fg's season long thread

[footballgirl]

thanks amster...gonna post bowl plays here as well...I have been playing college games mostly ou but will also post bowl games here keeping separate stats....going with my first play for tomorrows gildan new mexico bowl...I am going with a teaser....I like temple here...there D has been quite good this year allowing only 13.8ppg and scoring 30 ppg. Wyoming on the other hand was allowing 27 ppg and was scoring 27ppg this year. I think that temple will take this one but I am not sure about the 6.5 although I think they will cover that. I am going with the teaser as I think this game will go over 43.5...I think temple will put up close to 30 and can see wyoming getting about 17 points here maybe even hitting mid 20's. Now temple if temple is allowing only 13.8ppg the odds makers are thinking that they will be allowing more than that for this one as the spread is only 6.5....so unless they feel that this game is going to be low scoring (which they do not as reflected in the initial total number) I see this game going over 44 for sure....if they thought that wyoming was only going to get 14 points the spread would have been much bigger I think. So get on this one
so for my first bowl game
6.5pt tease
temple -.5/ Over 44 for $75

changed this from a 7 point tease to 6.5 like the odds better
lets get this one

[footballgirl]

Thursday night
Atl -13.5 win +47.15
Atl tt O 27.5 win +49
Atl 2H O 17.5 win +55

Season stats
51-49-3
+1041.30

[footballgirl]

going with a 6 pt tease for tomorrow night to start things off in the nfl
Dall -1/Over 41 for 100-even money.
lets get it

[footballgirl]

I am doing a fun teaser....this will not count towards my regular season stats because it is a 6 teamer but I wanted to put it out there because I like it...but the win/loss and the money gained/lost will not count in my regular stats....here it is...
6pt tease
Dallas-1/giants-.5/tenn-1/det+5/den+15/philly/jets O38
just for fun $20 to win 140
you never know....I like it,....I find with teasers they always look great and you always think you have a sure thing and then well you know what happens....so with a 6 teamer I am just not counting it but its just for fun I thought I would put it out there.....

[footballgirl]

another ncaa play ncaa divisional football championship-Georgia southern and North Dakota State. All year these teams have been very high scoring. Today when they play each other they are in a dome and in a dome I say
Playing in a dome=take the over

if you look at the games these teams played during the year they were very high scoring. i expect nothing less today in the dome so for my 2nd ncaa play today

NDS/Georgia Southern O 51 for 125

[footballgirl]

Temple-.5/O 44 teaser win +75
1-0 in bowls

dome game not looking as hot...there goes that theory

[footballgirl]

adding more to dallas tease-adding another 100 to bet....dal -1 O41
lets get it dallas....put up 45 yourselves

[footballgirl]

the teaser hit last night....
dal-1/daO41 win +200
Season stats
52-49-3
+1241.30

[footballgirl]

How weird is the denver line...should have jumped onit first thing yesterday +9 at -128 and it doesnt get any better if you try to but it down...to 7.5 at -112...I really wanted to take denver but not at those odds....very telling why not just bring line back to 6....I am not happy seems like lots on den+9 i guess and everyone was on NE -6...and den +9 was going to be a play but unless the odds change it is a no play for me

[footballgirl]

I may have to buy out of my philly bet but will only know later in the day....I just read someone's post about the philly game today...saying if giants win (which they most likely will) then philly will officially be out of the playoff race....and he thinks if that happens they may pull vick (and I think vince young has some ankle problem) and put lord knows who in and the team would be so unfocussed that the game will be a write off for philly...but really I mean why would that happen....many teams who are totally out of the playoff race love to be the spoilers...who wouldnt love to hand the jets a loss and send them packing too....teams love to be in that position...and I would love to see the jets out of the playoffs....

[decado]

i don't think the eagles will give up yet. yeah they'll feel down if giants win at noon.

here's an article explaining the chances philly has left: http://www.csnphilly.com/blog/eagles...332&feedID=704

[footballgirl]

I agree I dont think they will give up...I think they will want to be the spoilers for the jets today!!!!

[footballgirl]

so unlike me not to have plays for sunday and multiple ones at that...I am sticking with the philly over....I really like the no/minny over as well as it is in a dome and I can see this being a high scoring game but I am just not convinced that NO will be pushing it 100 percent so I am staying away....I do liek detroit...but did not get bet in this morning at -1 and now the line is at -3 which I do not like....although if I was to take it at 1 why not at 3.....I think det kills this one...but have just not made it official....I do like the chargers tonight....so will put that up now as well I like them on the ml but will take them at +1 just in case....I would be pissed if they lost by one...although I am pretty confident they will win this outright....

