Good call on the Houston/Indy under. I thought that could of been a 10* play even. Rookie qb against a weak Indy team, who still managed to pull out the win and still was on the under
I totally agree. Marvelous call. I was almost going to go with the ovrs then changed to the undrs.
thanks
Comment
georgekobe8
SBR High Roller
10-24-11
142
#2837
I look forward to your plays tomorrow john. Your picks are always very much appreciated. I wish you were in my are so I could take you out for drinks one night. No homo
Comment
DEUCED
SBR Wise Guy
02-02-10
615
#2838
Originally posted by georgekobe8
I look forward to your plays tomorrow john. Your picks are always very much appreciated. I wish you were in my are so I could take you out for drinks one night. No homo
Nice english. Sure you no homo? Pass on the drinks John!
Comment
jjaycuny
SBR MVP
07-01-11
1617
#2839
any thoughts on today's Jets/Giants?
Comment
playz
SBR Sharp
01-31-09
493
#2840
I never make picks on SBR, but why would I not want to play the over 50 for NE/miami. I see this as the play of the day. Unless the patriots will rest Brady? Whats Bellicheck's history in resting players?
Comment
John Ryan
SBR MVP
11-20-10
2428
#2841
Originally posted by georgekobe8
I look forward to your plays tomorrow john. Your picks are always very much appreciated. I wish you were in my are so I could take you out for drinks one night. No homo
Thanks very much. My pleasure.
Comment
John Ryan
SBR MVP
11-20-10
2428
#2842
Originally posted by Calvani
Thank you for everything John. Your insights have been greatly appreciated. I have had a very successful last several months using your picks and analysis in conjunction with my own matchup evaluations. It is unfortunate that people are cynical to the point that they feel the need to criticize the (incredibly) valuable service you provide for free - a service that they have the absolute choice to use. Keep on rocking and thanks again.
Glad it has gone so well for you. Make sure you visit the CFB, CBB, and NBA threads for more 5* Titans that i release.
Comment
John Ryan
SBR MVP
11-20-10
2428
#2843
Ok. here are Christmas Eve's plays. Updated Record: 34-27 ATS with 5* plays, 4-3 ATS with 10* plays and 3-1 with the 20* Titans.
10* 'UNDER' 50 -110 New England/Miami
5* play Buffalo +3 -110 playing Denver
5* 'UNDER SF/Seattle listed currently at 37 1/2 -110.
Comment
frostie
SBR Sharp
10-16-11
277
#2844
can u give some reasoning behind the under for ne
Comment
crazed
SBR Hustler
12-01-11
56
#2845
Why do you like the NE under so much?
Comment
John Ryan
SBR MVP
11-20-10
2428
#2846
Sim shows a high probability that NE will outgain Miami in this game. Common sense. Specifically, Patriots will outgain them by less than 0.50 yards per play. In past games where Miami has been outgained by this range the 'under' is 5-1 this season and 10-3 'under' the past three seasons. Key to this game is that the Patriots will be able to run the ball as Miami defense has to respect the arial attack of the Patriots. Miami needs to shorten the game and will look to underneath pass routes to gain an advantage in time of possession and keep Brady off the field. Miami will use a base cover-2 and take away the vertical pass routes from the Patriots. Without an eighth man in the box, the Patriots can establish the running game. This is also something they want to work on and develop for their playoff run. In summary, this is a game that will be played between the 20's... Good luck and Merry Christmas!
Comment
frostie
SBR Sharp
10-16-11
277
#2847
and why do you like buff because i was thinking the op. there its not like broncos are a shit team they played pretty well in the first half of that n.e game buffalo is horrible got crushed by miami
Comment
jkilla990
SBR Wise Guy
08-28-10
713
#2848
im liking the broncos for some reason, why are you so high on buffalo today?
Comment
John Ryan
SBR MVP
11-20-10
2428
#2849
Buffalo takes on the Tebow's today and I think we have seen the recipe to defeat Denver as displayed by New England. Fitz and johnson will start today for Buffalo. Always concerned when a QB has bad ribs, but i think he will get enough protection to stay upright. Spiller will have a huge game for the Bills. Denver is a very difficult team to run on, BUT C.J. Spiller has elite speed, quickness, and plenty of dynamic qualities both as a runner and receiving option. Spiller caught nine passes in Week 15 and can be very dangerous as a receiver out of the backfield or detached from the formation. He is much better in space than as an interior runner, but he is improving in this area as well.
Comment
dinaro7
SBR Wise Guy
12-06-09
888
#2850
i hope u r right
Comment
PeEWeEZeE
SBR Hustler
10-03-11
50
#2851
I'm a huge pats fan and this game is going over. Who is gonna cover Brandon Marshall and Reggie bush they will score.
