TK & Stackin 2014 NFL Thread

RollinDo · 11-02-14, 11:38 PM

I've played 4 prime time Overs and only 1 went Over.
I noticed there had been a trend and then started playing them only to see Unders hit suddenly...so gave up on Overs.

Tommy Karate · 11-03-14, 07:59 PM

Originally posted by No coincidences

Have you ever seen anything like this (prime time overs in 2014) in any sport? I haven't.

way back in the day i do recall home teams and overs hitting frequently....

StackinGreen · 11-04-14, 10:22 AM

Having to bust 32 points in the 2H to kill the under? That's why I middled. Giants had no business scoring more than 10 in that game. Outside of Davis the Colts D is porous but methinks it's more like that on the road. After the Eli fumble the game was over otherwise it stays under. Isn't prime time now about 70% over and like (was it firekill or rollin) someone said, most start slow and then crush in the 2H. Exception Pitt/Bal which was just bonkers all the way around.

firekillex · 11-04-14, 12:17 PM

ive been cashing out on overs all year, probably 7-0 on thursday night or monday night games
typically the games do start a bit slow and tend to become more of a shootout in the 2nd half
even when the score was 13-3 at half for the colts i honestly wasnt sweating it to much, the only thing that couldve screwed it over was Elis terrible play, but you can tell the colts kind of let off the gas towards the end on the defensive side. Ill probably be on the over for browns-bengals this thursday to haha 44.5 is a decent number

StackinGreen · 11-04-14, 05:53 PM

Tommy, look at my scenario post and tell me what you think

KRIT · 11-04-14, 08:18 PM

What do you guys think of the Thursday game? Seems like a good spot to take Cincy at less than a TD.

Saints should smoke the Niners. Two teams going in the opposite direction.

Tommy Karate · 11-04-14, 08:39 PM

Originally posted by Tommy Karate

Week 8: 11-11 (+4.6u)
N2: 1-0
N3: 1-2
N6: 0-1
N7: 3-1
N8: 0-1
N12: 1-0
N14: 0-1
Non-Autos: 8-5 (+13u)
=================
NFL YTD: 80-69 (+23.9u)
N1: 1-0N2: 1-2
N3: 2-5
N4: 0-1
N6: 0-1
N7: 9-5
N8: 3-2
N12: 5-3
N13: 3-1
N14: 4-3
Non-Auto: 58-50 (+25.9u)

Week 9: 7-8 (-5.6u)
N1: 1-0
N3: 0-1
N5: 0-1
N7: 2-2
N8: 0-1
N12: 0-1
N13: 2-0
N14: 1-0
Non-Auto: 3-5 (-1.2u)
====================
NFL YTD: 87-77 (+18.3u)
N1: 2-0
N2: 1-2
N3: 2-6
N4: 0-1
N5: 0-1
N6: 0-1
N7: 11-7
N8: 3-3
N12: 5-4
N13: 5-1
N14: 5-3
Non-Auto: 61-55 (+24.7u)

Tommy Karate · 11-04-14, 10:03 PM

Sunday 11.9

(7u) Packers -7 (N5, N8)
(3u) Over Packers/Bears 53
(2u) Under KC/Bills 41.5
(3u) Lions -2.5/-120 (N8)
(2u) Steelers -4.5 (N7)
(6u) Bucs (N1); NBY
(2u) Titans (N7); NBY
(2u) Raiders (N13); NBY

Tommy Karate · 11-04-14, 10:07 PM

Originally posted by KRIT

What do you guys think of the Thursday game? Seems like a good spot to take Cincy at less than a TD.

Saints should smoke the Niners. Two teams going in the opposite direction.

should be the classic Thursday night blowout; why fight it?

Tommy Karate · 11-04-14, 10:10 PM

Thursday 11.6

(3u) Bengals -5.5/-120 (N12)

StackinGreen · 11-05-14, 10:38 AM

Originally posted by Tommy Karate

should be the classic Thursday night blowout; why fight it?

Originally posted by Tommy Karate

Thursday 11.6

(3u) Bengals -5.5/-120 (N12)

Totally agree.

StackinGreen · 11-05-14, 10:41 AM

Sorry boys, was at Santa Anita and had no TV or internet.

Green Bay -6.5, (-125), 9 units

Cincinnati -5.5, 7 units

Add more later

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18-21 straights
3-8 teasers
1-1 parlays
3-2-1 2H

-66.8 units

Tommy Karate · 11-06-14, 06:06 PM

what do you think about this total stackin and crew? i think were seeing the NTV public over movement in full affect; gonna wait till this gets closer to kickoff and will play the under small...

