Smitty's 2015 NFL Thread

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  • SmittyZ28
    SBR MVP
    • 09-04-12
    • 1469

    #71
    Taking NYG -6.5 3.6 to win 3.

    Rough day down a unit 1pm games went crazy!

    Gl people
    Comment
    • SmittyZ28
      SBR MVP
      • 09-04-12
      • 1469

      #72
      Rough day yesterday down about 5 units because of the ML parlay and KC. I was already cashing that GB 1H ticket before AROD threw another INT, couldn't believe it. I will update the record after tonight.

      6 Pt teaser 3.5 to win 3
      Pitt +10 O39.5

      3.2 to win 3
      O45.5

      These defenses are both horrible and getting gashed for huge yardage per play. Also you got Antonio Gates coming back who is a red zone beast. Bryant isnt coming back but Bell and Brown are going to have monster nights. I like Pitt to hang in tough this game and Vik with extra practice and extra time to be better tonight. GL people
      Comment
      • SmittyZ28
        SBR MVP
        • 09-04-12
        • 1469

        #73
        Adding 2 to win 3.8

        Steeler ML +185
        Comment
        • SmittyZ28
          SBR MVP
          • 09-04-12
          • 1469

          #74
          Haven't updated the record in a week. Down 4.5 over the last week, couple of real tough/close losses. Worst week of the year, frankly not unhappy to walk away only down a few units over the last week. It is important to survive the tough weeks, everyone has them, and take advantage of the winners. Giants was a bad call, was going to stay away all week made that bet after too many drinks. GL people, hope everyone made some money. Heavy favorite ML parlays always a bad idea, just felt good about the chiefs at home against the Bears, lost out on that by a catch....

          MNF 10/5
          2.8 to win 2 LOSS
          7 Points
          Seattle -3 O36
          TNF
          1H U21 1.3 to win 1 LOSS
          6 Pt Tease 2.3 to win 2 Colts +11 U47 PUSH
          Saints +5.5 3.3 to win 3 LOSS
          JAX +3 3.5 to win 3 LOSS
          NE -9 3.3 to win 3. WIN
          Cincy -3 3.5 to win 3 PUSH
          AZ-3 3.1 to win 3 WIN
          6 Pt tease 3.6 to win 3 NE-2.5 GB -3. WIN
          ML Parlay NE/GB/KC 6 to win 5.2 LOSS
          GB-6.5 1H 2.2 to win 2 LOSS
          TB Jax O42 2.2 to win 2 WIN
          Denver -4.5 3.4 to win 3 WIN
          NYG -6.5 3.6 to win 3 LOSS
          MNF
          6 Pt teaser 3.5 to win 3 Pitt +10 O39.5 WIN
          3.2 to win 3 O45.5 LOSS
          Steelers +185 2 to win 3.85 WIN

          Over the last week
          7-8-2 -4.45
          YTD 31-23-4 +22.95
          Comment
          • SmittyZ28
            SBR MVP
            • 09-04-12
            • 1469

            #75
            Booked early action for week 6

            Pats -7 -130 7.7 to win 6
            Tenn -1 3.3 to win 3
            Comment
            • SmittyZ28
              SBR MVP
              • 09-04-12
              • 1469

              #76
              TNF

              Atl -3 3.4 to win 3

              I get its a Thursday night game in the super dome with division rivals but how can you not take the value of a team playing much better ball at every single phase of the game for 3 points? ATL is the far superior team here and has actually played well on the road this year. I think the game will be close, but the value here is too strong to pass up. Better team at a key number.

              GL
              Comment
              • SmittyZ28
                SBR MVP
                • 09-04-12
                • 1469

                #77
                Adding U52 for the game 2.2 to win 2
                Comment
                • SmittyZ28
                  SBR MVP
                  • 09-04-12
                  • 1469

                  #78
                  Also did not add early week 6 bet of AZ Cards -3, got it at -110 on Monday. AZ -3 3.3 to win 3
                  Comment
                  • SmittyZ28
                    SBR MVP
                    • 09-04-12
                    • 1469

                    #79
                    Falcons 2H -6 2.1 to win 2
                    Comment
                    • SmittyZ28
                      SBR MVP
                      • 09-04-12
                      • 1469

                      #80
                      Originally posted by SmittyZ28
                      Falcons 2H -6 2.1 to win 2
                      2.2 to win 2, not 2.1
                      Comment
                      • SmittyZ28
                        SBR MVP
                        • 09-04-12
                        • 1469

                        #81
                        Week 6

                        Cards -3 3.3 to win 3
                        Pats -7 7.7 to win 6
                        Tenn-1 3.3 to win 3
                        Broncos -4 3.3 to win 3


                        7 Point tease 4.1 to win 3
                        Wash +14.5
                        Carolina +14
                        Comment
                        • 44 Mag
                          BARRELED IN @ SBR!
                          • 10-14-13
                          • 34490

                          #82
                          Originally posted by SmittyZ28
                          Week 6

