-36 50%
Consensus Picks 13-11 ATS 54.17%

Week 8

Consensus Picks
WSH +4.5
TBB +5.5
TEN -3.5
OAK +1

calmeat · 10-25-12, 01:09 PM

System Bets

Straight
WSH +4.5 (-110) 1u
TBB +5.5 (-110) .5u

Parlay
WSH/TBB 0u

Tease
6pt WSH+10.5/TBB+11.5 (-105) 2u
7pt WSH+11.5/TBB+12.5/TEN+3.5 (+142) 1u

Home Dog
No Plays

calmeat · 10-25-12, 01:17 PM

My Plays (so far)

2tm 6pt Tease MIN+1/Under49 1u (-105)
7tm 7pt Tease TBB+14/TEN+4/GB-9.5/SEA+8/WSH+11.5/OAK+7/SFpk 1u (+725)
11tm 14pt Tease NEP+6/TEN+10.5/GB-2.5/SD+11.5/ATL+15/SEA+15/NYJ+13/CHI+5/WSH+18.5/OAK+15/NYG+13 1u (+250)
4tm 8.5pt Tease TBB+14/WSH+13/OAK+8.5/NYG+7.5 1U (+160)

calmeat · 10-27-12, 08:57 AM

Adding to MY Plays
2tm 6pt Tease OAK +7.5/DEN PK 2u (-105)
2tm 6pt Tease SEA+8.5/SF-1 1u (-105)
4tm 7.5pt Tease SEA+8.5/OAK+7.5/DEN+.5/SF-.5 1u (200)

CBOYNATION · 10-28-12, 08:12 PM

Tough Day... Skins really killed off the system teasers. Other teasers may bring me back from the dead though.

calmeat · 10-28-12, 08:21 PM

Yeah wash killed me this week. Really thought it would have been a close one. Really hoping the added my plays get me back to even.

calmeat · 11-01-12, 02:22 PM

Calmeat's System

YTD
ML 55-31 63.95%, ATS 38-45 45.78%, O/U 43-43 50%
Consensus Picks ATS 15-13 53.57%

Week 9

Consensus Picks
WSH -3
CIN 3.5
NYG 3
TB 1.5
BUF 10
CLE 3.5
GB -11
JAX 3.5
SD -7.5
IND 2.5

calmeat · 11-01-12, 02:29 PM

System Bets

Straight
WSH -3 (-110) 1u
TBB +1 (-110) 1u

Parlay
WSH/TBB .5u

Tease
6pt WSH+3/TBB+7 (-105) 1u
7pt WSH+4/TBB+8/NYG+3.5 (+142) 2u

Home Dog
CIN +170
JAX +170
IND +110
CLE +165

calmeat · 11-01-12, 05:50 PM

My Plays (so far)
2tm 6.5pt Tease SD-2.5/Ov 34 .5u (-115)

CBOYNATION · 11-01-12, 06:25 PM

System bets: WSH and TBB? Isn't this last weeks card? System really likes these two teams!

calmeat · 11-01-12, 06:51 PM

Haha i thought the same thing when i was typing it out. certain teams get undervalued even though their stats show better then public perception. I do like TB i would really like Wash if you can get 2.5. Personally i think the 7pt tease is the best bet of them all.

calmeat · 11-02-12, 02:16 PM

My Plays (added)
2tm 6pt Tease Den+2.5/CHI+2.5 3u (-105)
3tm 7.5pt Tease WSH+4/TBB+7.5/NYG+4.5 2.5u (+127)
4tm 7.5pt Tease WSH+4/TBB+7.5/NYG+4.5/DAL+11.5 2u (+200)
10tm 7.5pt Tease SD-1.5/DEN+4/GB-4.5/BAL+4/HOU-4/CHI+4/TB+7.5/NYG+4.5/ATL+3.5/NOS+4.5 .5u (+1525)
10tm 8.5pt Tease SD-.5/CIN+12/GB-4/IND+10/CLE+12/BUF+20/WSH+5/JAX+12.5/TBB+8.5/NYG+5.5 .5u (+1050)
6tm ML Parlay DEN/MIA/HOU/CHI/NYG/ATL .5u (+1100)

calmeat · 11-07-12, 03:08 PM

System has been sucking lately. Thank god for hitting the 2 10 teamers otherwise i would not be doing to well.

