NCAAB Totals using KENPOM 2014-2015

[spankmythighs]

*Alert*

Fairfield UNDER 75 1st Half
Kenpom = 114 * 45% = 51.3

[spankmythighs]

Fairfield total for the game is 114 on Kenpom. 75 1st half is way too much

[spankmythighs]

Fairfield has never had a 75 pt first half. Monmouth has had one plus 75 half but against Iona which is the 6th fastest tempo team in the US. Both of these teams have a slower tempo so 75 is asking alot.

[allidoiswin89]

Just to confirm, this isnt an official play since u said u werent checking halves correct? Can you update us with the system record? I believe there hasnt been an official play in a week even with the big card yesterday?

[spankmythighs]

Ya no official plays yesterday just the 2 leans. I am calling the Fairfield gm an official play. They dont have the Total for the whole gm posted yet, just the first half at 75 which would suggest a 155 - 160 point gm which is crazy. Both of these teams played last yr and had 116 pts in one gm and 123 in the other.

[spankmythighs]

This has to be a typo but they also have the Tarheels 1st half at 148 on bet365. Jump on it

[IWANTMONEY]

Be careful punting that - bookies often ban you if you try to exploit obvious errors - in any case, they wont pay out....

[Scott8282]

69.5 at my book lol

[allidoiswin89]

How can u call the fairfield game official. U are following no set of rules...u said u werent going to look at halves and I highly doubt u did for the 100+ games yesterday....not to mention that line is so overblown and bet365 sounds like a retarded bookmaking service. This "system" isn't really anything than someone using kenpom totals and trying to find value based on their own lines and their time when they can review everything

[allidoiswin89]

This has to be a typo but they also have the Tarheels 1st half at 148 on bet365. Jump on it

....im starting to think you are in high school....this thread can be stopped now

[Fat_Stax]

The total I am seeing for the Fairfield Monmouth game Is 75 1st Half and 118 for the game.. ? Hmm

[spankmythighs]

They just pulled the Fairfield line and North Carolina off the board

[spankmythighs]

....im starting to think you are in high school....this thread can be stopped now

Ya u caught me. Im a junior in high school haha. I had 2 plays in ncaab yesterday they just didnt hit the required criteria as officia but won anyways. My record for the year speaks for itself. How are your records in anything??

[spankmythighs]

Heavy lean on Illinois OVER 67 1st half

[spankmythighs]

Maybe I will just post my leans and suggestions.

[jimm246]

Maybe I will just post my leans and suggestions.

Yes you should. Thank you

[spankmythighs]

Heavy lean St. Johns OVER 67

[spankmythighs]

1st Half

[spankmythighs]

Washington UNDER 67 1st half

[spankmythighs]

Ull under 139

[allidoiswin89]

Whats ur record with all these leans? Can you put "*** official play" next to any play that fits your original criteria please? Thanks

[spankmythighs]

ULL UNDER 139 cash it!

[eddiey]

Do you use anything similar for NCAAF?

[spankmythighs]

Do you use anything similar for NCAAF?

Not really.

[spankmythighs]

I like Florida UNDER 136

[eddiey]

Just curious. Yesterday's KenPom prediction showed a total of 132 which is only 7 below the under 139. Did you use any other filters to qualify this as a play?

[spankmythighs]

There hasnt been OVER 136 points in any home games for Florida. They play stingy D at home.

[spankmythighs]

Just curious. Yesterday's KenPom prediction showed a total of 132 which is only 7 below the under 139. Did you use any other filters to qualify this as a play?

Just did some added number crunching.

[Yons18]

There hasnt been OVER 136 points in any home games for Florida. They play stingy D at home.

I have this as well. Gators defense plus LSU turnover rate should cause for a low total.

[eddiey]

Thanks. Just trying to be able to add something to the forum.

[allidoiswin89]

This is pure fade material. Taking someone who doesnt cap professionally is easy cashhhh

[jimm246]

I been cashing in. 1h don't win I play 2h little bigger

[spankmythighs]

This is pure fade material. Taking someone who doesnt cap professionally is easy cashhhh

Oh so u are a pro? If so u wouldnt be trolling around here hahaha

[bobtoma]

Ok good luck

[allidoiswin89]

Oh so u are a pro? If so u wouldnt be trolling around here hahaha

I actually do cap part time. But I use systems to supplement my capping ability which brought me to this thread....but this has turned into a high school kid providing amatuer research telling us to bet lines that are only provided on crappy wesbites that make mistakes lol

I remember what its like to be in high school so I applaud the effort. But u are the definition of a square and have a lot to learn. Dont bet more than ur lunch money