CrimsonQueen's CBB 2010-2011

[CrimsonQueen]

I dropped off the ch*ck in the machine 20 minutes ago. I'll let ya know what happens. My guess is it'll be fine. But I'll follow up even if it's just fine.

Also, I'm still waiting on a payout from Diamond. They are the SLOWEST payers in all of history. It's been almost a full month now. Request payout: denied 1.5 weeks later saying I need to submit info: Submit info: Request payout #2: DENIED 1 week later saying they need the info that I sent because they don't have it (even though I verified that they had it when I submitted it): Talk to them, they find the info, tell me to REQUEST ANOTHER PAYOUT...: Request payout #3 1 week ago...............still waiting for it to be denied or accepted...
Jesus Christ, I'm riled up GT!!!!!!!!!!

[GTforme]

I hear ya' CQ... it's disgusting!

[CrimsonQueen]

Still haven't heard back from Diamond... sigh.
BoDog ch*ck hit the b@nk account Absolutely no problems from them in 5 years. Still love the Dog even if everyone else bashes them.

[GTforme]

Still haven't heard back from Diamond... sigh.
BoDog ch*ck hit the b@nk account Absolutely no problems from them in 5 years. Still love the Dog even if everyone else bashes them.

Good day CQ... I'm glad you got the BoDog and I have my fingers crossed for the Diamond..............

[CrimsonQueen]

Thanks GT, just finally got my Diamond money today... took insanely long. The BoDog check went in perfectly fine, no problems there!

MLB model: Last two days it went 9-1! for +13 Units! It's been doing great...winning with the dogs daily... only snags it's hit is with really large favorites it's been off, but it's safe to rule out paying a ton of juice on games anyway. Without favorites over -140, the model is +24.11 Units with max bets being 2 Units. So not bad at all. WNBA model is nearly complete... gotta get on that.

[snapperman2]

Thanks GT, just finally got my Diamond money today... took insanely long. The BoDog check went in perfectly fine, no problems there!

MLB model: Last two days it went 9-1! for +13 Units! It's been doing great...winning with the dogs daily... only snags it's hit is with really large favorites it's been off, but it's safe to rule out paying a ton of juice on games anyway. Without favorites over -140, the model is +24.11 Units with max bets being 2 Units. So not bad at all. WNBA model is nearly complete... gotta get on that.

When are you going to start posting your MLB picks?

[CrimsonQueen]

While the NCAA basketball models/calculators and analysis was 100% my own doing, I worked on the MLB model with a partner. He is hesitant about divulging information for free... (he doesn't want to go tout, but he just doesn't want anyone to have this information. Which is totally understandable... I can see why people go tout. I mean, together we literally spent hundreds of man hours building and operating this thing (it takes me about an hour a day to upkeep it!) But it's totally worth it because it's a killer model that is totally mathematically based and it's up over 20 units...which is awesome.)

The WNBA model is another 100% my own doing, so I have no qualms giving out some free plays with that. Just gotta finish the thing.

[CrimsonQueen]

Geez... the model is 3-0 today! for +2.25 more units! (Had the Tigers, Cardinals, and the Rays -1.5)

[GTforme]

Geez... the model is 3-0 today! for +2.25 more units! (Had the Tigers, Cardinals, and the Rays -1.5)

My Congrats CQ... great work. Package it and sell it... shit... don't give it away! JMO

[CrimsonQueen]

haha thanks GT...

Gotta work on the WNBA model now. Good news is that I've found a totally different way of doing things here...but the bad news is that all the work I've been doing is out the window... sigh. Hours wasted. But I think I've found a much better way of doing things, so we'll see where this goes....

[mentorbh]

Geez... the model is 3-0 today! for +2.25 more units! (Had the Tigers, Cardinals, and the Rays -1.5)

good job

[CrimsonQueen]

Holy freaking crap. 7-0 day!!!!!!!!!!!!

5/7/2011 Cubs 5/7/2011 Brewers 5/7/2011 Pirates 5/7/2011 Diamondbacks 5/7/2011 Rays 5/7/2011 Red Sox -1.5
5/7/2011 White Sox

[CrimsonQueen]

So far 2-0 today, with 1 game to come!

Model is +35.25 units. God damn I love baseball! Never thought I'd say that. heh...

WNBA model made some progress today. Hoping to have it partially done by the time WNBA season starts... then I will sit out the first 4 games of the season to calculate some more numbers and start rolling those numbers in with the last couple of years' data. In all honesty I'm hoping that it goes maybe +10 units for the season. Realistically there's so many fewer games than MLB, so it can't do nearly as well as the MLB model is doing. There's only 204 games in the WNBA regular season...Then a couple more play off games. Also I have to wait until a couple games into the season so that brings it down to 180 games to possibly bet on.

[CrimsonQueen]

Month of May: 29-9 including a PERFECT 10-0 weekend !!!

6 of the 10 over the weekend were dogs too. 4 small faves avg -124.

4-1 on the 5th of May
6-0 on the 3rd
3-1 on the 2nd on the first day to ever have THREE 2-unit plays, and they ALL won, and only lost a .5 unit play, and the 2 unit plays were on +159, +140, and -101...so I made a killing!

