Lucky1's NFL 2017 Campaign

2daBank · 10-15-17, 01:41 AM

Originally posted by shopbar picks

If KC doesn't blow them out will never bet another NFL game. The Steelers lost to the bad news Bears in Chicago. Unless they shoot up Ben with Maloxocam. No way this is close

Dude you have been around long enough to know better than thinking how steelers played in previous weeks has any barrring on this week.

Lucky1g · 10-15-17, 04:32 AM

Banker-Exactly my thoughts. Seems that ESPECIALLY in pro football that if the matchup consists a team that has underperformed versus the team that is overpreforming (KC 5-0ats perfect against the #)***...I will take the “underperforming team. I believe vegas will always provide Better line value if you wager the dog. In this case, yeah it’s really hard to predict if we will see a continuation of the wheels falling off for Pitt OR they will regroup and take advantage of KC in a trap or look ahead to ultra important upcoming TNF divisional game vs oakland. If Pitt played like 7 point favorites last week and covered, today’s matchup would probably be offered at Pitt+ less than a FG..because of the shit show from Big Ben, we are getting extra line value and it’s all about finding value right?

Lucky1g · 10-15-17, 04:37 AM

This betting on the underperforming team concept certainly defines the word gambling. Of course I think KC is the better team with far greater potential this year. They have looked sharp! But Pitt should bounce back here. Week to week you have to pick your spots. Big Ben and Company just went into Arrowhead last January and proved this environment and 12th man in KC won’t intimidate them. Should see a vastly improved effort today from steelers. Best of luck

2daBank · 10-15-17, 05:02 AM

They have played one another several times the last handful of years, steelers defense has presented a challenge to kc in every game. Kc may be a little better than previous versions but it still the same offensive scheme and many of same players. I think both teams will have success on the ground, I don't think Ben will be able to sustain a lot of drives where he has to convert numerous 3rd downs but I do think there will be a few big plays to be had vs kc d as their secondary prone to the big play. To me the total feels a fg too high as I have this more in the 23-20 range. I'm on under and lean steelers but little worried how many cats in forumworld seem to be on pit.. gl lucky

Grivas_Digeni · 10-15-17, 05:50 AM

Originally posted by 2daBank

They have played one another several times the last handful of years, steelers defense has presented a challenge to kc in every game. Kc may be a little better than previous versions but it still the same offensive scheme and many of same players. I think both teams will have success on the ground, I don't think Ben will be able to sustain a lot of drives where he has to convert numerous 3rd downs but I do think there will be a few big plays to be had vs kc d as their secondary prone to the big play. To me the total feels a fg too high as I have this more in the 23-20 range. I'm on under and lean steelers but little worried how many cats in forumworld seem to be on pit.. gl lucky

Don't these cats know that the Chiefs defensive backs know Big Ben will throw straight down the middle to his criss-crossing receivers?

Lucky1g · 10-15-17, 06:45 AM

I don’t mind laying the juice in this one. I think it will pay off

Raiders ML (-170)

Lucky1g · 10-15-17, 08:10 AM

FWIW: Steelers 7-1 ATS with Big Ben in games following 20+pt loss

Lucky1g · 10-15-17, 09:44 AM

packers & vikings UNDER 45

Vikings +3.5

Lucky1g · 10-15-17, 09:44 AM

Browns & Texans UNDER 47

Lucky1g · 10-15-17, 04:21 PM

2-1 early. Backdoored on the Houston Cleveland total. That sucked but I’ll take 2 outta 3.

Lucky1g · 10-16-17, 03:51 AM

Damn missed XP in Oakland...moving on 3-2 +1.2

Lucky1g · 10-16-17, 03:54 AM

updated season now

23-12 66% +10.0 units
top rated 2-1

Lucky1g · 10-19-17, 07:32 AM

Big play TNF. I have strong confidence in this one

**top rated **Raiders ML+150

Renegades · 10-19-17, 07:36 AM

I think the ML is smart, they will either win SU or not cover the 3. its worth the +150 shot. going to have about 70% of the bets on KC

GL

Lucky1g · 10-19-17, 12:55 PM

Add another unit to pointspr3ad. Largest football wager of se@son. Hope it goes the way I think it will go. Like I said I am very confident in this one. But my crystal ball isn’t always right! Goodluck all

Raiders+3

Israelnyjah · 10-19-17, 04:01 PM

I'm also confident with the raiders! Goodluck to us!

Lucky1g · 10-19-17, 10:58 PM

How was that for a cliffhanger? Crazy finish, glad to be on the right side. I’ve been on the wrong side my fair share, I’ll take whatever breaks I can get. Tonight was a huge break. Big win keeps my nfl season going STRONG
See you Sunday
season now
25-12 68% +14.0units
top rated 3-1

Israelnyjah · 10-19-17, 11:00 PM

Yea boi! Congrats!

JayDr3am · 10-19-17, 11:05 PM

wow 1g great call!

Letsgovols22 · 10-19-17, 11:09 PM

Dilly Dilly!

Ktown · 10-21-17, 04:51 PM

keep up the great work lucky...ty for your awesome picks!

Lucky1g · 10-22-17, 03:48 AM

Lcked and loaded on these two. There will be additions closer to kickoff

Lucky1g · 10-22-17, 03:50 AM

Broncos Pk

SNF
Falcons ML+150

BossPicks30 · 10-22-17, 05:59 AM

Lucky1g- the one guy I would check SBR the last 3 years to always see what plays you were on before betting. Respect your calls sir. Trying to understand your Denver pick. I've liked chargers all week as Denver got stomped by the giants whom chargers beat and they lost in Denver because of a timeout at the last second before a field goal. Rivers>Simien. Please explain your reasoning Boss

Lucky1g · 10-22-17, 11:09 AM

Boss game could go either way. I like Denver to bounce back today. For a lot of reasons. I will not explain my logic because if you like the chargers it’s easy to make a case for why chargers are the play..like I said, I feel good about my wagers when I post them, but I’m still looking for the crystal ball that spits out winners 100% of the time...until then I’ll settle for a win rate 55-60% or better

Lucky1g · 10-22-17, 11:09 AM

saints & packers OVER 45.5

Lucky1g · 10-22-17, 11:11 AM

Seahawks-3.5 (ev)

Bengals+4

chosen4th · 10-22-17, 11:55 AM

Originally posted by Lucky1g

Seahawks-3.5 (ev)

Bengals+4

why has the seahawks giants line moved so much over the week

Lucky1g · 10-22-17, 04:28 PM

Chargers look like the right side halfway through..swing and a miss on that one looks like. Add:

Falcons+3

Falcons & Patriots UNDER 57***top rated***

Lucky1g · 10-22-17, 04:29 PM

MNF

Redskins+4.5

Israelnyjah · 10-22-17, 06:41 PM

Originally posted by Lucky1g

Chargers look like the right side halfway through..swing and a miss on that one looks like. Add:

Falcons+3

Falcons & Patriots UNDER 57***top rated***

Looking good! I'm liking the picks I'm with these too!

momo2017 · 10-23-17, 04:12 AM

Thanks for the Top rated pick, helped me tonight. Keep it up!!

Lucky1g · 10-23-17, 08:02 AM

Tough day. Was just off..good news was 2 unit SNF total cashed easily. 2-5 -2.4 yesterday

Lucky1g · 10-23-17, 08:03 AM

Season now
27-17 62% +11.6
top rated 4-1

Lucky1g · 10-23-17, 08:06 AM

MNF upgrade (1unit pending on skins+4 adding another unit at new price of 4.5)

**top rated**Redskins+4.5