Lucky1's NFL 2017 Campaign

[Lucky1g]

Hello SBR
A month away from real football but I might play a handful of preseason so I'll get this going now. Last year preseason I went 7-2 +4.8 units..Posted at sbr Regularly my action in both college and pros since 2013. Here's my NFL #'s:

2016
84-87 49% -11.3 units

2015
75-61 55% +13.6 units

2014
92-67 58% +18.3 units

2013
36-27 58% +6.3 units

***have always used the same flat betting concept. each play to win 1 unit. I will use top rated plays as 2 unit plays as I did last year. I bet what I post. 1 unit equals 1 dime. I am very well funded to withstand bad stretches and or losing streaks. My Wagers are researched and handicapped and ultimately wagered on for good reasons although I admit it can be a challenge to remain disciplined throughout the entire season I'm another year older and wiser or as I like to say...seasoned. I will NOT be playing 171 NFL wagers this year. There WILL be a more selective approach favoring quality over quantity. That said I will have steady action all season. Gambling and turning a profit throughout an entire season takes mental toughness and understanding that there WILL be losing streaks. Last year got killed in sept,oct,early nov then got hot late to win bunches back and still lost almost 12k for the season

Will start up NCAA thread too in appropriate forum. Good luck this year guys

[JayDr3am]

[Lucky1g]

Friday night

Steelers & Giants UNDER 35.5

[Lucky1g]

Winner.

Preseason NFL
1-0 +1.0

[Lucky1g]

Got one tonight. Goodluck

Chiefs & Seahawks OVER 44

[chabooky386]

Nice to see this thread up!

[Lucky1g]

Loser.

NFL
1-1 50% -0.1units

[Lucky1g]

Falcons-3.5

Saints-4

Ravens-4

[Lucky1g]

Anybody else get hosed on the voluntary 4th down safety the Ravens opted for against the bills? Thought we had a winner there but coaching strategy put the kabosh on that...push is better than a loss

[Lucky1g]

1-1-1 -.1

updated
2-2-1 50% -.2units

[Benedict950]

Great job Lucky! I'll be following you for sure!

[Lucky1g]

try again with

Vikings-5.5

[Lucky1g]

Preseason 2-3-1 -1.3units

[Lucky1g]

Regular Season Opener! Let's do this. Goodluck this year ladies and gents.


Patriots-8

[Lucky1g]

Panthers & Niners UNDER 48

[Lucky1g]

Add

Giants+4.5

[Lucky1g]

Rgular Season
1-2 33% -1.2

[Lucky1g]

chargers & Broncos OVER 42

[2daBank]

chargers & Broncos OVER 42

Kinda like this as well. Doubt i play it cause liked chargers a little more. I do think it finds its way over tho.. gl

[eddycash]

i went with over 41.5 and passed on chargers for now

[Lucky1g]

Yes like it to find its way over. feeling very good about the play!
Late addition that I was eyeballing all day. Now seems like the right time to pull the trigger.

[Lucky1g]

chargers+3

[eddycash]

i was leaning denver

[Jerm3085]

This should be the easiest over, Denver might get there by themselves, gl

[Jerm3085]

The worst 2' drill by chargers...can't believe I was watching an NFL team

[Lucky1g]

First push of the season. Really frustrating to watch that Chargers 2 minute offense. Stumble and bumble there way into FB range. How do we let the guy come directly up the middle of the line for an easy block. Especially after a timeout...charger special teams coach the biggest loser from this game

season now
2-2-1 50% -0.2

[NLChad11]

Yeah the FG was ridiculous. But they did outscore Denver 14-0 in the 4th quarter to get you the push and cover the over for you, otherwise you would've went 0-2 on the night instead of 1-0-1...thats over a 3k swing for a dime player like yourself.

[Lucky1g]

I understand your point. But couldn't a player make a case of "what if's" at the outcome of most games? There's always a key sequence of plays that decides the outcome. Doesn't matter if you win by 4tds or by the hook. A wins a win and pays out. A loss is a loss and you pay vig. Just try to give yourself enough high probability plays to come out ahead. Lady Luck is a big part of it

[2daBank]

I was honestly thrilled the fg got blocked cause I played chargers early in the week when it was +3.5.. even tho I think sd prob wins in ot cause they had all the momentum I had no desire sweating that out. Lol

[Ryermkd]

You guys were honestly lucky, Denver beat themselves. They looked great until a couple of mishaps. Bad play calling at the end too, they could have easily just ran the ball/killed clock and attempted a much closer fg than 52yrds. Yeah they wouldn't have been up by 7+ but... their defense looked unstoppable for the most part. They should have played for 27-21.

[2daBank]

You guys were honestly lucky, Denver beat themselves. They looked great until a couple of mishaps. Bad play calling at the end too, they could have easily just ran the ball/killed clock and attempted a much closer fg than 52yrds. Yeah they wouldn't have been up by 7+ but... their defense looked unstoppable for the most part. They should have played for 27-21.

You can say that all you want but I can say that donks were lucky to be in lead in 1st place.. if chargers corner doesn't let that pick 6 bounce off his chest early in game who knows how that game goes. Chargers a better team so I'd say you were lucky to push cause if that fg doesn't get blocked the better team would have won in ot.

[Ryermkd]

You can say that all you want but I can say that donks were lucky to be in lead in 1st place.. if chargers corner doesn't let that pick 6 bounce off his chest early in game who knows how that game goes. Chargers a better team so I'd say you were lucky to push cause if that fg doesn't get blocked the better team would have won in ot.

touche, Donks a better team though!

[2daBank]

touche, Donks a better team though!

Not sure why you think that? Donks defense better but not a ton. Chargers d has great pass rushers and very good corners. Don't think you can possibly argue that Offensively it no contest, right?

[Ryermkd]

Ya no contest. Donks better on both sides of the ball, all the Chargers got going for them is Melvin Gordon on offense...

unless you respect a 37yo TE. I expect a much better year for the choke artist though, he looked good at the end of the game.

[2daBank]

Ya no contest. Donks better on both sides of the ball, all the Chargers got going for them is Melvin Gordon on offense...

unless you respect a 37yo TE. I expect a much better year for the choke artist though, he looked good at the end of the game.

LmAo. Guess you can argue cause I meant it indisputable that chargers far better offensively. The 37 year old te and the young guy hunry both better than any te donks have. Rivers over seaman no contest. Gordon better than anything in donks backfield. Wr debatable but chargers have more depth and Allen a stud where as donks have very little after Thomas and sanders.. dude you crazy if you think donks have a better offense. Oh yea donks oline sucks too.