                          Cards -3 3.3 to win 3
                          Pats -7 7.7 to win 6
                          Tenn-1 3.3 to win 3
                          Broncos -4 3.3 to win 3


                          7 Point tease 4.1 to win 3
                          Wash +14.5
                          Carolina +14
                          BOL Smitty.
                          Comment
                          • SmittyZ28
                            SBR MVP
                            • 09-04-12
                            • 1469

                            #83
                            Originally posted by 44 Mag
                            BOL Smitty.
                            Thanks bro, you too! You think we see more Dion or Blount tonight?
                            Comment
                            • 44 Mag
                              BARRELED IN @ SBR!
                              • 10-14-13
                              • 34490

                              #84
                              Originally posted by SmittyZ28
                              Thanks bro, you too! You think we see more Dion or Blount tonight?
                              My guestimate: Dion to start to wear them down, chasing him all over the map. Then a heavy dose of "Blount Trauma" to finish them off. In between, The Gronk shows up to punish them. Tom playing catch on "dink & dunk" getting rid of it quickly. That is my hope of a game plan, so we know that won't work . LOL. BOL today.
                              Comment
                              • SmittyZ28
                                SBR MVP
                                • 09-04-12
                                • 1469

                                #85
                                Originally posted by SmittyZ28
                                Week 6

                                Cards -3 3.3 to win 3
                                Pats -7 7.7 to win 6
                                Tenn-1 3.3 to win 3
                                Broncos -4 3.3 to win 3


                                7 Point tease 4.1 to win 3
                                Wash +14.5
                                Carolina +14
                                3 more units on Denver -3 3.45 to win 3
                                Comment
                                • SmittyZ28
                                  SBR MVP
                                  • 09-04-12
                                  • 1469

                                  #86
                                  Originally posted by 44 Mag
                                  My guestimate: Dion to start to wear them down, chasing him all over the map. Then a heavy dose of "Blount Trauma" to finish them off. In between, The Gronk shows up to punish them. Tom playing catch on "dink & dunk" getting rid of it quickly. That is my hope of a game plan, so we know that won't work . LOL. BOL today.
                                  Hahaha I think your guestimate is going to be pretty accurate man. Colts run D has been slightly better but they can pick their poison if they stack the box brady will shred them, if not, the backs will cut em up. Looking forward to the game
                                  Comment
                                  • SmittyZ28
                                    SBR MVP
                                    • 09-04-12
                                    • 1469

                                    #87
                                    ADDED 4.1 to win 3

                                    7pt teaser

                                    Carolina +14
                                    GB-3
                                    Comment
                                    • SmittyZ28
                                      SBR MVP
                                      • 09-04-12
                                      • 1469

                                      #88
                                      GB/SD O50 3.3 to win 3
                                      Comment
                                      • SmittyZ28
                                        SBR MVP
                                        • 09-04-12
                                        • 1469

                                        #89
                                        Added SNF

                                        Pats 1H -6 3.3 to win 3
                                        O54 4.4 to win 4
                                        Comment
                                        • SmittyZ28
                                          SBR MVP
                                          • 09-04-12
                                          • 1469

                                          #90
                                          Pats ML/O54 Parlay 2 to win 3
                                          Comment
                                          • SmittyZ28
                                            SBR MVP
                                            • 09-04-12
                                            • 1469

                                            #91
                                            Colts TT O21.5 2.3 to win 2
                                            Comment
                                            • SmittyZ28
                                              SBR MVP
                                              • 09-04-12
                                              • 1469

                                              #92
                                              MNF

                                              I like Eli Odell and Rueben against the 25th ranked pass defense tonight. Opposing QBs completing 65% of passes against this team and I am just not a fan of Bradford in this big spot. I think the decent GMEN team shows up tonight and plays a back and forth game here. I am taking the points and I am all over the over tonight. GL People

                                              GMEN+3.5 3.3 to win 3
                                              GMEN+10 O 44 3.6 to win 4
                                              O50.5 2.2 to win 2
                                              Comment
                                              • SmittyZ28
                                                SBR MVP
                                                • 09-04-12
                                                • 1469

                                                #93
                                                Will update the record after tonight

                                                TNF SF+7 -130 3.8 to win 3

                                                GL!
                                                Comment
                                                • SmittyZ28
                                                  SBR MVP
                                                  • 09-04-12
                                                  • 1469

                                                  #94
                                                  Week 7 Booked so far:

                                                  Jets +8 3.3 to win 3
                                                  I see this as a 3-4 point game. Gillette is tough to play but the Jets almost always keep it close, sat on the 9 hoping to get 10 but moved to 8 so I grabbed it. Jets match up well with Patriots defensively and I think Boles has strong enough sense to keep the ball in Ivory's hands. Pats will win this game, probably lose in NY, Pats go undefeated at home this year.

