2013-14 NFL picks

[2daBank]

Coin' I read in a previous thread you actually quit betting?! That's a surprise to me, I've followed your threads topically and always seemed like you knew what you were talking about within the last years. I would not say I'm "in tune" with this forum as a whole, esp. with all its details, but I'm surprised by that action, seems like you were a winner. In any case good luck, and if you did quit - the same, good luck.

NC just has to learn when to take a break,, he will figure it out, that why i usually do my chill time after the baseball all-star break then get back at it mid august (actually later this yr), that way im primed and ready for the nfl and the 3 month grind of ncaa hoops. then another break till i start lightly with 1st month of bases and get serious for the nba playoffs as they always a good bankroll builder..many years ago i tried going all the way thru like NC and found myself burnt around this time or a month later when college hoops grind was in full effect,he just gotta work on his timing as this a great part of the nfl season where you can trust more numbers and hopefully have a decent handle on things (which clearly he does), that iron only stays hot a few more weeks as im not a huge fan of weeks 16 and 17..

[No coincidences]

like i was saying, dont know how you come up with leans and dont play them.. im disciplined when i want break but that cause i turn myself off from this world...

Just hard to break the habit of checking SBRodds and such. I've always said give me a fresh set of lines over actually watching the games after they kick off any day of the week. That's what I love most -- breaking down games and sides.

Yesterday was actually the hardest day of the eight, because I liked all four of those games a lot. Sure enough....

Coin' I read in a previous thread you actually quit betting?! That's a surprise to me, I've followed your threads topically and always seemed like you knew what you were talking about within the last years. I would not say I'm "in tune" with this forum as a whole, esp. with all its details, but I'm surprised by that action, seems like you were a winner. In any case good luck, and if you did quit - the same, good luck.

Yeah, I had a really bizarre run last week where I lost about 40 units (mostly college football). One weird beat after another. So I pulled the plug and cashed out. Was just burned out. Still posting here and giving a few thoughts on plays, but not putting nearly as much time into it as I was (obviously since I'm not betting). It's a lot more enjoyable to not stress over bets, but it's also hard to pass on a card like yesterday.

[No coincidences]

NC just has to learn when to take a break,, he will figure it out, that why i usually do my chill time after the baseball all-star break then get back at it mid august (actually later this yr), that way im primed and ready for the nfl and the 3 month grind of ncaa hoops. then another break till i start lightly with 1st month of bases and get serious for the nba playoffs as they always a good bankroll builder..many years ago i tried going all the way thru like NC and found myself burnt around this time or a month later when college hoops grind was in full effect,he just gotta work on his timing as this a great part of the nfl season where you can trust more numbers and hopefully have a decent handle on things (which clearly he does), that iron only stays hot a few more weeks as im not a huge fan of weeks 16 and 17..

I just couldn't handle four sports at once. Third straight year I was juggling NCAAB, NBA, NFL and CFB at the same time, and third straight year the numbers started to deteriorate.

[2daBank]

I just couldn't handle four sports at once. Third straight year I was juggling NCAAB, NBA, NFL and CFB at the same time, and third straight year the numbers started to deteriorate.

makes sense.. i really put very little into ncaa foots anymore, have enough ppl i respect i can piggy back a few and sprinkle in some of my square specials which seem to work ok in that sport.. i luv college hoops but in all reality im better off not taking it real serious until conf play as it mostly numbers for me and not enough early on to feel great about it.. i might bet 30 nba reg season games a year, on xmas only cause that only thing to do, occasionally a play here and there but i have no idea how anyone caps that sport all season? i know guys that good at it but i never been one of them, now the playoffs a different story as nba is square tastic when it comes to playoffs!

[Tommy Karate]

4-0. Figures.

leans today NC?

[No coincidences]

Think the Jets (ML), Bengals (ML), Bears, Rams and Texans cover today, though there were much more attractive numbers for all three earlier in the week. Just taking a look for the first time this morning.

[YouHave2outs]

Good job, No coincidences.

[Rose']

So what would be your best bet?

[No coincidences]

So what would be your best bet?

Nothing really sticks out as huge play worthy. I'd play conservatively this week if I were you. Plus, it all depends on the # you can get. For instance, if you can get Texans at +9, take it and pay the juice. If you can get Browns at less than 7, take it. Rams were great at 10, but 7.5 is dicey. Bengals aren't nearly as attractive now that they aren't at a + number. Jets ML is OK at -115 or so, but you're backing a team starting Sims at QB now.

