NFL Week 15-Superbowl Plays

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  • cgars1
    SBR Wise Guy
    • 01-18-09
    • 657

    #211
    thanks god for buying the point and spreading on the ml...wooooooow
    Comment
    • Mybologne
      SBR Posting Legend
      • 09-20-09
      • 13507

      #212
      who dat who dat
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      • Dexter
        BARRELED IN @ SBR!
        • 12-24-08
        • 25829

        #213
        going with my gut....saints and over...
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        • Mybologne
          SBR Posting Legend
          • 09-20-09
          • 13507

          #214
          like that call Dex
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          • Dexter
            BARRELED IN @ SBR!
            • 12-24-08
            • 25829

            #215
            the public is all over the colts....might as well hold out and try to get 6-7.

            those thinking the saints are a turf team, and that the grass will hurt them - 46 pts scored in miami back in october.

            indy put up 27 in mia back in september.
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            • Dexter
              BARRELED IN @ SBR!
              • 12-24-08
              • 25829

              #216
              2/7:

              (10x) over colts 55.5
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              • lakerboy
                SBR Aristocracy
                • 04-02-09
                • 94463

                #217
                dex why do you not wait and see how the line settles a bit. i cant understand how someone bets right off the bat for this game- please explain your rational as i am lost to your reasoning. you did the same thing with the saints game against the vikings. i have no clue what your sytem is but i would like to know how people bet so early.
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                • Dexter
                  BARRELED IN @ SBR!
                  • 12-24-08
                  • 25829

                  #218
                  Originally posted by lakerboy
                  dex why do you not wait and see how the line settles a bit. i cant understand how someone bets right off the bat for this game- please explain your rational as i am lost to your reasoning. you did the same thing with the saints game against the vikings. i have no clue what your sytem is but i would like to know how people bet so early.
                  again with the same question. and you have no clue what my system is?

                  think ive told you about 35 times that i make my own plays in the pros and dont follow line movements.

                  dont rub in the saints loss man....thats not a cool comment homie.
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                  • Dexter
                    BARRELED IN @ SBR!
                    • 12-24-08
                    • 25829

                    #219
                    2/7:

                    (10x) saints +5
                    Comment
                    • lakerboy
                      SBR Aristocracy
                      • 04-02-09
                      • 94463

                      #220
                      Originally posted by Dexter
                      again with the same question. and you have no clue what my system is?

                      think ive told you about 35 times that i make my own plays in the pros and dont follow line movements.

                      dont rub in the saints loss man....thats not a cool comment homie.
                      homes i aint rubbing in anything i have had a horrible weekend. it was a simple question why throw money away right away instead of seeing how the line settles. good luck it seems you are making your picks off emotion. you made 2 plays of 10 units based on opening lines and not even thinking that there might be some serious injuries in practice or whatever the case may be. how many times the night before superbowls have players run into trouble. forget about line movements it totally confounds me how folks can pick right off the opening lines . now if colts end up 4 point favs you lost before the game starts. thats how this thing works. if you dont beat the closing line you lose long term. I aint questioning your picks you might be right but why the hurry- the game isnt for 2 weeks and you think the colts will get eaten up so why not wait and get a better # on saints?
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                      • jsmithj88
                        SBR MVP
                        • 12-27-08
                        • 3591

                        #221
                        indeed, wat if some1 gets hurt in practice?
                        Comment
                        • Dexter
                          BARRELED IN @ SBR!
                          • 12-24-08
                          • 25829

                          #222
                          Originally posted by lakerboy
                          homes i aint rubbing in anything i have had a horrible weekend. it was a simple question why throw money away right away instead of seeing how the line settles. good luck it seems you are making your picks off emotion. you made 2 plays of 10 units based on opening lines and not even thinking that there might be some serious injuries in practice or whatever the case may be. how many times the night before superbowls have players run into trouble. forget about line movements it totally confounds me how folks can pick right off the opening lines . now if colts end up 4 point favs you lost before the game starts. thats how this thing works. if you dont beat the closing line you lose long term. I aint questioning your picks you might be right but why the hurry- the game isnt for 2 weeks and you think the colts will get eaten up so why not wait and get a better # on saints?
                          emotion - nah....if that was the case i would have faded the saints who just lost me a dime. i was capping the superbowl out during the saints/vikings game looking at both NO and Minny as possible opponents for the colts.

                          that is a shocking comment there regarding how people can play off opening lines. with you being a pro sports gambler, im confounded by the fact that you would say that. check out this article from the spread.com......its widely known in the industry that the true sharps/wiseguys hit the opening lines.



                          now while i am in no way a "sharp" pro, i myself like to get down early when i handicap a game.

                          we've spoken about this numerous times on pm, so im hoping this is clear for you now.

                          i actually was watching my books lines, and kept holding off when the line was going from 3.5 to 5.5. i then noticed a sharp book that i have drop the line down to 5 and up to 56. thats when i made my move.
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                          • Dexter
                            BARRELED IN @ SBR!
                            • 12-24-08
                            • 25829

                            #223
                            very happy with my lines of +5 and over 55.5. gotta love superbowl sunday. obviously feeling a little more confident with freeney not 100%. if the colts cant get a pass rush on brees, he will pick them apart as manning will the saints.

                            colts -34
                            saints -33
                            Comment
                            • cgars1
                              SBR Wise Guy
                              • 01-18-09
                              • 657

                              #224
                              nice call dex...i gottem in a teaser need the o 48 and guess what we are on the number and a sprinkle on the saints ml
                              Comment
                              • Dexter
                                BARRELED IN @ SBR!
                                • 12-24-08
                                • 25829

                                #225
                                ahhh - why did i have to be a square and play the over. ive seen it a million times over my years of gambling. offenses are rusty with the 2 weeks off and start firing late in the game - then time runs out.

                                all bookies are going on vacation after today..lol
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