NFL Public Fade Tracking Thread of Dogs 52% or Higher

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  • The-Diesel
    SBR MVP
    • 12-27-09
    • 1766

    #71
    Sunday Night Football Play

    Well guys this game falls right into my system tonight nicely. I will be playing the Packers tonight. GL on your bets and enjoy the game.

    System play
    G.B. -2.5

    Comment
    • manicart
      SBR Wise Guy
      • 10-10-10
      • 829

      #72
      I'm with ya on this one and good job today! Too bad u said u didn twager all of em
      Comment
      • The-Diesel
        SBR MVP
        • 12-27-09
        • 1766

        #73
        Originally posted by manicart
        I'm with ya on this one and good job today! Too bad u said u didn twager all of em
        Comment
        • The-Diesel
          SBR MVP
          • 12-27-09
          • 1766

          #74
          Originally posted by The-Diesel
          Sunday Night Football Play

          Well guys this game falls right into my system tonight nicely. I will be playing the Packers tonight. GL on your bets and enjoy the game.

          System play
          G.B. -2.5


          Sunday Night Football Result

          Winner

          System play
          G.B. -2.5...........Won
          Comment
          • Godsmack
            SBR MVP
            • 10-04-08
            • 1226

            #75
            great call diesel!! and best of all favre took a beating in our cheese land
            Comment
            • The-Diesel
              SBR MVP
              • 12-27-09
              • 1766

              #76
              Originally posted by Godsmack
              great call diesel!! and best of all favre took a beating in our cheese land
              Comment
              • The-Diesel
                SBR MVP
                • 12-27-09
                • 1766

                #77
                Monday night football 10/25/10

                This is a game you don't want to bet big on. Lots of money coming in on Dallas tonight. With that being said I'm going to take my chances with the Giants to cover.
                GL on your play and enjoy the game.

                My play
                Giants +3.5 (-109)

                Comment
                • bhoward13
                  SBR Hustler
                  • 10-24-08
                  • 50

                  #78
                  Diesel -

                  This may be a dumb question, but I'm curious how the spread % is determined.

                  Is it based on the number of bets placed on each side? I.e. If 100 bets are placed with 65 on fav / 35 on dog, then spread % is 65% Fav / 35% Dog.

                  Or is it based on the amount of money placed on each side? I.e. If 100 bets are placed as 50 fav / 50 dog, but 65% of the money is on Fav and 35% of money is on the dog. Then would it show 65% Fav / 35% Dog.

                  Thanks/BH
                  Comment
                  • bhoward13
                    SBR Hustler
                    • 10-24-08
                    • 50

                    #79
                    Totals w/ 70%+ of the action and no movement are 2-1 this week.

                    JAX/KC 38 Over 82% W24
                    NE/SD 49 Over 74% L6
                    MINN/GB 44 Over 73% W8

                    NYG/DAL 44.5 Over 76% fall into this play for tonight's game.

                    GL
                    Comment
                    • bhoward13
                      SBR Hustler
                      • 10-24-08
                      • 50

                      #80
                      Originally posted by bhoward13
                      Totals w/ 70%+ of the action and no movement are 2-1 this week.

                      JAX/KC 38 Over 82% W24
                      NE/SD 49 Over 74% L6
                      MINN/GB 44 Over 73% W8

                      NYG/DAL 44.5 Over 76% fall into this play for tonight's game.

                      GL

                      NYG/DAL Over 44.5 W
                      3-1 This Week
                      +1.90 units
                      Comment
                      • The-Diesel
                        SBR MVP
                        • 12-27-09
                        • 1766

                        #81
                        Originally posted by The-Diesel
                        Monday night football 10/25/10

                        This is a game you don't want to bet big on. Lots of money coming in on Dallas tonight. With that being said I'm going to take my chances with the Giants to cover.
                        GL on your play and enjoy the game.

                        My play
                        Giants +3.5 (-109)


                        Winner
                        Comment
                        • JGILL50
                          SBR Wise Guy
                          • 10-31-08
                          • 836

                          #82
                          this works very well in the MLB also
                          Comment
                          • The-Diesel
                            SBR MVP
                            • 12-27-09
                            • 1766

                            #83
                            New Orleans could be a big play Sunday Night.
                            Comment
                            • jakeandba
                              SBR MVP
                              • 01-13-09
                              • 1033

                              #84
                              so does this sound about right for betting with the public dog?

                              Denver
                              Wash
                              Miami
                              Tenn
                              TB

                              and betting against the public Fav
                              NO?

