Lucky1's NFL 2017 Campaign

[Lucky1g]

Loser on total. Passed on my lean to chargers...I’m going to do something I don’t do often. A first half play. I’m making this play because I think the Giants will get off to a good start tonight. As the underdog I think they will take momentum from last weeks game into this division rivalry game. Redskins off emotion ot loss on a short week laying a full TD? The way skins defense is banged up and carved up last few weeks tells me Eli should be able to sustain some drives and score offensively. Hopefully even control tempo. I could go on here...that said I’m not willing to ride Eli into the 4th quarter. I just can easily see him burning up my money...but I am actually really confident in this play. Roll with the ugly dog to play well in the first half. Then who cares, let the turkey do it’s thing and put you asleep through second half...

****top rated***Giants+4 (ev) 1st half only

[JayDr3am]

you needed that 4th and 1 so bad. great call 1g

[Lucky1g]

Pushing my luck a bit here but Redskins offense will play better 2nd half. I don’t think NYG offense will do much in 2nd half either. 20-10 skins.

Redskins-3.5 2nd half

[Lucky1g]

Bada bing. Bullseye

updated
43-35 55% +8.5 units
top rated 6-4

[JayDr3am]

Sharp !

[Lucky1g]

[Lucky1g]

Busy morning. Have narrowed down list of possible plays. Will be posting a little laterthan usual today. Probably about an hour or so before 1pm games kick. Back later

[Lucky1g]

Lock these down now. More coming

Titans & Colts UNDER 46.5

seahwks & 49ers UNDER 45

[Lucky1g]

Browns+7.5

[Lucky1g]

Late add

Jets+6

[Lucky1g]

**top rated**broncos+4
May have late addition..

[Lucky1g]

49ers+7

[Lucky1g]

Giant step backwards today. Play for SNF is in and I’m rolling with ugly stinking dog. Bol

Packers+14.5

[Lucky1g]

Yesterday 3-4-2.5

updated
46-39 +6.0 units
Top Rated 6-5

[Lucky1g]

Well favorites cashing at unprecedented rate this week. I will play on that trend in a game that should be obvious who the better team is...raven by dd tonight...only way ravens don’t cover is with key turnovers. Last few games though ravens and Texans going in opposite directions with turnover margin...I think this one is the way it looks. Also like Texans slinging it and scoring late to push total over. They will be trailing forced into shotgun spread formations and will be pass heavy. I think they’ll be able to cross the goaline a few times tonight. Ravens 34 Texans 21

bets
**top rated**ravens-7.5

ravens & Texans over 39

[Ryermkd]

Ravens should smack em... couldn't pull the trigger ats and didn't wanna lay the juice on the ml. BOL.

[Renegades]

its a favorable match up for Balt offense. Flacco is a good deep ball passer and Houston is at the bottom of the league vs the pass and in yards per play against the pass. the big ? is what will Houston do? Savage is horrendous and now they are going up against a top D. not sure you can expect more than 10-14 pts from Houston. maybe Savage will suck enough to give up a few easy Balt scores off turnovers

[hotcross]

Lucky you keep honest records which I applaud. Top Rated picks are 6-5 with tonight's game pending. In my opinion this cannot be considered truly "Top Rated" by definition. They are no better/worse than your "regular" plays.

I'm in favor of power-ranking your most high-confidence picks with multiple units, as I do that myself. But the proof is in the pudding. Of course we may win OR lose the picks we feel very strongly about. Top rated should be hitting around 75%+ though I'd say, which will surely add to the bankroll. You might want to be more discerning with what is qualifying as Top Rated.

Hope this helps.

[Ryermkd]

got in late, wish I had your numbers... Let's get it!

[Lucky1g]

Hope this helps. ?. Really?? Lol. I love the internet

so im 6-5 with 2 really bad beats..could easily have swung to a 8-3 record going into tonight. It happens. I see a play i love its top rated and I play it that way. I feel like the ravens are very strong play. This would make my 12th top rated play in 12 weeks..that’s pretty modest approach to my top plays...fwiw, I meet your expectations with top rated plays in college football . Hitting 75% this year with those gems...

[Lucky1g]

Nailed my game of the year one and only 3unit play last week. Hitting 100% this year on those.lol. Not bad right?

