NCAAB Totals using KENPOM 2014-2015

[alamo]

Added Wisc OVER 115.5-1 unit
Added Wisc OVER 108.5-2 units
Added Wisc OVER 105.5-3 units

Problem with live betting is right here. Discipline kid. You started out with something that looked good but now its turned into a free for all throw the chips where they land

[spankmythighs]

Thats 1 set of losses. Still sticking to the strategy. If there are no pregame plays, I look for inplay.

[alamo]

Adding FSU UNDER 147.5-1 unit
Kenpom=134

Adding FSU UNDER 151.5-2 units

Adding FSU UNDER 154.5-3 units

At 160.5 now on B365. This one is another if it goes down is going to clean us out.

[spankmythighs]

If Virginia game goes under and I lose on FSU. Im even for the day.

[SlickRick1382]

Your chasing system is going to kill you long-term.

Secondly if you're betting in-game, live, then you're perceiving it to have more value than it really does. The original line (which is similar to Kempom's) is built in to the "new" live total except now they're adjusting for the eb and flow of the game.

I do this in NBA but only for a game I actually like before tip-off. So if I like the Under in a specified game and they breakout in the 1Q and push the total way past what it should be, then I'll put in a play. Now if I liked the Under and they barely score anything in the 1Q and the live total falls very low, I'm not going to go ahead and bet the Over now.

That's what it feels like you're doing, unless I missed soemthing. That's not going to stay successful over the long haul. Has to be some built in parameters where you can properly pick and choose what to play.

Good Luck though....

[spankmythighs]

TENN OVER 113.5-2 units

[spankmythighs]

Adding
BUTLER UNDER 126.5 1 UNIT
BUTLER UNDER 132.5 2 UNITS

[alamo]

Dude this live total is 124.5 ?????

[spankmythighs]

Alamo which gm are you refering to

[SlickRick1382]

The Butler game. You're live line is off. How did you put in two bets near each other with 6 points difference?

[alamo]

Alamo which gm are you refering to

Referring to Butler game dude. It closed at 118. I was watching the betting on this one .... The live line never got close to 132.5

[spankmythighs]

On Bet365 it hit 132.5, 133.5 at one point. I bought @ 126.5 and 132.5.

[spankmythighs]

I have been watching the total all game.

[spankmythighs]

Do either one of u use Bet365?

[spankmythighs]

I just took a screenshot and will post it soon.

[spankmythighs]

Got in on ZAGS OVER 124.5 - 1 UNIT
Kenpom=137

[spankmythighs]

LOYOLA MD UNDER 143.5 - 1 UNIT
Kenpom=124

[spankmythighs]

Smashed the books today for $1100. If anyone CAN use Bet365. I will gladly go through my strategy with them.

[SlickRick1382]

What happened to the screen shot?

[alamo]

Smashed the books today for $1100. If anyone CAN use Bet365. I will gladly go through my strategy with them.

Dude, you started off saying you'd be posting plays up to an hour before tip and after one bad day that quickly has turned into 1 hour after tip. The live lines you post don't exist and if they are posted well after the event and the line has changed. Only fooling yourself. Good luck my friend but you've lost a few followers.

[spankmythighs]

Wow you guys are unbelievable. First off I have no idea how to post a screenshot. Second, there were no plays yesterday in accordance with my original strategy. And third, if you dont have a Bet365 acct, take a hike. So if someone could explain how to post a screenshot that would be helpful.

[spankmythighs]

And fourth, I have a family and business so this thread is pretty low on my list of priorities hence the reason I have explained to everyone how I do this.

[spankmythighs]

No plays to report today as of yet. Again if you dont have a Bet365 acct, dont bother.

[gtcat]

Don't worry about em spank. I appreciate what you do and it's working for me! I don't rely on you for every pick - it's not hard to take the theory and do it yourself. Spend $20 and put your big boy pants on!

[spankmythighs]

Thx cat! Thats what I was thinking too. I may just post results and compare with others who know what they are doing. Its alot to post all my plays. I had about 20 or so yesterday.

[SlickRick1382]

Wow you guys are unbelievable. First off I have no idea how to post a screenshot.

You mean the little icon next to the You tube icon that says "insert image" inside the box where you post was really hard to find? I say that because I NEVER posted an image on here and had no idea how to but knew it had to be fairly easy and guess what? Took me 3 seconds to figure out.

And fourth, I have a family and business so this thread is pretty low on my list of priorities hence the reason I have explained to everyone how I do this.

I have multiple businesses. Not sure why that matters.


Your methodology is simple. I've been doing it with NBA for awhile and don't need Kempom or any site for that. No one is disputing that. Your lines are what we're not agreeing on. Specifically the Butler game.


Good Luck the rest of the season...

[spankmythighs]

Thx genius. Im on the mobile site and its not working.

[spankmythighs]

Hey Slick u from the States?

[SlickRick1382]

Yes I am, why?

[spankmythighs]

Then u dont have Bet365.

GEORGE WASH TOTAL 149.5 on Bet365
Kenpom=134

[spankmythighs]

In Canada we dont have restrictions on where we can place our bets

[SlickRick1382]

I never claimed to have BET365. But I have 5Dimes and other outlets that also offer live betting. None of them had the total that high. So unless you're telling me that Bet365 loves to give money away for free then I'm sorry if I just so happen to doubt one of the totals you posted. Especially after you offered to give a screenshot (which if you do, please show both bets on the Butler game)

I have family in Toronto. I'll setup an account just to see.

Like I said before, good luck the rest of the season.

[Scott8282]

I appreciate your posts and insight. But I'd appreciate it even more if you posted plays before the games began. =)

[SlickRick1382]

I appreciate your posts and insight. But I'd appreciate it even more if you posted plays before the games began. =)

He can't on most plays. He's betting them live.

Basically hoping for a fast start or slow start and then go the other way if the books over inflate the total for the remainder of the game.

[Scott8282]

My site doesn't offer as many live bets for those second tier games unfortunately.