NFL HalfTime Middling System

DiggityDaggityDo · 09-30-12, 02:05 PM

Originally posted by playr101

pay attn

-playr101

DiggityDaggityDo · 09-30-12, 04:30 PM

dc34we · 09-30-12, 04:30 PM

Any qualifiers?

catt0025 · 09-30-12, 04:33 PM

Miami +3.5 is a qualifier

JakeRyan · 09-30-12, 04:33 PM

Any of u guys have MIA +3.5 as a play?

nrok2118 · 09-30-12, 04:34 PM

miami

catt0025 · 09-30-12, 04:35 PM

Nothing for Den/Oak or Cin/Jax.

DiggityDaggityDo · 09-30-12, 04:37 PM

OK, Miami +4 -105 is is for me then.

Trackrec · 09-30-12, 04:37 PM

washington looking good. yes?
I know there's still time left

catt0025 · 09-30-12, 04:53 PM

nothing for GB/NO.

catt0025 · 09-30-12, 05:03 PM

Wash +3 2h is a play. (14 pt middle)

Catchn_Picks · 09-30-12, 05:15 PM

TY Catt

JakeRyan · 09-30-12, 06:16 PM

Tough weekend for the middling project.

DustyDiamond · 09-30-12, 06:17 PM

Can someone post the record of so far for middling?

Catchn_Picks · 09-30-12, 07:06 PM

Yea, I suspect the players made good on our plays. I gotta believe everybody thought that Arizona would come back in the second half except for contrarians like the system plays.

JakeRyan · 09-30-12, 09:06 PM

We all getting a qualifer for und23 NYG/PHI?

babyglock · 09-30-12, 09:07 PM

Is under 22.5 a play for eagles giants?

nrok2118 · 09-30-12, 09:07 PM

UNDER in the night game! Good defensive battle, both teams capable but like the under 22.5 (13.5 middle)

BOL

PlayTheSpread · 09-30-12, 09:10 PM

Yep...under is the play GL

dymd3z · 09-30-12, 09:14 PM

Seems like both D's will get tired and both teams start scoring. Both defenses have been playing hard in this 1h. Either way good luck.

SportNut · 09-30-12, 09:16 PM

Value is on over 2h... 46 game..1h scored 10..2h offered at 23..that's 33 offer..46-33=13 points value..that's my 2cents..Bol

nrok2118 · 09-30-12, 09:21 PM

Originally posted by SportNut

Value is on over 2h... 46 game..1h scored 10..2h offered at 23..that's 33 offer..46-33=13 points value..that's my 2cents..Bol

Haha this right here ^^^ is exactly what this system is about, fading this square idea

dominate. · 09-30-12, 10:29 PM

and yet...the "square" play wins yet again tonight

nrok2118 · 09-30-12, 10:32 PM

Originally posted by dominate.

and yet...the "square" play wins yet again tonight

yup, no such thing as easy money.

dymd3z · 09-30-12, 10:36 PM

Had to roll with the over on this one. Just knew the D's will wear down and offenses will put up some points in this 2H... Call me a square as well. Just sayin.
GL

SportNut · 09-30-12, 10:42 PM

Originally posted by nrok2118

Haha this right here ^^^ is exactly what this system is about, fading this square idea

It's called "value play". Square would be betting under cos low scoring 1h..one day you'll learn rookie...absorb and learn before calling people names..

SportNut · 09-30-12, 10:46 PM

Originally posted by nrok2118

yup, no such thing as easy money.

You damn right about no easy money..linemakers set total at 46 for a reason..

Andy Vix · 10-01-12, 08:06 AM

Tough weekend, after 4-1 last week including MNF results.

Method went 0-4 yesterday, however, it was also 6-1 before last weekend for a total of 10-5, I believe it's up approximately 3.5 units not on my CPU to tell

Hence all my bitching about proper money management and managing emotions.

Its a long year guys,find +EV spots, wager our unit. Manage the picks.

I am telling you right now to get used to losing weeks and feel good about it as long as your properly bankrolled and committed to sticking to the fundamentals laid out in earlier posts.

Hopefully there is a good number tonight.

catt0025 · 10-02-12, 08:06 PM

Hey Andy, how is the back test coming? Do we have an ETA on it or did I miss it earlier in the thread?

Andy Vix · 10-03-12, 10:09 AM

Originally posted by catt0025

Hey Andy, how is the back test coming? Do we have an ETA on it or did I miss it earlier in the thread?

Cat,

I have back tested back to the 2008 season fully, however, I don't have the complete results for 2006 & 2007 seasons so I was holding off publishing the back test, because in my opinion you would need to go back to 2006 at least to have some form of reasonable confidence in the results.

If you use our 13 number and adhere to ridged bank roll management you would be around 9% ROI for each of those seasons on avg so far.

I encourage everyone to do their own back test and do not take my results as gospel and I do not make claims that this method will be profitable long term and I do not encourage the use of this method outside of entertainment purposes only :P

I believe on3 has a post in the first couple of pages where his friends who introduced him to this method have been successful for the past several seasons, when using the "13" parameter.

As far as the back test, I want to back test more seasons but finding half time lines after the 2008 season has been tedious to say the least so its kind of on hold until I can find a more efficient way of bringing up that data.

on3 · 10-03-12, 12:23 PM

i think posting results through 2008 would be beneficial, even though you feel it is incomplete.

catt0025 · 10-03-12, 07:17 PM

Originally posted by on3

i think posting results through 2008 would be beneficial, even though you feel it is incomplete.

I agree. Would be extremely interesting to see.

grecycle99 · 10-04-12, 08:34 PM

I see east-carolina over 23.5?

Sandwich · 10-04-12, 08:37 PM

East Carolina Over 23.5 is a Play

Sandwich · 10-04-12, 09:05 PM

Arizona / STL -- No Play