8 NFL TEAMS ARE HOME DOGS on the opening weekend.

[dodger33]

Bills, Steelers, Seahawks, Eagles all on the ML

[FLO31]

Only team i'd feel comfortable with is the steelers....

also fading my colts early in the season = disaster...

[Goat Milk]

The change in the indy line does not scare me, just the market correcting it as you know. it doesn't change the fact that the bookies are scared to make them anything more than -1. They are begging you to take INDY ML with that price and people are already falling for it. I have only wagered NFL for a few years but opening lines are big indicators in my opinion, not changes in them. Although this is the first week so it is tough to gauge teams and lots of these lines can be taken advantage of earlier, but most are still accurate i would say

I could be wrong of course

[LostBankroll]

Its tough to predict any of these games. It is week 1 afterall.

ONLY HOME DOG I LIKE IS SKINS +3.5

Im a Dallas fan and I even know when the Boys are in for a fight.

San Diego should SHIT all over the Chiefs. SD ML safest play of the NFL Week 1 imo. And it comes at a great time (last game on monday night) Prolly make this play my biggest of the football year.

[The Madcap]

Bills +3 (MIA)

Steelers +1.5 (ATL)

Texans +1 (INDY)

Eagles +3 (GB)

Seahawks +3 (SF)

Rams +4 (ARI)

Chiefs +4.5 (SD)

Skins +3.5 (DALL)


I have to think at least 4 of them win su and maybe 5 on the spread. I would think that taking them all on the ML would be a profitable option. The books got worked last year on the first 8 weeks and this time they look ready to bury the public on the first weekend. It is happening in NCAAF already and i expect it to happen big time. The ones in red i like somewhat. Opinions are welcome. Please if you have nothing good to add to this discussion dont post in here. This thread is for people who gamble and take it seriously and like to have good discussion.

I don't see Dennis Dixon winning his first career start, so nay on the Steelers.

Texans seems like a good pick, as Indy has some new guys they're breaking in, but then Peyton Manning always seems to get it done in the regular season. But I think Houston is vastly improved. Schaub gets better every year it seems, but what about Houston's run game? Is Arian Foster the answer? Don't know yet. I'd lay off it.

Eagles +3 seems too tempting. Kolb against Rodgers-you've got to give Rodgers the nod. He won't be intimidated on the road, and I think Green Bay has something to prove this season. I could see Philly getting routed in this one.

Seahawks will be one of the worst teams in the NFL this season if you ask me. But then, the Niner's QB is Alex Smith. Seattle COULD win, but I still think it's stretch. This game could be close. But if you put a gun to my head I'd still take San Fran.

I like the Rams against the Cardinals. Cardinals lost key playmakers on both sides of the ball, which means it might take a game or two in the fray for the new guys to mesh with the old guard. Plus I think the Rams are going to be extra motivated this season to redeem last year's failure. That might not lead to a winning season, but I think it gives them extra juice week one. And I don't trust the Cardinals D anymore. I can see Steven Jackson rushing for 150+ in this one. And Bradford has looked pretty solid. Rams all the way.

Chiefs could be a sneaky good play. SD struggles with KC in Arrowhead all the time. You've got to think the Chiefs will be better than last year, and SD isn't as good. If I had to pick three of the home dogs, I'd take KC for sure.

I think the Skins are a great play here. The Cowboys have had their number as of late, but the Skins haven't had a quality quarterback in YEARS. Their D was solid last season, and Mike Shanahan's teams always run the ball effectively. I think Cooley/McNabb hook up for some big plays, and I think the Skins win outright. I'm not sold on Dallas. D looks OK, but they're going to have issues in the backfield and the receiving corp because you've got a sliding veteran (Roy Williams) a hot-shot rookie (Dez Bryant) and an up and comer (Austin) all wanting the ball, plus Felix Jones/Barber/Choice all wanting carries. Combine that with the fact that Romo has never struck me as the type of guy that can settle down that sort of squabbling amongst teammates, and I think Dallas is in for a long season. I don't even think they'll make the playoffs. Plus their o-line is old and banged up. Washington is going to want this one more. And in this rivalry, that's sometimes enough. You combine McNabb's veteran cool, plus all the vets in that locker room knowing it's their last shot, and I see the Skins coming out of the gate blazing. I took them on a future to win the division. Would definitely take them to cover here.

