Pro-Computer Gambler 2010-2011 LOCK AND LOAD

therber2 · 10-17-10, 12:49 PM

Originally posted by shoebox

therberzzzz!!

Hey Shoe! How are you guys doin? Long time no see.

therber2 · 10-17-10, 12:56 PM

Man...I had an obligation this morning, and walked into these games late. Looked like they're generally doing poorly. Just came back though and Houston scores. Maybe I'm good luck.

AndyCapper · 10-17-10, 01:00 PM

Well go to another obligation and come back Therbs, we need another Houston TD

adranger93 · 10-17-10, 01:00 PM

Dont sweat it brother, this has been the hardest year i can remember is picking pros. Your still killing it and we all thank you!

therber2 · 10-17-10, 01:02 PM

NCAAF Week 7 Recap

NCAA WEEK SEVEN - RECAP

NCAAFB WEEK SEVEN
Record:$132.00 5-2 71.47% +6.6 Units
TOP PLAYS Record: 2-1 +$54.00 66.6%

NCAAFB 2010(Season record for 2010 Season)
Record:$2,609.00 (10/16/10) from $2,000.00 (8/26/10) 39-28-1 58.2.7% +23.85 Units
TOP PLAYS Record: 13-3 +$548.00 81.2% +30.45 Units

Thoughts: Here in Vegas last weekend the big public choices like #1 Alabama (Who lost straight up), Stanford, Oregon, Arizona, and Florida all failed to cover the number. There were a lot of back door covers, with the favorite establishing nice leads, only to have the underdog score late and cover the spread. We had our only losing week of the year, as we got caught with these late covers. On Saturday, we have five games with big leads at half-time, and only managed to win one of those games. And my wife wants to know why I started drinking again….lol.

Official Sports Betting numbers are in Brackets (xxx)

**** Top PLAYS are 13-3 this Season ****

(126) Georgia -14 over Vanderbilt - WON
(3 UNITS for $66 - bet based on $20 units)
(130) Florida -7 over Mississippi St - LOST
(3 UNITS for $66 - bet based on $20 units)
***** COLLEGE GAME OF THE MONTH IS *****
(173) Utah -20 over Wyoming - WON
(They will crush the Cowboy and need to ring up the score)
(3 UNITS for $66 - bet based on $20 units)

JUST MISSED GROUP…

(159) Iowa -3.5 over Michigan - WON
(2 UNITS for $44 - bet based on $20 units)
(181) Southern Mississippi -14.5 over Memphis - WON
(2 UNITS for $44 - bet based on $20 units)

THE ONE UNIT PLAYS -The rest of the herd…

(169) UTEP +2 over UAB – LOST - LOST
(1 UNITS for $22 - bet based on $20 units)
(141) Baylor -2 over Colorado -7- WON
1 UNITS for $22 - bet based on $20 units)

***** COLLEGE GAME OF THE MONTH *****

(173) Utah -20 over Wyoming

The Wyoming Cowboys were getting a little better the last couple of years, but this team stinks. Utah on the other is always trying to prove they belong in the BCS. They are ranked #10 right now, sporting a 5-0 record, and looking to ring up the score against anybody. People forget how good these Utah teams can be, they finished number two in the country a couple years ago, when they beat Alabama in the Sugar Bowl.

They have shut out Wyoming 3 times in the last nine years, not to mention they beat them 40-7 two years ago…Utah will crush the Cowboy’s for our college play of the month.

HERE ARE THE RAW NUMBERS...TULANE WAS AN IMMEDIATE THROW OUT BECAUSE THE ARE IN THE TOP 10 OF TEAMS THAT DON'T COVER THE SPREAD AND ONE OF THE WORSE TEAMS IN COLLEGE FOOTBALL. BUT IF YOU THROW OUT TULANE, AND PLAY ONLY TEAMS THAT SHOULD COVER BY 10 OR MORE POINTS, THEY WENT 6-1. OF COURSE NOT LIKE THIS EVERY WEEK, BUT MY COMPUTER NUMBERS ARE VERY STRONG ON COLLEGE.