Comment
John Ryan
SBR MVP
11-20-10
2428
#2852
49ers play is fundamentally based on their defense, which is significantly better than any other unit in the NFL. Supporting the graded play produced by my simulator is a strong system that has gone 37-12 ATs for 76% winners spanning the past five seasons. Play 'under' with all team against the posted total facing a division opponent and is off an upset win by 10 points or more and was installed as a dog. Seattle destroyed Chicago on the road last week installed as 3 1/2 point dogs.
Comment
PeEWeEZeE
SBR Hustler
10-03-11
50
#2853
Marshawn will score a rushing TD if there's a prop.
Comment
John Ryan
SBR MVP
11-20-10
2428
#2854
Originally posted by PeEWeEZeE
I'm a huge pats fan and this game is going over. Who is gonna cover Brandon Marshall and Reggie bush they will score.
You may have noticed in recent games the Patriots have used a cover-3 at times and is has been augmented with bracket coverages on the perimeter.... I believe they will - as they have for seasons past - allow the underneath routes and off tackle running plays. Play pass defense and react to the run. They have also used a quarters zone scheme to and have been able to bring pressure up the middle or off the edge effectively.
Comment
5mike5
SBR Aristocracy
09-21-11
52080
#2855
thank you mr. john for all the xmas eve insight and picks...as well as giving us your insight all season long
hope you and your family have A MERRY CHRISTMAS!!!!
Comment
BrokeLiving
SBR Rookie
09-29-11
37
#2856
Omfg... I could punch the Bills kicker in the throat right now
Comment
frostie
SBR Sharp
10-16-11
277
#2857
you like any second half picks john?
Comment
tullamore21
SBR MVP
05-12-09
1929
#2858
10unit play... omg, i guess too much bad luck
Comment
cantpickem
SBR Rookie
12-09-09
47
#2859
excellent pick on Buff. NE gave up a cheap one at the end otherwise we would have had it. Next time. Thanks and happy holidays to you
Comment
Adm. Cowpollock
SBR High Roller
10-05-11
159
#2860
Originally posted by John Ryan
Buffalo takes on the Tebow's today and I think we have seen the recipe to defeat Denver as displayed by New England. Fitz and johnson will start today for Buffalo. Always concerned when a QB has bad ribs, but i think he will get enough protection to stay upright. Spiller will have a huge game for the Bills. Denver is a very difficult team to run on, BUT C.J. Spiller has elite speed, quickness, and plenty of dynamic qualities both as a runner and receiving option. Spiller caught nine passes in Week 15 and can be very dangerous as a receiver out of the backfield or detached from the formation. He is much better in space than as an interior runner, but he is improving in this area as well.
Hey, did you write this after the game was over or what?
LOL ... brilliant call! You da man Ryan.
Comment
5mike5
SBR Aristocracy
09-21-11
52080
#2861
great job today john!!!!
2-1 and another winning day
Comment
nammertl
SBR MVP
12-06-11
1204
#2862
Yeah, great job. thanks john.
Comment
matelionis
SBR High Roller
11-27-09
214
#2863
Originally posted by 5mike5
great job today john!!!!
2-1 and another winning day
How can it be a winning day if he loses the 10 unit play and wins the two 5 unit plays?? It's a loser my friend.
Comment
mdmahaney
SBR Hustler
01-06-09
67
#2864
Merry Xmas John
John,
Thanks for all your work this NFL season on this thread. I look forward each day to reading or listening to the insight you provide on this website. Merry Christmas to you and your family.
Comment
fecgp40
SBR Hall of Famer
02-01-11
5750
#2865
Originally posted by matelionis
How can it be a winning day if he loses the 10 unit play and wins the two 5 unit plays?? It's a loser my friend.
Doesn't seem like a loser to me. Seems like a push with a little juice given up. Not really a loser. For those that bet the same on all of John's plays, like I do, it was a winner.
Comment
upscope
SBR MVP
04-26-11
2837
#2866
Originally posted by fecgp40
Doesn't seem like a loser to me. Seems like a push with a little juice given up. Not really a loser. For those that bet the same on all of John's plays, like I do, it was a winner.
Comment
cantpickem
SBR Rookie
12-09-09
47
#2867
winning day for me. Thanks
Comment
06Ech0
SBR High Roller
11-27-11
161
#2868
Thank u john and may u and your family have a merry christmas.
Comment
crazed
SBR Hustler
12-01-11
56
#2869
you got a play on todays game? Merry xmas
Comment
matelionis
SBR High Roller
11-27-09
214
#2870
Originally posted by fecgp40
Doesn't seem like a loser to me. Seems like a push with a little juice given up. Not really a loser. For those that bet the same on all of John's plays, like I do, it was a winner.