KRIT · 11-06-14, 06:46 PM

I don't know about the total but check the weather tk, I saw an on field report about an hour ago and it was really windy. Sounds like there could be some rain and wind tonight. Got to think that helps Cinci since they can run the ball and Cleveland can't.

No coincidences · 11-06-14, 07:14 PM

Originally posted by KRIT

I don't know about the total but check the weather tk, I saw an on field report about an hour ago and it was really windy. Sounds like there could be some rain and wind tonight. Got to think that helps Cinci since they can run the ball and Cleveland can't.

When weather becomes a factor, I think it's best to just forget about the total altogether. Hard to cap how wind and/or rain and/or snow affects a game relative to points scored.

Tommy Karate · 11-06-14, 08:53 PM

i never got the total in; i love unders when its windy; greater chance for missed FG's and more runs.

KRIT · 11-06-14, 08:59 PM

Originally posted by Tommy Karate

i never got the total in; i love unders when its windy; greater chance for missed FG's and more runs.

It just showed. Cinci passes up a 50 yard FG and went for it on 4th and 10.

Tommy Karate · 11-06-14, 09:20 PM

i guess we all forgot about andy dalton under the lights; anyone have the ats record of this bum?

RollinDo · 11-06-14, 10:42 PM

What a pathetic showing for Bengals

Had a nice parlay with the ML and 2 nba winners from last night.
Was excited to be cashing a parlay this early in the week.
Gotta think of Plan B now with college football, nba, and nfl.

No coincidences · 11-06-14, 11:36 PM

Originally posted by Tommy Karate

i guess we all forgot about andy dalton under the lights; anyone have the ats record of this bum?

That was quite honestly one of the worst performances I've seen from an NFL QB in the last 10 years.

Tommy Karate · 11-06-14, 11:45 PM

Originally posted by No coincidences

That was quite honestly one of the worst performances I've seen from an NFL QB in the last 10 years.

am i right about dalton being a primetime goat?

No coincidences · 11-06-14, 11:56 PM

Originally posted by Tommy Karate

am i right about dalton being a primetime goat?

I don't think it's limited to prime time.

The dude's a loser. Period.

StackinGreen · 11-07-14, 10:08 AM

Originally posted by No coincidences

When weather becomes a factor, I think it's best to just forget about the total altogether. Hard to cap how wind and/or rain and/or snow affects a game relative to points scored.

Yep.

StackinGreen · 11-07-14, 10:09 AM

Originally posted by Tommy Karate

am i right about dalton being a primetime goat?

Originally posted by No coincidences

I don't think it's limited to prime time.

The dude's a loser. Period.

That was painful. We got Langed, and early. That game ended up not even being close for the home team, and the road team hadn't won in at least 17 road divisional attempts ... wow

Tommy Karate · 11-09-14, 12:45 PM

Originally posted by Tommy Karate

Sunday 11.9

(7u) Packers -7 (N5, N8)
(3u) Over Packers/Bears 53
(2u) Under KC/Bills 41.5
(3u) Lions -2.5/-120 (N8)
(2u) Steelers -4.5 (N7)
(6u) Bucs (N1); NBY
(2u) Raiders (N13); NBY

(1u) Under Cowboys 45.5
(1u) 49ers +6
(4u) Titans +11 (N7, N13)
(3u) Bills -125 (N8)

booked TB @ +3.5

Tommy Karate · 11-09-14, 04:08 PM

booked raiders @ +13.5/-120
(2u) Over Broncos 50/-120

Tommy Karate · 11-09-14, 04:18 PM

(3u) Seahawks -9
(2u) Under Cards 45

Tommy Karate · 11-09-14, 08:17 PM

(5u) Over Packers 52.5/-120 (8u total)

KRIT · 11-09-14, 08:59 PM

Where's Meader? We need the avy!

meader99 · 11-09-14, 09:00 PM

Same old cutty

Tommy Karate · 11-09-14, 09:44 PM

i cannot believe you passed on your boy Discount Double Check in this spot, SG

meader99 · 11-09-14, 09:50 PM

Originally posted by Tommy Karate

i cannot believe you passed on your boy Discount Double Check in this spot, SG

He didnt....he's got 9 units on it

Tommy Karate · 11-09-14, 10:02 PM

cutler is a disaster; killing me in my 2 QB league.

meader99 · 11-09-14, 10:06 PM

Originally posted by Tommy Karate

cutler is a disaster; killing me in my 2 QB league.

He's a mental midget when he plays the Pack

StackinGreen · 11-10-14, 06:14 PM

Originally posted by StackinGreen

Sorry boys, was at Santa Anita and had no TV or internet.

Green Bay -6.5, (-125), 9 units

Add more later

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I have been traveling without internet lately, sorry boys. Updated recorded is

19-22, down 65.5 u