[HawkEye]

Wow your picks for dogs are exactly like mine!!! All 8 of them. All fading the public.

[Ace_of_Spades]

Taking the Texans.

[k13]

The change in the indy line does not scare me, just the market correcting it as you know. it doesn't change the fact that the bookies are scared to make them anything more than -1. They are begging you to take INDY ML with that price and people are already falling for it. I have only wagered NFL for a few years but opening lines are big indicators in my opinion, not changes in them. Although this is the first week so it is tough to gauge teams and lots of these lines can be taken advantage of earlier, but most are still accurate i would say

I could be wrong of course

The Texans are always the play and they somehow **** it up every game against Indy. Its so annoying. I know if I pick Indy THIS time, Houston will win.

[whatsgood5]

Gotta like my Skins chances...well not really though

[Skidcom]

Houston breaks through

[james4512]

I'm only taking one game ats and that is the fins, I think the bills are going to be really bad this year, but other than that a few totals caught my eye but no other game.... Going to be a small Sunday card for me

[Shark]

Eagles will disappoint. I think their secondary is garbage and they struggle to score tds in the red zone. Jackson should have problems getting open with the physical play of GBs corners. Can't help but want to take the Bills with that wacky line.

[Vaioice]

Steelers are a play for me. Heinze field is no joke, and we're pickin the D.

Chiefs will be one also. Arrowhead is one o the toughest stadiums to play in. The Chiefs alwYs plays SD tough, and they got got a shot @ winning straight up IMHO.

[jaks440]

I don't see the Texans coming out quite so strong as to beat Peyton --

Their weapons are potential at this point in the season (Arian Foster, Jacoby Jones), limited (Owen Daniels), or Andre Johnson and Matt Schaub. I am looking for them to be a strong team mid-season assuming their potential studs are actual studs, but don't think they will win this first matchup.

I do like the Rams because I have no faith in the Cards this season.

Good luck with the picks!!

[encephalization]

Like it alot.
I am playing all home dogs ML, 300 each.

2,400 to win 3,549. BOL!

[$Burm$]

Like it alot.
I am playing all home dogs ML, 300 each.

2,400 to win 3,549. BOL!

GL with this, I def think it will be profitable

[RockyBalboner]

1st week is difficult to get a grasp on

[mdemps9190]

Like the Steelers, Eagles, Rams, and Redskins...Good catch LB...Will check it out.

[DMB40]

lb question for you.... Trying to learn the line movement more and more from you

the over under tonight opened at 51.5 its 48.5 now and over 60% is on over. This means the Under is the play correct?

[JR007]

"These two teams combined to go Over the total when they met last January in the NFC Title game - the ninth time in 11 meetings a Vikings vs. Saints game has cashed for Over bettors. But check this out: 58% of all Week One contests since the 2000 season have gone Under the total. Additionally, if both teams had winning records the previous year, the number jumps to 72%! This number is too high for this early in the year as we expect the Vikings offense to struggle with Favre still getting acclimated. "

[WIZARDOFBEANTOWN]

hey lb good luck with the season buddy !! jr007 thanks for that stat.i'm on the under good 2 see

[mlb]

