2010-2011 NFL Investment Plays

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  • SportsPicks3434
    Restricted User
    • 05-20-10
    • 1338

    #36
    Originally posted by dvb02
    SP, if all of your NFL plays are 5% of your bankroll, does that mean that you put 25% of your roll on your NCAA Football picks? Also, have you sent an email with the above NFL plays?
    Yes I sent you an email with the above NFL plays. Did you receive the plays? No I wager based on unit amounts. Each unit for me is 2.5% which equates to the following:

    NFL Plays = 2 units (5% of my balance)
    NCAAF Plays = 5 units (12.5% of my balance)
    Comment
    • dvb02
      SBR MVP
      • 06-30-09
      • 2941

      #37
      Originally posted by SportsPicks3434
      Yes I sent you an email with the above NFL plays. Did you receive the plays? No I wager based on unit amounts. Each unit for me is 2.5% which equates to the following: NFL Plays = 2 units (5% of my balance) NCAAF Plays = 5 units (12.5% of my balance)
      No I did not receive the email. I will pm you again.
      Comment
      • DIRTYDIRTY
        SBR MVP
        • 11-12-09
        • 1144

        #38
        nice hit bro more too come im sure whos ur super bowl winner this year 49ers look good on paper
        Comment
        • SportsPicks3434
          Restricted User
          • 05-20-10
          • 1338

          #39
          Originally posted by DIRTYDIRTY
          nice hit bro more too come im sure whos ur super bowl winner this year 49ers look good on paper
          Nice hit with your Dallas play. I was also on Dallas. Niners should make the post season but thats it. I like the Vikes if Favre comes back. They should have won it last season...In the AFC I like the Titans.
          Comment
          • bobbyk1133
            SBR MVP
            • 08-05-10
            • 2245

            #40
            Originally posted by SportsPicks3434
            Nice hit with your Dallas play. I was also on Dallas. Niners should make the post season but thats it. I like the Vikes if Favre comes back. They should have won it last season...In the AFC I like the Titans.
            Personally, I do not understand the love affair with Favre. Like most people, I was surprised that he played so well last year. However, I think he overachieved. If people are expecting the same kind of production and results from him this year - they will have a rude awakening. That is not to say the Vikes won't do well - they are loaded with talent, but I think Favre digresses. (hello regression to the mean).

            And you really like the Titans? Vince Young wins, but he's far too inconsistent for my liking and the team isn't as stacked as the Vikes. They will need a difference maker at QB, not a game manager. I'm just not sold that V Young can put it all together for an entire season. Last year he had no expectations coming off the bench for a winless team. You know what they say about backups - everyone loves them ....... until they are the starter.

            But I'll keep an eye on your picks. I'm really liking this website/community so far. Cheers.
            Comment
            • SportsPicks3434
              Restricted User
              • 05-20-10
              • 1338

              #41
              Originally posted by bobbyk1133
              Personally, I do not understand the love affair with Favre. Like most people, I was surprised that he played so well last year. However, I think he overachieved. If people are expecting the same kind of production and results from him this year - they will have a rude awakening. That is not to say the Vikes won't do well - they are loaded with talent, but I think Favre digresses. (hello regression to the mean).

              And you really like the Titans? Vince Young wins, but he's far too inconsistent for my liking and the team isn't as stacked as the Vikes. They will need a difference maker at QB, not a game manager. I'm just not sold that V Young can put it all together for an entire season. Last year he had no expectations coming off the bench for a winless team. You know what they say about backups - everyone loves them ....... until they are the starter.

              But I'll keep an eye on your picks. I'm really liking this website/community so far. Cheers.
              Good points but Favre IS that good and he will make a huge difference. The Vikes were a .500 team the past 5 seasons without him and they were a super bowl team last season with him. Sorry but they will be back in the NFC championship game if he plays the entire season and remains healthy.

              The Titans have one of the best coaches in the league and they were the hottest team last season over the last 7 games of the season. There is not a clear cut favorite in the AFC and I believe they have as good a shot as anyone to represent the AFC this season.
              Comment
              • bobbyk1133
                SBR MVP
                • 08-05-10
                • 2245

                #42
                Originally posted by SportsPicks3434
                Good points but Favre IS that good and he will make a huge difference. The Vikes were a .500 team the past 5 seasons without him and they were a super bowl team last season with him. Sorry but they will be back in the NFC championship game if he plays the entire season and remains healthy.