[hotcross]

is the 3 unit win included in the 6-5 top rated record? serious question.

I don't troll. Sorry if I came off sounding like it. Trying to give something to consider. Otherwise wouldn't bother posting the comments.

[Smutbucket]

Lucky you keep honest records which I applaud. Top Rated picks are 6-5 with tonight's game pending. In my opinion this cannot be considered truly "Top Rated" by definition. They are no better/worse than your "regular" plays.

I'm in favor of power-ranking your most high-confidence picks with multiple units, as I do that myself. But the proof is in the pudding. Of course we may win OR lose the picks we feel very strongly about. Top rated should be hitting around 75%+ though I'd say, which will surely add to the bankroll. You might want to be more discerning with what is qualifying as Top Rated.

Hope this helps.

your join date is very befitting of your comments

two years ago I was 10-0 on the season in my top rated picks for ncaaf

this year Im 0-5 I think.....shit happens

[hotcross]

ok I must be out of line. Again, sorry for that.

All I was saying is if you are more particular about the 2 unit picks, thus increasing your win rate and bankroll on them. And I suppose tonight was the night to mention that because record stands at 6-5 and with the pending pick on tonight's game not loving that one.

I play 5 unit top rated picks in my systems. I had one all year in NFL and it won. I've had one all year in NHL (and two 4-unit picks) out of 70+ plays and those have all won. But anyway I think Lucky does a nice job and I was trying to comment in a helpful way. That was all.

[Notorious_Donk]

Well favorites cashing at unprecedented rate this week. I will play on that trend in a game that should be obvious who the better team is...raven by dd tonight...only way ravens don’t cover is with key turnovers. Last few games though ravens and Texans going in opposite directions with turnover margin...I think this one is the way it looks. Also like Texans slinging it and scoring late to push total over. They will be trailing forced into shotgun spread formations and will be pass heavy. I think they’ll be able to cross the goaline a few times tonight. Ravens 34 Texans 21

bets
**top rated**ravens-7.5

ravens & Texans over 39

Thought Flacco was gonna run it in for you!!

[Lucky1g]

Tough loss Monday night. The late int gave ravens-7.5 great chance..but dude decides to take a knee at mid field. Why he didn’t run it back into FG range or try to score TD is beyond me..but I guess I can sort of understand...but then Flacco run to clinch the W, yeah..I’m sitting here RUN JOE RUUUUUN...tough loss by the hook. Bad call? I don’t know, hindsight’s 20/20. Live with it and moving forward...it’s now just lumped into the bad beat memory bank that just needs to be ignored and forgotten

[Lucky1g]

Updated
46-40 54% +3.8 units
top rated 6-6

[Lucky1g]

Min/Atl OVER 48

kC/NYJ OVER 44

texans+7

Lions+3

[Lucky1g]

Snf

Eagles & Seahawks OVER 46

[Lucky1g]

Wow. 2 bad weeks in row. 1-4 yesterday. Hope this turns around soon. Bet With GB vs Pitt last week. Bengals offense has improved. All about getting Mr. Mixon going. Make him the focal point of the offense. Do that, make a few big pass plays(doesn’t hurt to have one of the most prolific WR in game at Wr) and they might win outright. Either way this one will be close and come down to those key plays that you can’t handicap. Think Bengals is more then capable of winning tonight which I realize is not a very popular opinion. I will make this my 2 unit play of the week. I realize I’m in a cold spell and I’m not playing with house money on the season anymore but my experience says stay the course ride it out with consistency. Goodluck with your action

**top rated**Bengals+4.5

[fecgp40]

Yes Lucky you were 1-4 yesterday, but Texans were the right side. Terrible beat in that one.

[Lucky1g]

Lots of terrible beats. Terrible beats is what’s keeping me out of 60% win rate...the odds are a tough thing to beat. Especially during the course of entire season

[Lucky1g]

Updated
48-44 52.3% +2.4 units
top rated 7-6

[fecgp40]

Nice call Lucky. Unbelievable Cincy didn't win outright. What a bunch of chokers.

[hotcross]

yes great pick Lucky on Monday Night game. Spread was never in doubt.