                                                  JAX +4.5 3.3 to win 3
                                                  Lot of respect for Bills D but they are banged up here. This will be a tight low scoring international game, 4.5 is too much I like the value here

                                                  Indy -4.5 5.5 to win 5
                                                  Was surprised by this line, Indy only 1.5 points better than NO?? NO traditionally one of the worst road teams in the league, giving up over 30 points and 400 yards this year on the road. This is an Indy team that is figuring it out, Luck looked very good against the Pats in the 1st half last week. I can't remember the last time NO played a decent road game

                                                  3 Team 6.5 Point Tease 3 to win 4.5
                                                  Pats -.1
                                                  AZ- 2
                                                  Oak +10.5
                                                  Comment
                                                  • 44 Mag
                                                    BARRELED IN @ SBR!
                                                    • 10-14-13
                                                    • 34490

                                                    #95
                                                    OK brother. Good thinking. Surprised you don't tease Jax with O/U, one way ???
                                                    Comment
                                                    • SmittyZ28
                                                      SBR MVP
                                                      • 09-04-12
                                                      • 1469

                                                      #96
                                                      Originally posted by 44 Mag
                                                      OK brother. Good thinking. Surprised you don't tease Jax with O/U, one way ???
                                                      Yea man was a tough call on the total for this one. Was thinking over all week and then was worried about Buffalo play makers being banged up! Decided just to stick with the spread. GL with your plays today my man
                                                      Comment
                                                      • SmittyZ28
                                                        SBR MVP
                                                        • 09-04-12
                                                        • 1469

                                                        #97
                                                        Added

                                                        Carolina -2.5 (-125) 3.85 to win 3
                                                        Comment
                                                        • SmittyZ28
                                                          SBR MVP
                                                          • 09-04-12
                                                          • 1469

                                                          #98
                                                          Added 6 Point Tease 3.5 to win 3

                                                          STL PK
                                                          TB+9
                                                          Comment
                                                          • shopbar picks
                                                            SBR MVP
                                                            • 12-08-10
                                                            • 2157

                                                            #99
                                                            I sure hope you like the cards tonight
                                                            Comment
                                                            • SmittyZ28
                                                              SBR MVP
                                                              • 09-04-12
                                                              • 1469

                                                              #100
                                                              Yea man have them -2 in the last leg of a 3 team tease. Tough for me to pull the trigger at 10, Ravens have lost some tough ones. GL tonight buddy
                                                              Comment
                                                              • shopbar picks
                                                                SBR MVP
                                                                • 12-08-10
                                                                • 2157

                                                                #101
                                                                Well, crap my local went to 8.5..Missed pat killed that plan.. Oh well congrats on your teaser
                                                                Comment
                                                                • SmittyZ28
                                                                  SBR MVP
                                                                  • 09-04-12
                                                                  • 1469

                                                                  #102
                                                                  Originally posted by shopbar picks
                                                                  Well, crap my local went to 8.5..Missed pat killed that plan.. Oh well congrats on your teaser
                                                                  Yea man thats a rough one, no sense in buying the hook from 8.5-8, we will get them this week.
                                                                  Comment
                                                                  • SmittyZ28
                                                                    SBR MVP
                                                                    • 09-04-12
                                                                    • 1469

                                                                    #103
                                                                    Week 8

                                                                    6 Pt tease 3.5 to win 3
                                                                    TNF Pats-2 O45

                                                                    Brady 12-1 against the fins at home, only loss coming when he was pulled in the 2nd quarter. Pats have not lost at home in October since 2007 and GOAT is playing some of the best ball of his career. I have a TON of respect for what Dan Campbell is doing in Miami, it is impressive. This team will continue to improve but I look at it like this. The Jets were the only team that had a shot for an AFC east rival to beat the Pats at home this year. Although the O line is beat up for the Pats, they have already faced and beaten two of the most expensive defensive fronts in the league. It does not matter how good the pass rush is when you have a QB that gets rid of the ball as quickly as Brady does. Deon Lewis a huge mismatch for the Dolphins, going to open things up for LaFell and Gronk, Edleman will get catches no matter what. Phins beat up on two shitty AFC south teams, Foxboro/Brady prime time one of the toughest spots in the league. I do not blame anyone who takes the +8, was hoping it would get to 7.5 to buy down to 7, but I like this tease. Pats will score and will not take their foot off the gas and Miami will score as well which is why I like the total here. Thursday night is crazy but I do not see any scenario where the Fins win or even keep this closer than 7.

                                                                    6pt tease
                                                                    Pats-2
                                                                    Cincy +7 Field goal game either way, I will take the points and the better team even on the road

                                                                    GL PEOPLE
                                                                    Comment
                                                                    • SmittyZ28
                                                                      SBR MVP
                                                                      • 09-04-12
                                                                      • 1469

                                                                      #104
                                                                      I don't normally bet or track college plays but I like West Virginia tonight +14 for 1.5 units
                                                                      Comment
                                                                      • 44 Mag
                                                                        BARRELED IN @ SBR!
                                                                        • 10-14-13
                                                                        • 34490

                                                                        #105
                                                                        I like your Patriot's play. Have a tease on them myself, amongst other wagers. BOL tonight.
                                                                        Comment
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