2010-2011 NFL Investment Plays

BookieRobber · 08-13-10, 04:59 PM

i will be folowing this thread during the season, keep up the good work...are your ncaaf and nfl plays going to be put out a day or so before the game as well?

papitopapita · 08-13-10, 05:09 PM

i will be tailing you for tonight's picks. BOL.

SportsPicks3434 · 08-13-10, 05:22 PM

Originally posted by BookieRobber

i will be folowing this thread during the season, keep up the good work...are your ncaaf and nfl plays going to be put out a day or so before the game as well?

Yes They will be given out a few days prior to the games.

Originally posted by papitopapita

i will be tailing you for tonight's picks. BOL.

BarkingToad · 08-13-10, 05:25 PM

As SBR poster Jay Trotter pointed out in a different thread, Tony Stoffo has a lot of good preseason info.

gushman · 08-13-10, 05:28 PM

GL tonight SP, I'm on board

POTVINSUX · 08-13-10, 05:31 PM

On Jags +3 , ATL -3 heavy as well. Let's do this.

angelodebo · 08-13-10, 05:44 PM

POTVINSUX..I like the Jags too. But I'm on the chiefs. Good luck man!

SportsPicks3434 · 08-13-10, 05:52 PM

Originally posted by gushman

GL tonight SP, I'm on board

Originally posted by POTVINSUX

On Jags +3 , ATL -3 heavy as well. Let's do this.

Originally posted by angelodebo

POTVINSUX..I like the Jags too. But I'm on the chiefs. Good luck man!

Originally posted by papitopapita

i will be tailing you for tonight's picks. BOL.

BOL tonight everyone.

POTVINSUX · 08-13-10, 05:53 PM

Originally posted by angelodebo

POTVINSUX..I like the Jags too. But I'm on the chiefs. Good luck man!

KC IS 1-11 ATS past 3 yrs in preseason. QB rotations: Cassel, Croyle, Palko. Why are you on them if you don't mind me asking? Is it the "due" aspect?

SportsPicks3434 · 08-13-10, 06:14 PM

Here are my final plays for 08/12/2010 thru 08/16/2010:

08/12/2010
Carolina @ Baltimore UNDER 34, -110
Oakland +4, -115 @ Dallas

08/13/2010
Jacksonville +3, -110 @ Philadelphia
Jacksonville always seems to use the pre-season to work on their anual anemic passing game which is good for their backers. Philadelphia is 3-9 ATS in their last 12 pre-season games during the past 3 years. The Eagles have not won a opening pre-season game since 2003 posting posting a 0-6 record during that span.

Coaches W/L Pre-Season Records
Andy Reid has a pre-season coaching record of 16-28 ATS including 4-8 ATS in week one.
Jack DelRio has a pre-season coaching record of 18-10 ATS

Jacksonville is 15-4 ATS (+10.6 Units) in road games in games played on a grass field since 1993. The average score was Jacksonville 21.6, Opponent 18.1. Philadelphia is 4-13 ATS (-10.3 Units) in the first two weeks of the pre-season since 1993. The average score was Philadelphia 15.5, Opponent 20.5.

Jacksonville @ Philadelphia OVER 33.5, -110
As I stated above Jacksonville is a pass happy team in the pre-season historically. Since 2004 the Jags play to the over at a 70% clip (6un, 14ov). Philadelphia has played to the over at a 100% clip (0un, 7ov) in their last 7 pre-season games.

Kansas City @ Atlanta -3, -110
Quite simply this play is a no brainer for me. I can spend all day explaining this play but I will make it simple. During the past 3 years the Cheifs are 1-11 versus the number in the pre-season and it will be no different this season.

Coaches W/L Pre-Season Records
Mike Smith has a pre-season coaching record of 4-4
Todd Haley has a pre-season coaching record of 0-4 including 0-1 in week one and the Chiefs failed to cover the spread in any of those 4 games last season.

Kansas City is 3-12 ATS (-10.2 Units) as a road underdog of 3 points or less since 1993. The average score was Kansas City 13.6, Opponent 21.8. Ryan and the Falcons are out to prove that they are more like the team that made the playoffs two seasons ago than the one that played inconsistently in 2009, and that winning attitude I believe will show itself this year during the pre-season.

