I also tailed the niners 2H and I had it as a push. Just trying to make sure you have great records dbear13 
Keep up the good work!
Keep up the good work!
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I appreciate you double checking!!!! I made a note in the spread sheet too. Thanks!!Originally posted by diablozzI also tailed the niners 2H and I had it as a push. Just trying to make sure you have great records dbear13
Keep up the good work!Comment -
Tonight's plays would be Sea 1Q,1H,2H, and FG (yes they qualified across the board). The 1Q and 1H seem to be hitting better than the 2H and FG, so you may only want to play those. GLComment -
What is the FG?Comment -
I really like this thread. I make some good money on the 1st half lines. Keep them coming!!!!Comment -
full gameOriginally posted by Tigers1230Comment -
Are these based off opening lines?Comment -
Results are based off of closing linesOriginally posted by Tigers1230Comment -
I'll keep them coming as long as people want themOriginally posted by Tigers1230
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Went 6-1 yesterday using some of the pics!!!
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AWESOME!!! Glad my stuff could help!!!Originally posted by charlieg70Went 6-1 yesterday using some of the pics!!!
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1st quarter was a loss and the 1st half isn't looking good.Comment -
Seattle looked like crap the 1st half. I can't believe they did not cover 1Q or 1H!!!Comment -
Lets cash em in this week!
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So where are the picks? I've been looking forward to this post all week.Comment -
Ou est DBear???
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U can use the matchup numbers from week 8. Dallas, New Orleans and Oakland all look like good 1h playsComment -
Hey guys!!!
So sorry for the late post...Crazy week. I am posting my picks based off of the data as usual. I will not post streakers and sliders as these are now paid picks from the guy that I found the original stats from. The info I am getting for my picks are not his and none of the info I use are part of his paid stats. So, I guess it's safe for me to post my picks ;-) I put the picks in a spread sheet to make it easier to see since someone said it was difficult to see the picks. Also, remember the FG and 2H plays where not performing well just the 1Q and 1H plays showed promise.
GL!!!
1Q 1H FG 2H CIN KC CIN IND NO NO SEA SEA SD SD NO TEN OAK CAR SD CHI IND OAK IND CLE DAL IND TEN DAL GB TEN GB Comment -
Just saw the thread. Im on the Colts 1q & 1h. Hope they hit for us my man!!
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Bad week for my streakers & sliders ladies & gents. It was due for a bad week...
I'll give you my gem of the week for tomorrow night:
#NFL GEM = teams playing back-to-back Primetime games are 1-15 ATS L16 situations / GB Packers in situation this Mon. Night -vs- CHI BearsComment -
NiceComment -
And for those who don't know - I'm the same guy who gave you the Umpire UNDER streakers.Comment -
ATS by Quarter is here on SBR.Originally posted by Mako-SBRHe didn't, he cribbed them from some clown who thinks he's a trend tout.
Laughable conclusions on his page, he hasn't learned that correlation does not always equal causation, meaning let's say that when Tony Romo gets out of bed on the left side that the Cowboys are 11-4 on those days, but when he gets out on the right side of the bed they're 3-10...so our boy Gil here sees the correlation there and thinks he should now "track" what side of the bed our boy Romo gets up on each Sunday to predict wins/losses...despite the two events having nothing to do with the outcome of that day's game and being purely random.
"GiL" - his twitter feed
Still, wish I could find where that Gil guy is getting them though, because I've wanted to take advantage of weaker 1H lines more than just the usual halftime play and do it Q by Q for a long time. No luck so far, guy must be manually entering them himself each week.
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LoLOriginally posted by Mako-SBRLike this, because there are a few other systems on the board that are confirming what this one is, which is that an object in motion tends to stay in motion...
Meaning this season particularly we're seeing a lot of people do well with 1H o/u and ATS wins moving into a second half o/u and ATS outcome that continues what was happening in the first half of the game.
Pixster's posts are an example of this, he uses his own eyeball test, and plays the trend at halftime for 2H ATS & o/u (even if the 2H plays are completely counter to what he thought would happen in the first half) and has been above 60% this year consistently.