                The Titans have one of the best coaches in the league and they were the hottest team last season over the last 7 games of the season. There is not a clear cut favorite in the AFC and I believe they have as good a shot as anyone to represent the AFC this season.
                Favre WILL make a huge difference when compared to T Jackson. lol Agree on that point. "remains healthy" is a key factor obviously. A year older coming off ankle surgery that may or may not be causing problems still is not the same as his situation entering 2009.

                Agree about Fisher too. Great coach.

                Can't we start the season sooner? This is going to be the longest month of the year...
                Comment
                • SportsPicks3434
                  Restricted User
                  • 05-20-10
                  • 1338

                  #43
                  Originally posted by bobbyk1133
                  Favre WILL make a huge difference when compared to T Jackson. lol Agree on that point. "remains healthy" is a key factor obviously. A year older coming off ankle surgery that may or may not be causing problems still is not the same as his situation entering 2009.

                  Agree about Fisher too. Great coach.

                  Can't we start the season sooner? This is going to be the longest month of the year...
                  While we wait for the regular season to start we will build out bankroll with the pre-season.

                  Comment
                  • gushman
                    SBR Wise Guy
                    • 04-12-10
                    • 507

                    #44
                    Raiders/Cowboys line is now posted at Cowboys -4 (-110) o/u 34.
                    Comment
                    • SportsPicks3434
                      Restricted User
                      • 05-20-10
                      • 1338

                      #45
                      Originally posted by gushman
                      Raiders/Cowboys line is now posted at Cowboys -4 (-110) o/u 34.
                      Thanks, I will post and email my play for that game later today.
                      Comment
                      • DaProfessor23
                        SBR MVP
                        • 12-07-08
                        • 1180

                        #46
                        im tailing all of those picks .BOL
                        Comment
                        • SportsPicks3434
                          Restricted User
                          • 05-20-10
                          • 1338

                          #47
                          Originally posted by DaProfessor23
                          im tailing all of those picks .BOL
                          Comment
                          • shaggy3000
                            Restricted User
                            • 12-29-09
                            • 5801

                            #48
                            Originally posted by SportsPicks3434
                            Yes I sent you an email with the above NFL plays. Did you receive the plays? No I wager based on unit amounts. Each unit for me is 2.5% which equates to the following: NFL Plays = 2 units (5% of my balance) NCAAF Plays = 5 units (12.5% of my balance)
                            wow so youre that much more sure of yourself in college football than the pro?
                            and congrats on the dallas and teaser. tried to talk my boss out of cincy without much luck
                            Comment
                            • SportsPicks3434
                              Restricted User
                              • 05-20-10
                              • 1338

                              #49
                              Originally posted by shaggy3000
                              wow so youre that much more sure of yourself in college football than the pro?
                              and congrats on the dallas and teaser. tried to talk my boss out of cincy without much luck
                              Yes I wager more with my NCAAF plays. As I previously mentioned I will probably have between 25-35 NCAAF plays this season. My NFL is good but my NCAAF is pretty damn good!
                              Comment
                              • SportsPicks3434
                                Restricted User
                                • 05-20-10
                                • 1338

                                #50
                                Originally posted by SportsPicks3434
                                08/12/2010
                                Carolina @ Baltimore UNDER 34, -110
                                Oakland +4, -115 @ Dallas




                                08/13/2010
                                Jacksonville +3, -110 @ Philadelphia
                                Kansas City @ Atlanta -3, -110






                                Oakland/Dallas game added. I will be adding my plays for the 14th, 15th and 16th late tonight.
                                Comment
                                • dwendling
                                  SBR Sharp
                                  • 05-22-10
                                  • 268

                                  #51
                                  hey so are you a better at ncaa or nfl?
                                  Comment
                                  • SportsPicks3434
                                    Restricted User
                                    • 05-20-10
                                    • 1338

                                    #52
                                    Originally posted by dwendling
                                    hey so are you a better at ncaa or nfl?
                                    Read post #49
                                    Comment
                                    • Shafted69
                                      SBR Hall of Famer
                                      • 07-04-08
                                      • 6412

                                      #53
                                      Buy Low, Sell High .................... Fade the cowgirlz














                                      -
                                      Comment
                                      • JVP3122
                                        SBR MVP
                                        • 05-02-09
                                        • 1048

                                        #54
                                        Here's to hoping the pre-season picks come our way. Thanks for the plays. I'm doing half of your amounts because I'm tailing someone in baseball, too.
                                        Comment
                                        • SportNut
                                          SBR MVP
                                          • 05-16-07
                                          • 1984

                                          #55
                                          Looks very solid picks...bol...
                                          Comment
                                          • SportsPicks3434
                                            Restricted User
                                            • 05-20-10
                                            • 1338

                                            #56
                                            Originally posted by JVP3122
                                            Here's to hoping the pre-season picks come our way. Thanks for the plays. I'm doing half of your amounts because I'm tailing someone in baseball, too.


