2013-14 NFL picks

[Lombatso]

I didn't see it last night but wow NC going with teasers now lol.. I'm deff trailing that tease.. Love to see you back NC good luck everyone

[No coincidences]

I didn't see it last night but wow NC going with teasers now lol.. I'm deff trailing that tease.. Love to see you back NC good luck everyone

Good luck. Nothing big today -- just some action to keep my interest.

[2daBank]

Good luck, Bank. I'm not fully convinced that Carolina can win here, but I'll take my chances with the +3 on the home dog. Think it'll be a close game, and I'm with you re: the scoring. Not that I think it will fly over, but I do think at least 20 from both sides is a distinct possibility.

I wrote basically the same thing and just teased panthers to +7.5, really not sure who wins but think it 1 possession either way...

[Tommy Karate]

CAR +3 (-125) (2.5U to win 2)
CAR/SF over 41 (1.09U to win 1)
CAR TT over 20.5 (1.1U to win 1)
CAR +7.5/SD +14.5 tease (1.2U to win 1)

how much would bovada charge you to get to 3.5? another 30 cents?

[No coincidences]

how much would bovada charge you to get to 3.5? another 30 cents?

Yeah, something like that.

Well, sCam buried me and now I'm scrambling.

SD/DEN 1H under 27.5 +105 (1U to win 1.05)

[No coincidences]

2-4, -2.84U today
65-48, +42.8U thread

Fvcking Cam.

[amrit]

coiner, who do you like next week?

[italianbandit]

Stay away from SF next week, they will have a very hard time. Unless the refs give them an edge they are in trouble.

[PapaDBets]

Stay away from SF next week, they will have a very hard time. Unless the refs give them an edge they are in trouble.

Judging from your avatar you're a Niners fan right? What do you think will give the Niners trouble next week? Just curious as id love to get an opinion on this game from someone who is more familiar with the team than I am...

[Tommy Karate]

Stay away from SF next week, they will have a very hard time. Unless the refs give them an edge they are in trouble.

disagree....too many weapons on offense for SF and obviously a great defense. i know the early sharp money has been on sea, but my mind is set and play booked on this one. they just dealt with a great defense today and are clearly fine playing away from home. sea has had a few games at home this year where they were vulnerable. gore and hunter the keys next week....even if harvin plays, hes not even close to being a major factor...

im not even going to watch the 1st qtr, as im sure the 12th man will get sea out in front early...when things settle down, skill sets and experience should take over...

[trobin31]

im not even going to watch the 1st qtr, as im sure the 12th man will get sea out in front early...when things settle down, skill sets and experience should take over...

Are you suggesting a highly probable early 1st Q lead for Seattle? If so I wrote it done.

[No coincidences]

Like Denver and SF this week.

[No coincidences]

disagree....too many weapons on offense for SF and obviously a great defense. i know the early sharp money has been on sea, but my mind is set and play booked on this one. they just dealt with a great defense today and are clearly fine playing away from home. sea has had a few games at home this year where they were vulnerable. gore and hunter the keys next week....even if harvin plays, hes not even close to being a major factor...

im not even going to watch the 1st qtr, as im sure the 12th man will get sea out in front early...when things settle down, skill sets and experience should take over...

Agree. And Harvin being out is going to hurt. Wilson is going to have to beat the Niners with more than just his legs and handing the ball off to Lynch.

Only thing that concerns me, again, is SF's vulnerability in their OL and without their stud FB.

[PapaDBets]

disagree....too many weapons on offense for SF and obviously a great defense. i know the early sharp money has been on sea, but my mind is set and play booked on this one. they just dealt with a great defense today and are clearly fine playing away from home. sea has had a few games at home this year where they were vulnerable. gore and hunter the keys next week....even if harvin plays, hes not even close to being a major factor...

im not even going to watch the 1st qtr, as im sure the 12th man will get sea out in front early...when things settle down, skill sets and experience should take over...

disagree....too many weapons on offense for SF and obviously a great defense. i know the early sharp money has been on sea, but my mind is set and play booked on this one. they just dealt with a great defense today and are clearly fine playing away from home. sea has had a few games at home this year where they were vulnerable. gore and hunter the keys next week....even if harvin plays, hes not even close to being a major factor...

im not even going to watch the 1st qtr, as im sure the 12th man will get sea out in front early...when things settle down, skill sets and experience should take over...

