2010-2011 NFL Investment Plays

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  • SportsPicks3434
    Restricted User
    • 05-20-10
    • 1338

    #1
    2010-2011 NFL Investment Plays
    Bookmark this thread as it will be my last. My purpose of a new thread is to get a fresh start with the first pre-season game getting under way tomorrow night.

    Gambling: The wagering of money or something of material value (referred to as "the stakes") on an event with an uncertain outcome with the primary intent of winning additional money and/or material goods. Typically, the outcome of the wager is evident within a short period.

    Investment: The commitment of money or capital to purchase financial instruments or other assets in order to gain profitable returns in the form of interest, income, or appreciation of the value of the instrument. [1] It is related to saving or deferring consumption.

    I consider legal sports wagering an investment rather than a gamble. If a game has a outcome we can turn it into an income. BOL this season!
  • SportsPicks3434
    Restricted User
    • 05-20-10
    • 1338

    #2
    08/08/2010



    Cincinati @ Dallas +3, -120
    Comment
    • looku
      SBR Rookie
      • 09-15-09
      • 48

      #3
      Comment
      • SportsPicks3434
        Restricted User
        • 05-20-10
        • 1338

        #4
        BOL to you looku!
        Comment
        • Fieldysnuts44
          SBR MVP
          • 10-02-08
          • 1592

          #5
          Good luck,tailing you on Dallas +3
          Comment
          • SportsPicks3434
            Restricted User
            • 05-20-10
            • 1338

            #6
            Originally posted by Fieldysnuts44
            Good luck,tailing you on Dallas +3
            BOL
            Comment
            • spongerat
              SBR MVP
              • 10-01-08
              • 2023

              #7
              good luck, its hard to tell but I like dallas too
              Comment
              • SportsPicks3434
                Restricted User
                • 05-20-10
                • 1338

                #8
                Originally posted by spongerat
                good luck, its hard to tell but I like dallas too
                Comment
                • shaggy3000
                  Restricted User
                  • 12-29-09
                  • 5801

                  #9
                  im looking for someone to follow threw football. i see all these guys winning in baseball but they must have gotten big profits in the beginning. cause im not getting the massive gains they are.
                  hope youre as good as youre sounding cause im on the money train with you from here out!!
                  Comment
                  • dise-pa
                    SBR MVP
                    • 09-04-09
                    • 4306

                    #10
                    dallas!!!!!
                    Comment
                    • Z_Wipf
                      SBR MVP
                      • 01-15-10
                      • 1131

                      #11
                      Good to see you going with my boys.
                      Comment
                      • SportsPicks3434
                        Restricted User
                        • 05-20-10
                        • 1338

                        #12
                        Originally posted by shaggy3000
                        im looking for someone to follow threw football. i see all these guys winning in baseball but they must have gotten big profits in the beginning. cause im not getting the massive gains they are.
                        hope youre as good as youre sounding cause im on the money train with you from here out!!
                        I dont claim to be the best but if there is someone better, especially in NCAAF i want to see it..

                        Originally posted by dise-pa
                        dallas!!!!!


                        Originally posted by Z_Wipf
                        Good to see you going with my boys.
                        Comment
                        • foosh99
                          Restricted User
                          • 06-03-10
                          • 104

                          #13
                          go Cowboys!!! I go with you on this one
                          Comment
                          • SportsPicks3434
                            Restricted User
                            • 05-20-10
                            • 1338

                            #14
                            Originally posted by foosh99
                            go Cowboys!!! I go with you on this one
                            Its a joke that the Bengals are a FG fav in this game. It makes me feel even better the public is hammering them also.

                            Comment
                            • Fieldysnuts44
                              SBR MVP
                              • 10-02-08
                              • 1592

                              #15
                              Thanks for the winner.
                              Comment
                              • limitation
                                SBR Wise Guy
                                • 01-25-09
                                • 747

                                #16
                                Good pick. Solid start for you.
                                Comment
                                • SportsPicks3434
                                  Restricted User
                                  • 05-20-10
                                  • 1338

                                  #17
                                  Originally posted by Fieldysnuts44
                                  Thanks for the winner.
                                  This is the first of many bud!
                                  Comment
                                  • SportsPicks3434
                                    Restricted User
                                    • 05-20-10
                                    • 1338

                                    #18
                                    Originally posted by limitation
                                    Good pick. Solid start for you.
                                    Comment
                                    • SportsPicks3434
                                      Restricted User
                                      • 05-20-10
                                      • 1338

                                      #19
                                      Tonight I will have a write-up regarding wagering on the NFL pre-season games and how it differs from wagering on the NFL regular season. It will be a good read.

