LB thread for NFL plays 2010-2011

[HustleGetPaid]

Like the teaser play LB...

[doin]

NEW ENGLAND AT DETROIT: There wasn't much early betting interest here. That tells me sharps DON'T like New England at -6.5, or they would have jumped in quickly to beat the public to the favorite. When something "doesn't" happen in this fashion, you can deduce that the sharps would prefer the dog, and they're waiting for the public to step in later in the week. I think we're likely to see this. Squares (the general public) will see Tom Brady at less than a TD as pretty appealing, particularly given all the blowouts Detroit has suffered on past holidays. Sharps will step in at +7 or better to take the improving Lions defense against the Pats in a letdown spot off the Steelers and Colts. The public will probably play Over 51 here. Sharps like any Under in a game in the 50's, but are probably waiting to see if they can go Under 52 or better.
JR007

I gust put my $ on -6 for the first game.
Love your dialog JR
All (almost?) stats point to my Patriots taking the game easily. And it's Thanksgiving Day, and these men are just off the Mayflower and all, aren't they? Good omen.

[MidgetTossers]

lions were hammered down to 6..i love my detroit +7...

[IndyJonezy]

Pats -7 x1
Saints -5 x1
Jets -10 x1

All unders for x1

Happy Turkey Day!

[fly fisher]

Good luck all on your plays. been busy at work the past week, can someone tell me why the Lyon/LB thread was closed? That was a great thread.

[$Burm$]

Good luck all on your plays. been busy at work the past week, can someone tell me why the Lyon/LB thread was closed? That was a great thread.

Thats why.

[ronjon619]

Pats driving for the cashing drive Joey public striking again

[Dexter]

Good write up JR007

out of respect to the actual author - those are not his writeups.

[ronjon619]

out of respect to the actual author - those are not his writeups.

I think he cuts them from a pay for play site

[ronjon619]

DAL/NO over 49

[JR007]

out of respect to the actual author - those are not his writeups.

That is correct.... these are not my writeups...i have repeatedly stated this in these threads for six
month's or more...I put them in "quotations"...I have been warned by the mods in the past......that is why i do not name the author......

[Dexter]

That is correct.... these are not my writeups...i have repeatedly stated this in these threads for six
month's or more...I put them in "quotations"...I have been warned by the mods in the past......that is why i do not name the author......

i know you do which is cool - i actually enjoy reading them.

[ronjon619]

DAL/NO over 49

Squares swinging for the fences and connecting

[No coincidences]

Squares swinging for the fenced and connecting

You should send Reggie Bush half of your winnings.

[ronjon619]

You should send Reggie Bush half of your winnings.

I'll send a thank you note. His goofs kept hope alive.

[No coincidences]

I'll send a thank you note. His goofs kept hope alive.

This team is better without him.

That is a fact.

[JR007]

i know you do which is cool - i actually enjoy reading them.

[JR007]

Looka like the books are lining up on the horns tonight

[ronjon619]

Looka like the books are lining up on the horns tonight

Good for them

[maxcraft]

lol.. now i see why the write-up is kinda good.. it was plagiarized.. JR007 stealing from other people just to look "sharp".. SMH in disgust..

hey JR007, you should have some decency to put the link of the original source of the write-up.. that's stealing man..

[SmackdownV]

Well we went 4-1 Today with a good profit.

Like that shit!

I just went down the slopes at night in Colorado!

LOVE IT!

Gonna have a profitable weekend brothers.

Follow my units and you win.

Pick and choose your shit and you lose.

That's how this thread goes.

If you followed today your LOVING you life right now.

See you for Friday NCAA boys!

[colts]

JR - Thanks for sharing the info. The intelligent people know you are not claiming it as your own. Hope you had a profitable day.

[SmackdownV]

Laker.

I am sorry bro.

I am Soooooooooooo freaking FADED right now and thought I posted that on my thread. Sorry brother.

Yikes!

Thanksgiving wine and ski, and booze and stuff.

You the man!

Respect.

[bobbyk1133]

I think he cuts them from a pay for play site

I know where he gets them from and they are free writeups for anyone to read.