                                            Originally posted by SportNut
                                            Looks very solid picks...bol...
                                            Comment
                                            • Muggy
                                              SBR Sharp
                                              • 07-24-10
                                              • 298

                                              #57
                                              Thanks for the picks! I'll be tailing, let's hope luck swings our way.
                                              Comment
                                              • SportsPicks3434
                                                Restricted User
                                                • 05-20-10
                                                • 1338

                                                #58
                                                Here are my final plays for 08/12/2010 thru 08/16/2010:


                                                08/12/2010
                                                Carolina @ Baltimore UNDER 34, -110
                                                Oakland +4, -115 @ Dallas


                                                08/13/2010
                                                Jacksonville +3, -110 @ Philadelphia
                                                Jacksonville @ Philadelphia OVER 33.5, -110
                                                Kansas City @ Atlanta -3, -110


                                                08/14/2010
                                                Detroit @ Pittsburgh UNDER 34, -110
                                                Houston PK @ Arizona
                                                Minnesota @ St. Louis PK
                                                Cleveland @ Green Bay OVER 34, -110
                                                Chicago @ San Diego OVER 33.5, -110
                                                Tennessee @ Seattle -3, -110


                                                08/15/2010
                                                NO PLAYS


                                                08/16/2010
                                                NY Giants @ NY Jets OVER 32





                                                Good luck this week everyone!
                                                Comment
                                                • SportsPicks3434
                                                  Restricted User
                                                  • 05-20-10
                                                  • 1338

                                                  #59
                                                  Originally posted by Muggy
                                                  Thanks for the picks! I'll be tailing, let's hope luck swings our way.
                                                  Thanks for the points Muggy, greatly appreciated!
                                                  Comment
                                                  • frankzig
                                                    SBR MVP
                                                    • 10-26-09
                                                    • 2268

                                                    #60
                                                    will be watching ur picks to see what goes
                                                    Comment
                                                    • BarkingToad
                                                      SBR Hall of Famer
                                                      • 08-31-08
                                                      • 5915

                                                      #61
                                                      Really like your totals picks on Pitt/Det and NYJ/NYG. Do you ever use "Wong" teasers for preseason? If Houston & St Louis get at least +1 by kickoff I may play that. I like the trend of Minn never doing anything 1st game as well as St Louis doing well last preseason , but I'm concerned Jackson & Rosenfels may see significant playing time with the Favre situation still up in the air.

                                                      Since you make your picks a few days in advance, I take it you don't get too concerned about quarterback rotations for a particular game (although Seattle has a great preseason rotation)?
                                                      Comment
                                                      • SportsPicks3434
                                                        Restricted User
                                                        • 05-20-10
                                                        • 1338

                                                        #62
                                                        Originally posted by BarkingToad
                                                        Really like your totals picks on Pitt/Det and NYJ/NYG. Do you ever use "Wong" teasers for preseason? If Houston & St Louis get at least +1 by kickoff I may play that. I like the trend of Minn never doing anything 1st game as well as St Louis doing well last preseason , but I'm concerned Jackson & Rosenfels may see significant playing time with the Favre situation still up in the air.

                                                        Since you make your picks a few days in advance, I take it you don't get too concerned about quarterback rotations for a particular game (although Seattle has a great preseason rotation)?
                                                        I look at QB rorations and what I presume will take place. I look at the NFL teams a few months before the pre-season to get a good idea of what I think will take place. I like to get my wagers in early before I lose value with a possible line drop such as the Det/Pitt under.
                                                        Comment
                                                        • SportsPicks3434
                                                          Restricted User
                                                          • 05-20-10
                                                          • 1338

                                                          #63
                                                          Originally posted by frankzig
                                                          will be watching ur picks to see what goes
                                                          Comment
                                                          • JVP3122
                                                            SBR MVP
                                                            • 05-02-09
                                                            • 1048