                                      Comment
                                      • SportsPicks3434
                                        Restricted User
                                        • 05-20-10
                                        • 1338

                                        #20
                                        Originally posted by SportsPicks3434
                                        08/08/2010



                                        Cincinati @ Dallas +3, -120
                                        Good to start the season with a pretty easy victory tonight with the Cowboys.

                                        Comment
                                        • limitation
                                          SBR Wise Guy
                                          • 01-25-09
                                          • 747

                                          #21
                                          I decided to wait till last minute to bet and it turned out to be good. Got Dallas +3, -105. Thanks for the winner pick.
                                          Comment
                                          • gushman
                                            SBR Wise Guy
                                            • 04-12-10
                                            • 507

                                            #22
                                            Good start, 2 for 2 if you count the teaser so sent too
                                            Comment
                                            • DJStroke
                                              Restricted User
                                              • 08-02-10
                                              • 313

                                              #23
                                              SportsPicks3434: I have been looking for someone to tail for the NFL, and I think that this thread is going to be perfect. I can already sense a sort of professionalism with the way you are conducting this thread, which I love! As long as the profits are there, I will follow you 100% (unless your betting against my Patriots, which in that case I may ignore that one pick ) Keep up the good work, and I really look forward to following you all the way through the fall. May the best of luck be with you and the rest of your followers!
                                              Comment
                                              • SportsPicks3434
                                                Restricted User
                                                • 05-20-10
                                                • 1338

                                                #24
                                                We are all in this one together. Thanks for the kind words and congrats if you were on the Cowboys. Gush you are correct with the teaser play. Just forgot to post it in the thread so I wont count it towards the record.
                                                Comment
                                                • SportsPicks3434
                                                  Restricted User
                                                  • 05-20-10
                                                  • 1338

                                                  #25
                                                  NFL Pre-Season Wagering:

                                                  Contrary to what some people might think I believe the NFL Pre-Season is a excellent opportunity to build your bankroll for the regular season. IF you understand and know how to cap pre-season games you can make a ton of money. There are a few factors in capping pre-season games but I believe the most important is the coaches and their prior pre-season track record and tendencies. Do not look to deep into stats and new players transitioning to new/different teams, those are non factors with capping the pre-season. Also another important factor is you better know how each coach prepares for each week of the pre-season because these 4 weeks of pre-season NFL are all different in game planning and different in playing time for all players. All BS aside I have been real successfull with wagering on the NFL pre-season and the few that arent just simply do not know what to look for during this time.

                                                  BOL
                                                  Comment
                                                  • SportsPicks3434
                                                    Restricted User
                                                    • 05-20-10
                                                    • 1338

                                                    #26
                                                    Looking ahead I have some real strong strong plays comming this pre-season. I will post my next plays for games played on the 12th and 13th shortly.
                                                    Comment
                                                    • SportsPicks3434
                                                      Restricted User
                                                      • 05-20-10
                                                      • 1338

                                                      #27
                                                      08/12/2010

                                                      Carolina @ Baltimore UNDER 34, -110

                                                      The Baltimore Ravens have played to the under at a astounding rate of 74% (14un-5ov) in the pre-season over the last 5 years. In coach John Harbaugh's first two seasons with Baltimore as their head coach that trend has continued posting a rate of 75% (6un-2ov).


                                                      **NOTE** No line posted at this time for the Oakland/Dallas game. If I have a play for that game I will post it once the line is released.


                                                      08/13/2010

                                                      Jacksonville +3, -110 @ Philadelphia

                                                      Philadelphia is 3-9 ATS the past 4 years in the pre-season. Also, Andy Reid does NOT go all out in the first pre-season game of the year as evident by the Eagles posting a 0-6 mark the past 6 years. The Eagles have not won their first pre-season game since 2003.