That is correct.... these are not my writeups...i have repeatedly stated this in these threads for six month's or more...I put them in "quotations"...I have been warned by the mods in the past......that is why i do not name the author......

Quotations are obviously not enough to indicate to ppl that they aren't your write-ups (hence all the point transfers/comments). If you can go to the trouble of copying/pasting them is it so hard to write a few words to say they aren't yours?

[maxcraft]

bobby is correct.. everyone here will think that JR007 wrote all of that.. I myself was impressed with JR007 because he really looked knowledgeable with the sharps thinking and everything.. you couldn't even notice the quotations. I only noticed it when JR007 mentioned it..

It really looked like JR007 wrote all of that stuff.. where in fact he just copy-pasted it.. too sad.. no mention of anything that he just copied it from someone else.. and posters giving JR007 points for something he didn't write..

Oh well what can you do, people here will do anything just to get points to buy themselves some pizza.. SMH..

[FishFace5]

who's the comic book clown?
find some place else to troll u worthless newbie

[fadeCOVERS4me]

who's the comic book clown? find some place else to troll u worthless newbie

true

[JR007]

Hey Kraft Mac..and.....................CHEESE..... I am here to learn..not to take credit for others peoples work...it is public info...feel free to google it............... I am trying to contribute to the forum in some way to pay back the knowledge i have gained from the nice people..here..I am old enough to be you granddaddy son......I can tell people's ubringing...(even in cyberspace) by the way they respond here...old saying..the "apples don't fall far from the trees'...remember that.....

[JR007]