SF has plenty of weapons no doubt, but I think comparing Carolina's D to Seattle's is a mistake here since the talent in the secondary for Seattle is so vastly superior to that of Carolina. Look at who Crabtree, VD and Boldin will be matched up against this coming weekend (Sherman and Maxwell are terrific corners and Chancellor and Thomas are the best safety combo in the league) vs what they faced this weekend (Captain Munnerlyn, Mikell and Mitchell, etc). I'm also not sold on Kaep as a passer yet, as I think he has serious accuracy issues and his receivers make up for that. I think he'll have to be much more accurate this weekend than he was against Carolina if they'll have any shot of pulling off the upset. Also don't see Seattle losing their composure as badly as Carolina did with all of the dumb penalties they gave up, but the game will obviously be very intense so who knows.

[No coincidences]

SF has plenty of weapons no doubt, but I think comparing Carolina's D to Seattle's is a mistake here since the talent in the secondary for Seattle is so vastly superior to that of Carolina. Look at who Crabtree, VD and Boldin will be matched up against this coming weekend (Sherman and Maxwell are terrific corners and Chancellor and Thomas are the best safety combo in the league) vs what they faced this weekend (Captain Munnerlyn, Mikell and Mitchell, etc). I'm also not sold on Kaep as a passer yet, as I think he has serious accuracy issues and his receivers make up for that. I think he'll have to be much more accurate this weekend than he was against Carolina if they'll have any shot of pulling off the upset.

Good post. Agree that Seattle's D is light years ahead of Carolina's in the secondary.

[No coincidences]

DEN -215 (8.6U to win 4)
DEN -3.5 (-127) (2.54U to win 2)

[italianbandit]

Well good luck Tommy, I'll be rooting for you, I think if you feel it go for it, but no action for me. Of course anything can happen, after all there is a 30% chance of rain. After loving the Niners big the last 2 weeks, I really think this is where one needs to pull the brakes. I believe the Seahawk's secondary will be a difference maker and injuries to Tukuafo and Miller will be felt on the ground. They barely beat them at home, playing a sort of dis-interested Seattle team and needed a miracle run by Gore to do so. I'd love to be wrong.

[italianbandit]

Good post PapaD. Good luck on Denver No Coin, they are the right side.

[PapaDBets]

Good post. Agree that Seattle's D is light years ahead of Carolina's in the secondary.

Thanks NC. I'm torn on which side to take in this one considering that Russ is going to have to step it up in the passing game to win (as you mentioned before) and didnt look that sharp against NO this weekend. I'm tempted to take the Under even though its so low as my early feel is that both offenses will struggle big time

[italianbandit]

SF has plenty of weapons no doubt, but I think comparing Carolina's D to Seattle's is a mistake here since the talent in the secondary for Seattle is so vastly superior to that of Carolina. Look at who Crabtree, VD and Boldin will be matched up against this coming weekend (Sherman and Maxwell are terrific corners and Chancellor and Thomas are the best safety combo in the league) vs what they faced this weekend (Captain Munnerlyn, Mikell and Mitchell, etc). I'm also not sold on Kaep as a passer yet, as I think he has serious accuracy issues and his receivers make up for that. I think he'll have to be much more accurate this weekend than he was against Carolina if they'll have any shot of pulling off the upset. Also don't see Seattle losing their composure as badly as Carolina did with all of the dumb penalties they gave up, but the game will obviously be very intense so who knows.

Funny, we both wrote at the same time and wrote similar stuff.