SD +1 for 200

[footballgirl]

ok ....had another look and here we go....going with a team that is getting a huge player back and whose qb has been looking much better in the past 2 weeks....going with minny today...I really love them in this spot....NO on the road has been terrible (although they r playing in a dome today so u never know). I like what ponder has been doing the past 2 weeks his game has improved tremendously....and with AP back in the line up today I see them trying to pull it together today against a team that has already clinched a spot in the playoffs....so going with

Minny +7 for 75

Also biting the bullet and goin with det....gonna go with the juiced up ml though because I am just not happy with the -3....the books are wanting you to jump all over that line with it just over even money but I will not bite that one and will go with:

Det -1.5 for 200 buying it down...I could wait for before game time but it could go up even more

Lets get this today....

[shocktopme]

.

Good luck today girl!!!!!!!Hope your Eagles win for ya

[footballgirl]

wow minny has been lucky with 2 huge turnovers by NO.....I mean the snap...brees did not even realize that the ball had gone right by him....but ponder....what is he doing he is back to his baseline....sucking right now...r u kidding me 2 huge turnovers and you cant get anything but 2 fg"s r u kidding ponder start playing

[footballgirl]

I hope I dont regret this
GB 2h -10 for 250
come on rodgers wake up and get 3 td's in 2nd half kc cannot score

[Vulcan300]

i was away this weekend, couldn't get in many plays because i forgot to bring a phone charger

did well with dallas and i pushed with -1 lions. that jets/phi game played out pretty close to how i though it would + jets failing, nice hit on that.

[footballgirl]

thoughts for today now that ben is in??? I like the Under but I feel that I always get burned on them

[Vulcan300]

-pitt is flying out to west coast but had a long week so that should cancel out
-ben is playing but how effective will he be(tomlin said he won't play if he can't complete a full practice so i'm guessing he did?)
but

Coach Mike Tomlin is "optimistic" and the Pittsburgh Post-Gazette has reported that Roethlisberger is "good to go," but Schefter maintains that Big Ben's status is "still unsure" even if the Steelers "believe he'll play." Before Saturday's encouraging practice, SI.com's Peter King was told by "Someone Who Should Know" that there was "no way" Roethlisberger would play in Week 15. Check back later in the day for an update.

-james harrison is out for helmet to helmet from last week
-center is out

Steelers C Maurkice Pouncey (ankle) has been declared out for Week 15.
Pouncey guaranteed earlier in the week he'd be active against the 49ers, but was never terribly likely to play just 11 days after suffering his second high-ankle sprain in the past 11 months. LG Doug Legursky will slide over to center in Pouncey's absence. Pouncey should initially be considered questionable for Week 16.

-WR emanuel sanders is out

Emmanuel Sanders (foot) has been ruled out for Week 15.
It will be the second straight game Sanders has missed, and fourth in the past seven weeks. Still a high-ceiling own in dynasty formats, Sanders is off the radar in redraft leagues.

-The Steelers’ defense has given up 19 total points in the last three games
-Patrick Willis out

49ers ILB Patrick Willis was again held out of practice on Saturday.
Official word will come later this afternoon, but Willis won't be playing against the Steelers on Monday Night Football. The Sacramento Bee's Matt Barrows believes Willis' status for Week 16 is now in doubt.

-49ers have redzone problems converting..
-smith's targets not making a whole lot of catches
-gore isn't 100% supposedly and has been under performing but

Frank Gore insisted Friday that his reduced Week 14 workload was due to the 49ers' game plan, not his shaky health.
"Me and Kendall (Hunter) were in and out," Gore said. "I guess that's how the game was called." It's also possible that the 49ers game-planned to reduce workload because of his health. Gore is off the Week 15 injury report, but faces an incredibly difficult matchup against the Steelers on Monday night.

-This is the first meeting between the teams since Pittsburgh's 37-16 home victory in 2007.

with all that, we should play the under right? lol

[Vulcan300]

played under for 1x and had SF +3 teased from chargers, not feeling anything else. just some action, nothing big.

[footballgirl]

love the injury update....I know this will come back to bite me but for some reason I have a gut feeling about pitt tonight....
Pitt +3 for 50

I have the under @ 39 for small too bought it up this morning....did it earlier but will not count it here as did not have time to post when I did it....

SF should be a no branier here...but the line has been up and down and up and down and now ended at +3 pitt....I just feel with all the pitt injuries, the line should be even higher and it is not....so I unfortunately and leaning to pitt....thinking this line smells a bit fishy to me...could be wrong that why I am going small.....but there is something strange,,,and the fact that they are saying ben is starting well that just screams pitt has this one to me....they would not start him if they are not coming full force tonight....palumalou will kill it tonight!!!