                              but there is also conflict b/c of RLM SF, Det, and SD?
                              Comment
                              • playr101
                                SBR MVP
                                • 01-16-10
                                • 2029

                                #85
                                GL today diesel

                                -playr101
                                Comment
                                • footballgirl
                                  SBR Sharp
                                  • 10-10-10
                                  • 405

                                  #86
                                  what about the STL CAR game...public is haevy on STL---on one site that I check public is on STL 72%
                                  Comment
                                  • The-Diesel
                                    SBR MVP
                                    • 12-27-09
                                    • 1766

                                    #87
                                    Originally posted by jakeandba
                                    so does this sound about right for betting against the public dog?

                                    Denver
                                    Wash
                                    Miami
                                    Tenn
                                    TB

                                    and betting against the public Fav
                                    NO?

                                    but there is also conflict b/c of RLM SF, Det, and SD?
                                    Alot of bumping heads today. Pick and choose carefully today as we will get a good feeling on which way to go next time.
                                    Comment
                                    • The-Diesel
                                      SBR MVP
                                      • 12-27-09
                                      • 1766

                                      #88
                                      Sunday, 10/31/10

                                      Well guys what we got is a damn mess, just fitting for Halloween. The pros are a hell of alot harder that college. Alot of plays are bumping heads today. If nothing else we will find out which will is stronger for the next time. With all that be said I'm not going to play anything big today. GL and enjoy the games.

                                      Be back later for the Sunday Night Game.

                                      Public dog plays
                                      62% Denver +2
                                      59% Washington +2.5
                                      66% Miami PK
                                      56% Tennessee +5
                                      60% T.B. +3


                                      RLM Plays
                                      38% S.F. -2
                                      40% Jacksonville +6.5
                                      41% Detroit -2.5
                                      32% Buffalo +7
                                      44% S.D. -5


                                      My only Day Game Play is:
                                      38% S.F. -2
                                      Comment
                                      • jakeandba
                                        SBR MVP
                                        • 01-13-09
                                        • 1033

                                        #89
                                        den v sf are in england no bet for me
                                        Comment
                                        • The-Diesel
                                          SBR MVP
                                          • 12-27-09
                                          • 1766

                                          #90
                                          Originally posted by The-Diesel
                                          Sunday, 10/31/10

                                          Well guys what we got is a damn mess, just fitting for Halloween. The pros are a hell of alot harder that college. Alot of plays are bumping heads today. If nothing else we will find out which will is stronger for the next time. With all that be said I'm not going to play anything big today. GL and enjoy the games.

                                          Be back later for the Sunday Night Game.

                                          Public dog plays
                                          62% Denver +2
                                          59% Washington +2.5
                                          66% Miami PK
                                          56% Tennessee +5
                                          60% T.B. +3

                                          RLM Plays
                                          38% S.F. -2
                                          40% Jacksonville +6.5
                                          41% Detroit -2.5
                                          32% Buffalo +7
                                          44% S.D. -5

                                          My only Day Game Play is:
                                          38% S.F. -2
                                          Well I hit my only play on the 49ers and the RLM plays are looking very strong. 4-0 in the early games.

                                          Public dog plays
                                          62% Denver +2.....................Lost
                                          59% Washington +2.5............Lost
                                          66% Miami PK.......................Won
                                          56% Tennessee +5
                                          60% T.B. +3

                                          RLM Plays
                                          38% S.F. -2.......................Won
                                          40% Jacksonville +6.5..........Won
                                          41% Detroit -2.5.................Won
                                          32% Buffalo +7...................Won
                                          44% S.D. -5

                                          My only Day Game Play is:
                                          38% S.F. -2.................Won
                                          Comment
                                          • jakeandba
                                            SBR MVP
                                            • 01-13-09
                                            • 1033

                                            #91
                                            hey my man....not to be a ass, but i think wash lost ATS
                                            Comment
                                            • JFCvsRXB
                                              SBR Hustler
                                              • 06-23-10
                                              • 67

                                              #92
                                              Originally posted by The-Diesel
                                              Well I hit my only play on the 49ers and the RLM plays are looking very strong. 4-0 in the early games.

                                              Public dog plays
                                              62% Denver +2.....................Lost
                                              59% Washington +2.5............Won
                                              66% Miami PK.......................Lost
                                              56% Tennessee +5
                                              60% T.B. +3

                                              RLM Plays
                                              38% S.F. -2.......................Won
                                              40% Jacksonville +6.5..........Won
                                              41% Detroit -2.5.................Won
                                              32% Buffalo +7...................Won
                                              44% S.D. -5

                                              My only Day Game Play is:
                                              38% S.F. -2.................Won
                                              Washington did not cover...
                                              Comment
                                              • The-Diesel
                                                SBR MVP
                                                • 12-27-09
                                                • 1766

                                                #93
                                                Originally posted by jakeandba
                                                hey my man....not to be a ass, but i think wash lost ATS
                                                I colored wash. and miami wrong
                                                Comment
                                                • The-Diesel
                                                  SBR MVP
                                                  • 12-27-09
                                                  • 1766

                                                  #94
                                                  Originally posted by The-Diesel
                                                  Well I hit my only play on the 49ers and the RLM plays are looking very strong. 4-0 in the early games.