I don't see Dennis Dixon winning his first career start, so nay on the Steelers. Texans seems like a good pick, as Indy has some new guys they're breaking in, but then Peyton Manning always seems to get it done in the regular season. But I think Houston is vastly improved. Schaub gets better every year it seems, but what about Houston's run game? Is Arian Foster the answer? Don't know yet. I'd lay off it. Eagles +3 seems too tempting. Kolb against Rodgers-you've got to give Rodgers the nod. He won't be intimidated on the road, and I think Green Bay has something to prove this season. I could see Philly getting routed in this one. Seahawks will be one of the worst teams in the NFL this season if you ask me. But then, the Niner's QB is Alex Smith. Seattle COULD win, but I still think it's stretch. This game could be close. But if you put a gun to my head I'd still take San Fran. I like the Rams against the Cardinals. Cardinals lost key playmakers on both sides of the ball, which means it might take a game or two in the fray for the new guys to mesh with the old guard. Plus I think the Rams are going to be extra motivated this season to redeem last year's failure. That might not lead to a winning season, but I think it gives them extra juice week one. And I don't trust the Cardinals D anymore. I can see Steven Jackson rushing for 150+ in this one. And Bradford has looked pretty solid. Rams all the way. Chiefs could be a sneaky good play. SD struggles with KC in Arrowhead all the time. You've got to think the Chiefs will be better than last year, and SD isn't as good. If I had to pick three of the home dogs, I'd take KC for sure. I think the Skins are a great play here. The Cowboys have had their number as of late, but the Skins haven't had a quality quarterback in YEARS. Their D was solid last season, and Mike Shanahan's teams always run the ball effectively. I think Cooley/McNabb hook up for some big plays, and I think the Skins win outright. I'm not sold on Dallas. D looks OK, but they're going to have issues in the backfield and the receiving corp because you've got a sliding veteran (Roy Williams) a hot-shot rookie (Dez Bryant) and an up and comer (Austin) all wanting the ball, plus Felix Jones/Barber/Choice all wanting carries. Combine that with the fact that Romo has never struck me as the type of guy that can settle down that sort of squabbling amongst teammates, and I think Dallas is in for a long season. I don't even think they'll make the playoffs. Plus their o-line is old and banged up. Washington is going to want this one more. And in this rivalry, that's sometimes enough. You combine McNabb's veteran cool, plus all the vets in that locker room knowing it's their last shot, and I see the Skins coming out of the gate blazing. I took them on a future to win the division. Would definitely take them to cover here.

Dixon started last year verse the Ravens on national tv and played well.

[fox sixers]

sorry just need to comment that said: Mcnabb always seems to get eaten up by DAL

LOL mcnabb got eaten up by dallas LAST YEAR... his whole career.. he has been very successful against Dallas. this comment made me laugh.. sorry..

[Brock Landers]

Green Bay is the best team in the NFC...they will take Philly, who is clearly in transition

[fox sixers]

Don't think you can say they are the best team in NFC.. but Yes. I believe Packers cover and win.. but wouldn't surprise me if Eagles win...

[shaq diesel 75]

Dallas -3 1/2
I like dallas in this one, for being an evenly matched game giving 3 1/2 indicates the books think that dallasis the play. Just like the packers who I also like, I think dallas has something 2 prove this year and will come out ready 2 play.

[MexicanStallion]

I like Pittsburgh, Philadelphia, and St.Louis.

[shaq diesel 75]

Hou +1
This is the biggest game in Texans history they have 2 beat Indy this year and this is their best chance 2 do so. Also, Indy has the Super Bowl hangover 2 deal with just like past super bowl losers. I like Houston big time!

[richyrich8478]

i would only take a chance on skins but i got them at +4... vegas knows what they are doing and know how to trick people wit spreads.... be careful with the games....good luck everyone and hope you all win some money

[The Madcap]

Dixon started last year verse the Ravens on national tv and played well.

That right? I stand corrected.

[HauntingTheHoly]

That right? I stand corrected.

No doubt sitting down right now.

[SR]

Why are people on Philly, Kolb can't put up pts and the team has looked pretty shitty. GB is overrated but definetly better than this philly team. GB has had 7 months to watch how the eagles blitz, this is not new stuff.

[HowBoutDemBears]

Indy will destroy the Texans and Philley is gonna be horrible this year......lots of road victories this week

I agree here. Hate to say it, but Detroit with the spread may be the play. Da Bears lines is ridiculous...

[Poulsbo]

As a Sehawks fan i just don't see them staying within 3 of the 49'ers, I was very surprised to see only a 3 point line on this game..

[The Madcap]

No doubt sitting down right now.

Damn straight. I had to take a shit.