LTA's NFL PLays

[alamo]

Hell yeah they should win! They are double digit favorites. Whether they cover the spread is a different story. Gun to my head, I would take the Steelers. However, I think this one is a better pass as the lines are razor sharp tonight with no value on the side or total. I will have a play for tomorrow night. If you are looking for action, maybe a Steelers/under tease might be fun.

Spot on bro. Played it exactly like you drew it up. Took the line down on Pitt and moved the total up. Congrats on a great week and now lets that over tmoro night !

[Redscot]

Some frustrating losses bro, but a nice week overall .

2 quick thoughts:

- If I was the Bears owner Lance Louis would have a fat bonus check in his mailbox this morning, that was awesome hustle.

- Von Miller is a rich man's Terrell Suggs - what an impact player.

GL on the over tonight LTA, I'll be riding along

[Love The Action]

Some frustrating losses bro, but a nice week overall .

2 quick thoughts:

- If I was the Bears owner Lance Louis would have a fat bonus check in his mailbox this morning, that was awesome hustle.

- Von Miller is a rich man's Terrell Suggs - what an impact player.

GL on the over tonight LTA, I'll be riding along

My man....what up Red. I hope you and the fam had a great Thanksgiving and everyone is well. How is school going for the boys? You back in the DR now?

Your points were spot on. I guess we all need to remember that when we fade Tebow we are also fading a lot of big time improved players like Miller.

Biggest NCAAF play of the year coming up on Friday if I can get the number I'm looking for. Looking forward to a big week in both NFL and NCAAF. Time for a late season run like we had in MLB. Good luck this week

[Trivial]

Some frustrating losses bro, but a nice week overall .

2 quick thoughts:

- If I was the Bears owner Lance Louis would have a fat bonus check in his mailbox this morning, that was awesome hustle.

- Von Miller is a rich man's Terrell Suggs - what an impact player.

GL on the over tonight LTA, I'll be riding along

Red. : Been a while. Hope you are well. I am locked in for tinight as well. Thinking about also teasing it with a side, but not sure which side.

Hope you and LTA and everyone had a good weekend.

[BiffTFinancial]

hey, LTA. i was leaning over tonight (have the game at 54-57), but was a little disconcerted by the line movement. that said, both you and Dexter are on the over, and i think that you guys are the two best cappers here, hands down. any thoughts as to the line movement? it's over or pass for me in this game. obviously, there are many games each week with fishy line movement that means nothing (e.g., pretty much every Okie State game this season), so wondering what you thought about the live move. BOL to you tonight.

[Redscot]

My man....what up Red. I hope you and the fam had a great Thanksgiving and everyone is well. How is school going for the boys? You back in the DR now?

Your points were spot on. I guess we all need to remember that when we fade Tebow we are also fading a lot of big time improved players like Miller.

Biggest NCAAF play of the year coming up on Friday if I can get the number I'm looking for. Looking forward to a big week in both NFL and NCAAF. Time for a late season run like we had in MLB. Good luck this week

Yo, yo. Yup, back in the DR bro. Kids are doing well in school, middle son has a showcase coming up for a bunch of colleges', all in good health. Had a very thankful Thanksgiving, and while I am at it might as well thank you for your continued hard work and assistance. Got a good group going in here , hope you, Triv and the gang all had fulfilling Turkey days as well.

[Redscot]

Red. : Been a while. Hope you are well. I am locked in for tinight as well. Thinking about also teasing it with a side, but not sure which side.

Hope you and LTA and everyone had a good weekend.

, not sure what to say about that Jets/Bills game. Glad we won, but I feel for you.....all the promise that the early season brought for you guys only to be decimated by injuries. Seems like the franchise is heading in the right direction though. Hope you had a great time with your little girl and your health is stable.

[upscope]

the pats are a 21 pt favorite next week. i guess the packers would have been 24.

never seen an nfl line that high.

'95 Super Bowl SF/SD

[Redscot]

Oh, almost forgot, NBA !!!!!

On the Broncos/Tebow tip, wtf is going on there exactly? Is this just a case of a freakish run? How are they winning these games? I just cannot bring myself around to believing that Tebow will be a winning QB long term in this league.....am I wrong? WTF! I need answers!

[No coincidences]

hey, LTA. i was leaning over tonight (have the game at 54-57), but was a little disconcerted by the line movement. that said, both you and Dexter are on the over, and i think that you guys are the two best cappers here, hands down. any thoughts as to the line movement? it's over or pass for me in this game. obviously, there are many games each week with fishy line movement that means nothing (e.g., pretty much every Okie State game this season), so wondering what you thought about the live move. BOL to you tonight.

I think the question re: the over is because the Saints are going to put a hurt on the Giants. I'm not sure NYG will score enough to make the game go over personally.