Most public bettors assume that "halftime adjustments" will yield big changes, i.e., a losing team coming back in 2H, or that the if total first half points are higher than the first half over that it must "calm down" in the second half and go under, due to the "team in the lead sitting on the ball during the fourth quarter".
Both assumptions have been proven to be wrong in recent years, the exact opposite acutally, with teams losing ATS at halftime going on to lose even bigger the second half, and first half overs & unders leading to second half overs & unders as well.
Like this Dbear, keep it up!Comment -
And sorry to DBEAR13 - I read this thing backwards. Thanks for giving me credit. Now carry on and do what you do.
Need some help - send me
A message and ill shoot you my email.Comment -
And this Mako-SBR guy is just a jealous idiot. Never did I have a Tony Romo trend like that. I am good at predicting situations when a player or team will have a LetDown or BounceBack based off recent stats and situations. It's worked more then 70% out of all the ones I've tracked and wagered on.
So pipe down. Don't need to be called a clown from a jealous clown who got all butt hurt because I now get paid for my work.
My "clown trends" are now hitting @ 67% over 100 posted this year.Comment -
Late night venting on my part. All you guys enjoy. DBear13 is behind the controls now.
You know where to find me if you need anything else.Comment -
Wrong. No idea who you were before this thread, or after, just that you have absolutely no clue....no clue whatsoever....what the difference is between causation and correlation when it comes to statistics and why something does, or does not, have anything to do with a potential outcome.Originally posted by GiLmo574
That makes you basically a wanna-be, or a clown to be more specific.
If you can make a living at it though, hey, all the more power to you. If anyone "hates" on a tout that's ridiculous. I have no problem paying for good data or a pick myself, if the simulation or statistical trend makes sense and is based on strong scientific method.
From back-reading your MLB, NFL, and NBA trends on your twitter feed, and then comparing them to the outcomes that happened, that's not you Gil..."67%" fluke or not. Best of luck.Comment -
I have plenty of strong statistical trends. Scientific methods are only a sure thing when you're building rockets, or a space ship.
Apologies for the way my message was first handled. I was a bit unhappy finding this thread thinking my work was being credited by someone else. I reread it and its just another gambler helping out a forum of gamblers.
Good luck. Cheers.Comment -
Thanks for the tip and the easy $$Originally posted by GiLmo574Comment -
#GiLzGotYaOriginally posted by bveasey1Comment -
Week 9 was not as good as the first 2 weeks. Let's see how week 10 treats us!!!
Week 9 Results
ATS Trends1Q 1H FG 2H L-CIN -1/2 L-KC -3
L-CIN -3
W-IND -3 1/2
W-NO -1/2
L-NO -3
L-SEA -14 ½
W-SEA -14
W-SD +1/2
W-SD +1/2
NO-6 push W-TEN -2 1/2
L-OAK -1/2 L-CAR -6
L-SD +1 CHI pk push L-IND-1/2 L-OAK -1/2
W-IND -1 W-CLE +1/2 L-DAL -8 1/2 L-IND -1/2
W-TEN -3 L-DAL -6 1/2
L-GB -10
L-TEN – 1 1/2
L-GB -7
Week 9
2-3; 40%; -1.3
YTD
11-7; 61%; 3.3 unitsWeek 9
2-8; 20%;-6.8 units
YTD
12-11; 52%; -.1 unitsWeek 9
2-5-1; 19%; -3.5 units
YTD
4-12-1; 25%; -9.2 unitsWeek 9
3-0-1; 100%; +3 units
YTD
7-5-1; +1.5 units
Overall YTD (since week 7)
34-35-2; 49%; -4.5 unitsComment -
Thursday night play would be Vikings 1Q
GLComment -
MIN Viqueens are 2-2 (1Q) ATS L4
????Comment -
Hey Gil...I'm looking at all season average, that's why it was a play...No filtersOriginally posted by GiLmo574Comment