                                                      Kansas City @ Atlanta -3, -110

                                                      The past 3 years the Kansas City Chiefs have either no talent to win or no desire to win in the pre-season posting a record of 1-11 ATS during that time span.





                                                      Comment
                                                      • SportsPicks3434
                                                        Restricted User
                                                        • 05-20-10
                                                        • 1338

                                                        #28
                                                        I will say this one more time....if you would rather receive my picks via email PM me your email address and I will add you. If not bookmark this thread for easier access. BOL and I welcome all comments and suggestions!

                                                        Comment
                                                        • darkenergy
                                                          SBR MVP
                                                          • 01-08-09
                                                          • 4013

                                                          #29
                                                          Congrats on your first win
                                                          Comment
                                                          • BarkingToad
                                                            SBR Hall of Famer
                                                            • 08-31-08
                                                            • 5915

                                                            #30
                                                            Sportspicks, what you think about the under 33 1/2 Pittsburgh vs Detroit? Both play many preseason unders as well as Pittsburgh QB situation. Congrats on last night's win.
                                                            Comment
                                                            • OLBG Sports
                                                              SBR Wise Guy
                                                              • 04-26-10
                                                              • 925

                                                              #31
                                                              Good call on Dallas yesterday.

                                                              Good luck on your next plays.
                                                              Comment
                                                              • JVP3122
                                                                SBR MVP
                                                                • 05-02-09
                                                                • 1048

                                                                #32
                                                                Originally posted by SportsPicks3434
                                                                08/12/2010

                                                                Carolina @ Baltimore UNDER 34, -110

                                                                The Baltimore Ravens have played to the under at a astounding rate of 74% (14un-5ov) in the pre-season over the last 5 years. In coach John Harbaugh's first two seasons with Baltimore as their head coach that trend has continued posting a rate of 75% (6un-2ov).


                                                                **NOTE** No line posted at this time for the Oakland/Dallas game. If I have a play for that game I will post it once the line is released.


                                                                08/13/2010

                                                                Jacksonville +3, -110 @ Philadelphia

                                                                Philadelphia is 3-9 ATS the past 4 years in the pre-season. Also, Andy Reid does NOT go all out in the first pre-season game of the year as evident by the Eagles posting a 0-6 mark the past 6 years. The Eagles have not won their first pre-season game since 2003.


                                                                Kansas City @ Atlanta -3, -110

                                                                The past 3 years the Kansas City Chiefs have either no talent to win or no desire to win in the pre-season posting a record of 1-11 ATS during that time span.




                                                                Are all of your plays one-unit plays unless otherwise stated?
                                                                Comment
                                                                • julio_cat
                                                                  SBR MVP
                                                                  • 10-05-09
                                                                  • 1208

                                                                  #33
                                                                  Nice win. Congratulations.
                                                                  Comment
                                                                  • SportsPicks3434
                                                                    Restricted User
                                                                    • 05-20-10
                                                                    • 1338

                                                                    #34
                                                                    Originally posted by darkenergy
                                                                    Congrats on your first win


                                                                    Originally posted by BarkingToad
                                                                    Sportspicks, what you think about the under 33 1/2 Pittsburgh vs Detroit? Both play many preseason unders as well as Pittsburgh QB situation. Congrats on last night's win.
                                                                    I will be posting my plays for the 14th either today or tomorrow. Yes, I will have a play on the Det/Pitt game.

                                                                    Originally posted by OLBG Sports
                                                                    Good call on Dallas yesterday.

                                                                    Good luck on your next plays.


                                                                    Originally posted by JVP3122
                                                                    Are all of your plays one-unit plays unless otherwise stated?
                                                                    All my plays are 5% of my bankroll. Each day I re-calculate my wager amount based on my DAILY balance.

                                                                    Originally posted by julio_cat
                                                                    Nice win. Congratulations.
                                                                    Comment
                                                                    • dvb02
                                                                      SBR MVP
                                                                      • 06-30-09
                                                                      • 2941

                                                                      #35
                                                                      SP, if all of your NFL plays are 5% of your bankroll, does that mean that you put 25% of your roll on your NCAA Football picks? Also, have you sent an email with the above NFL plays?
                                                                      Comment
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