"WHAT SHARPS ARE THINKING ABOUT
SUNDAY AND MONDAY IN THE NFL
I hope you had a great holiday with your loved ones. Time to focus once again on FOOTBALL! Here's my weekly report on what sharps (professional wagerers) are thinking about this week's NFL games. The first three are already in the books. Let's take a look at Sunday and Monday...
MINNESOTA AT WASHINGTON: Not much early interest in this one, though an opener of Washington -1.5 is down to Washington -1. That may simply be a little boost for the Vikings off the coaching change. One isn't a key number in the NFL. I don't expect sharps to be too active here unless the public drives the number away from where it is now.
PITTSBURGH AT BUFFALO: Some early interest on Pittsburgh and the Over, as -6 is now -6.5, and 42 is now 43. Overs have been winning at a good rate all season...so we've been seeing some early support for Overs the past few weeks. Unless bad weather becomes a factor, sharps will be looking for the Steelers to score some points on a Buffalo defense that hasn't been very impressive this year. Note that this isn't 'strong' support' for Pittsburgh though. The line went to -6.5, but now all the way up to -7.
TENNESSEE AT HOUSTON: The confirmed news that Rusty Smith will quarterback for Tennessee inspired some Houston and Under money. But, linesmakers had already anticipated that...so these weren't major moves. Houston opened at -6 and is now -6.5. The total dropped from 46.5 down to 45.5.
JACKSONVILLE AT NY GIANTS: A lot of interest here on the Jaguars, as an opener of NYG -9.5 has fallen all the way down to -7. Part of that is the injury situation for the Giants. But, sharps really haven't been impressed with Eli Manning against decent teams. Jacksonville has become a playoff contender with recent victories, and now pose a serious threat to the slumping G-Men. Note that we didn't see money coming in on the Giants from middle shooters once it reached -7. So...STRONG support for the Jaguars at anything over seven.
CAROLINA AT CLEVELAND: Cleveland from -9 to -10 early on. That could be position-taking though because sharps figure squares will want to keep betting against Carolina. Sharps can buy back at +10 if they wish and hope for a game that lands on 9 or 10. If the public does move the line any higher, that will open up a middle possibility on the key number of 10. No interest on the total yet. If I don't mention the total, it means I'm not seeing anything meaningful to report.
TAMPA BAY AT BALTIMORE: Similar situation here with Jacksonville/NYG, except the line stopped moving at -7.5 instead of -7. Baltimore opened at -9.5, and Tampa Bay money came in quickly to bring the line down. Oddsmakers didn't go all the way down to the key number, which might mean something. Sharps have been impressed with Tampa Bay this year...and continue to look for value spots with them. I have to admit too that the guys who liked Baltimore as a Super Bowl team before the season started have cooled off in their support.
PHILADELPHIA AT CHICAGO: I was a bit surprised to see Chicago get early support at +3.5. We're now seeing +3 everywhere as I write this. Oddsmakers were anticipating Philadelphia money...and wanted to make bandwagon jumpers lay the hook for the honor of backing Michael Vick.. Instead, Chicago money came in so heavily the hook got erased! Sharps may have seen something with Vick against the defense of the Giants last week that has influenced their thinking here The total is up a tick from 41.5 to 42.
GREEN BAY AT ATLANTA: A surprisingly low opener of pick-em got bet to Atlanta -2 right away. I'm not sure why oddsmakers thought 8-2 Atlanta should be pick-em at home vs. anybody. That gives you a sense of the respect oddsmakers have for Green Bay...but the early action shows you what the sharps think of Atlanta. Both of these teams are seen as legitimate Super Bowl threats. This may not be a big money game in Vegas because squares (the general public) still tend to focus on the Northeast teams, Indy, and Dallas. But, I wouldn't be shocked to see these two teams play each other again come January.
MIAMI AT OAKLAND: This game was off the board for much of the week, so I couldn't get a read on sharp sentiments as of press time. I can tell you that many sharps like what they're seeing with Oakland this year. They're not holding the bad loss at Pittsburgh against them because that was a bad body clock game against a great opponent.
KANSAS CITY AT SEATTLE: More interest on the total than the side initially, as an opener of 43 got bet up to 44.5 We saw a slight move toward Kansas City as an opener of Chiefs -1 moved up to -1.5. If you like playing Overs, you haven't been hurt too much this week with early line moves. Take care of business soon though. The public prefers Overs. And, sharps who bet Unders are taking some time off until scoring calms back down.
ST. LOUIS AT DENVER: St. Louis got early support at +5, but that stopped at +4. Sharps thought the line opened a point too high...but aren't suggesting the Rams deserve to be just a field goal dog. It's been a good year for many of the unheralded NFC dogs. Guys winning with that will now bet them almost as a knee jerk because it's been working so well. Maybe that explains some of the Chicago/Philly money too.
SAN DIEGO AT INDIANAPOLIS: Oddsmakers guessed right here with 3 and 51.5, as none of the Wise Guys have stepped in yet on the game. My sense from talking to sharps is that they're looking to take the Chargers and are hoping the public drives Peyton Manning up to 3.5 or 4. San Diego's on their annual late run. Indianapolis is still beleaguered by injuries. I believe San Diego will be the sharp side...but they didn't see the need to bet early.
SAN FRANCISCO AT ARIZONA: San Francisco opened at -2.5 but is down to -1 now. Typically, if you see an opener of 2.5 for anyone...oddsmakers like the other side and are hoping to take a position against the public (a line like 2.5 is meant to lure in favorite money because three is a key number). Some believe any 2.5 point favorite is automatically a 'false' favorite. Sharps sure bet that way...taking the +2.5, +2, and +1.5 with the home underdog on the assumption they'll probably win outright.
I love Thanksgiving Weekend because my unique position in the heart of the legal betting markets really comes alive. Squares are more active than usual because of the holiday. Sharps love trying to counterpunch the squares. We have marquee games like Auburn/Alabama, Michigan/Ohio State, and Notre Dame/USC that really bring in traffic on the college days. Then, Sundays and Mondays can get real busy if squares happened to win their early Thanksgiving bets (which has been happening in recent years). "

[Wayne]

hey JR007, you should have some decency to put the link of the original source of the write-up.. that's stealing man..

Why don't you do the same for the artwork in your avatar there Spiderman. Thanks for sharing the write-ups JR007.

[JR007]

have to be careful of infractions in the forum rules

[Dr.Money]

thanks for this~!!

[ronjon619]

what are we playing tomorrow boys?

[t-wizzle]

I think Green Bay wins in Atlanta. Also like Tennessee, Seattle, and Tampa Bay.

[ronjon619]

GB / ATL over 47.5
SD +2.5