NFL Public Fade Tracking Thread of Dogs 52% or Higher

hitman2010 · 10-02-10, 11:01 PM

good luck Diesel

The-Diesel · 10-02-10, 11:06 PM

Originally posted by hitman2010

good luck Diesel

ebbearsfb1 · 10-02-10, 11:07 PM

defintely gonna check it out tomorrow

The-Diesel · 10-02-10, 11:10 PM

Originally posted by ebbearsfb1

defintely gonna check it out tomorrow

gamemastere · 10-02-10, 11:15 PM

wouldn't mind seeing those leans now so that more time could be spent doing some personal research

Jasonal_98 · 10-02-10, 11:23 PM

Looking forward to seeing how this goes. I'm a big fan of fading the public on primetime games.

Ninersnut · 10-02-10, 11:27 PM

The-Diesel · 10-02-10, 11:30 PM

Originally posted by Jasonal_98

Looking forward to seeing how this goes. I'm a big fan of fading the public on primetime games.

The-Diesel · 10-02-10, 11:31 PM

Originally posted by Ninersnut

The-Diesel · 10-02-10, 11:34 PM

Originally posted by gamemastere

wouldn't mind seeing those leans now so that more time could be spent doing some personal research

No problem gamemaster but only leans right now. Things change over night and closer to game time

Green Bay (maybe)
Giants

The-Diesel · 10-03-10, 11:20 AM

Sunday 10/3/10 plays

Only one early game. Looking at the Giants for tonight to early to tell right now.

1 unit
43% Pittsburgh -2 (-107)

GL today.

angelodebo · 10-03-10, 11:43 AM

This worked well yesterday in college. Its a theory I've been using for a couple years and always been successful. but I only focus on the underdogs that make top ten picks. That was NC State and Stanford yesterday //2-0

Only one today is Baltimore..that means take PITT!

But NFL is much harder to use these type of trends. College is easier. The NFL is crazy

The-Diesel · 10-03-10, 12:05 PM

Originally posted by angelodebo

This worked well yesterday in college. Its a theory I've been using for a couple years and always been successful. but I only focus on the underdogs that make top ten picks. That was NC State and Stanford yesterday //2-0

Only one today is Baltimore..that means take PITT!

But NFL is much harder to use these type of trends. College is easier. The NFL is crazy

Not as many games either. Let's see how it plays out

newguy · 10-03-10, 12:35 PM

Good luck today!!

The-Diesel · 10-03-10, 03:07 PM

Originally posted by newguy

Good luck today!!

The-Diesel · 10-04-10, 03:37 AM

The Fades go 1-1 on Sunday -0.07 units

1 unit
43% Pittsburgh -2 (-107)..............Lost
36% Giants -3.5 (+100)................Won

Fade Record
1-1
50%
-0.07 units

The-Diesel · 10-04-10, 07:12 PM

No play tonight.

Half the books are +1 and the other half is -1. LOL

I can tell you after 86,000 bets that 71% of the public is on N.E.

Enjoy the game.

The-Diesel · 10-10-10, 11:23 AM

Sunday 10/10/10 plays

The systen has 3 plays today. I will be gone for a while today so enjoy the games and GL.

1 unit
44% Buffalo -2 (-110)
40% Carolina -3 (+110)
46% Dallas -6.5 (-110)

Fade Record
1-1
50%
-0.07 units

newguy · 10-10-10, 11:29 AM

Great - I am already on Bears - hope the public goes 1-2 and hits Bears!! Thanks for the update

HawaiiFan · 10-10-10, 11:39 AM

Gl today!

dante1 · 10-10-10, 11:45 AM

Originally posted by HawaiiFan

Gl today!

Let's see, curious. GL

The-Diesel · 10-10-10, 12:22 PM

Originally posted by newguy

Great - I am already on Bears - hope the public goes 1-2 and hits Bears!! Thanks for the update

LOL

I have a thread out there from where I capped the Bears also but back off. It may hit newguy.

GL today

The-Diesel · 10-10-10, 12:22 PM

Originally posted by HawaiiFan

Gl today!

