NFL RLM -- Reverse Line Movement 2009

Robust · 09-10-09, 04:53 PM

Originally posted by LT Profits

Ignore totals with this method

lol.. good catch LT.. I missed he was looking at totals, not spreads..

follow LT's advice..

Robust

DeluxeLiner · 09-11-09, 11:02 AM

Originally posted by Robust

bump

newbies need to learn from this thread.. i started one last season, but forgot the title.. lol

won plenty on rlm in nfl.. so pay attention!!

Robust

Robust! Nice to see you this season! Lets make some money

rezkoness69 · 09-11-09, 12:18 PM

interesting movement in the Buccs-Boys game. I like the buccs a lot in that one.

DeluxeLiner · 09-12-09, 11:10 AM

Looking at bettracker and sbrodds now I do not see any play. Another comb over will be looked at Sunday morning, but this might be a no play weekend. Bummer.

Anybody see an RLM play that meetings requirements 60/40, with 1 pt of movement

rezkoness69 · 09-12-09, 11:53 AM

san fran

DeluxeLiner · 09-12-09, 01:11 PM

Originally posted by rezkoness69

san fran

Yep nice one, not across the board RLM though. The Greek is at 5.5 while 5 dimes is at 7 -135.

Matchbook does not have a full line of movement yet. This game has the most potential out of any game though (so far)

Not quite ready to pull the trigger on it though.

JIMBOK · 09-13-09, 11:04 AM

you guys are on to somthin.. i feel the same way ... we need to help each other win.

i like jags and jets

JIMBOK · 09-13-09, 11:08 AM

"

rick_213 · 09-13-09, 11:17 AM

so in terms of RLM, which game will you all be on today then>?

JIMBOK · 09-13-09, 11:31 AM

More strong on jags

plus over in giants....giant over under moved from 37.5 to 40 in one bet at the venetian casino while most of the week 35 % were on the over ..

DeluxeLiner · 09-13-09, 12:10 PM

I made no plays today.

JIMBOK · 09-14-09, 08:59 AM

Jets ,Jags, and over giants.... all winners!!

JIMBOK · 09-20-09, 10:09 AM

Jetssssss

NYsportsfreak · 09-20-09, 10:40 AM

according to SBRodds aren't the Pat's the play because of RLM? Also the Ravens? lemme know if i am reading this right.

JIMBOK · 09-20-09, 10:57 AM

Jets are RLM and Public is all over ravens so that's whats moving the line

Looks like under in Minnesota is a RML
Arizona looks good too

The Bishop · 09-20-09, 11:09 AM

Originally posted by NYsportsfreak

according to SBRodds aren't the Pat's the play because of RLM? Also the Ravens? lemme know if i am reading this right.

No. REVERSE line movement. The line opened at 4.5 and has moved down to 3.5. That means more money is coming in on the Jets despite the majority of bettors being on the Pats. If you wanted to play RLM, you would play the Jets.

Ravens would be a no play either way. Most people on Baltimore and the line moving down...

mehdim · 09-20-09, 02:06 PM

i think tampa +4 is a good case for this.

the opening is -5.5 for bufaalo and by 66% it is now turn to -4. am i right?

mehdim · 09-20-09, 02:08 PM

also miami +3.

it is 76 % on colts and the line move from -3.5 to -3. althogh it is half point but make sense

JIMBOK · 09-20-09, 03:18 PM

yea

mehdim · 09-20-09, 11:02 PM

tampa looses. and the result is 0-1.

2 qusetions

1-forexample if the game between cols and patriots and the oppening is -5 for colts and between days the percentage is 70% and the line change to -4 but at the close time it is -5 again. what should we do? take it or not?

2- which bookmark we should consider for line movement. because it is different from one to another

KingKing · 09-20-09, 11:55 PM

thank you for this info.. best of luck with the RLM

DeluxeLiner · 09-21-09, 01:48 AM

Sorry fellas I was out this weekend and didn't really have time to post. The only play I made this week was on the Jets game and that worked out.

Some advice I can give new RLM'ers is to not try to find RLM when it isn't clear.

mehdim · 09-21-09, 02:00 AM

pls aks my questions(post #55)

thanks

up

bookinwinners · 09-21-09, 05:00 AM

is there a rule on bet amount with this system?

mehdim · 09-21-09, 05:28 AM

no.it is not a rule. but 3%-5% of your totall asset is the best amout to bet on each game.

forexample if you have 2000 $ totall. it is beteer to use 60-100 $ in each game.

no body to answer to my qusetion(#55)

Robust · 09-21-09, 05:35 AM

Originally posted by mehdim

tampa looses. and the result is 0-1.

2 qusetions

1-forexample if the game between cols and patriots and the oppening is -5 for colts and between days the percentage is 70% and the line change to -4 but at the close time it is -5 again. what should we do? take it or not?

2- which bookmark we should consider for line movement. because it is different from one to another

wtf?

rlm is easy.. re-read the threads... this one and "If the line dosen't move, Follow the money"

good luck!

Robsut

DeluxeLiner · 09-21-09, 08:00 PM

Originally posted by bookinwinners

is there a rule on bet amount with this system?

No way. I hate thinking of this as a system too. Use Kelly to figure out bet sizes. Sbrodds.com has a Kelly Calculator which should help you. Best of luck!

dimon · 09-21-09, 11:25 PM

Hey guys,

I have a question...I used data from the covers.com, so I guss it is not the whole picture, however

The game I want to talk about is:

NE vs. NYJ

Over Total Under
351 44.5 232
382 45 314
529 45.5 395
203 46 159
225 46.5 169
213 47 150
1903 1419

I wanted to ask you will that qualify it as a RLM, or just "someone knew something we did not"

Thanks

dimon · 09-22-09, 03:26 PM

I know it is early, however pay attention to OleMiss vs SC game thursday

Robust · 09-25-09, 10:22 PM

Week 3 RLM:

Jax and TB are good candidates thus far..

Since I cannot trust a TB team against the NYG to cover, I am taking a shot with Jax +3.5..

kinda nervous about it as houston can play great games at home, but this one makes me less nervous than TB.. lol

good luck!

Robust

azn624 · 09-26-09, 12:29 AM

Originally posted by Robust

Week 3 RLM:

Jax and TB are good candidates thus far..

Since I cannot trust a TB team against the NYG to cover, I am taking a shot with Jax +3.5..

kinda nervous about it as houston can play great games at home, but this one makes me less nervous than TB.. lol

good luck!

Robust

I like Jax with the points cuz they definitely need this game since they're 0-2 and MJD will run all over Houston's D

Vincepcion · 09-26-09, 05:45 AM

I might be on the Jax train too, lets do it

Robust · 09-26-09, 06:59 PM

after much thought, i am ON TB to cover and the ML..

see http://forum.sbrforum.com/nfl-handic...uccaneers.html for details.

Robust

Mr Winters · 09-26-09, 07:46 PM

I like TAM a lot to cover. I'm sure they're a good value on the ML, too. I'll check out this other thread, NYGiants @ TB Buccaneers Robust - thanks much.

DeluxeLiner · 09-27-09, 12:10 AM

I agree with Robust and LT here. I never do RLM with totals.