Filmoz's NCAA BB 2011-2012

[dartmouthemcee]

Hate going against the MOZ but tonight I like:

MICHIGAN -4.5 1STH
MICHIGAN -7.5
ARKANSAS pick
CUSE -9


ahhhh but who da fukk cares anyway amiright?

[Filmoz]

NBA

Raptors O190.5 -108 3x

[Filmoz]

Hate going against the MOZ but tonight I like:

MICHIGAN -4.5 1STH
MICHIGAN -7.5
ARKANSAS pick
CUSE -9


ahhhh but who da fukk cares anyway amiright?

Come on now, we care buddy.

[dartmouthemcee]

so how do we feel about LSU +11.5 tonight

[Filmoz]

Nuggs U198 -107 3x

[Filmoz]

Clipps U203 -109 3x

[Pair of 5s Sir]

Just keeping the fans posted.

http://contests.sbrforum.com/filmoz-vs-pair-5s-sir-challenge-challenge-3178/

[Filmoz]

Wow fukk the nba tonite. Cant hit either over and then they cant miss when I go under

[mrtsummit]

No body cares sir. take your 40 percentile and enroll at Stephen F Austin

[Capybara]

Moz, luuuuv the new avatar, bro! Greatest. Show. Ever.

And...

I'm not much for cards but I think these .45's beat a full house.

[aussieH]

that song is epic, I could listen to it every day to put me in a good mood.

Have you listened to their selt titled album. Songs like size ain't shit, gangsta of love. Scarface, .... Almost my no 1 album of all time.

[panikpoker]

Just keeping the fans posted.

http://contests.sbrforum.com/filmoz-...hallenge-3178/

i wouldn't be proud of anything

[Filmoz]

1/12/12

NBA -
Warriors +3 -101 3x
Warriors U187 -105 3x
Warriors +3/U187 parlay +254 1x

[Filmoz]

Hawks TT U94 -110 3x

[SlickRick1382]

Hawks TT U94 -110 3x

Like the other picks, I'm especially on the Magic / Warriors Under pretty heavy.

Curious about this play. I know Horford is out, but they usually average 100+ at home and the Bobcats are pretty bad on D.

You think the difference in replacement points for Horford puts this U94?

[SlickRick1382]

i wouldn't be proud of anything

Agreed.

I'm usually proud of being up 6/10ths of a unit after 125+ games myself

So you (Pair of 5's) smashed someone on a simple SBR competition. I doubt all those plays were played in real life. Doesn't reflect much other than it's must easier to go overboard on betting when real money isn't tied in.

I'm up 3,000+ units on my imaginary leans myself.

[dartmouthemcee]

is there a reason why I like

CAL -13
ORE pick
GONZAGA ML

tonight?

[Filmoz]

Like the other picks, I'm especially on the Magic / Warriors Under pretty heavy.

Curious about this play. I know Horford is out, but they usually average 100+ at home and the Bobcats are pretty bad on D.

You think the difference in replacement points for Horford puts this U94?

You were absolutely right to ask this question, I was so far off on this game its not even funny. Hawks could not stop putting up points. I thought I saw a defensive spark trending with the Bobcats based on them being able to hold opponents to reasonable scores in their prior couple games, plus Horford out and the line seeming suspiciously low, I thought it was the right play. Boy was I wrong.

And both Golden State bets looked great for about a quarter. Then I gave up on covering the under but still felt okay about the spread. And we both know how that turned out...fml

[Filmoz]

A FILMOZ CONFESSIONAL:

Guys I have been taking a serious nosedive. The hangover from the NBA lockout has added even more volatility to an already volatile sport. Games ending anywhere from the 150's to the 230's lol. Not doing any better in college hoops either.

I'm feeling very nostalgic for November right now, when I was picking winners and was actually a contributing member of this board. Now I've turned into no more than a resident degenerate, posting losers and getting in fights with ppl (sorry again SlickRick, LeeTreaper, 5s, and probably others ).

I think I've pinpointed my problem, and it comes down to two things: time management and focus/dedication. Back in November, I really made sure to set aside time to really look at games. I would start capping the next day's games at night, and then the following morning I would wake up early, get a good cup of coffee, and really put in the legwork for a couple more hours before I had to go to work. It was a nice little routine that was very comforting in a way; it was my "me" time. And the results I was getting showed it was working well.

