2013-14 NFL picks

**No coincidences** · 10-27-13, 08:03 PM

Originally posted by Tommy Karate

sick day....congrats

Thanks TK.

**No coincidences** · 10-27-13, 09:02 PM

MIN 2H +3.5 +110 (2U to win 2.2)

Just for some action. Fishy shit at the end of the half. Makes me wonder.

**No coincidences** · 10-27-13, 09:12 PM

The Vikings have one receiver to cover. Jordy Nelson. That's it.

Apparently that's too difficult for them to comprehend.

**Potentate** · 10-27-13, 09:24 PM

Kind of like the Cowboys and Megatron earlier today...

**No coincidences** · 10-27-13, 09:34 PM

Rodgers is not human.

Well that, plus the Vikings are more or less as bad as JAX.

**Tommy Karate** · 10-27-13, 09:36 PM

if GB covers, you have to like the rams chances tomorrow. i mean nothing heavy, but its unusual for a public road fav to win on btb NTV games...it cant be this easy.

im pretty sure that a dd home dog within the division has historically done very well. any statistician out there that can confirm?

**No coincidences** · 10-27-13, 09:41 PM

Originally posted by Tommy Karate

if GB covers, you have to like the rams chances tomorrow. i mean nothing heavy, but its unusual for a public road fav to win on btb NTV games...it cant be this easy.

im pretty sure that a dd home dog within the division has historically done very well. any statistician out there that can confirm?

Agree. Though I'm having my doubts re: oddsmakers knowing WTF they're doing (especially on these totals, which are just burying them).

Pinny offered GB 2H -3.5 at + money. Completely baffled by that one.

**ChiLLx** · 10-27-13, 10:42 PM

Oddsmakers seem confused this year. The top echelon of the NFL is just far superior to the lower dregs of the league. They can't make teams like Jags +28 every game.

**italianbandit** · 10-27-13, 11:05 PM

Awesome day, was rooting for Det for you. Glad we hit Cle. I've made good money fading KC last few weeks.

**No coincidences** · 10-27-13, 11:48 PM

36-31, +25.6U thread

**r1kkie** · 10-28-13, 12:52 AM

Originally posted by No coincidences

Should've added to Arizona like I was going to, but I'll just take the sweep and be happy -- especially given the Lions miracle.

6-0, +14.9U today
36-30, +27.6U thread

Thanks for the plays! Keep this moneytrain going!

**2daBank** · 10-28-13, 01:17 AM

nice job bro..

**No coincidences** · 10-28-13, 09:45 AM

Originally posted by r1kkie

Thanks for the plays! Keep this moneytrain going!

Originally posted by 2daBank

nice job bro..

**No coincidences** · 10-28-13, 10:38 AM

OK, I'll bite at this number.

StL +13.5 (3.3U to win 3)

**No coincidences** · 10-28-13, 11:24 AM

SEA/StL under 44 (2.2U to win 2)
SEA TT under 27.5 +100 (1U to win 1)

I have this game capped in the 24-13 range. Maybe I'm way off -- I don't know. I think the Rams DL can get to Wilson. Lynch does scare me against a bad StL run defense, but that supports the under more than anything else (as does Clemens vs. the SEA secondary).

I think StL can get a garbage TD for a late backdoor cover, though.

**Tommy Karate** · 10-28-13, 11:58 AM

Originally posted by No coincidences

OK, I'll bite at this number.

StL +13.5 (3.3U to win 3)

i can get 14 now....do i wait for 17.5? lol

why am i gonna do this to myself....oh yeah, cause its a *longterm* winning play...

ballsy 3u....im goin 1

**No coincidences** · 10-28-13, 12:47 PM

Originally posted by Tommy Karate

i can get 14 now....do i wait for 17.5? lol

why am i gonna do this to myself....oh yeah, cause its a *longterm* winning play...

ballsy 3u....im goin 1

It'll probably be 40-10 and we'll be left wondering WTF we were doing.

**2daBank** · 10-28-13, 12:57 PM

Originally posted by No coincidences

It'll probably be 40-10 and we'll be left wondering WTF we were doing.

na, sea wont score 40..unless it off turnovers and i dont think lambs will throw enough for that.. 10 is prob pretty accurate. actually think 13 for lambs, maybe 17 if they punch one more of those chances in instead of settle for fg.... i dunno if that be enough to cover or not? tend to think it will be, not like sea is a offensive powerhouse, they should be able to run but think rams can handle the wrs.. much like rams in 13-17 point range think sea is 23-27ish, lean more toward 23 but i mean if ya can get 14 even my low for lambs and high for sea a push, if im right anyways, lol.. guess i should play the under cause 44 is my absolute high side and think i can get that now..