[footballgirl]

Sunday
Minny +7 loss -75
Live GB -4 loss -250
det -1.5 loss -200
philly o 45 win +190.4
sd +1 qwin +194.2

loss -140.60 last night
2-3

Season stats
54-52-3
+1100.7

[footballgirl]

6pt tease pit+9 and Under 43 for 75

[Vulcan300]

that pick helped along with redzone problems of 49ers, great for the under!

[footballgirl]

ok...so I have my biggest play of the season so far. I am going with Philly O. The books are back on Philly and ave adjusted their game totals to the 50/just over mark. The 2 weeks since vick has been philly's totals have been at 44 and 45.....now that Miami game should have hit for sure but miami just sucked it up...philly last week hit the total on their own putting up 45 points against the jets D. Now this week when philly and dallas meet for the last time of the season, I see this being a high scoring shoot out between romo and vick....yes we all remember the game early in the season where dallas could hardly score a TD. But no matter what happens in this game philly will not be taking their foot of the pedal and will score as many points as they can to secure a win...so for my biggest play of the season....

Philly/Dallas O 50 for 750

Love it lets get this

[footballgirl]

adding another play today...what a game this is gonna be...they both need the win (although i would love to see the jets win this one to give dall and philly more motivation to bring it today and each score 27+++++

Jets/Gians Over 46 for 75
SD +2 for 50

[footballgirl]

I know its early but giants looking horrid in 1st q thats what I want to see...want to see the giants go down....and then the that will be good for philly game....lets go JETS

[footballgirl]

wow....not even gonna write up about that dallas game and romo being pulled...I mean is brady or rodgers sitting? Will brees sit? I mean come on I know that dallas has a huge game next week, but all the teams in the playoffs have big games coming up and I dont see anyone else sitting their qb...I mean r u kidding....I was going to buy out of the bet but when the jets were at the 1 yard line...the live line went to 52....and then MANGOLD.....R u kidding me with that snap on the 1 yard line and fumble....really....wow...so a huge loss and then just more and more losses to follow that...
lets hope that brees does not sit tonight for my play...I have been watching this one and I like it, but I wont like it if brees sits or does not come to play but I think he will...they still want to try to win out and there are some records to be broken....I really hope this is a good game....

going with the over here...its in a dome....NO averaging close to 40 a game at home and atl...well matty ice has to come alive to night again....just put up 21 and brees will take care of the rest
Saints/falcons O52 for $350
Season stats
54-56-3
+150.7

[DoubleRedDragon]

Nice. Yes, I like the over.

[footballgirl]

Saints/falcons O52 win +332.50
Season stats
55-56-3
+483.20

[footballgirl]

ok I have been away and am back now and am loving 2 plays for tonight....could not get to my computer to post when I was away.....for tonight I have

NO/Det O 58.5 for 500
I love this play and jumped on the line right when it came out...yes I know this number is high...its actually the highest total that an nfl game has been set at but I like it. Yes we can all remember the det/gb game that we all had the o at 56 and that game ended 27-15 but that was then and this is now and we have a team that is pedal to the metal all the time...NO is a high flying offense and is not goin to stop here...they are averaging 40+ points at home and I think that we see something close to that tonight...the question is can det keep it close....well I am really not concerned with whether or not they can as I am not on a side here....all they will need to to is get 3 td's and that will be fine to cover this monster O and I think they will do that and then some


Stafford pass completions O 26.5 for 250
I loved this prop during the year and was on it I think 3 times and it always hit. Stafford throws a lot...and will continue to do so tonight...I love this play and may even add more we will see

[footballgirl]

lets just talk quickly about the NO det game tonight...yes its bringing back memories of NO losing last year to seattle in the first (if my memory serves me correct). I remember hammering that live line like no tomorrow and getting burned big time....I mean who would have thought NO would have been taken out so quickly....but this year...about a month or month and a half ago...I had thought that NO looked like a super bowl bound team....until they stepped out of their dome and seemed to have forgotten how to play. When I saw that I felt there is no way this team can win another super bowl especially when they may have to play outside in a cold place. But tonight NO plays in their dome and we all know NO in their dome are an offensive machine.....but the line is quite high...but you never know what is going to happen with det...was it det no where det had 100+ yards in penalties....I just am not sure if NO can win by 11+ points....that is a big spread...this game will either be a blow out or will be a close one....so which will it be....I really am not sure and thats why I am staying away from a side and taking the over....

[footballgirl]

adding another prop

Will Jimmy graham have a td reception-Yes-for 400
I love this prop...I think more than the stafford prop bet...Graham is awesome and he will definitely get a TD tonight....

[footballgirl]

adding another prop
Will calvin johnson have a TD reception-yes for 250