STEVE

10 WINS 6 LOSS = 62.5%

(185) Tulane +20 over Tulsa -20 - LOST
(120) Michigan St. -7 over Illinois – 14 - WON
(194) San Diego St. +3.5 over Air Force – 13.5 - WON
(126) Georgia -14 over Vanderbilt – 12 – WON
(118) Clemson -14 over Maryland -10 - WON
(136) Temple -18.5 over Bowling Green -10 - LOST
(181) Southern Mississippi -15 over Memphis – 10 - WON
(122) Purdue -5 over Minnesota -10 - WON
(127) South Carolina -6.5 over Kentucky -9.5 - LOST
(169) UTEP +2 over UAB -9.5 - LOST
(173) Utah -20 over Wyoming -9 - WON
(159) Iowa -3.5 over Michigan – 8.5 - WON
(140) Ohio -16.5 over Akron – 8 - WON
(141) Baylor -2 over Colorado -7- WON
(130) Florida -8.5 over Mississippi St. - 7.5 - LOST
(151) SMU +2 over Navy -7- LOST

Aussiecapper101 · 10-17-10, 01:36 PM

Touchdown falcons there's still a sniff?

therber2 · 10-17-10, 01:40 PM

Originally posted by AndyCapper

Well go to another obligation and come back Therbs, we need another Houston TD

Originally posted by adranger93

Dont sweat it brother, this has been the hardest year i can remember is picking pros. Your still killing it and we all thank you!

Originally posted by Aussiecapper101

Touchdown falcons there's still a sniff?

Thanks guys. We're still in the game. I'll go do the BBQ and come back.

AndyCapper · 10-17-10, 03:01 PM

Houston makin' it VERY interesting

AndyCapper · 10-17-10, 03:03 PM

TOUCHDOWN Houston!!!!!!!!!

ManBearPig · 10-17-10, 03:05 PM

I got HOU@-4.5 it changed right as I was confirming and I didn't think twice...

BetterBizness · 10-17-10, 03:10 PM

Houuuussttoonnn!!!!!!!!!!!!! Saved 3.5 Units... I took 1 unit second half to absorb some shock... But wow... Sweetest Push in a LONG time...

AndyCapper · 10-17-10, 03:11 PM

All things considering..... I'll take that push!!! Hou -4

Bad luck ManBearPig

BetterBizness · 10-17-10, 03:14 PM

Sharp Sharp Teasers Therber... Now we need Oakland...

therber2 · 10-17-10, 03:29 PM

Boy did we LUCK out!

Originally posted by AndyCapper

Houston makin' it VERY interesting

Originally posted by AndyCapper

TOUCHDOWN Houston!!!!!!!!!

Originally posted by BetterBizness

Houuuussttoonnn!!!!!!!!!!!!! Saved 3.5 Units... I took 1 unit second half to absorb some shock... But wow... Sweetest Push in a LONG time...

Originally posted by AndyCapper

All things considering..... I'll take that push!!! Hou -4

Bad luck ManBearPig

Originally posted by BetterBizness

Sharp Sharp Teasers Therber... Now we need Oakland...

I went from:

to:

therber2 · 10-17-10, 03:32 PM

Falcons make me want to...

Aussiecapper101 · 10-17-10, 03:37 PM

I signed up to a different book just to get that -4 on texans.. Safe to say was a good move!

therber2 · 10-17-10, 03:47 PM

Originally posted by Aussiecapper101

I signed up to a different book just to get that -4 on texans.. Safe to say was a good move!

I've posted the key totals line a number of times. You did it right Aussie; you get to that 4 even if you have to buy it. Here are the lines again in order of importance. Make sure you guys save this if you haven't already:

Key lines: 3, 7, 10, 6, 4, 14, 1, 17, 2, 13, 8, 21

So lines were -3.5, -4 and -4.5 in different books. You want to go for -4 or -3 if you can.

jasDace · 10-17-10, 03:57 PM

Any thoughts or leans on Colts v. Redskins game?