Best month of my life so far.

Can't wait til WNBA compounds all this winning and we can all celebrate! (Let's all make a pact now to NEVER WATCH A SINGLE WNBA game! I certainly don't plan on it...) I haven't watched a single MLB game this year either. Have caught bits and pieces of a few... but could really care less about the sport. I just love MONEY!!!

[GTforme]

I hear you CQ... I pretty much feel the same way LOL

... and congrats o ntheVERY NICE WEEKEND CARD!

[CrimsonQueen]

thanks GT... went 2-2 yesterday for another +0.51 Units. Can't wait til I finish off the WNBA model... I seriously can't wait for it to start!!!!!

[CrimsonQueen]

Now I'm cashing out of Bookmaker a little bit... They subtracted the money from my account the day after. 5/9/11 I started the process.

I just looked at my bank account and the money is already there. Very nice, very fast! (compared to their sister site DSI...which took 5 week or something absurd).

[GTforme]

Now I'm cashing out of Bookmaker a little bit... They subtracted the money from my account the day after. 5/9/11 I started the process.

I just looked at my bank account and the money is already there. Very nice, very fast! (compared to their sister site DSI...which took 5 week or something absurd).

[GTforme]

Just dropped by to say hello CQ, and see how the WNBA model is coming.

Hopew you're still bangin' out winners w/ the MLB model too? Assume you are.........

[CrimsonQueen]

Hey GT, killing the mlb overall but the last 2 days were losers for the first time in a really long time. Up some 40 odd units.
WNBA model has a bit of work to do still but I'm meeting with my partner on Friday to work out any pieces we need too. I'll still post the plays though don't worry. My partner and I are working on models for every sport now...!

[GTforme]

Hey GT, killing the mlb overall but the last 2 days were losers for the first time in a really long time. Up some 40 odd units.
WNBA model has a bit of work to do still but I'm meeting with my partner on Friday to work out any pieces we need too. I'll still post the plays though don't worry. My partner and I are working on models for every sport now...!

I'll keep checking to see how you're coming along. Glad the MLB model is paying you off. I know you have a lot of time and effort tied up in it!

[CrimsonQueen]

Thanks GT. WNBA model progress slowed up a bit and I'm basically waiting for the season to start to continue work on it. Season starts in a couple days though and bets should start coming out within a week after that!

[GTforme]

Hope all is good with you CQ!

Where will you be putting up the WNBA plays, will it be here, or will you do it on another thread... or maybe even elsewhere?

[CrimsonQueen]

Hey... I was only gonna post if someone mentioned it... so here goes! GL GT!


I made these bets YESTERDAY...so basically ALL of the value has been sucked out of these bets (especially the best bet of 2 units...it moved 2.5 points!! ). The way this model works is by unit which will range from .5 to 2 and is based on an exact calculated edge and then is multiplied out to see the optimum bet size based on my bankroll, assuming 1 Unit = 1%. (same as my MLB model)

Also... I've never watched a game in my life and never plan on watching a game. I'm purely basing this off stats...AND I'm also not saying this will win. The MLB model is still crushing...and this is similar in build..so lets hope. (I never watch a single baseball game either).

If it's in the following format, that means I copied it from my personal spread sheet...and the team I bet is the FIRST TEAM. Otherwise I just list the team I picked. But for the sake of ease, I'll probably just copy paste.

6/21/2011 Liberty Sparks WNBA Spread +7.0 (0.5 Units)
6/21/2011 Fever Mystics WNBA Spread PICK (2 Units)
6/21/2011 SilverStars Mercury WNBA Spread -3.5 (1 Unit)

GOOD LUCK!

[CrimsonQueen]

The Storm are also a 1 Unit play at -6.5.
Missed that opener there, but since it came back down, I played it.

[CrimsonQueen]

Decent start. Shoulda been 3-1 but for a garbage 2 at the buzzer killing our -6.5 spread. But we still start off on the right foot going 2-2 for +0.5 units.

[CrimsonQueen]

Tonight the Sun were a play at +4.5... 1U. The line moved down though... not a play anymore. And I didn't get that one cuz there was a bug in my software and I wanted to work it out in case it effected the play...

For the openers: the Dream came out at -2 for a .5U play... I got that bet in, and it's official, but then it moved to -2.5 and it's no good anymore. Maybe it'll jump back though as it JUST opened on Bmaker.

Dream -2 .5 Units

Good luck!

[CrimsonQueen]

For tomorrow:
Fever +6 2 Units

Good Luck!

[CrimsonQueen]

Also tonight is Fever -3.5 1 Unit

[CrimsonQueen]

Dream lost the other night and our record is 2-3 (+-0 Units)
All the earlier bugs are worked out of the model now... and I've implemented a nice upgrade to account for all Out/Probable/Questionable/Doubtful players.

[CrimsonQueen]

Fever won...model is +1 units.

[CrimsonQueen]

SilverStars +4.5 today .5 Unit play

Good luck!

[CrimsonQueen]

SilverStars +4.5 .5 Unit - WIN
Fever +6 2 Units - WIN



WNBA 2011: + 3.5 Units