**No coincidences** · 10-28-13, 01:22 PM

Originally posted by 2daBank

na, sea wont score 40..unless it off turnovers and i dont think lambs will throw enough for that.. 10 is prob pretty accurate. actually think 13 for lambs, maybe 17 if they punch one more of those chances in instead of settle for fg.... i dunno if that be enough to cover or not? tend to think it will be, not like sea is a offensive powerhouse, they should be able to run but think rams can handle the wrs.. much like rams in 13-17 point range think sea is 23-27ish, lean more toward 23 but i mean if ya can get 14 even my low for lambs and high for sea a push, if im right anyways, lol.. guess i should play the under cause 44 is my absolute high side and think i can get that now..

I can see the Rams' DL giving Wilson some problems, too.

**2daBank** · 10-28-13, 01:32 PM

Originally posted by No coincidences

I can see the Rams' DL giving Wilson some problems, too.

no doubt,,was actually gonna say that as well, not like they unfamiliar with playing the him and keap types..just sux game 5 is tonight cause those tackles are not that good, if rams had the benefit of crowd noise id really like it..maybe the cheap ass seat offer will lure some more ppl in, just not sure as i said i dont know anyone that would take a free ticket to this gm..

**No coincidences** · 10-28-13, 05:53 PM

Originally posted by No coincidences

SEA/StL under 44 (2.2U to win 2)
SEA TT under 27.5 +100 (1U to win 1)

I have this game capped in the 24-13 range. Maybe I'm way off -- I don't know. I think the Rams DL can get to Wilson. Lynch does scare me against a bad StL run defense, but that supports the under more than anything else (as does Clemens vs. the SEA secondary).

I think StL can get a garbage TD for a late backdoor cover, though.

Adding a unit to the under 44 (-110) and the SEA TT under, now at 28.5 (+110).

**No coincidences** · 10-28-13, 06:51 PM

Adding a unit to Rams +14 (+105).

**No coincidences** · 10-28-13, 09:32 PM

StL ML live +260 (1U to win 2.6)

**2daBank** · 10-28-13, 11:19 PM

should have been betting these instead of fukkin cards..under was easy and rams was right play,, blinded by cards GM5, really wish that gm would have been 2marro, lol...nice job nc...just stupid way rams played it at end but this how they were last yr when they wernt playing like dogshit, terrible in the red zone. terrible playcalling, terrible execution..

**No coincidences** · 10-28-13, 11:21 PM

4-1, +8.15U tonight
40-32, +33.75U thread

So close to a clean sweep. Rams should've won that game.

**No coincidences** · 10-28-13, 11:22 PM

Originally posted by 2daBank

should have been betting these instead of fukkin cards..under was easy and rams was right play,, blinded by cards GM5, really wish that gm would have been 2marro, lol...nice job nc...just stupid way rams played it at end but this how they were last yr when they wernt playing like dogshit, terrible in the red zone. terrible playcalling, terrible execution..

Thanks, Bank. Of course, I gave almost all of it back betting on the Cards. LOL.

**r1kkie** · 10-29-13, 01:03 AM

Originally posted by No coincidences

4-1, +8.15U tonight
40-32, +33.75U thread

So close to a clean sweep. Rams should've won that game.

Thanks again! Great work!

**Tommy Karate** · 10-29-13, 09:54 AM

killing it as usual in pro sports.

**YoumadB** · 10-29-13, 11:55 AM

I ll see what you have in store for us this upcoming week

**No coincidences** · 10-31-13, 05:57 PM

Miami +3 +110 (2U to win 2.2)

**r1kkie** · 11-01-13, 01:22 AM

Originally posted by No coincidences

Miami +3 +110 (2U to win 2.2)

Nice call!

**No coincidences** · 11-01-13, 11:18 AM

Originally posted by r1kkie

Nice call!

Thanks.

1-0, +2.2U last night
41-32, +35.95U thread

Looking at Jets and Texans this week. Nothing else really sticking out much.

**EXhoosier10** · 11-02-13, 11:31 AM

What are your thoughts on this indy/hou game?? My only methodology of betting NFL is betting against lines that look like free money (ie pats -3 @ jets). My only actual stat knowledge comes from DVOA power rankigns at Football outsiders. Indy is a top 5 team by FO stats and Hou is bottom 5, but the IND -1 line screams trap, especially with Foster questionable. I know you lean Houston, but what points you in that direction?

**2daBank** · 11-02-13, 11:34 AM

Ex we have some decent discussion about that gm going on in my thread, feel free to stop on by and join in..

**No coincidences** · 11-02-13, 09:59 PM

Originally posted by EXhoosier10

What are your thoughts on this indy/hou game?? My only methodology of betting NFL is betting against lines that look like free money (ie pats -3 @ jets). My only actual stat knowledge comes from DVOA power rankigns at Football outsiders. Indy is a top 5 team by FO stats and Hou is bottom 5, but the IND -1 line screams trap, especially with Foster questionable. I know you lean Houston, but what points you in that direction?

See Banker's posts.

I have nothing to add beyond that. He dissected it beautifully.