08/14/2010
Detroit @ Pittsburgh UNDER 34, -110
Houston PK @ Arizona
Minnesota @ St. Louis PK
Cleveland @ Green Bay OVER 34, -110
Chicago @ San Diego OVER 33.5, -110
Tennessee @ Seattle -3, -110

08/15/2010
NO PLAYS

08/16/2010
NY Giants @ NY Jets OVER 32

Good Luck with the games tonight everyone!

bobbyk1133 · 08-13-10, 06:18 PM

My picks for tonight are PHI -3 and WSH -4, but if you can find 1st half prop bets I like those even better. It seems no matter how much I like a preseason pick, watching those 3rd and 4th stringers in the last quarter always make me nervous. lol

SportsPicks3434 · 08-13-10, 06:20 PM

Originally posted by bobbyk1133

My picks for tonight are PHI -3 and WSH -4, but if you can find 1st half prop bets I like those even better. It seems no matter how much I like a preseason pick, watching those 3rd and 4th stringers in the last quarter always make me nervous. lol

Here is how you handle 3rd and 4th stringers.....

BOL with your plays.

SportsPicks3434 · 08-13-10, 06:35 PM

Cancel that...I will keep this thread...to many complaints..

BarkingToad · 08-13-10, 06:39 PM

Kansas City @ Atlanta -3, -110
Quite simply this play is a no brainer for me. I can spend all day explaining this play but I will make it simple. During the past 3 years the Cheifs are 1-11 versus the number in the pre-season and it will be no different this season.

Coaches W/L Pre-Season Records
Mike Smith has a pre-season coaching record of 4-4
Todd Haley has a pre-season coaching record of 0-4 including 0-1 in week one and the Chiefs failed to cover the spread in any of those 4 games last season.

Kansas City is 3-12 ATS (-10.2 Units) as a road underdog of 3 points or less since 1993. The average score was Kansas City 13.6, Opponent 21.8. Ryan and the Falcons are out to prove that they are more like the team that made the playoffs two seasons ago than the one that played inconsistently in 2009, and that winning attitude I believe will show itself this year during the pre-season.

08/14/2010
Detroit @ Pittsburgh UNDER 34, -110
Houston PK @ Arizona
Minnesota @ St. Louis PK
Cleveland @ Green Bay OVER 34, -110
Chicago @ San Diego OVER 33.5, -110
Tennessee @ Seattle -3, -110

08/15/2010
NO PLAYS

08/16/2010
NY Giants @ NY Jets OVER 32

Good Luck with the games tonight everyone!

[/quote]

Do you put a lot of stock in trends from 1993? I saw the same write up almost word for word at nationalfootballleague.com as well as gambling911.com regarding Atlanta vs. Kansas City game. I hope you don't just cut and paste and put them down as your own original thought. I must say you're consistent with Tony Stoffo's write ups on your picks http://www.sharpfootballanalysis.com...nd_Report.html

BOL

bobbyk1133 · 08-13-10, 06:44 PM

Originally posted by SportsPicks3434

Here is how you handle 3rd and 4th stringers.....

lol agreed. If that fails, a bazooka should do the trick. I almost used it on the Ravens last night.

SportsPicks3434 · 08-13-10, 06:46 PM

Originally posted by BarkingToad

Kansas City @ Atlanta -3, -110
Quite simply this play is a no brainer for me. I can spend all day explaining this play but I will make it simple. During the past 3 years the Cheifs are 1-11 versus the number in the pre-season and it will be no different this season.

Coaches W/L Pre-Season Records
Mike Smith has a pre-season coaching record of 4-4
Todd Haley has a pre-season coaching record of 0-4 including 0-1 in week one and the Chiefs failed to cover the spread in any of those 4 games last season.

Kansas City is 3-12 ATS (-10.2 Units) as a road underdog of 3 points or less since 1993. The average score was Kansas City 13.6, Opponent 21.8. Ryan and the Falcons are out to prove that they are more like the team that made the playoffs two seasons ago than the one that played inconsistently in 2009, and that winning attitude I believe will show itself this year during the pre-season.

08/14/2010
Detroit @ Pittsburgh UNDER 34, -110
Houston PK @ Arizona
Minnesota @ St. Louis PK
Cleveland @ Green Bay OVER 34, -110
Chicago @ San Diego OVER 33.5, -110
Tennessee @ Seattle -3, -110

08/15/2010
NO PLAYS

08/16/2010
NY Giants @ NY Jets OVER 32

Good Luck with the games tonight everyone!