                                                            #64
                                                            Originally posted by SportsPicks3434
                                                            I look at QB rorations and what I presume will take place. I look at the NFL teams a few months before the pre-season to get a good idea of what I think will take place. I like to get my wagers in early before I lose value with a possible line drop such as the Det/Pitt under.
                                                            Question regarding this. I might end up waiting until closer to game time because, as I wrote before, I'm tailing in baseball, too, and I don't want to deplete my roll right away. Would you recommend buying points to get to the spread you list here, or should I just sit out any that I can't get?
                                                            Comment
                                                            • SportsPicks3434
                                                              Restricted User
                                                              • 05-20-10
                                                              • 1338

                                                              #65
                                                              Originally posted by JVP3122
                                                              Question regarding this. I might end up waiting until closer to game time because, as I wrote before, I'm tailing in baseball, too, and I don't want to deplete my roll right away. Would you recommend buying points to get to the spread you list here, or should I just sit out any that I can't get?
                                                              No do not buy points and do not sit out for a few reasons. First, none of the plays that I have posted are borderline plays regarding the NFL "Key Numbers". Second, I wouldnt worry about a 1/2 point here or there in the pre-season as some if not most of the underdog plays I list are actually good Money Line wagers but I always play the spread in the NFL meaning not to often will I play the Money Line.

                                                              If you have any concerns about line's and if you should play a game or not let me know and I will give you my opinion.
                                                              Comment
                                                              • JayTrotter
                                                                SBR Sharp
                                                                • 03-27-10
                                                                • 320

                                                                #66
                                                                Thanks for all the great research.
                                                                Comment
                                                                • SportsPicks3434
                                                                  Restricted User
                                                                  • 05-20-10
                                                                  • 1338

                                                                  #67
                                                                  Originally posted by JayTrotter
                                                                  Thanks for all the great research.
                                                                  YW bud.
                                                                  Comment
                                                                  • aeschylus
                                                                    SBR Sharp
                                                                    • 05-03-10
                                                                    • 392

                                                                    #68
                                                                    Thx for the email with all the plays, stupid question probably but what do you hope to hit % or profit wise, and historically is Pre-Season your strong time?
                                                                    Comment
                                                                    • SportsPicks3434
                                                                      Restricted User
                                                                      • 05-20-10
                                                                      • 1338

                                                                      #69
                                                                      Originally posted by SportsPicks3434
                                                                      Here are my final plays for 08/12/2010 thru 08/16/2010:


                                                                      08/12/2010
                                                                      Carolina @ Baltimore UNDER 34, -110
                                                                      Oakland +4, -115 @ Dallas


                                                                      08/13/2010
                                                                      Jacksonville +3, -110 @ Philadelphia
                                                                      Jacksonville @ Philadelphia OVER 33.5, -110
                                                                      Kansas City @ Atlanta -3, -110


                                                                      08/14/2010
                                                                      Detroit @ Pittsburgh UNDER 34, -110
                                                                      Houston PK @ Arizona
                                                                      Minnesota @ St. Louis PK
                                                                      Cleveland @ Green Bay OVER 34, -110
                                                                      Chicago @ San Diego OVER 33.5, -110
                                                                      Tennessee @ Seattle -3, -110


                                                                      08/15/2010
                                                                      NO PLAYS


                                                                      08/16/2010
                                                                      NY Giants @ NY Jets OVER 32





                                                                      Good luck this week everyone!
                                                                      Just a reminder all of my plays are to risk/win 2 units in the NFL. In my NCAAF thread all of my plays are to win/risk 5 units.
                                                                      Comment
                                                                      • SportsPicks3434
                                                                        Restricted User
                                                                        • 05-20-10
                                                                        • 1338

                                                                        #70
                                                                        Originally posted by aeschylus
                                                                        Thx for the email with all the plays, stupid question probably but what do you hope to hit % or profit wise, and historically is Pre-Season your strong time?
                                                                        I hope to have a win rate of 65% in the NFL pre-season. As far as the NFL regular season I hope to have a win rate at or about 60%. As far as NCAAF I know what I expect my win rate to be but I won't post that info again because it may draw some in the peanut gallery to fire bombs at me. Lets put it this way, if I can stay on or above 60% for the NFL and continue my great success in College Football we will have made a substantial amount of money this season in football.
                                                                        Comment
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