[Trivial]

Yo, yo. Yup, back in the DR bro. Kids are doing well in school, middle son has a showcase coming up for a bunch of colleges', all in good health. Had a very thankful Thanksgiving, and while I am at it might as well thank you for your continued hard work and assistance. Got a good group going in here , hope you, Triv and the gang all had fulfilling Turkey days as well.

Thanks bro. I had my turkey day back in October, but I am hoping that everyone else enjoyed their well deserved family time.

[Trivial]

, not sure what to say about that Jets/Bills game. Glad we won, but I feel for you.....all the promise that the early season brought for you guys only to be decimated by injuries. Seems like the franchise is heading in the right direction though. Hope you had a great time with your little girl and your health is stable.

Ya.. The Jets TD with a minute left hurt us obviously. I actually thought the Bills played better than the Jets, but the Dirty Man found a way to win at the very end. Good for him. I got the OVER and the Bills with the spread.

My girl is fine, thanks for asking, and glad you and your family are back in DR safely. My health - I am in the hands of a specialist trying to figure out why I have my issues. The BAD news is every test is coming back perfectly normal. That is very BAD, as now it is a guessing game. If a test showed something, then we could set a course to recovery, but right now, I'm on meds trying to control the situation.

[Trivial]

I think the question re: the over is because the Saints are going to put a hurt on the Giants. I'm not sure NYG will score enough to make the game go over personally.

I think as LTA the Saints defense won't stop Manning. Giants are good for at least 3 TD's maybe even more.

[pagodo]

Teasing Saints/OVER: -0.5/44.5.
Saints' win is a safe bet and it definitely shapes up to be a high-scoring game.

Good luck, LTA, hopefully the score sails over fifty

[Love The Action]

hey, LTA. i was leaning over tonight (have the game at 54-57), but was a little disconcerted by the line movement. that said, both you and Dexter are on the over, and i think that you guys are the two best cappers here, hands down. any thoughts as to the line movement? it's over or pass for me in this game. obviously, there are many games each week with fishy line movement that means nothing (e.g., pretty much every Okie State game this season), so wondering what you thought about the live move. BOL to you tonight.

Sorry...crazy day at work. Long weekends off, just mean more work upon returning

Anyway, I'm not really overly concerned about the early line move. I think it was based on getting some value on the under at 52. As you know, 51 is one of the most important key numbers so you are always going to find under players on an opener of 52. We had almost identical line moves on the pats/eagles game and that one had 37 points at half. Even though it dropped early, the total steamed back up to 51 yesterday when limits opened up a bit and I expect more sharp over action before kickoff with a closing number of 52 or better. Good luck.

[Love The Action]

Oh, almost forgot, NBA !!!!!

On the Broncos/Tebow tip, wtf is going on there exactly? Is this just a case of a freakish run? How are they winning these games? I just cannot bring myself around to believing that Tebow will be a winning QB long term in this league.....am I wrong? WTF! I need answers

He wont win long term unless he fixes his mechanics. He is an injury waiting to happen running 20+ times per game.

[BiffTFinancial]

I think the question re: the over is because the Saints are going to put a hurt on the Giants. I'm not sure NYG will score enough to make the game go over personally.

i hear you, NC. that's a very good point - movement towards the under simply because people are down on the Giants. Giants have been maddeningly inconsistent, in large part because their running game is in shambles without Bradshaw (i suppose that the news that he's out tonight would've encouraged more under bets, but the timing of that news doesn't correspond with the line moves). NYG will have to throw to keep up in this one, there's no chance of keeping the ball out of Brees' hands with Jacobs tonight.

[Love The Action]

I think the question re: the over is because the Saints are going to put a hurt on the Giants. I'm not sure NYG will score enough to make the game go over personally.

I think the giants can get 20+. I agree about the Saints cover, however, I don't see their defense limiting the giants to a10 point type output. Fast track with the giants needing a rebound performance after the eagles. I like the over....gl

[Love The Action]

Ya.. The Jets TD with a minute left hurt us obviously. I actually thought the Bills played better than the Jets, but the Dirty Man found a way to win at the very end. Good for him. I got the OVER and the Bills with the spread.

My girl is fine, thanks for asking, and glad you and your family are back in DR safely. My health - I am in the hands of a specialist trying to figure out why I have my issues. The BAD news is every test is coming back perfectly normal. That is very BAD, as now it is a guessing game. If a test showed something, then we could set a course to recovery, but right now, I'm on meds trying to control the situation.

Feel better...gl

[Love The Action]

i hear you, NC. that's a very good point - movement towards the under simply because people are down on the Giants. Giants have been maddeningly inconsistent, in large part because their running game is in shambles without Bradshaw (i suppose that the news that he's out tonight would've encouraged more under bets, but the timing of that news doesn't correspond with the line moves). NYG will have to throw to keep up in this one, there's no chance of keeping the ball out of Brees' hands with Jacobs tonight.