                                                  Public dog plays
                                                  62% Denver +2.....................Lost
                                                  59% Washington +2.5............Lost
                                                  66% Miami PK.......................Won
                                                  56% Tennessee +5
                                                  60% T.B. +3

                                                  RLM Plays
                                                  38% S.F. -2.......................Won
                                                  40% Jacksonville +6.5..........Won
                                                  41% Detroit -2.5.................Won
                                                  32% Buffalo +7...................Won
                                                  44% S.D. -5

                                                  My only Day Game Play is:
                                                  38% S.F. -2.................Won
                                                  Does that look better
                                                  Comment
                                                  • JFCvsRXB
                                                    SBR Hustler
                                                    • 06-23-10
                                                    • 67

                                                    #95
                                                    Better than Christmas!
                                                    Comment
                                                    • playr101
                                                      SBR MVP
                                                      • 01-16-10
                                                      • 2029

                                                      #96
                                                      nice... didnt see Jacksonville as RLM... so I didnt play it.. but played Carolina...

                                                      still a good day ....

                                                      Need SD and NO now...

                                                      -playr101
                                                      Comment
                                                      • The-Diesel
                                                        SBR MVP
                                                        • 12-27-09
                                                        • 1766

                                                        #97
                                                        Originally posted by The-Diesel
                                                        Well I hit my only play on the 49ers and the RLM plays are looking very strong. 4-0 in the early games.

                                                        Public dog plays
                                                        62% Denver +2.....................Lost
                                                        59% Washington +2.5............Lost
                                                        66% Miami PK.......................Won
                                                        56% Tennessee +5
                                                        60% T.B. +3

                                                        RLM Plays
                                                        38% S.F. -2.......................Won
                                                        40% Jacksonville +6.5..........Won
                                                        41% Detroit -2.5.................Won
                                                        32% Buffalo +7...................Won
                                                        44% S.D. -5

                                                        My only Day Game Play is:
                                                        38% S.F. -2.................Won
                                                        The percentage is slowing going up on Pitt tonight. New Orleans looking pretty good right now.
                                                        Comment
                                                        • The-Diesel
                                                          SBR MVP
                                                          • 12-27-09
                                                          • 1766

                                                          #98
                                                          Originally posted by playr101
                                                          nice... didnt see Jacksonville as RLM... so I didnt play it.. but played Carolina...

                                                          still a good day ....

                                                          Need SD and NO now...

                                                          -playr101
                                                          Yep

                                                          Dallas open up at -11 early in the week at alot of Vegas books. Alot of people didn't see that.
                                                          Comment
                                                          • jon13009
                                                            SBR MVP
                                                            • 09-22-07
                                                            • 1258

                                                            #99
                                                            NO is a RLM, good luck.
                                                            Comment
                                                            • The-Diesel
                                                              SBR MVP
                                                              • 12-27-09
                                                              • 1766

                                                              #100
                                                              Originally posted by jon13009
                                                              NO is a RLM, good luck.
                                                              That's correct
                                                              Comment
                                                              • The-Diesel
                                                                SBR MVP
                                                                • 12-27-09
                                                                • 1766

                                                                #101
                                                                Sunday Night Football

                                                                This game just looks to good to be true. It falls into my primetime plays against the Public dog system and it falls in the RLM system. Boy oh Boy !!!!!! I'm still not going big on it because it still just looks to easy. GL tonight and enjoy the game.

                                                                Sunday Night Play
                                                                N.O. Saints -1.5
                                                                Comment
                                                                • playr101
                                                                  SBR MVP
                                                                  • 01-16-10
                                                                  • 2029

                                                                  #102
                                                                  i know.. i wanna go big on it...



                                                                  -playr101
                                                                  Comment
                                                                  • keel44
                                                                    SBR MVP
                                                                    • 08-01-09
                                                                    • 3363

                                                                    #103
                                                                    You mean +1.5 right? Not -1.5
                                                                    Comment
                                                                    • manicart
                                                                      SBR Wise Guy
                                                                      • 10-10-10
                                                                      • 829

                                                                      #104
                                                                      No my book has new orleans fav by 2
                                                                      I'm gonna drop down to -1 just incase things get too close for comfort.

                                                                      I had a great Saturday goin 5-0
                                                                      Only loss today so far - Carolina
                                                                      Just hit Sd
                                                                      Comment
                                                                      • jakeandba
                                                                        SBR MVP
                                                                        • 01-13-09
                                                                        • 1033

                                                                        #105
                                                                        yeah the line for the cowboys was confusing...pregame said opened at -11 but score and odds said it opened at like -6.5...so i passed on the game since there was a conflict
                                                                        Comment
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