Results Week 9
=========================
Overall
System
ML = 65-38 65%
ATS = 44-53 45.36%
O/U = 50-49 50.51%

Consensus Picks
ML = 22-17 56.41%
ATS = 19-19 50%
O/U = 19-19 50%

System Plays
25-32 43.86% -3.98u

My Plays
20-20 50% +13.73u

Week 9
ML = 10-4
ATS = 6-8
O/U = 7-6

Consensus Picks
Week 9
ML = 7-3
ATS = 4-6
O/U = 4-5

calmeat · 11-08-12, 03:18 PM

Calmeat's System Picks

YTD
ML 65-38 65%, ATS 44-53 45.36%, O/U 50-49 50.51%
Consensus Picks ATS 19-19 50%

Week 10

Consensus Picks
BUF +11
CIN +4
TEN +6
BAL -7.5
NOS +2.5
STL +11
KC +12.5

calmeat · 11-08-12, 03:27 PM

Dont Really like the bets this week. Im not sure why but i have a feeling that NOS wins outright vs the Falcons.

System Bets

Straight
NOS +2.5 (-110) 0u
BUF +11 (-110) 0u

Parlay
NOS+2.5/BUF +11 0u

Tease
6pt NOS+8.5/BUF+17 (-105) 1u
7pt NOS+9.5/BUF+18/TEN+13 (+142) 1u

Home Dog
NOS +120 .5u
CIN +170 0u

calmeat · 11-08-12, 03:47 PM

My Plays (so far)
Hit my second 10 team tease last week at (+1525) hoping to do it again this week.

2tm 6pt Tease IND+2.5/Under 49 .5u (-105)
8tm ML Parlay NEP/NYG/DEN/MIA/BAL/SEA/SF/PIT .25u (+761)
6tm 9.5pt Tease NEP-2.5/NYG+5.5/DEN+6/BAL+.5/SF-3/PIT-3.5 1u (+275)
10tm 7.5pt Tease NEP-4.5/NYG+3.5/TBB+4.5/DEN+4/MIA+.5/BAL-1.5/ATL+6.5/SEApk/SF-5/PIT-5.5 .5u (+1525)
10tm 9.5pt Tease JAX+12/BUF+21/CIN+12.5/TEN+15.5/BAL-.5/NOS+9.5/SEA+1.5/DAL+8.5/STL+21/KC+21.5 .5u (+1050)

amarius87 · 11-08-12, 07:39 PM

im feeling the saints as well...

calmeat · 11-09-12, 11:19 AM

Adding to MY Plays

2tm 6.5pt Tease BAL-2.5/PIT-6.5 2u (-115)
2tm 6.5pt Tease NYG+3/DEN+2.5 1u (-115)
7tm 7pt Tease NEP-5.5/NYG+3.5/DEN+3/MIApk/BAL-2/SF-5.5/PIT-6 .5u (+725)

calmeat · 11-11-12, 06:31 PM

OF course the week i dont really play the System bets the system does great. Uh kills me. Hopefully someone has more patience then me and played the system plays.

CBOYNATION · 11-11-12, 08:56 PM

Calmeat! Man, you are the teaser master! Yea, I played them... Finally really paid off! Hit a huge parlay too! Was down big from college foottball starting today but you dug me out my friend. Thanks! Oh, and final end of the parlay was DAL -2.5, sorry about the Eagles my friend. At least Vick is out and Noles looks better.

calmeat · 11-11-12, 09:09 PM

Sweet Glad it worked out for you! As long as PIT can cover tomorrow on my tease ill be happy. Otherwise ill be even to what i was before last weeks 10 teamer win.

As for the Birds eh i figured DAL was gonna win. Im just glad we finally got a look at foles vs a good D to see what he has. Guy looked good some rookie mistakes which he should be able to correct. Def rather have foles in then vick at least i can give the rookie excuse with foles i got nothin when vick sucks.

CBOYNATION · 11-15-12, 12:11 PM

Originally posted by calmeat

Sweet Glad it worked out for you! As long as PIT can cover tomorrow on my tease ill be happy. Otherwise ill be even to what i was before last weeks 10 teamer win.

