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  • D3 Mighty Ducks
    SBR Posting Legend
    • 12-17-09
    • 11939

    #36
    Originally posted by D3 Mighty Ducks
    My futures to kick start the betting season

    Green Bay total wins OVER 11.5 +135 (200 to win 270)

    Atlanta total wins OVER 10.5 +145 (100 to win 145)

    Cincinnati total wins OVER 5.5 -123 (123 to win 100) My favorite future thus far

    Cleveland total wins UNDER 6.5 +117 (100 to win 117)

    Dallas total wins OVER 9 +122 (200 to win 244)

    New England total wins OVER 11.5 +100 (200 to win 200)

    Indianapolis to win Super Bowl +1721 (50 to win 860)
    I missed typed the odds for the Bengals Over 5.5 total wins. Its actually only -105, not -123. I posted at 2:00 am in the morning so I was half asleep. My bad on my end.
    Comment
    • D3 Mighty Ducks
      SBR Posting Legend
      • 12-17-09
      • 11939

      #37
      My guess is Manning misses Week 1, maybe Week 2. But he'll be back for the Sunday night game against the Steelers. If the Colts are able to go 1-1 within the first 2 weeks without Manning than that's a good enough start. And what do you mean by he's far behind? He's been in this league for 13 years now I don't think it takes much for him to get ready same goes for Brady. Its not like he needs to learn the playbook or there was a coaching change during the off-season. And don't even say he's going to be "rusty" because that's a joke.
      Comment
      • FlaxMartin
        SBR MVP
        • 08-13-10
        • 2148

        #38
        Just curious buddy, are you leening towards anything during week 1?
        Comment
        • bobbyk1133
          SBR MVP
          • 08-05-10
          • 2245

          #39
          Originally posted by D3 Mighty Ducks
          He's been in this league for 13 years now I don't think it takes much for him to get ready same goes for Brady. Its not like he needs to learn the playbook or there was a coaching change during the off-season. And don't even say he's going to be "rusty" because that's a joke.
          A shaky and questionable O-line can make any QB look "rusty". IND is riddles with issues on their O-line and it's very far from being a stable, cohesive unit. Can Manning come in and play lights out without any practice time? Of course...but not if his timing is getting messed up by the pass rush. Do you think HOU is going to lay back and play zone? My 2 cents.
          Comment
          • D3 Mighty Ducks
            SBR Posting Legend
            • 12-17-09
            • 11939

            #40
            Originally posted by FlaxMartin
            Just curious buddy, are you leening towards anything during week 1?
            Yeah, been taking a real long look at Week 1 match-ups. With another week of preseason still to play I don't want to lock in anything yet because anything can happen. Plays will be posted shortly. Just staying away from betting right now and being patient. Don't want to lose anything betting preseason so I've been just taking it easy. Hope all is well bro.
            Comment
            • D3 Mighty Ducks
              SBR Posting Legend
              • 12-17-09
              • 11939

              #41
              Originally posted by bobbyk1133

              A shaky and questionable O-line can make any QB look "rusty". IND is riddles with issues on their O-line and it's very far from being a stable, cohesive unit. Can Manning come in and play lights out without any practice time? Of course...but not if his timing is getting messed up by the pass rush. Do you think HOU is going to lay back and play zone? My 2 cents.
              You have a good point and I won't disagree with what your saying. Two young second year players starting this year at LT and LG for the Colts. Didn't really take that much into consideration but I wish I had. Hopefully the experience from Jeff Saturday and Ryan Diem help both the young players and they improve as the season goes on.
              Comment
              • bobbyk1133
                SBR MVP
                • 08-05-10
                • 2245

                #42
                On the flip side, HOU isn't going to master Wade's scheme overnight either. So the learning curve is going to go both ways to kickoff the season. I could see Peyton abusing their initiation into the system and I could also see Peyton getting completely owned.

                I'm leaning HOU at this point....if for no other reason than I really like how they match up against IND's D. They are going to give up big plays again this year and still appear soft up the middle. I don't think losing Session helped either.
                Comment
                • D3 Mighty Ducks
                  SBR Posting Legend
                  • 12-17-09
                  • 11939

                  #43
                  You do give some solid insight on this years Indy team. You're really making me regret taking the Colts to win the Bowl, even though it was just a long shot small wager. I knew it had very little chance but now its like they have 0 percent chance. The more I look at it the more it looks like this Houston team is ready to take over the crown of the AFC South division. Losing Session definitely didn't help that defensive one bit.