BetterBizness · 10-17-10, 04:02 PM

I'm not ever claiming to know what I'm doing.. But now I have 2 books that I have $ in that I can shop for the best number & Price = +EV

Aussiecapper101 · 10-17-10, 04:07 PM

Originally posted by BetterBizness

I'm not ever claiming to know what I'm doing.. But now I have 2 books that I have $ in that I can shop for the best number & Price = +EV

Yeh I got 3 now and each are different so works well, with the soccer the odds fluctuate alot more and I'm goin pretty good for value

RAVENSFAN · 10-17-10, 04:43 PM

Originally posted by therber2

I've posted the key totals line a number of times. You did it right Aussie; you get to that 4 even if you have to buy it. Here are the lines again in order of importance. Make sure you guys save this if you haven't already:

Key lines: 3, 7, 10, 6, 4, 14, 1, 17, 2, 13, 8, 21

So lines were -3.5, -4 and -4.5 in different books. You want to go for -4 or -3 if you can.

I'm new here so Thanks for this! Just a question on what you think of Indy tonight at -3.5? I can only get it at the -3.5 and now I'm worried about that as I just got screwed on my biggest payout of the day because I had Houston at -4.5

Guess it's good I'm learning now. Thanks man!

ManBearPig · 10-17-10, 04:48 PM

Originally posted by therber2

I've posted the key totals line a number of times. You did it right Aussie; you get to that 4 even if you have to buy it. Here are the lines again in order of importance. Make sure you guys save this if you haven't already:

Key lines: 3, 7, 10, 6, 4, 14, 1, 17, 2, 13, 8, 21

So lines were -3.5, -4 and -4.5 in different books. You want to go for -4 or -3 if you can.

I know this and I still didn't buy the .5 and I paid...another lesson learned I guess. I did the same with Miami by not buying up to +3.5 and it bit me...these lines are friggin sharp!!!

therber2 · 10-17-10, 05:20 PM

Originally posted by jasDace

Any thoughts or leans on Colts v. Redskins game?

Everything I have on this game is clashing. I wouldn't touch it.

therber2 · 10-17-10, 05:29 PM

Originally posted by ManBearPig

I know this and I still didn't buy the .5 and I paid...another lesson learned I guess. I did the same with Miami by not buying up to +3.5 and it bit me...these lines are friggin sharp!!!

With Miami; I remember everything was either +3 EV or plus or +3.5 -110 always take that hook in that spot. Lesson learned. Like I said hang onto that key pointspread list. It is worth gold as you've learned today.

therber2 · 10-17-10, 06:22 PM

Ripped facemask in the red zone and a blown snap from Denver's rookie....what happened.?

Glad to hear some of you got +4 there. I didn't...

Aussiecapper101 · 10-18-10, 05:56 AM

Originally posted by therber2

Everything I have on this game is clashing. I wouldn't touch it.

well it clashed that much that it was a push! good call I guess

do5000 · 10-18-10, 08:01 AM

another winning weekend. nice job therber

mcbaseball10 · 10-18-10, 08:43 AM

Good weekend therber.

JMobile · 10-18-10, 08:45 AM

Good call on the Rams game. I took them all the way!

rolybea · 10-18-10, 09:00 AM

Good weekend Therber ++++ units

Ca$hfloW · 10-18-10, 09:05 AM

I learned this weekend that buying the hook is very important, I went 3-1-3 and though I'm not disappointed in that it could of been 6-1 if I would have not been so cheap

BetterBizness · 10-18-10, 10:33 AM

Originally posted by therber2

Everything I have on this game is clashing. I wouldn't touch it.

And it ended up pushing on most books... almost poetic...

BetterBizness · 10-18-10, 10:35 AM

Originally posted by therber2

MY COMPUTER NUMBERS ARE VERY STRONG ON COLLEGE.

Really? Never noticed this...

DJStroke · 10-18-10, 10:56 AM

nice weekend

therber2 · 10-18-10, 01:00 PM

Originally posted by Aussiecapper101

well it clashed that much that it was a push! good call I guess

LOL. Wow. I didn't even see that. Too bad there is no prop for WILL THIS PUSH? Yes +5000