[djmano]

Boldin scares me. He's so physical and knows all the veteran moves to gain an edge over the secondary. Guy seems to always rise to the occasion

[PapaDBets]

Funny, we both wrote at the same time and wrote similar stuff.

Hopefully that's a good sign! BOL to you this weekend.

[Tommy Karate]

SF has plenty of weapons no doubt, but I think comparing Carolina's D to Seattle's is a mistake here since the talent in the secondary for Seattle is so vastly superior to that of Carolina. Look at who Crabtree, VD and Boldin will be matched up against this coming weekend (Sherman and Maxwell are terrific corners and Chancellor and Thomas are the best safety combo in the league) vs what they faced this weekend (Captain Munnerlyn, Mikell and Mitchell, etc). I'm also not sold on Kaep as a passer yet, as I think he has serious accuracy issues and his receivers make up for that. I think he'll have to be much more accurate this weekend than he was against Carolina if they'll have any shot of pulling off the upset. Also don't see Seattle losing their composure as badly as Carolina did with all of the dumb penalties they gave up, but the game will obviously be very intense so who knows.

he's def not an accurate passer yet, but hes dynamic enough to hide that weakness with his legs.
agreed on seattle keeping their composure and having the better defense.
in no way do i see this being a double digit win for SF, but i do think theyre road tested enough to win in seattle and advance again.

[Tommy Karate]

DEN -215 (8.6U to win 4)
DEN -3.5 (-127) (2.54U to win 2)

you didnt want to wait on the forecast? what if its 20 degrees next week - still confident in manning over brady?

[PapaDBets]

he's def not an accurate passer yet, but hes dynamic enough to hide that weakness with his legs.
agreed on seattle keeping their composure and having the better defense.
in no way do i see this being a double digit win for SF, but i do think theyre road tested enough to win in seattle and advance again.

Can't argue there. Definitely should be a close game and one that can go either way. Niners definitely road tested and coming off a more physical contest last week vs Carolina than Seattle had against New Orleans.

[Tommy Karate]

Can't argue there. Definitely should be a close game and one that can go either way. Niners definitely road tested and coming off a more physical contest last week vs Carolina than Seattle had against New Orleans.

coming off a more physical game is usually a negative for the next week....i believe teams that played seattle this year lost around 9 of 14 games the following week....i always looked at the hawks as the most physical team in the league.

hopefully carolina doesnt have that same affect on SF

[italianbandit]

Good post PapaD. Good luck on Denver No Coin, they are the right side.

There was some type error as it said, funny, after the last sentence.

[No coincidences]

DEN -215 (8.6U to win 4)
DEN -3.5 (-127) (2.54U to win 2)

Adding:

DEN -210 (4.2U to win 2)
SEA -175 (7U to win 4)
SEA -3 (-130) (2.6U to win 2)

[leetreaper]

Adding:

DEN -210 (4.2U to win 2)
SEA -175 (7U to win 4)
SEA -3 (-130) (2.6U to win 2)

Ouch...squaresville tonight, let's find a middle ground.

[djmano]

Public is on ne and Sf.....sharptown is more like it

[No coincidences]

Adding:

DEN -210 (4.2U to win 2)
SEA -175 (7U to win 4)
SEA -3 (-130) (2.6U to win 2)

Making SEA ML 10.5U to win 6.

[Tommy Karate]

damn.....you switched your opinion. hate to see that.

[No coincidences]

damn.....you switched your opinion. hate to see that.

The more I dug into this matchup, I just couldn't get past the fact that SF has been awful in Seattle with Kaepernick at QB and the Niners have traveled a lot in the last two weeks and I think they become road weary as this game progresses.

[italianbandit]

Good luck Coinage, I can't see Denver losing today. The NFC game seems impossible to cap the more I study it.

[No coincidences]

Good luck Coinage, I can't see Denver losing today. The NFC game seems impossible to cap the more I study it.

I have Seattle 23-17. We'll see.

Good luck, IB.