                  Keep on checking in throughout the season Bobby. It sounds like you really know what you're talking about.
                  Comment
                  • FlaxMartin
                    SBR MVP
                    • 08-13-10
                    • 2148

                    #44
                    Well, hopefully that painter kid doesn´t take to many snaps this season. He´s looking even more shaky than that O-line. I am saying that, even though he had a good game friday night.
                    Comment
                    • FlaxMartin
                      SBR MVP
                      • 08-13-10
                      • 2148

                      #45
                      Of topic, where do you live man? Wasn´t it canada, right?
                      Comment
                      • D3 Mighty Ducks
                        SBR Posting Legend
                        • 12-17-09
                        • 11939

                        #46
                        Yeah, Toronto Canada.
                        Comment
                        • pHyR3
                          SBR Rookie
                          • 09-05-11
                          • 3

                          #47
                          Definitely hoping to follow your tips this season, when will week one be up? waiting in anticipation!
                          Comment
                          • The J-Dizzle
                            SBR MVP
                            • 03-09-10
                            • 1091

                            #48
                            Sorry but I don't get it how Bengals over 5.5 wins can be your favourite future when you only se them winning 5-6 games, it would make sense if the line was 4.5, or if you had better odds.

                            Good luck though!
                            Comment
                            • LolsMcwinsey
                              SBR MVP
                              • 06-08-10
                              • 2660

                              #49
                              gl D3
                              Comment
                              • D3 Mighty Ducks
                                SBR Posting Legend
                                • 12-17-09
                                • 11939

                                #50
                                Originally posted by The J-Dizzle
                                Sorry but I don't get it how Bengals over 5.5 wins can be your favourite future when you only se them winning 5-6 games, it would make sense if the line was 4.5, or if you had better odds.

                                Good luck though!
                                The Bengals will surprise you and a lot of other people.
                                Comment
                                • D3 Mighty Ducks
                                  SBR Posting Legend
                                  • 12-17-09
                                  • 11939

                                  #51
                                  Week 1 plays will be posted sometime this week. They will be posted with enough time for everyone to see. Just waiting patiently for the right time to lock in the plays. Not going to rush anything yet. Keep checking in daily that is all I can really say as of right now.
                                  Comment
                                  • makememoney
                                    SBR Rookie
                                    • 09-05-11
                                    • 1

                                    #52
                                    Originally posted by D3 Mighty Ducks
                                    Yeah, Toronto Canada.

                                    glad to see a Toronto boy in the house! I'm from burlington. Best of luck!
                                    Comment
                                    • Wrecked
                                      SBR Wise Guy
                                      • 05-31-11
                                      • 887

                                      #53
                                      Originally posted by Sunde91

                                      to be honest and give feedback, I am stratching my head at most of these

                                      Cincy Over is your favorite play laying -123? It's +money everywhere. The under has been obliterated after opened around 7. Team has Rookie Andy Dalton at QB, shit coach who needed to be fired last year, shit D. No stability or direction whatsoever. 6 wins is a triumphant success for that team.

                                      ATL plays a very tough schedule where I could see 9-7. Losses PHI, @TB, @GB, @DET, @IND @HOU, @NO.

                                      Manning is not even sure to start season, and he is way behind. Colts to win SB really suspect.

                                      I like Dallas Over at that pice. Vig is on the over at some places. Could see a 10-6 season, though 9-7 seems most likely, but the +money makes it worthwhile
                                      This
                                      Comment
                                      • The J-Dizzle
                                        SBR MVP
                                        • 03-09-10
                                        • 1091

                                        #54
                                        Originally posted by D3 Mighty Ducks
                                        The Bengals will surprise you and a lot of other people.

                                        I wasn't talking about how the Bengals will surprise me, cause I like their chances. What I was wondering about was the statement that Bengals over 5.5 was your "favourite" play, when you think that they will finish at 5-6 wins. If this is your best future, then what about the other future plays.

                                        This is no critiscism whatsoever, just trying to find any logic behind the play. According to you it's like a 50-50 chance that they win 6 games, and that to an odds of -105.


                                        Still, best of luck bud! Wish you all the best
                                        Comment
                                        • D3 Mighty Ducks
                                          SBR Posting Legend
                                          • 12-17-09
                                          • 11939

                                          #55
                                          Originally posted by makememoney


                                          glad to see a Toronto boy in the house! I'm from burlington. Best of luck!
                                          I'm actually from the Vaughan area. Just 10-20 mins North of Toronto.
                                          Comment
                                          • cackerman509
                                            SBR Rookie
                                            • 08-29-11
                                            • 17

                                            #56
                                            GL This season! I will be following you all year
                                            Comment
                                            • ssk13809
                                              SBR MVP
                                              • 08-25-10
                                              • 2595

                                              #57
                                              LOL this guy was such a joke in the playoffs when it actually counts
                                              Comment
                                              • D3 Mighty Ducks
                                                SBR Posting Legend
                                                • 12-17-09
                                                • 11939

                                                #58
                                                Originally posted by The J-Dizzle


                                                I wasn't talking about how the Bengals will surprise me, cause I like their chances. What I was wondering about was the statement that Bengals over 5.5 was your "favourite" play, when you think that they will finish at 5-6 wins. If this is your best future, then what about the other future plays.