The-Diesel · 10-10-10, 05:37 PM

Just got back home guys. The system not working well in the pro's. I didn't have enough games to go off of last week but it looks like it works in reverse in all Pro sports. I seeing the same results in hockey over the last two nights. Sounds crazy I know but we need to ride the public dogs instead of fading them in all pro sports 52% or greater. If this works we are going to kill the NBA this year.
I will start reversing the plays next week.

The-Diesel · 10-10-10, 05:43 PM

Originally posted by The-Diesel

Just got back home guys. The system not working well in the pro's. I didn't have enough games to go off of last week but it looks like it works in reverse in all Pro sports. I seeing the same results in hockey over the last two nights. Sounds crazy I know but we need to ride the public dogs instead of fading them in all pro sports 52% or greater. If this works we are going to kill the NBA this year.
I will start reversing the plays next week.

I think we are on to some shit here guys

The-Diesel · 10-10-10, 05:47 PM

Talk to me guys. We are making alot of money in college. By the way can't wait until college hoops roll around.

stuiees · 10-11-10, 03:21 AM

lol... no worries man. hope no one wagerd too much on those plays. I followed some plays from the college thread and hit those. i am interested in the opposite theory for the pros.

The-Diesel · 10-11-10, 05:16 PM

Originally posted by stuiees

lol... no worries man. hope no one wagerd too much on those plays. I followed some plays from the college thread and hit those. i am interested in the opposite theory for the pros.

Let's see how it goes

The-Diesel · 10-11-10, 06:09 PM

Monday, 10/11/10 play

Ok guys got 54% of the public on Minnesota +4.5
I'm going to go with the public dogs on 1:00 and 4:00 games every Sunday when there are alot more games being played and the public dogs hit alot during that time. Sunday and Monday night are a whole different ball game. With that being said let's ride the Jets tonight in my opinion. Who ever you go with GL tonight and enjoy the game.

1 unit
46% Jets -4.5

The-Diesel · 10-12-10, 03:45 AM

Originally posted by The-Diesel

Monday, 10/11/10 play

Ok guys got 54% of the public on Minnesota +4.5
I'm going to go with the public dogs on 1:00 and 4:00 games every Sunday when there are alot more games being played and the public dogs hit alot during that time. Sunday and Monday night are a whole different ball game. With that being said let's ride the Jets tonight in my opinion. Who ever you go with GL tonight and enjoy the game.

1 unit
46% Jets -4.5

Monday, 10/11/10 Results

Ok guys got 54% of the public on Minnesota +4.5
I'm going to go with the public dogs on 1:00 and 4:00 games every Sunday when there are alot more games being played and the public dogs hit alot during that time. Sunday and Monday night are a whole different ball game. With that being said let's ride the Jets tonight in my opinion. Who ever you go with GL tonight and enjoy the game.

1 unit
46% Jets -4.5...........Won

shades12 · 10-12-10, 05:30 AM

Great Call

The-Diesel · 10-12-10, 12:10 PM

Originally posted by shades12

Great Call

keel44 · 10-13-10, 01:10 AM

I think the public knows the pro sports better than the college. In college there are so many teams to choose from. After all the sharps usually know underdogs. The squares bet the favorites. I say in the pro's let's follow the public dogs and in college let's fade the public dogs.

Just my opinion.....

keel44 · 10-13-10, 01:59 AM

O.K. I have done some research. I used the vegasinsider website to look at this year's NFL season so far.
I looked at the closing line's betting percentages for underdogs against the point spread and against the money line BET AS THE POINT SPREAD at 52% or higher. The results are very interesting:

TOP NUMBER is the record for point spread underdog percentages at 52% or higher
BOTTOM NUMBER is the record for the money line underdog percentages BET AS THE POINT SPREAD at 52% or higher.

WEEK 1
2 - 1 -1
4 - 2 -1

WEEK 2
1 -0
5 -1 -1

WEEK 3
3 -1
5 -2

WEEK 4
1 -0
4 - 2

WEEK 5
1 - 1
5 -3

ALL WEEKS
8 - 3 -1 72%
23 - 10 - 2 69%

It has been an interesting find. I just might start betting this way.