calmeat NFL Picks

[calmeat]

haha i love it. Hoping your right

[Coach Potato]

lol followed your consensus picks again this week. Lol cant wait for next week!!

[calmeat]

alright diablozz your team came through for us. As much as i hate both teams (eagles are my team) glad yours won. 6-0 ats for consensus picks and 11-4 ATS for the sheet. Good weekend.

[Coach Potato]

i like the giants pick. Have a feeing that the cowboys will choke big time

[diablozz]

hahaha what I tell you!

That Eagles +3 was also a great call too but I followed something else BLEH...


I'm sure you did great this week and all the tailers would also say the same!

[CHOLMES]

Ada Kid calmeat!!!! The sheet is the goods!

[calmeat]

So i have a dillemma tonight. With the SEA spread going to 9.5/10.5 the sheet would say to pick STL. And to top that off it would be a consensus pick which has gone 6-0 this week so far. I just cant bet a bad teams laying that many pts or take a bad team who could easily lose by 20 pts. So my play tonight is....

6pt Tease
SEA -5 Under 44

Lets get em

[On Top]

They have to start scoring sooner or later don't go against your system you will regret it in the morning.

[calmeat]

yeah i often do this and regret it. But my gut is really saying sea will cover the teaser.

[diablozz]

Did the same thing as you Calmeat... GO US!

[calmeat]

wow that was a close one. i got seattle under at 44 on my tease so won by a pt. Woohoo winner!

[uup115]

i had same pick Sea teased to under...best week in awhile....I'm also watching you...pressure is on!

[calmeat]

Thanks micaman for the pts! Hopefully we can repeat this week.

[uup115]

Calmeat, his picks are up...get cracking...I got bills to pay!

[micaman]

no worries calmeat, I would transfer all my pts if I could. Been trailing the sheet for weeks now and it has provided a good baseline for my pool picks.

[calmeat]

So here is the early look at the sheet.


I will be updating the sheet friday with latest spreads and all and injury concerns etc.

Not sure how i feel about consensus picks this week will have to look into them more.

First thought is Under in CHI/SEA game

[calmeat]

So for tonights game. I think i will be teasing ATL. Sheet has JAX but sheet doesnt take into account the injuries to JAX secondary. There is about 5-6 injuries in that D backfield which will open things up for Ryan. ATL should have thier way with JAX.

And for Sat TBB just got crushed by the JAX so usuallyl i would say they would cover vs DAL, but just not sure if they will mail this game in or not. Any thoughts on the games?

[diablozz]

Giants vs Redskins Over 45.5. Giants are getting healthy with their receivers and Rex Grossman have not been looking too shabby lately. They've scored around 20 something points in teh past 4 games and the Giants can definitely score 20+ with all the vertical threats they have back. Both defense have been struggling even though Giants have played high power offensive teams lately. So I'd really like the over.

[calmeat]

Locked in my play for tonight
7 pt tease ties win
ATL -7 under 49.5

Good luck with whatever you do!

[Arky]

Thanks for posting these...

[calmeat]

thanks for the pts arky. Man that really sucks to lose my tease on a last minute TD really blows. Should have just an open Tease and left the under out of it, On to the rest of the games.

[diablozz]

I also really like the Dallas -7 on Saturday night. Cowboys can't afford to lose another game and Tampa defense have been horrible lately. With all the healthy WR again I think Dallas is going to score a lot. Not to mention that they have Felix Jones who's actually playing to get his job back. This sucks because it's going against the spreadsheet.

I can see this game going something like 32-20 Cowboys.

[calmeat]

yes its going against the sheet but you have to remember as well the sheet does not add the variables into a play its strictly stats. Those stats reflect a team without thier top WR and FB who both just returned and TBB team who have nothing to play for at this time. I will def be playing DAL on a tease.

[calmeat]

Updated sheet

Red is injury concerns, Blue is Consensus picks, Purple is games i like in teases.
GB -Jennings out can it hurt GB's scoring??
MIN - Peterson Back could be closer game with petereson rested.
CHI- Cutler and forte out
MIA- Moore in or out
STL - Clemens starting?
DET - SUH back could go off on OAK
CLE - Senaca wallace could start
ARI - Skelton could start
PIT - Big Ben out could ruin pitts chance of covering.

[calmeat]

Playing for the early games
10 pt tease
NYG +4, SEA/CHI Under 44.5, CIN +3

Also Open Tease with CIN (will be closing it with ARI)

[calmeat]

NFL Week 16 -- Early Looks



Red is injury concerns, Blue is Consensus picks, Purple is games i like in
teases.

Week 15
9-7 ML 56.25%, 6-8 ATS 42.86%, 11-5 O/U 68.75%

YTD
124-68 ML 64.58%, 110-74 ATS 59.78%, 107-79 O/U 57.53%

[calmeat]

Updated Sheet


teaser games
HOU, OAK, JAX, ARI, NEP, NYG, TBB, SF, PHI, GB

[calmeat]

lets see how the last week goes

[calmeat]

Tease SF and ATL

[CHOLMES]

Who do you like tonight? I teased SF with GB/DET Over by per my feel on the info from the sheet. I like the sheet dude!

[calmeat]

My gut says Giants tonight. I have them +7 left in a 5tm 10 pt tease to win 50 so hoping they will at least cover that.

Right now im thinking Giants straight. Still debating if i want to do NYG and Over tease or not. Ill try to get back to post my final play.

[calmeat]

Doing 6 pt Tease NYG and Over

[calmeat]

Just wanted to share the latest records. I will be putting up the wild card round hopefully later today

Week 17
11-5 ML 68.75%, 6-9 ATS 40%, 9-7 O/U 56.25%

YTD
148-76 ML 66.07%, 125-89 ATS 58.41%, 125-92 O/U 57.60%
Consensus Picks 60-26 ATS 69.76%

[calmeat]

Here it is Wild card weekend. Now that meaningless games are out of the way (week 16 and 17) hoping the sheet gets back on track.

[Coach Potato]