                                                This is no critiscism whatsoever, just trying to find any logic behind the play. According to you it's like a 50-50 chance that they win 6 games, and that to an odds of -105.


                                                Still, best of luck bud! Wish you all the best
                                                I do see them finishing around 5-6 wins this year. You're right when you say I'm only giving them a 50% chance of covering their season win total. But with their incredibly easy schedule they were handed this year, 6+ wins isn't out of the question. But than again, less than 6 wins is likely too. The public is really underestimating this team. Sure they have a rookie QB who is being thrown into a tough situation but I really like what Dalton was able to accomplish with what he had at TCU. I'm not saying he's going to be successful right away with the Bengals, but in all honestly I think he has a better year than Cam Newton. The Bengals knew they needed to rebuild through the draft and not by signing old washed up free agents. Dalton throwing to AJ Green has the potential to be scary sometime in the near future, hopefully this year. Basically, all I'm saying is don't sleep on the Bengals. Their defense and offense are a lot better than most people think.
                                                Comment
                                                • D3 Mighty Ducks
                                                  SBR Posting Legend
                                                  • 12-17-09
                                                  • 11939

                                                  #59
                                                  Originally posted by cackerman509
                                                  GL This season! I will be following you all year
                                                  Thanks dude. Best of luck to you as well!
                                                  Comment
                                                  • FlaxMartin
                                                    SBR MVP
                                                    • 08-13-10
                                                    • 2148

                                                    #60
                                                    never mind the ssk douche. Looking very forward to this season now!
                                                    Comment
                                                    • skyscrapers
                                                      SBR Hall of Famer
                                                      • 05-02-11
                                                      • 6190

                                                      #61
                                                      Will there be any plays in week 1 D3?
                                                      Comment
                                                      • D3 Mighty Ducks
                                                        SBR Posting Legend
                                                        • 12-17-09
                                                        • 11939

                                                        #62
                                                        Yes, there will be plays for the Sunday action and possibly Monday night as well. I passed on the game last night but I knew it had Over written all over it. Anyways, plays for Sunday will be up shortly. Just looking over a few things.

                                                        2 more sleeps away until Sunday all day long!
                                                        Comment
                                                        • FlaxMartin
                                                          SBR MVP
                                                          • 08-13-10
                                                          • 2148

                                                          #63
                                                          Boys, no-one can wait for sunday!
                                                          Comment
                                                          • D3 Mighty Ducks
                                                            SBR Posting Legend
                                                            • 12-17-09
                                                            • 11939

                                                            #64
                                                            Play #1: Detroit Lions ML +110 ($300 to win $330)
                                                            Comment
                                                            • D3 Mighty Ducks
                                                              SBR Posting Legend
                                                              • 12-17-09
                                                              • 11939

                                                              #65
                                                              Play #2: Chicago Bears ML +117 ($300 to win $351)
                                                              Comment
                                                              • D3 Mighty Ducks
                                                                SBR Posting Legend
                                                                • 12-17-09
                                                                • 11939

                                                                #66
                                                                Play #3: Cincinnati Bengals ML +260 ($200 to win $480)

                                                                Pretty risky, but it has a chance and worth a shot at that price.
                                                                Comment
                                                                • D3 Mighty Ducks
                                                                  SBR Posting Legend
                                                                  • 12-17-09
                                                                  • 11939

                                                                  #67
                                                                  Thats it for now.
                                                                  Comment
                                                                  • LolsMcwinsey
                                                                    SBR MVP
                                                                    • 06-08-10
                                                                    • 2660

                                                                    #68
                                                                    going against your falcons... any reasoning?
                                                                    Comment
                                                                    • ochenta y cinco
                                                                      Restricted User
                                                                      • 12-27-09
                                                                      • 660

                                                                      #69
                                                                      Since you know the Falcons so well, can you explain the reasoning behind the Bears ML pick? I like it, but I'm curious to hear your thoughts.
                                                                      Comment
                                                                      • D3 Mighty Ducks
                                                                        SBR Posting Legend
                                                                        • 12-17-09
                                                                        • 11939

                                                                        #70
                                                                        A healthy Bears team at home to an injured Falcons team. Todd McClure (starting Center), Dunta Robinson (starting CB), Corey Peters (starting DT) all not playing in the season opener. I really like the price on the Bears as a home underdog. A team who in the last 5 years have won their home opener 4 times. A team who now has a full season and training camp under Coach Martz's system. A team who could really surprise some people in that offense starts clicking and their defense holds their fort.

                                                                        Bears ML for me
                                                                        Comment
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