Do you put a lot of stock in trends from 1993? I saw the same write up almost word for word at nationalfootballleague.com as well as gambling911.com regarding Atlanta vs. Kansas City game. I hope you don't just cut and paste and put them down as your own original thought. I must say you're consistent with Tony Stoffo's write ups on your picks http://www.sharpfootballanalysis.com...nd_Report.html

BOL

[/quote]

I have never visited those areas you mentioned. I gather my information from a assortment of different avenues. The main dataabase I use is from statattacksports which has every trend and stat you could possibly find. In addition I use 2 other database software tools that supple trends and statistical information that most dont even know existed. I do not visit sites that give out free information to try to suck the consumer in to buying a product. Most of those people/companies are just out for your buck and do not have your interests in mind.

SportsPicks3434 · 08-13-10, 07:02 PM

Originally posted by bobbyk1133

lol agreed. If that fails, a bazooka should do the trick. I almost used it on the Ravens last night.

The J-Dizzle · 08-13-10, 07:58 PM

GO Jacksonville! Another nice drive and TD! 14-16 the 2nd quarter has been GOOD to us!

And in Atlanta they do nothing else but keep missing field goals (both teams)..

saints7011 · 08-13-10, 08:35 PM

sportspick , do you suggest playing tomorrows plays at there current lines ? few lines have moved since you put out the plays , and yes I know , I should have jumped on them when you released the plays...

SportsPicks3434 · 08-13-10, 08:36 PM

Originally posted by The J-Dizzle

GO Jacksonville! Another nice drive and TD! 14-16 the 2nd quarter has been GOOD to us!

And in Atlanta they do nothing else but keep missing field goals (both teams)..

So far so good.

SportsPicks3434 · 08-13-10, 08:37 PM

Originally posted by saints7011

sportspick , do you suggest playing tomorrows plays at there current lines ? few lines have moved since you put out the plays , and yes I know , I should have jumped on them when you released the plays...

Post for me the lines you have available for each play and I will let you know my opinion bud!

CaptainPrice · 08-13-10, 08:37 PM

good readss

saints7011 · 08-13-10, 08:41 PM

houston -1.5
st. louis -2.5

SportsPicks3434 · 08-13-10, 08:42 PM

Originally posted by saints7011

houston -1.5
st. louis -2.5

Yes they are still plays. Play both up to -3 but no more.

saints7011 · 08-13-10, 08:46 PM

thanks man , first time I've ever wagered nflx , so didn't start til tonight , you're doing a great job , keep it up...

SportsPicks3434 · 08-13-10, 08:47 PM

1-0 thus far with the over winning very easily...BOL with the other 2 plays/

SportsPicks3434 · 08-13-10, 08:47 PM

Originally posted by saints7011

thanks man , first time I've ever wagered nflx , so didn't start til tonight , you're doing a great job , keep it up...

Your very welcome Saints.

FlaxMartin · 08-13-10, 08:56 PM

I have said this before, but picks, you are THE MAN! Lets get the Jax winning in fourth quarter!

FlaxMartin · 08-13-10, 08:56 PM

Speakin´bout it! TD JAX!

SportsPicks3434 · 08-13-10, 09:10 PM

Originally posted by FlaxMartin

Speakin´bout it! TD JAX!

SportsPicks3434 · 08-13-10, 09:26 PM

I am still not sure why the whole world loved the Chiefs tonight..

Never buck a 1-11 ATS trend when you are a terrible team from year to year such as the Chiefs..

FlaxMartin · 08-13-10, 09:28 PM

Me neither!

SportsPicks3434 · 08-13-10, 09:34 PM

Originally posted by FlaxMartin

Me neither!

Lets see if Jax can hold on and cover the 3 points they gave us for a 3-0 night.

FlaxMartin · 08-13-10, 09:36 PM

Originally posted by SportsPicks3434

Lets see if Jax can hold on and cover the 3 points they gave us for a 3-0 night.

Hopefully, the eagles will try to just run down the clock on this one

The J-Dizzle · 08-13-10, 09:37 PM

Philly is lookin hot in the 4th quarter...:/ gooo Jacksonville!