As for the Birds eh i figured DAL was gonna win. Im just glad we finally got a look at foles vs a good D to see what he has. Guy looked good some rookie mistakes which he should be able to correct. Def rather have foles in then vick at least i can give the rookie excuse with foles i got nothin when vick sucks.

Can't believe Pitt didn't score the INT at the end of the game! I actually had a shot to hit two teasers on that game had KC +19.5 and Pitt -5.5 seeing as how I thought they would both hit! I ended up a small loser after Pitt didn't cover though but what can you do. Usually desperate teams play a lot better when desperate.

As for Foles, he may be the new face of the franchise if he can put a couple of games together. A lot of talk that Vick is done for year and with Eagles. I'm not sure which way I want the Eagles to go though, I think I rather have Vick playing so Eagles don't become a major threat again in the NFC East (hardest division in football)!

Looking forward to this week's system plays and teasers! Man, your teasers have been $$ all year!

calmeat · 11-15-12, 02:35 PM

Calmeat's System Picks

YTD
ML 73-39 65.18%, ATS 54-57 48.65%, O/U 58-55 51.33%
Consensus Picks ATS 26-19 57.78%

Week 11

Consensus Picks
TBB-1.5
BUF -2.5
CLE +8
CIN -3.5
JAX +15
OAK +4.5

calmeat · 11-15-12, 02:39 PM

System Bets

Straight
TBB -1.5 (-110) 1u
BUF -2.5 (-110) .5u

Parlay
TBB-1.5/BUF -2.5 .25u

Tease
6pt TBB +4.5/BUF+3.5 (-105) .5u
7pt TBB +5.5/BUF+4.5/CIN+4.5 (+142) 1u

Home Dog
OAK +180 0u

calmeat · 11-15-12, 02:57 PM

My Plays (so far)
2tm 6pt Tease BUF+5 /Under 51 .5u (-105)
2tm Parlay TBB-1/CIN-3 1u
5tm ML Parlay GB/ATL/NEP/HOU/BAL .5u
6tm 13.5pt Tease BUF+12.5/TBB+12.5/CLE+22.5/JAX+30/CIN+10/OAK+18 .5u (+115)
7tm 7.5pt Tease GB+4/ATL-3/TB+7.5/NEP-2.5/HOU-9/CIN+4/BAL+4 1u (+590)

CBOYNATION · 11-18-12, 10:01 PM

Another good week man! About nail this parlay too! I had to hedge it though for guaranteed cash! Those system bets were $$$.

calmeat · 11-18-12, 10:27 PM

yeah another good week. Also got another thing tracking since week 9 including this week its 9-0 so might be throwing some money on them this week as well. Glad you had a good week and good luck on the PAR. I got one going as well so hoping BAL can at least just win the game.

calmeat · 11-19-12, 12:37 PM

Results Week 11
=========================
Overall
System
ML = 85-40 68%
ATS = 62-62 50%
O/U = 64-62 50.79%

Consensus Picks
ML = 33-19 63.46%
ATS = 32-20 61.54%
O/U = 26-26 50%

System Plays
33-32 50.77% 2.66u

My Plays
24-29 45.28% +10.75u

Week 11
ML = 12-1
ATS = 8-5
O/U = 64-62

Consensus Picks
Week 11
ML = 7-0
ATS = 6-1
O/U = 3-4

Arky · 11-19-12, 06:18 PM

Consensus picks ATS starting to pick up steam..... 13-1 last two weeks.... very nice!

I take it Chicago +3.5 is the way to go tonight (using the sheet)?

calmeat · 11-19-12, 06:46 PM

ARKY,
Yeah normal Circumstances yes CHI would be the play but with both QBs not playing, thats a no play.

CBOYNATION · 11-19-12, 10:32 PM

Originally posted by calmeat

yeah another good week. Also got another thing tracking since week 9 including this week its 9-0 so might be throwing some money on them this week as well. Glad you had a good week and good luck on the PAR. I got one going as well so hoping BAL can at least just win the game.

Yea, I had the ravens at the end of my parlay as well. Actually took some of your teams from your parlay. My local book doesn't have ML for teams that are above -400 on his site, so had to improvise with some other teams in there. Thanks again by the way.

What have you been tracking?