My tailspin started when I began treating it less like a hobby and more like a habit. I stopped the routine that had been working so well, and spent less time really analyzing games. Started making a lot more plays, and doing so recklessly. Part of it was likely due to additional stress at work taking time away from capping. The rest was due to me adopting a "fk it all" attitude after a few bad losses. The way I saw it, I make a good living at my day job, I can afford to gamble, who gives a shit right? Wrong.

I owe myself and you guys more than that. If I wanted to post plays that were little more than gutshots, I can always make "lock of the year" threads any time, where I post a play with no reasoning to back it up and fight with people who disagree. But by starting a season-long thread, I took up the mantle of responsibility to post plays that are well-thought-out, and to engage in productive discussion, in an effort to actually have long-term positive results.

So, here is my pledge to you guys: I am going to get back to basics and try to earn my way back into the board's good graces. At the moment, I don't deserve to be on the "best cappers" thread, so Crock if you are reading this, feel free to take me off (if I haven't already been taken off, I don't know I haven't checked that thread in a while lol). I am going to approach this with the seriousness it deserves. I am going to try to post a few well-thought-out plays every day, and when there is a small card I am going to do my best not to force it.

When I get a chance later, I'll go back thru the past few days of posts and update my pathetic record. Then, hopefully I'll have some plays for tonight.

and BOL all

[Pair of 5s Sir]

A FILMOZ CONFESSIONAL:

Guys I have been taking a serious nosedive. The hangover from the NBA lockout has added even more volatility to an already volatile sport. Games ending anywhere from the 150's to the 230's lol. Not doing any better in college hoops either.

I'm feeling very nostalgic for November right now, when I was picking winners and was actually a contributing member of this board. Now I've turned into no more than a resident degenerate, posting losers and getting in fights with ppl (sorry again SlickRick, LeeTreaper, 5s, and probably others ).

I think I've pinpointed my problem, and it comes down to two things: time management and focus/dedication. Back in November, I really made sure to set aside time to really look at games. I would start capping the next day's games at night, and then the following morning I would wake up early, get a good cup of coffee, and really put in the legwork for a couple more hours before I had to go to work. It was a nice little routine that was very comforting in a way; it was my "me" time. And the results I was getting showed it was working well.

My tailspin started when I began treating it less like a hobby and more like a habit. I stopped the routine that had been working so well, and spent less time really analyzing games. Started making a lot more plays, and doing so recklessly. Part of it was likely due to additional stress at work taking time away from capping. The rest was due to me adopting a "fk it all" attitude after a few bad losses. The way I saw it, I make a good living at my day job, I can afford to gamble, who gives a shit right? Wrong.

I owe myself and you guys more than that. If I wanted to post plays that were little more than gutshots, I can always make "lock of the year" threads any time, where I post a play with no reasoning to back it up and fight with people who disagree. But by starting a season-long thread, I took up the mantle of responsibility to post plays that are well-thought-out, and to engage in productive discussion, in an effort to actually have long-term positive results.

So, here is my pledge to you guys: I am going to get back to basics and try to earn my way back into the board's good graces. At the moment, I don't deserve to be on the "best cappers" thread, so Crock if you are reading this, feel free to take me off (if I haven't already been taken off, I don't know I haven't checked that thread in a while lol). I am going to approach this with the seriousness it deserves. I am going to try to post a few well-thought-out plays every day, and when there is a small card I am going to do my best not to force it.

When I get a chance later, I'll go back thru the past few days of posts and update my pathetic record. Then, hopefully I'll have some plays for tonight.

and BOL all

Takes a man to do this.

[Filmoz]

Results update

1/9/12

NCAA FB -

LSU +3.5 -140 5x L
LSU ML +120 1x L

0-2-0, -8x


NCAA BB -

WVU +5.5 -109 3x L

0-1-0, -3.27x


NBA -

Raptors U186.5 -105 3x W
76ers U185.5 -107 3x W

2-0-0, +6x

[Filmoz]

1/10/12

NBA -

Wizards -2.5 -106 3x W
Wizards U184 -105 3x W
Bobcats O195 -105 3x L

2-1-0, +2.85x

[Filmoz]

1/11/12

NBA -

Pacers O183 -105 3x L
Raptors O190.5 -108 3x L
Nuggs U198 -107 3x L
Clipps U203 -109 3x W

1-3-0, -6.6x


NCAA BB -

Nova +8.5 -103 3x L

0-1-0, -3.09x

[YOUNGBUCK]

A FILMOZ CONFESSIONAL:

Guys I have been taking a serious nosedive. The hangover from the NBA lockout has added even more volatility to an already volatile sport. Games ending anywhere from the 150's to the 230's lol. Not doing any better in college hoops either.