Just nothing really outstanding on this card.

[Rose']

Yea i probably just make some have time plays. enjoy the 1st half and try and get a better number

[No coincidences]

Yea i probably just make some have time plays. enjoy the 1st half and try and get a better number

If I had to rank the best early plays, I'd go Jets, Browns, Texans, Bears in that order.

4 p.m. I'd say Lambs, Bungals, Broncos.

[No coincidences]

Check back before gametime and see if Pinny continues to juice JAX at a "better number" than the other books. This might be a DD Browns win.

[Shark]

pinny always knows

[YouHave2outs]

Nothing really sticks out as huge play worthy. I'd play conservatively this week if I were you. Plus, it all depends on the # you can get. For instance, if you can get Texans at +9, take it and pay the juice. If you can get Browns at less than 7, take it. Rams were great at 10, but 7.5 is dicey. Bengals aren't nearly as attractive now that they aren't at a + number. Jets ML is OK at -115 or so, but you're backing a team starting Sims at QB now.

Just nothing really outstanding on this card.

even in retirement, the man drops gems.

[No coincidences]

I haven't capped any of these games, Rose' and Shark. Just looking at the lines for the first time all week this morning.

[ROFLcopter]

No Coin, any idea why the Jets line is dropping so much?

[No coincidences]

Sims starting at QB for Jets. I don't think that will matter.

Hammer the Browns fellas.

[ROFLcopter]

Pretty sure Geno is starting, Coin. Where are you getting this info?

[No coincidences]

http://forum.sbrforum.com/nfl-betting/2760270-wild-card-plays.html

6-1, +13.04U wild card round
62-43, +45.74U thread

[No coincidences]

Like the Saints and maybe Carolina this weekend. No real opinion on the other two games.

[Tommy Karate]

Like the Saints and maybe Carolina this weekend. No real opinion on the other two games.

so disciplined...

[No coincidences]

so disciplined...

If the Pats drop below 7 I might consider it. Doubt it though.

[No coincidences]

Crunching numbers, I come up with the over between SF/CAR (with the side being a virtual toss-up), Saints and the under, Pats and and Bolts (no opinions on those two totals).

[Tommy Karate]

gonna be interesting seeing the saints try to run their offense in that rain tomorrow. i dont see it going as bad as last time, but still a dd win for Seattle imo..

[No coincidences]

gonna be interesting seeing the saints try to run their offense in that rain tomorrow. i dont see it going as bad as last time, but still a dd win for Seattle imo..

Saw that forecast. Wow. No play for me now given the Saints' struggles on the ground.

[No coincidences]

SEA -8 (3.45U to win 3)
SEA TT over 27 (2.1U to win 2)
SEA -2.5/NE -0.5 tease (2.4U to win 2)

[No coincidences]

Brees is embarrassing himself.

[No coincidences]

SEA -8 (3.45U to win 3)

Well that sucked.

[No coincidences]

SEA -8 (3.45U to win 3)
SEA TT over 27 (2.1U to win 2)
SEA -2.5/NE -0.5 tease (2.4U to win 2)

1-1-1, -0.1U today
63-44, +45.64U thread

[IllyPhilly[DOC]]

Sea getting back doored so wack!

[No coincidences]

Sea getting back doored so wack!

Yeah, that sucked. It happens. That's the NFL for you.

[No coincidences]

CAR +3 (-125) (2.5U to win 2)
CAR/SF over 41 (1.09U to win 1)
CAR TT over 20.5 (1.1U to win 1)
CAR +7.5/SD +14.5 tease (1.2U to win 1)

[No coincidences]

CAR +3 (-125) (2.5U to win 2)
CAR/SF over 41 (1.09U to win 1)
CAR TT over 20.5 (1.1U to win 1)
CAR +7.5/SD +14.5 tease (1.2U to win 1)

SD/DEN under 55.5 (2.2U to win 2)

[2daBank]

Good looking card nc..
Gl today

[No coincidences]

Good looking card nc..
Gl today

Good luck, Bank. I'm not fully convinced that Carolina can win here, but I'll take my chances with the +3 on the home dog. Think it'll be a close game, and I'm with you re: the scoring. Not that I think it will fly over, but I do think at least 20 from both sides is a distinct possibility.