2011 NFL Pro Picks with John Ryan

**cantpickem** · 12-23-11, 04:53 PM

Originally posted by mlesnet

Good call on the Houston/Indy under. I thought that could of been a 10* play even. Rookie qb against a weak Indy team, who still managed to pull out the win and still was on the under

I totally agree. Marvelous call. I was almost going to go with the ovrs then changed to the undrs.
thanks

**georgekobe8** · 12-24-11, 02:52 AM

I look forward to your plays tomorrow john. Your picks are always very much appreciated. I wish you were in my are so I could take you out for drinks one night. No homo

**DEUCED** · 12-24-11, 03:36 AM

Originally posted by georgekobe8

I look forward to your plays tomorrow john. Your picks are always very much appreciated. I wish you were in my are so I could take you out for drinks one night. No homo

Nice english. Sure you no homo? Pass on the drinks John!

**jjaycuny** · 12-24-11, 10:00 AM

any thoughts on today's Jets/Giants?

**playz** · 12-24-11, 10:22 AM

I never make picks on SBR, but why would I not want to play the over 50 for NE/miami. I see this as the play of the day. Unless the patriots will rest Brady? Whats Bellicheck's history in resting players?

**John Ryan** · 12-24-11, 11:02 AM

Originally posted by georgekobe8

I look forward to your plays tomorrow john. Your picks are always very much appreciated. I wish you were in my are so I could take you out for drinks one night. No homo

Thanks very much. My pleasure.

**John Ryan** · 12-24-11, 11:05 AM

Originally posted by Calvani

Thank you for everything John. Your insights have been greatly appreciated. I have had a very successful last several months using your picks and analysis in conjunction with my own matchup evaluations. It is unfortunate that people are cynical to the point that they feel the need to criticize the (incredibly) valuable service you provide for free - a service that they have the absolute choice to use. Keep on rocking and thanks again.

Glad it has gone so well for you. Make sure you visit the CFB, CBB, and NBA threads for more 5* Titans that i release.

**John Ryan** · 12-24-11, 11:10 AM

Ok. here are Christmas Eve's plays. Updated Record: 34-27 ATS with 5* plays, 4-3 ATS with 10* plays and 3-1 with the 20* Titans.

10* 'UNDER' 50 -110 New England/Miami

5* play Buffalo +3 -110 playing Denver
5* 'UNDER SF/Seattle listed currently at 37 1/2 -110.

**frostie** · 12-24-11, 11:12 AM

can u give some reasoning behind the under for ne

**crazed** · 12-24-11, 11:13 AM

Why do you like the NE under so much?

**John Ryan** · 12-24-11, 11:16 AM

Sim shows a high probability that NE will outgain Miami in this game. Common sense. Specifically, Patriots will outgain them by less than 0.50 yards per play. In past games where Miami has been outgained by this range the 'under' is 5-1 this season and 10-3 'under' the past three seasons. Key to this game is that the Patriots will be able to run the ball as Miami defense has to respect the arial attack of the Patriots. Miami needs to shorten the game and will look to underneath pass routes to gain an advantage in time of possession and keep Brady off the field. Miami will use a base cover-2 and take away the vertical pass routes from the Patriots. Without an eighth man in the box, the Patriots can establish the running game. This is also something they want to work on and develop for their playoff run. In summary, this is a game that will be played between the 20's... Good luck and Merry Christmas!

**frostie** · 12-24-11, 11:17 AM

and why do you like buff because i was thinking the op. there its not like broncos are a shit team they played pretty well in the first half of that n.e game buffalo is horrible got crushed by miami

**jkilla990** · 12-24-11, 11:38 AM

im liking the broncos for some reason, why are you so high on buffalo today?

**John Ryan** · 12-24-11, 11:44 AM

Buffalo takes on the Tebow's today and I think we have seen the recipe to defeat Denver as displayed by New England. Fitz and johnson will start today for Buffalo. Always concerned when a QB has bad ribs, but i think he will get enough protection to stay upright. Spiller will have a huge game for the Bills. Denver is a very difficult team to run on, BUT C.J. Spiller has elite speed, quickness, and plenty of dynamic qualities both as a runner and receiving option. Spiller caught nine passes in Week 15 and can be very dangerous as a receiver out of the backfield or detached from the formation. He is much better in space than as an interior runner, but he is improving in this area as well.

**dinaro7** · 12-24-11, 11:45 AM

i hope u r right

**PeEWeEZeE** · 12-24-11, 11:55 AM

I'm a huge pats fan and this game is going over. Who is gonna cover Brandon Marshall and Reggie bush they will score.