I'm feeling very nostalgic for November right now, when I was picking winners and was actually a contributing member of this board. Now I've turned into no more than a resident degenerate, posting losers and getting in fights with ppl (sorry again SlickRick, LeeTreaper, 5s, and probably others ).

I think I've pinpointed my problem, and it comes down to two things: time management and focus/dedication. Back in November, I really made sure to set aside time to really look at games. I would start capping the next day's games at night, and then the following morning I would wake up early, get a good cup of coffee, and really put in the legwork for a couple more hours before I had to go to work. It was a nice little routine that was very comforting in a way; it was my "me" time. And the results I was getting showed it was working well.

My tailspin started when I began treating it less like a hobby and more like a habit. I stopped the routine that had been working so well, and spent less time really analyzing games. Started making a lot more plays, and doing so recklessly. Part of it was likely due to additional stress at work taking time away from capping. The rest was due to me adopting a "fk it all" attitude after a few bad losses. The way I saw it, I make a good living at my day job, I can afford to gamble, who gives a shit right? Wrong.

I owe myself and you guys more than that. If I wanted to post plays that were little more than gutshots, I can always make "lock of the year" threads any time, where I post a play with no reasoning to back it up and fight with people who disagree. But by starting a season-long thread, I took up the mantle of responsibility to post plays that are well-thought-out, and to engage in productive discussion, in an effort to actually have long-term positive results.

So, here is my pledge to you guys: I am going to get back to basics and try to earn my way back into the board's good graces. At the moment, I don't deserve to be on the "best cappers" thread, so Crock if you are reading this, feel free to take me off (if I haven't already been taken off, I don't know I haven't checked that thread in a while lol). I am going to approach this with the seriousness it deserves. I am going to try to post a few well-thought-out plays every day, and when there is a small card I am going to do my best not to force it.

When I get a chance later, I'll go back thru the past few days of posts and update my pathetic record. Then, hopefully I'll have some plays for tonight.

and BOL all

Real talk

[Filmoz]

1/12/12

NBA -

Warriors +3 -101 3x L
Warriors U187 -105 3x L
Warriors +3/U187 parlay +254 1x L
Hawks TT U94 -110 3x L

0-4-0, -10.48x

[Filmoz]

YTD Totals -

NCAA BB -
194-175-7, -11.36x

NBA -
28-37-1, -25.38x

NCAA FB -
9-11-0, -3.83x

NFL -
4-6-1, -2.9x

[Filmoz]

so much red......

[Filmoz]

Real talk

Buck, turning over a new leaf starting today, let's get em.

[blackout31]

Moz, I'm glad you are getting back to the basics. I would suggest leaning on the basics and support of your constituents. I would assume The Fam and the ones like me who aren't pros but are pushing to learn will support you. I also hope that those who you have had words with in the past, like 5s, will respect and push to get back in form. There is a group of people on this site that care about one thing; making money together. I think if we work together, pool our ideas and stop hating, we'll all show profit in the end.

Let's get this stuff back.

[zephyr]

It happens Moz. And it comes around. Cut back on the number of bets and the amounts. Go to the beach and lay in the sun. Throw a stick to the dog. You'll feel it turn.

[crockje]

Buck, turning over a new leaf starting today, let's get em.

You show a lot of class my brother looking forward to your winning ways

[kl06ty]

You are due for a win, BOL... its been a rough week for multiple members of the board...but things will definitely pick up once the season stabilizes

[Ab34]

Moz been following you since I joined yeah you have gotten a little cold at times but i never doubt your plays have solid reasoning and have been researched, so i never hesitate to tail. Keep up the work and have a little fun doing so. Thanks Bro

[aussieH]

Great stuff moz. I also recommend toy to take a couple of days off as well to clear the head

[Filmoz]

Alright here goes.....

1/13/12

NBA -

Bobcats U180.5 -102 3x