Both teams will be airing it out tonight

[BiffTFinancial]

Sorry...crazy day at work. Long weekends off, just mean more work upon returning Anyway, I'm not really overly concerned about the early line move. I think it was based on getting some value on the under at 52. As you know, 51 is one of the most important key numbers so you are always going to find under players on an opener of 52. We had almost identical line moves on the pats/eagles game and that one had 37 points at half. Even though it dropped early, the total steamed back up to 51 yesterday when limits opened up a bit and I expect more sharp over action before kickoff with a closing number of 52 or better. Good luck.

first day back after a long break always sucks, no doubt. just now coming up for air. no apology necessary of course - thanks for your thoughts.

excellent point re: the key number. i think that a lot of people also are looking to take unders with teams off a bye as they've hit at an inordinate rate so far this season. good point also re: NE/PHI movement yesterday. just checked that out, hadn't previously noticed because been so crazy with travel lately. eh, two top five passing offenses vs mediocre pass defenses/overall defenses, and Giants won't be able to control the ball to slow down Brees. time to book this, and my numbers put this between 54 and 57. thanks for sharing your thoughts and BOL to you, LTA.

[GChild]

Boom let's get this!!!

[Love The Action]

Wow, I don't disagree with a fake field goal in that spot but I disagree with that particular play. They should have used a play where the guy caught the ball BEYOND the first down marker. Don't make the guy have to run for it after the catch...

Both teams are moving the ball with ease just like I predicted. Hopefully, it leads to some points soon.

[suicidekings]

I was leaning Under tonight but got caught up in NBA futures and missed the post time. Given the start of this game, if the Giants fail to score in their first drive I'll be hard pressed not to hit the live line which would likely have dropped down to 42-43 by then (It was 45 after the failed fake by NO).

[Love The Action]

Fuk...both teams drive down to the other teams red zone and then turn it over in one form or another. Unreal

[SlickRick1382]

An an interception is throw. They need to stop with these turnovers.

[suicidekings]

I was leaning Under tonight but got caught up in NBA futures and missed the post time. Given the start of this game, if the Giants fail to score in their first drive I'll be hard pressed not to hit the live line which would likely have dropped down to 42-43 by then (It was 45 after the failed fake by NO).

Post interception, I'm on the Over 44. The second half is going to be a firefight, IMO. Even 17-20 points in the 1H following the slow start will be good for the original 51.

I was hoping to see the line drop to -6.5 with the Giants possession, but it stayed at a juiced NYG +7. The books are still expecting a big night from NO.

[Trivial]

Fuk...both teams drive down to the other teams red zone and then turn it over in one form or another. Unreal

This is beyond unreal. There should be a minimum of 10 points on the board or 14. I agree, fake good, but why make the guy run. That is silly. Giants were on the ball. That was 11 yards to go.

[Love The Action]

I was leaning Under tonight but got caught up in NBA futures and missed the post time. Given the start of this game, if the Giants fail to score in their first drive I'll be hard pressed not to hit the live line which would likely have dropped down to 42-43 by then (It was 45 after the failed fake by NO).

Back up to 47.5 right now with NO about to score at the end of the 1h. I mean, come on, both teams are playing at a fast pace and moving the ball at will. The only problem is neither team has scored yet

[Love The Action]

Post interception, I'm on the Over 44. The second half is going to be a firefight, IMO. Even 17-20 points in the 1H following the slow start will be good for the original 51, IMO.

I was hoping to see the line drop to -6.5 with the Giants possession, but it stayed at a juiced NYG +7. The books are still expecting a big night from NO.

I hope so...we're going to need some quick score big plays (fumble, pick 6, kick return td) to get this one back on track for the 51. I think you should have no problem at 44.

Both teams are playing fast and making big plays on offense.

[Love The Action]

This is beyond unreal. There should be a minimum of 10 points on the board or 14. I agree, fake good, but why make the guy run. That is silly. Giants were on the ball. That was 11 yards to go.

Yeah I know. I like the aggressiveness of the fake fg call, but you have to make the right call there so he catches the ball beyond the first down marker.

Just scored..7 down, 45 to go

[suicidekings]

I hope so...we're going to need some quick score big plays (fumble, pick 6, kick return td) to get this one back on track for the 51. I think you should have no problem at 44.

Both teams are playing fast and making big plays on offense.

I really don't think the Giants are going to have any success stopping the Saints tonight. The mismatches are just too severe with Jimmy Graham and Darren Sproles. The Giants running game has been surprisingly good so far as well, and should be the key to this total hitting. Good for the Giants offense as Manning is almost impossible to stop when the play-action passes are in play.

[Trivial]

Ah crap. If only the Saints recovered that fumble. Fck. Going to bed soon. I can't take it.

[nmodi]

I hate to say over is done...

[alamo]

I hate to say over is done...

Come on guys. Lets keep it positive. Long way to go and the pace is fast.

And as i type Drew with another deep ball completed