**John Ryan** · 12-24-11, 11:56 AM

49ers play is fundamentally based on their defense, which is significantly better than any other unit in the NFL. Supporting the graded play produced by my simulator is a strong system that has gone 37-12 ATs for 76% winners spanning the past five seasons. Play 'under' with all team against the posted total facing a division opponent and is off an upset win by 10 points or more and was installed as a dog. Seattle destroyed Chicago on the road last week installed as 3 1/2 point dogs.

**PeEWeEZeE** · 12-24-11, 11:58 AM

Marshawn will score a rushing TD if there's a prop.

**John Ryan** · 12-24-11, 12:01 PM

Originally posted by PeEWeEZeE

I'm a huge pats fan and this game is going over. Who is gonna cover Brandon Marshall and Reggie bush they will score.

You may have noticed in recent games the Patriots have used a cover-3 at times and is has been augmented with bracket coverages on the perimeter.... I believe they will - as they have for seasons past - allow the underneath routes and off tackle running plays. Play pass defense and react to the run. They have also used a quarters zone scheme to and have been able to bring pressure up the middle or off the edge effectively.

**5mike5** · 12-24-11, 12:33 PM

thank you mr. john for all the xmas eve insight and picks...as well as giving us your insight all season long

hope you and your family have A MERRY CHRISTMAS!!!!

**BrokeLiving** · 12-24-11, 01:37 PM

Omfg... I could punch the Bills kicker in the throat right now

**frostie** · 12-24-11, 02:30 PM

you like any second half picks john?

**tullamore21** · 12-24-11, 04:54 PM

10unit play... omg, i guess too much bad luck

**cantpickem** · 12-24-11, 06:53 PM

excellent pick on Buff. NE gave up a cheap one at the end otherwise we would have had it. Next time. Thanks and happy holidays to you

**Adm. Cowpollock** · 12-24-11, 07:05 PM

Originally posted by John Ryan

Buffalo takes on the Tebow's today and I think we have seen the recipe to defeat Denver as displayed by New England. Fitz and johnson will start today for Buffalo. Always concerned when a QB has bad ribs, but i think he will get enough protection to stay upright. Spiller will have a huge game for the Bills. Denver is a very difficult team to run on, BUT C.J. Spiller has elite speed, quickness, and plenty of dynamic qualities both as a runner and receiving option. Spiller caught nine passes in Week 15 and can be very dangerous as a receiver out of the backfield or detached from the formation. He is much better in space than as an interior runner, but he is improving in this area as well.

Hey, did you write this after the game was over or what?

LOL ... brilliant call! You da man Ryan.

**5mike5** · 12-24-11, 07:34 PM

great job today john!!!!

2-1 and another winning day

**nammertl** · 12-24-11, 07:35 PM

Yeah, great job. thanks john.

**matelionis** · 12-24-11, 08:40 PM

Originally posted by 5mike5

great job today john!!!!

2-1 and another winning day

How can it be a winning day if he loses the 10 unit play and wins the two 5 unit plays?? It's a loser my friend.

**mdmahaney** · 12-24-11, 09:03 PM

Merry Xmas John

John,
Thanks for all your work this NFL season on this thread. I look forward each day to reading or listening to the insight you provide on this website. Merry Christmas to you and your family.

**fecgp40** · 12-24-11, 10:22 PM

Originally posted by matelionis

How can it be a winning day if he loses the 10 unit play and wins the two 5 unit plays?? It's a loser my friend.

Doesn't seem like a loser to me. Seems like a push with a little juice given up. Not really a loser. For those that bet the same on all of John's plays, like I do, it was a winner.

**upscope** · 12-24-11, 10:40 PM

Originally posted by fecgp40

Doesn't seem like a loser to me. Seems like a push with a little juice given up. Not really a loser. For those that bet the same on all of John's plays, like I do, it was a winner.

**cantpickem** · 12-24-11, 11:52 PM

winning day for me. Thanks

**06Ech0** · 12-25-11, 12:29 AM

Thank u john and may u and your family have a merry christmas.

**crazed** · 12-25-11, 10:39 AM

you got a play on todays game? Merry xmas

**matelionis** · 12-25-11, 11:01 AM

Originally posted by fecgp40

Doesn't seem like a loser to me. Seems like a push with a little juice given up. Not really a loser. For those that bet the same on all of John's plays, like I do, it was a winner.

Spoken like a bookies best friend. Moronic.